Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 13 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, Arsenal 3 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       31   77  +38      91.50     3.23    46.11    99.19   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      31   65  +30      80.52     3.05    39.94     0.81    97.36    99.65    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       32   59  +29      70.22     3.16    33.88     0.00     1.19    45.93    81.21    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       31   58  +28      69.82     3.45    31.30     0.00     1.24    39.11    73.00    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.79     3.13    17.37     0.00     0.21    13.89    39.58    99.02     0.00     0.00  
Everton       32   55  +14      63.13     3.12    13.74     0.00     0.00     1.42     6.13    80.93     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     33   50  +19      58.50     2.92    21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    20.72     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.49     3.07    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.50     2.93    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        32   40   -4      47.47     3.15    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   33   38   -7      44.02     2.85    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
West_Ham      32   38   -9      44.99     2.96   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Newcastle     32   36  -14      43.64     3.23   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.00  
Norwich       33   35  -21      41.12     2.75   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.49R    0.00  
Stoke         32   34  -11      40.92     3.08   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.63R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   33   34  -24      38.85     2.65   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.45R    0.01  
Sunderland    32   31  -11      38.62     3.16   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.85R    0.02  
Wigan         31   31  -20      37.36     3.11   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.60R    0.15  
QPR           33   24  -25      29.07     2.71   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.43R   47.47  
Reading       33   24  -27      28.96     2.71   -30.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.45R   52.35  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, Barnsley 0 6 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          42   83  +27      89.42     2.63    28.40    95.02    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   77  +12      83.24     2.60    13.13     4.96    93.13   100.00    94.80P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   71  +24      77.10     2.64    24.94     0.01     6.45    99.97    31.21P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   66  +13      73.00     2.94    13.27     0.00     0.42    92.71    19.50P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         42   65  +18      71.19     2.65    19.02     0.00     0.02    85.86    22.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           42   63   +8      68.60     2.61     8.17     0.00     0.00    45.12    12.70P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   63   +5      68.67     2.59     5.31     0.00     0.00    42.19     8.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   61  +22      67.08     2.66    22.89     0.00     0.00    32.85    10.47P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   57   +2      62.57     2.57     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   55   -7      60.24     2.61    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.26R    0.00  
Leeds_United     42   55   -9      59.66     2.58   -10.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.42R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   54   +3      59.86     2.61     3.55     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.35R    0.00  
Derby            42   54   +1      59.64     2.64     1.22     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.88R    0.00  
Burnley          42   54   +0      59.59     2.63     0.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Birmingham       42   54   -6      60.44     2.68    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.58R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   53   -9      58.07     2.60    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.25R    0.00  
Ipswich          42   53  -16      57.70     2.56   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.75R    0.00  
Millwall         40   52   -6      60.23     3.28    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    2.09R    0.00  
Huddersfield     42   51  -24      55.89     2.58   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.95R    0.10  
Blackburn        41   50   -5      57.03     2.94    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.95R    0.00  
Peterborough     42   50   -7      55.06     2.63    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.74R    0.08  
Barnsley         42   49  -16      53.62     2.56   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.34R    0.72  
Wolverhampton    42   48  -11      52.98     2.60   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.79R    0.95  
Bristol_City     42   40  -19      44.55     2.53   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   98.14  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, Brentford 3 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       44   81  +18      83.88     1.83    18.23    51.53    77.69   100.00    82.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   79  +21      82.24     1.84    21.78    23.92    60.26   100.00    69.16P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   77  +16      81.17     2.21    16.12    14.68    30.74   100.00    46.06P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          43   74  +16      79.02     2.29    17.35     1.61     8.62   100.00    23.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   73  +18      79.96     2.60    20.10     8.26    22.68    99.94    48.42P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         43   68  +29      73.66     2.19    31.23     0.00     0.00    80.89    25.40P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         44   67   +9      70.42     1.84    10.02     0.00     0.00     7.92     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   67   +6      69.70     1.80     5.94     0.00     0.00     3.21     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   66  +11      68.65     1.82    10.91     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   64  +14      69.29     2.24    15.72     0.00     0.00     5.26     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        44   64   +8      66.95     1.84     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    43   64   +1      68.40     2.26     1.42     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   61  +11      63.59     1.82    10.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           42   58   -7      61.85     2.46    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   55   +5      58.71     2.20     4.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   55  -17      57.46     1.79   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   54  -12      56.05     1.71   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      43   48   -8      52.22     2.27    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Colchester      43   47  -21      50.68     2.23   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.49R    0.00  
Oldham          42   44  -14      48.90     2.58   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.97R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   42  -26      45.05     2.11   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.98R    0.20  
Portsmouth      44   39  -20      41.41     1.80   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.37R    3.79  
Hartlepool      44   39  -28      41.07     1.73   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R    9.92  
Bury            43   34  -30      37.33     2.19   -31.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.09  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           44   82  +28      85.77     1.77    29.56    98.95   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   76  +35      79.47     1.85    36.10     1.05    98.95   100.00    99.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   73   +6      75.23     1.80     5.22     0.00    37.35   100.00    49.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71   +6      73.70     1.82     5.94     0.00    16.39   100.00    38.88P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   70  +10      74.48     2.27    10.51     0.00    38.45    99.60    55.89P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          43   68   +7      71.74     2.19     6.36     0.00     5.91    94.55    24.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   65  +12      69.33     2.26    12.35     0.00     2.96    73.63    21.22P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   64   +6      66.72     1.82     5.99     0.00     0.00    15.22     4.70P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   61  +10      65.84     2.25    11.04     0.00     0.00    16.21     5.47P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   60   +1      62.71     1.84     0.98     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   59   -7      61.73     1.85    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   59   -8      61.78     1.83    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   58   +6      62.87     2.26     7.09     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   58   +0      61.06     1.85     0.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   58   -9      62.21     2.29    -8.87     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   -5      57.47     1.78    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   51   -5      53.91     1.82    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.07  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -15      53.53     1.82   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74R    0.17  
Plymouth             43   49   -8      52.25     2.16    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.49R    1.98  
York                 44   49  -12      51.18     1.76   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.60R    5.65  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   49  -23      50.92     1.66   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.59R   12.42  
Barnet               43   48  -10      51.33     2.17   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.72R    8.81  
Torquay              43   46  -10      50.58     2.26    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.60R   13.84  
Aldershot            43   45  -15      48.66     2.20   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.45R   57.07  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, Braintree_Town 2 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      45   90  +38      92.10     1.21    39.14    55.38   100.00    67.29P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   89  +38      91.88     1.89    38.19    44.61   100.00    59.36P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     44   84  +28      86.19     1.80    27.15     0.00   100.00    15.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   79  +30      82.46     1.77    31.13     0.00   100.00    34.57P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   77  +28      80.41     1.87    28.98     0.00   100.00    23.10P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           44   67   +7      70.07     1.87     7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   65  +16      68.29     1.86    16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           44   63   +4      65.69     1.80     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   62   -6      64.38     1.83    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     44   62  -10      64.13     1.71   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   60   +4      65.42     2.23     6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       45   60   -6      61.53     1.32    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   59   +0      60.21     1.28    -0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   57   -6      58.20     1.28    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        45   55   -8      56.47     1.32    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           45   54   -9      55.06     1.24    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   54  -12      55.14     1.29   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   53  -11      54.28     1.31   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   51   -5      54.55     1.85    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   51  -15      53.71     1.87   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          44   49  -15      50.76     1.66   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   46  -37      47.28     1.31   -37.17     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   38  -30      41.05     2.12   -31.89     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.16  
AFC_Telford        45   35  -23      36.01     1.23   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.84