Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 11 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 April 2013, Man_Utd 1 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       31   77  +38      91.52     3.24    46.14    99.14   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      31   65  +30      80.51     3.05    39.93     0.86    97.71    99.72    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       31   58  +28      69.76     3.42    31.21     0.00     1.17    41.53    74.06    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.82     3.15    17.41     0.00     0.23    16.27    43.51    98.62     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       31   56  +27      69.60     3.37    33.64     0.00     0.90    41.28    76.61    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Everton       31   52  +12      62.28     3.35    12.93     0.00     0.00     1.15     5.11    68.11     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     32   49  +19      59.45     3.22    22.38     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.72    34.49     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.49     3.07    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.50     2.96    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        31   39   -4      47.90     3.46    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00R    0.00  
Southampton   32   37   -7      44.70     3.17    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
West_Ham      31   37   -9      45.08     3.27   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Newcastle     32   36  -14      43.64     3.24   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Norwich       32   35  -19      41.55     2.92   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.31R    0.00  
Stoke         32   34  -11      40.88     3.05   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   32   33  -24      39.22     3.01   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.22R    0.04  
Sunderland    32   31  -11      38.62     3.17   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.60R    0.06  
Wigan         31   31  -20      37.37     3.11   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.53R    0.30  
QPR           32   24  -23      29.74     2.93   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.51R   40.37  
Reading       32   23  -27      28.80     2.98   -31.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.16R   59.22  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2013, Cardiff 1 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          41   80  +24      88.24     2.95    26.05    93.06    99.31   100.00    99.53P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   74  +11      81.61     2.93    12.14     5.80    70.49   100.00    77.59P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   71  +25      78.73     3.01    26.32     1.14    29.17    99.99    48.42P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   66  +13      73.00     2.96    13.28     0.00     0.94    92.91    19.60P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   63   +8      69.66     2.90     7.74     0.00     0.04    60.88    13.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   62  +16      69.46     2.97    16.87     0.00     0.04    66.01    16.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   60  +22      67.78     2.97    23.36     0.00     0.01    45.75    15.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           41   60   +7      67.25     2.94     7.58     0.00     0.00    31.02     9.17P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   55   -5      61.74     2.93    -5.21     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.26P    0.07R    0.00  
Derby            41   54   +3      60.74     2.94     2.81     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.10P    0.44R    0.00  
Burnley          41   54   +1      60.64     2.95     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.09P    0.30R    0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -4      60.55     2.89    -4.44     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.67R    0.00  
Birmingham       41   53   -6      60.46     2.97    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.08P    0.94R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   53   -8      59.18     2.94    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    2.86R    0.00  
Ipswich          41   53  -15      58.97     2.88   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.63R    0.00  
Millwall         40   52   -6      60.26     3.26    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.11P    1.81R    0.01  
Leeds_United     41   52  -10      58.29     2.91   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    4.75R    0.01  
Blackpool        41   51   +2      58.54     2.94     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    2.51R    0.00  
Barnsley         41   49  -10      55.21     2.91   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.45R    0.70  
Wolverhampton    41   48   -9      55.05     2.94    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.57R    0.74  
Huddersfield     41   48  -26      53.64     2.85   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.61R    3.83  
Blackburn        40   47   -7      55.58     3.25    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.02R    0.73  
Peterborough     41   47   -8      53.27     2.96    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.11R    2.31  
Bristol_City     41   40  -18      45.81     2.87   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.26R   91.66  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 April 2013, Crewe 0 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       43   78  +17      82.54     2.27    17.64    49.20    75.27   100.00    80.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   76  +18      80.72     2.27    18.95    22.83    53.66    99.98    63.94P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   74  +15      79.93     2.59    15.66    16.73    35.60    99.34    49.81P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          42   71  +14      77.30     2.65    15.23     2.46    10.07    91.94    23.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   70  +16      78.33     2.94    18.12     8.62    23.44    94.81    45.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         42   68  +31      74.95     2.54    33.15     0.16     1.97    80.69    28.34P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   66  +12      70.52     2.23    12.59     0.00     0.00     7.59     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         43   66   +9      70.98     2.27    10.29     0.00     0.00     9.74     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   64  +16      70.91     2.60    18.09     0.00     0.00    13.78     4.09P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        43   64  +10      68.57     2.28    10.66     0.00     0.00     1.31     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   64   +4      67.83     2.20     3.60     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    42   61   -1      66.57     2.62    -0.88     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   58   +9      62.34     2.24     9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           41   58   -6      62.94     2.76    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   54   +5      59.17     2.57     4.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       43   54  -10      57.45     2.17   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        43   54  -17      57.82     2.25   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      42   48   -5      53.49     2.63    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Colchester      42   47  -19      51.63     2.55   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.00  
