Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 12 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 April 2013, Man_Utd 1 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       31   77  +38      91.45     3.24    46.02    99.17   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      31   65  +30      80.54     3.03    39.95     0.83    97.71    99.76    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       31   58  +28      69.80     3.43    31.27     0.00     1.19    41.88    74.47    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.80     3.15    17.39     0.00     0.23    15.95    43.35    98.54     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       31   56  +27      69.60     3.37    33.65     0.00     0.87    41.12    76.24    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Everton       31   52  +12      62.30     3.34    12.93     0.00     0.00     1.23     5.24    68.10     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     32   49  +19      59.49     3.22    22.42     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.72    34.55     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.50     3.07    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.51     2.98    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        31   39   -4      47.85     3.46    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00R    0.00  
Southampton   32   37   -7      44.73     3.17    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
West_Ham      31   37   -9      45.12     3.27   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Newcastle     32   36  -14      43.63     3.26   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Norwich       32   35  -19      41.58     2.92   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.05R    0.00  
Stoke         32   34  -11      40.87     3.08   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.08R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   32   33  -24      39.23     3.01   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.70R    0.03  
Sunderland    32   31  -11      38.60     3.13   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.67R    0.04  
Wigan         31   31  -20      37.33     3.11   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.13R    0.34  
QPR           32   24  -23      29.71     2.91   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.53R   40.13  
Reading       32   23  -27      28.77     2.99   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.18R   59.46  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 April 2013, Leicester 2 2 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          41   80  +24      88.21     2.94    25.99    93.27    99.45   100.00    99.63P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   74  +11      81.57     2.94    12.10     5.65    70.48   100.00    77.63P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   71  +25      78.70     2.98    26.28     1.08    29.02    99.99    48.48P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   66  +13      73.04     2.96    13.32     0.00     0.98    93.86    20.38P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   63   +8      69.64     2.89     7.71     0.00     0.05    63.45    13.99P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   62  +16      69.44     2.99    16.86     0.00     0.03    68.14    17.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   61  +22      67.04     2.65    22.83     0.00     0.00    37.52    12.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           41   60   +7      67.27     2.97     7.62     0.00     0.00    33.23     9.57P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   55   -5      61.72     2.93    -5.24     0.00     0.00     1.65     0.35P    0.07R    0.00  
Derby            41   54   +3      60.76     2.93     2.82     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.12P    0.46R    0.00  
Burnley          41   54   +1      60.65     2.95     0.65     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.10P    0.35R    0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -4      60.60     2.91    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.65R    0.00  
Birmingham       42   54   -6      60.46     2.68    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.49R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   53   -8      59.21     2.93    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.85R    0.01  
Ipswich          41   53  -15      58.98     2.90   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.75R    0.00  
Millwall         40   52   -6      60.25     3.28    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.12P    1.94R    0.01  
Leeds_United     41   52  -10      58.29     2.92   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    4.72R    0.01  
Blackpool        41   51   +2      58.55     2.94     3.01     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    2.63R    0.01  
Barnsley         41   49  -10      55.23     2.90   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.23R    0.67  
Wolverhampton    41   48   -9      55.04     2.93    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.75R    0.74  
Huddersfield     41   48  -26      53.66     2.87   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.53R    3.89  
Blackburn        40   47   -7      55.56     3.24    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.73R    0.67  
Peterborough     41   47   -8      53.24     2.95    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.55R    2.36  
Bristol_City     41   40  -18      45.79     2.87   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.28R   91.64  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 April 2013, Crewe 0 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       43   78  +17      82.51     2.27    17.59    49.33    74.59   100.00    80.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   76  +18      80.72     2.27    18.94    22.95    54.09    99.97    64.21P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   74  +15      79.93     2.57    15.68    16.44    35.62    99.33    49.97P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          42   71  +14      77.28     2.66    15.19     2.31    10.05    91.94    23.32P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   70  +16      78.36     2.94    18.16     8.82    23.69    94.83    45.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         42   68  +31      74.94     2.54    33.13     0.15     1.95    80.71    28.23P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   66  +12      70.54     2.24    12.63     0.00     0.00     8.06     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         43   66   +9      70.94     2.28    10.22     0.00     0.00     9.38     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   64  +16      70.86     2.62    18.04     0.00     0.00    13.52     4.15P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        43   64  +10      68.56     2.29    10.65     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   64   +4      67.83     2.21     3.60     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    42   61   -1      66.57     2.62    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   58   +9      62.37     2.25     9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           41   58   -6      63.00     2.79    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   54   +5      59.14     2.60     4.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       43   54  -10      57.46     2.18   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        43   54  -17      57.80     2.23   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      42   48   -5      53.51     2.64    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Colchester      42   47  -19      51.63     2.56   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.64R    0.00  
