Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 April 2013, Man_Utd 1 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       31   77  +38      91.50     3.25    46.11    99.19   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      31   65  +30      80.53     3.05    39.93     0.81    97.67    99.74    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       31   58  +28      69.82     3.43    31.29     0.00     1.21    42.42    74.52    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.80     3.16    17.37     0.00     0.20    15.93    43.37    98.47     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       31   56  +27      69.57     3.38    33.62     0.00     0.92    40.64    76.25    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Everton       31   52  +12      62.27     3.36    12.88     0.00     0.00     1.21     5.16    67.66     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     32   49  +19      59.49     3.21    22.47     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.73    35.04     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.50     3.09    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.50     2.96    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        31   39   -4      47.88     3.43    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton   32   37   -7      44.73     3.17    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
West_Ham      31   37   -9      45.08     3.28   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Newcastle     32   36  -14      43.59     3.23   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Norwich       32   35  -19      41.61     2.93   -22.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.03R    0.00  
Stoke         32   34  -11      40.86     3.09   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.44R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   32   33  -24      39.20     3.00   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.25R    0.03  
Sunderland    32   31  -11      38.63     3.14   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.57R    0.04  
Wigan         31   31  -20      37.37     3.11   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.55R    0.35  
QPR           32   24  -23      29.75     2.93   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.43R   39.98  
Reading       32   23  -27      28.75     2.99   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.21R   59.60  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2013, Cardiff 1 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          41   80  +24      88.23     2.95    26.02    93.25    99.40   100.00    99.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   74  +11      81.57     2.94    12.10     5.73    70.94   100.00    77.98P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   71  +25      78.68     2.99    26.24     1.03    28.64    99.98    47.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   66  +13      73.00     2.96    13.27     0.00     0.93    93.06    20.05P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   63   +8      69.64     2.88     7.71     0.00     0.05    60.89    13.12P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   62  +16      69.43     2.98    16.85     0.00     0.02    65.32    16.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   60  +22      67.77     2.99    23.37     0.00     0.01    45.96    14.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           41   60   +7      67.24     2.96     7.56     0.00     0.00    31.14     9.12P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   55   -5      61.76     2.94    -5.18     0.00     0.00     1.56     0.31P    0.06R    0.00  
Derby            41   54   +3      60.78     2.95     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    0.43R    0.00  
Burnley          41   54   +1      60.63     2.94     0.64     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.10P    0.32R    0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -4      60.58     2.91    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.64R    0.00  
Birmingham       41   53   -6      60.47     2.95    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.09P    0.89R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   53   -8      59.19     2.91    -9.10     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.87R    0.00  
Ipswich          41   53  -15      58.98     2.89   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    2.45R    0.00  
Millwall         40   52   -6      60.28     3.27    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    1.87R    0.00  
Leeds_United     41   52  -10      58.30     2.89   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    4.73R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   51   +2      58.56     2.96     3.04     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    2.62R    0.00  
Barnsley         41   49  -10      55.24     2.90   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.98R    0.67  
Wolverhampton    41   48   -9      55.03     2.92    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.58R    0.77  
Huddersfield     41   48  -26      53.67     2.86   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.48R    3.85  
Blackburn        40   47   -7      55.52     3.24    -6.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.57R    0.73  
Peterborough     41   47   -8      53.27     2.96    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.25R    2.43  
Bristol_City     41   40  -18      45.84     2.87   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.26R   91.54  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 April 2013, Crewe 0 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       43   78  +17      82.51     2.26    17.60    49.35    74.70   100.00    80.50P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   76  +18      80.70     2.27    18.91    22.79    53.85    99.98    64.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   74  +15      79.92     2.58    15.67    16.57    35.63    99.34    49.75P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          42   71  +14      77.27     2.66    15.19     2.50    10.21    91.82    23.18P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   70  +16      78.33     2.93    18.12     8.60    23.48    94.76    46.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         42   68  +31      74.96     2.55    33.16     0.19     2.13    80.75    28.18P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   66  +12      70.54     2.23    12.63     0.00     0.00     7.85     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         43   66   +9      70.96     2.27    10.25     0.00     0.00     9.53     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   64  +16      70.88     2.61    18.04     0.00     0.00    13.77     4.17P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        43   64  +10      68.61     2.28    10.71     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   64   +4      67.81     2.20     3.59     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    42   61   -1      66.52     2.64    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   58   +9      62.36     2.24     9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           41   58   -6      62.98     2.76    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   54   +5      59.16     2.59     4.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       43   54  -10      57.46     2.18   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        43   54  -17      57.82     2.24   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      42   48   -5      53.51     2.62    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Colchester      42   47  -19      51.58     2.54   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58R    0.00  
