Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 April 2013, Newcastle 0 3 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       32   80  +40      92.48     2.98    47.17    99.76   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      31   65  +30      80.50     3.04    39.87     0.24    97.38    99.67    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       32   59  +29      70.25     3.16    33.92     0.00     1.22    46.41    81.45    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       31   58  +28      69.81     3.45    31.27     0.00     1.19    38.45    72.50    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.78     3.16    17.35     0.00     0.21    13.96    39.75    99.01     0.00     0.00  
Everton       32   55  +14      63.13     3.14    13.73     0.00     0.00     1.51     6.22    80.70     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     33   50  +19      58.54     2.92    21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    20.89     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.50     3.08    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.50     2.94    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        32   40   -4      47.44     3.13    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   33   38   -7      44.03     2.86    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
West_Ham      32   38   -9      45.03     2.97   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Newcastle     33   36  -17      41.80     2.93   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.82R    0.00  
Norwich       33   35  -21      41.15     2.77   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.94R    0.00  
Sunderland    33   34   -8      40.68     2.87    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.58R    0.00  
Stoke         33   34  -13      40.11     2.84   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.73R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   33   34  -24      38.84     2.68   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.89R    0.00  
Wigan         31   31  -20      37.36     3.11   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.63R    0.16  
QPR           33   24  -25      29.12     2.72   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.46R   46.47  
Reading       33   24  -27      28.94     2.72   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.56R   53.36  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, Barnsley 0 6 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          42   83  +27      89.43     2.64    28.41    94.78    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   77  +12      83.24     2.63    13.12     5.21    92.95   100.00    94.60P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   71  +24      77.08     2.64    24.89     0.01     6.63    99.98    31.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   66  +13      72.99     2.96    13.27     0.00     0.41    92.48    19.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         42   65  +18      71.19     2.65    19.03     0.00     0.02    85.49    22.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           42   63   +8      68.63     2.61     8.21     0.00     0.00    45.57    12.99P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   63   +5      68.69     2.60     5.33     0.00     0.00    42.05     8.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   61  +22      67.10     2.66    22.92     0.00     0.00    33.11    10.51P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   57   +2      62.54     2.58     2.07     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   55   -7      60.23     2.61    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.29R    0.00  
Leeds_United     42   55   -9      59.67     2.59   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.45R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   54   +3      59.87     2.61     3.57     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.36R    0.00  
Derby            42   54   +1      59.61     2.65     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.83R    0.00  
Burnley          42   54   +0      59.55     2.63     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Birmingham       42   54   -6      60.46     2.68    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   53   -9      58.09     2.61    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.19R    0.00  
Ipswich          42   53  -16      57.72     2.59   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.96R    0.00  
Millwall         40   52   -6      60.27     3.27    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P    2.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     42   51  -24      55.89     2.58   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.74R    0.08  
Blackburn        41   50   -5      57.00     2.93    -4.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.92R    0.02  
Peterborough     42   50   -7      55.04     2.61    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.53R    0.07  
Barnsley         42   49  -16      53.60     2.56   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.52R    0.69  
Wolverhampton    42   48  -11      52.98     2.59   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.91R    1.04  
Bristol_City     42   40  -19      44.56     2.53   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   98.11  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, Brentford 3 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       44   81  +18      83.85     1.83    18.19    50.78    77.23   100.00    82.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   79  +21      82.25     1.83    21.80    24.38    60.25   100.00    69.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   77  +16      81.19     2.21    16.14    14.89    31.19   100.00    46.87P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          43   74  +16      79.03     2.29    17.36     1.75     8.96   100.00    24.18P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   73  +18      79.92     2.62    20.07     8.20    22.37    99.92    47.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         43   68  +29      73.68     2.20    31.23     0.00     0.00    81.10    25.46P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         44   67   +9      70.44     1.83    10.04     0.00     0.00     8.04     1.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   67   +6      69.69     1.80     5.93     0.00     0.00     3.15     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   66  +11      68.64     1.83    10.90     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   64  +14      69.30     2.23    15.75     0.00     0.00     5.11     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        44   64   +8      66.95     1.84     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    43   64   +1      68.37     2.27     1.39     0.00     0.00     1.36     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   61  +11      63.62     1.82    10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           42   58   -7      61.87     2.44    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   55   +5      58.73     2.20     4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   55  -17      57.45     1.79   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   54  -12      56.04     1.72   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      43   48   -8      52.23     2.27    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Colchester      43   47  -21      50.68     2.23   -21.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.52R    0.00  
Oldham          42   44  -14      48.89     2.57   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.95R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   42  -26      45.04     2.11   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.97R    0.22  
Portsmouth      44   39  -20      41.39     1.80   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.36R    3.80  
Hartlepool      44   39  -28      41.09     1.73   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R    9.67  
Bury            43   34  -30      37.30     2.18   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.30  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           44   82  +28      85.81     1.77    29.61    98.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   76  +35      79.45     1.85    36.07     1.01    98.94   100.00    99.33P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   73   +6      75.19     1.80     5.16     0.00    36.77   100.00    49.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71   +6      73.68     1.82     5.91     0.00    16.27   100.00    38.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   70  +10      74.45     2.27    10.48     0.00    38.59    99.52    55.96P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          43   68   +7      71.78     2.19     6.42     0.00     6.06    94.75    25.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   65  +12      69.37     2.28    12.40     0.00     3.36    74.09    21.89P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   64   +6      66.73     1.82     6.00     0.00     0.00    15.21     4.66P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   61  +10      65.83     2.24    11.03     0.00     0.00    15.51     5.45P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   60   +1      62.72     1.84     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   59   -7      61.76     1.86    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   59   -8      61.79     1.83    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   58   +6      62.86     2.27     7.08     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   58   +0      61.04     1.84     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   58   -9      62.21     2.30    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   -5      57.48     1.79    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   51   -5      53.90     1.82    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.08  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -15      53.51     1.82   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.82R    0.20  
Plymouth             43   49   -8      52.26     2.15    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.30R    1.93  
York                 44   49  -12      51.19     1.76   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.31R    5.58  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   49  -23      50.93     1.67   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.43R   12.49  
Barnet               43   48  -10      51.31     2.17   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.98R    9.06  
Torquay              43   46  -10      50.58     2.27    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.95R   14.16  
Aldershot            43   45  -15      48.67     2.19   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.37R   56.51  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, Braintree_Town 2 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      45   90  +38      92.12     1.21    39.18    56.05   100.00    67.73P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   89  +38      91.88     1.88    38.20    43.95   100.00    58.77P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     44   84  +28      86.19     1.80    27.16     0.00   100.00    15.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   79  +30      82.46     1.76    31.12     0.00   100.00    34.48P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   77  +28      80.40     1.87    28.97     0.00   100.00    23.45P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           44   67   +7      70.06     1.87     7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   65  +16      68.31     1.86    16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           44   63   +4      65.66     1.79     3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   62   -6      64.39     1.83    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     44   62  -10      64.11     1.70   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   60   +4      65.43     2.25     6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       45   60   -6      61.53     1.32    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   59   +0      60.21     1.29    -0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   57   -6      58.19     1.28    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        45   55   -8      56.49     1.33    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           45   54   -9      55.07     1.24    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   54  -12      55.14     1.29   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   53  -11      54.27     1.31   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   51   -5      54.57     1.86    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   51  -15      53.71     1.88   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          44   49  -15      50.75     1.67   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   46  -37      47.28     1.31   -37.15     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   38  -30      41.03     2.12   -31.93     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.47  
AFC_Telford        45   35  -23      36.02     1.23   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.53