Oldham          41   41  -15      47.22     2.88   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.13R    0.05  
Scunthorpe      42   41  -26      45.20     2.47   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.70R    0.62  
Portsmouth      43   39  -19      42.41     2.18   -19.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.07R    2.33  
Hartlepool      43   36  -29      38.95     2.09   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   47.57  
Bury            42   34  -29      38.70     2.57   -30.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.33R   49.43  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 April 2013, Rochdale 4 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           43   82  +29      87.29     2.21    30.79    98.80   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   75  +35      79.95     2.29    36.25     1.20    98.73   100.00    99.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   70   +5      73.77     2.23     4.45     0.00    25.54    98.97    38.92P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          42   68   +9      73.67     2.55     9.14     0.00    32.68    97.68    46.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   68   +5      71.92     2.23     4.75     0.00     8.92    87.89    29.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   67   +9      73.18     2.63    10.02     0.00    28.91    95.23    47.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   64  +12      69.43     2.60    11.98     0.00     5.01    63.62    20.38P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   63   +6      67.37     2.27     6.40     0.00     0.12    26.65     8.47P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   60  +10      66.49     2.62    11.43     0.00     0.09    25.27     8.92P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   60   +2      63.76     2.23     1.49     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   58   -8      61.73     2.21    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   57   +6      63.72     2.63     7.82     0.00     0.00     2.95     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   57   +0      61.36     2.29     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   56   -8      59.95     2.27    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   -3      58.83     2.23    -3.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   55  -10      60.78     2.65    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   51   -4      55.45     2.25    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Plymouth             42   49   -7      53.42     2.52    -8.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.64R    0.69  
Barnet               43   48  -10      51.28     2.15   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.47R    5.97  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -17      51.91     2.26   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.09R    5.73  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -23      51.04     2.11   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.23R   12.09  
Torquay              43   46  -10      50.56     2.25    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.94R   10.78  
York                 43   46  -14      49.06     2.14   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.12R   36.74  
Aldershot            42   45  -14      49.75     2.54   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.32R   28.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 11 April 2013, Alfreton_Town 3 0 Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          43   89  +39      93.70     2.30    39.91    85.93   100.00    89.64P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   87  +37      90.20     1.74    37.76    14.02   100.00    37.19P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     43   81  +26      85.11     2.21    26.02     0.04   100.00    14.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   79  +31      84.11     2.21    32.54     0.00   100.00    35.60P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            43   76  +28      80.71     2.28    28.90     0.00   100.00    22.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           43   66   +7      70.91     2.28     8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       43   65  +17      70.26     2.28    18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           43   60   +3      63.96     2.23     2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       44   60   -5      63.00     1.87    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   59   +4      65.91     2.63     6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   59   -7      62.65     2.25    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     43   59  -11      62.05     2.13   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      44   57   -4      59.03     1.76    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   56   -1      59.16     1.80    -0.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        44   55   -6      57.78     1.86    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           44   51  -11      53.52     1.82   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Southport          44   51  -13      52.99     1.76   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   51  -14      54.78     2.28   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Gateshead          43   50   -5      54.48     2.24    -4.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   50  -12      52.92     1.85   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.08R    0.00  
Stockport          43   49  -14      52.24     2.16   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.69R    0.00  
Barrow             44   46  -36      48.09     1.76   -37.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.15R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   38  -28      42.69     2.52   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R    1.07  
AFC_Telford        44   32  -25      34.14     1.79   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.93