Oldham          41   41  -15      47.25     2.90   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.35R    0.04  
Scunthorpe      42   41  -26      45.22     2.48   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.60R    0.60  
Portsmouth      43   39  -19      42.42     2.18   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.99R    2.32  
Hartlepool      43   36  -29      38.96     2.09   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   47.54  
Bury            42   34  -29      38.71     2.56   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.36R   49.50  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 April 2013, Rochdale 4 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           43   82  +29      87.29     2.22    30.80    98.72   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   75  +35      79.92     2.29    36.22     1.28    98.58   100.00    99.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   70   +5      73.76     2.23     4.44     0.00    25.61    98.97    38.80P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          42   68   +9      73.66     2.54     9.15     0.00    32.38    97.72    46.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   68   +5      71.92     2.23     4.76     0.00     8.86    87.89    29.11P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   67   +9      73.19     2.63    10.01     0.00    29.36    94.97    47.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   64  +12      69.41     2.60    11.96     0.00     4.99    63.31    20.02P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   63   +6      67.39     2.28     6.43     0.00     0.14    27.05     8.34P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   60  +10      66.51     2.62    11.45     0.00     0.08    25.56     8.87P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   60   +2      63.74     2.23     1.46     0.00     0.00     1.54     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   58   -8      61.69     2.19    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   57   +6      63.76     2.64     7.88     0.00     0.00     2.94     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   57   +0      61.35     2.28     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   56   -8      59.97     2.27    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   -3      58.83     2.24    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   55  -10      60.81     2.65    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   51   -4      55.46     2.25    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.02  
Plymouth             42   49   -7      53.44     2.53    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.46R    0.69  
Barnet               43   48  -10      51.31     2.17   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.87R    5.62  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -17      51.92     2.26   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.84R    5.65  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -23      51.03     2.11   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.25R   12.16  
Torquay              43   46  -10      50.57     2.25    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.05R   10.76  
York                 43   46  -14      49.04     2.12   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.51R   36.76  
Aldershot            42   45  -14      49.70     2.53   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.84R   28.34  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2013, Alfreton_Town 4 0 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          43   89  +39      93.75     2.30    40.00    86.25   100.00    90.19P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   87  +37      90.19     1.76    37.74    13.73   100.00    37.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   79  +31      84.11     2.19    32.56     0.00   100.00    35.17P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   78  +23      83.70     2.59    23.35     0.02   100.00    14.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            43   76  +28      80.68     2.28    28.88     0.00   100.00    22.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           43   66   +7      70.87     2.29     8.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       43   65  +17      70.27     2.27    18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       43   60   -2      64.17     2.28    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   59   +4      65.93     2.62     6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           42   59   +3      64.65     2.63     3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   59   -7      62.62     2.26    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     42   58  -11      62.13     2.49   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   56   -1      59.13     1.80    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        44   55   -6      57.80     1.86    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      43   54   -7      57.59     2.21    -7.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           44   51  -11      53.52     1.83   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   51  -11      56.05     2.64   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Southport          44   51  -13      52.99     1.76   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.04R    0.00  
Gateshead          43   50   -5      54.48     2.24    -4.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   50  -12      52.89     1.85   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.00  
Stockport          43   49  -14      52.24     2.15   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.70R    0.00  
Barrow             44   46  -36      48.11     1.75   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.19R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   38  -28      42.65     2.51   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R    0.98  
AFC_Telford        44   32  -25      34.16     1.79   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.02