Oldham          41   41  -15      47.22     2.90   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.73R    0.06  
Scunthorpe      42   41  -26      45.24     2.49   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.07R    0.58  
Portsmouth      43   39  -19      42.40     2.18   -19.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.20R    2.26  
Hartlepool      43   36  -29      38.94     2.07   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   47.86  
Bury            42   34  -29      38.71     2.57   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.24R   49.24  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 April 2013, Accrington_Stanley 2 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           43   82  +29      87.30     2.21    30.81    98.73   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   75  +35      79.91     2.29    36.19     1.27    98.61   100.00    99.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   70   +5      73.74     2.23     4.42     0.00    25.36    98.94    38.65P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          42   68   +9      73.68     2.56     9.18     0.00    33.06    97.77    47.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   68   +5      71.91     2.23     4.73     0.00     8.79    87.98    28.83P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   67   +9      73.17     2.63     9.99     0.00    28.95    95.03    47.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   64  +12      69.43     2.60    11.99     0.00     5.03    63.74    20.38P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   63   +6      67.39     2.26     6.44     0.00     0.12    26.75     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   60  +10      66.49     2.62    11.43     0.00     0.08    25.32     8.68P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   60   +2      63.74     2.22     1.47     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   58   -8      61.66     2.20    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   57   +6      63.75     2.62     7.88     0.00     0.00     2.80     0.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   57   +0      61.39     2.29     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   56   -8      59.96     2.25    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   -5      57.46     1.78    -5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   55  -10      60.82     2.64    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   51   -4      55.46     2.26    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -15      53.54     1.83   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.48R    0.14  
Plymouth             42   49   -7      53.45     2.51    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.17R    0.79  
Barnet               43   48  -10      51.27     2.15   -11.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.86R    6.56  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -23      51.02     2.10   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.51R   12.74  
Torquay              43   46  -10      50.61     2.26    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.88R   11.17  
York                 43   46  -14      49.04     2.13   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.30R   38.92  
Aldershot            42   45  -14      49.74     2.53   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.53R   29.64  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 April 2013, Luton 1 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          43   89  +39      93.74     2.31    39.95    85.88   100.00    89.63P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   87  +37      90.21     1.74    37.79    14.07   100.00    37.21P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     43   81  +26      85.11     2.22    26.03     0.05   100.00    14.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   79  +31      84.09     2.21    32.51     0.00   100.00    35.35P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   77  +28      80.41     1.87    29.00     0.00   100.00    22.83P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           43   66   +7      70.89     2.29     8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       43   65  +17      70.24     2.27    18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   60   +4      65.45     2.24     6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           43   60   +3      63.99     2.23     2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       44   60   -5      62.99     1.87    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   59   -7      62.65     2.27    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     43   59  -11      62.06     2.12   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      44   57   -4      59.03     1.75    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   56   -1      59.19     1.79    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        44   55   -6      57.78     1.86    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           44   51  -11      53.51     1.82   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Southport          44   51  -13      52.99     1.76   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   51  -14      54.80     2.26   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Gateshead          43   50   -5      54.47     2.24    -4.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   50  -12      52.94     1.85   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Stockport          43   49  -14      52.20     2.15   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.60R    0.00  
Barrow             44   46  -36      48.07     1.75   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.37R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   38  -28      42.69     2.51   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R    0.98  
AFC_Telford        44   32  -25      34.15     1.79   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.02