Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 April 2013, Man_Utd 1 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       31   77  +38      91.47     3.25    46.05    99.12   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      31   65  +30      80.52     3.04    39.95     0.88    97.59    99.67    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       31   58  +28      69.83     3.44    31.31     0.00     1.23    42.56    74.65    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.79     3.17    17.35     0.00     0.20    15.73    43.00    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       31   56  +27      69.61     3.36    33.65     0.00     0.97    40.86    76.37    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Everton       31   52  +12      62.28     3.34    12.91     0.00     0.00     1.12     5.27    67.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     32   49  +19      59.48     3.21    22.40     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.73    34.55     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.49     3.07    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.47     2.97    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        31   39   -4      47.88     3.43    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton   32   37   -7      44.76     3.20    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
West_Ham      31   37   -9      45.13     3.28   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Newcastle     32   36  -14      43.62     3.27   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.00  
Norwich       32   35  -19      41.62     2.93   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.00R    0.01  
Stoke         32   34  -11      40.88     3.05   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.99R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   32   33  -24      39.19     2.99   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.26R    0.04  
Sunderland    32   31  -11      38.61     3.15   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.58R    0.07  
Wigan         31   31  -20      37.35     3.12   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.70R    0.29  
QPR           32   24  -23      29.73     2.92   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.57R   39.91  
Reading       32   23  -27      28.75     2.97   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.26R   59.68  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2013, Cardiff 1 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          41   80  +24      88.22     2.94    25.99    93.27    99.48   100.00    99.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   74  +11      81.57     2.92    12.11     5.73    70.20   100.00    77.25P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   71  +25      78.69     3.00    26.26     0.99    29.24    99.99    48.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   66  +13      72.99     2.95    13.26     0.00     1.01    93.01    19.50P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   63   +8      69.62     2.89     7.69     0.00     0.03    60.49    13.25P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   62  +16      69.45     2.98    16.89     0.00     0.03    65.91    17.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   60  +22      67.77     2.98    23.36     0.00     0.01    45.98    14.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           41   60   +7      67.26     2.96     7.61     0.00     0.00    31.21     9.15P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   55   -5      61.72     2.94    -5.23     0.00     0.00     1.38     0.27P    0.09R    0.00  
Derby            41   54   +3      60.72     2.93     2.78     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P    0.43R    0.00  
Burnley          41   54   +1      60.66     2.95     0.66     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.33R    0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -4      60.58     2.90    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.57R    0.00  
Birmingham       41   53   -6      60.46     2.97    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.08P    0.93R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   53   -8      59.17     2.91    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    2.99R    0.00  
Ipswich          41   53  -15      58.98     2.90   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    2.56R    0.00  
Millwall         40   52   -6      60.30     3.25    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.08P    1.85R    0.00  
Leeds_United     41   52  -10      58.30     2.90   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    4.53R    0.01  
Blackpool        41   51   +2      58.59     2.95     3.07     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    2.42R    0.00  
Barnsley         41   49  -10      55.28     2.92   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.79R    0.71  
Wolverhampton    41   48   -9      55.02     2.93    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.88R    0.74  
Huddersfield     41   48  -26      53.64     2.85   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.85R    3.95  
Blackburn        40   47   -7      55.61     3.26    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.87R    0.71  
Peterborough     41   47   -8      53.25     2.93    -9.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.63R    2.38  
Bristol_City     41   40  -18      45.81     2.87   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.29R   91.48  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2013, Doncaster 0 2 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       43   78  +17      82.53     2.26    17.61    53.00    79.06   100.00    83.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   76  +18      80.70     2.26    18.90    24.87    58.19    99.96    67.41P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          42   71  +14      77.25     2.67    15.16     3.08    11.70    92.12    24.96P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   71  +13      78.42     2.92    13.86     9.36    22.21    95.31    38.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   70  +16      78.35     2.93    18.14     9.44    26.14    94.90    47.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         42   68  +31      74.92     2.55    33.08     0.25     2.70    80.70    28.57P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   66  +12      70.54     2.24    12.62     0.00     0.00     8.66     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         43   66   +9      70.91     2.28    10.19     0.00     0.00    10.46     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   64  +16      70.90     2.61    18.07     0.00     0.00    15.18     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        43   64  +10      68.59     2.28    10.69     0.00     0.00     1.56     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   64   +4      67.80     2.20     3.55     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    42   61   -1      66.57     2.62    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   58   +9      62.35     2.25     9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           40   58   -4      64.20     3.09    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   54   +5      59.16     2.58     4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       43   54  -10      57.46     2.17   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        43   54  -17      57.82     2.24   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      42   48   -5      53.49     2.63    -4.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Colchester      42   47  -19      51.61     2.54   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.76R    0.00  
Oldham          41   41  -15      47.25     2.91   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.45R    0.07  
Scunthorpe      42   41  -26      45.23     2.49   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.25R    0.66  
Portsmouth      43   39  -19      42.44     2.18   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.23R    2.25  
Hartlepool      43   36  -29      38.97     2.09   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   47.92  
Bury            42   34  -29      38.76     2.58   -30.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R   49.10  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2013, Bradford 4 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           43   82  +29      87.27     2.22    30.76    98.77   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   75  +35      79.93     2.29    36.22     1.23    98.62   100.00    99.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   70   +5      73.78     2.24     4.47     0.00    25.78    98.63    38.72P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          42   68   +9      73.69     2.56     9.18     0.00    32.76    97.30    46.76P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   68   +5      71.92     2.24     4.74     0.00     8.75    86.69    28.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   67   +9      73.19     2.64    10.01     0.00    28.89    94.39    47.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   64  +12      69.43     2.59    12.00     0.00     4.94    61.60    19.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   63   +6      67.41     2.27     6.45     0.00     0.11    25.51     8.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   60  +10      66.47     2.62    11.40     0.00     0.09    23.17     8.03P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   60   +2      63.74     2.23     1.48     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   58   -8      61.68     2.19    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   57   +8      65.15     2.96     9.90     0.00     0.06    11.21     3.90P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   56   -8      59.98     2.27    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   -3      58.78     2.22    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   55  -10      60.78     2.64    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   54   -2      59.72     2.67    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   51   -4      55.45     2.26    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.01  
Plymouth             42   49   -7      53.46     2.54    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.36R    0.67  
Barnet               43   48  -10      51.29     2.17   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.29R    5.87  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -17      51.93     2.27   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.82R    5.46  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -23      51.02     2.11   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.47R   12.33  
Torquay              43   46  -10      50.59     2.25    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.78R   10.56  
York                 43   46  -14      49.03     2.13   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.62R   37.13  
Aldershot            42   45  -14      49.73     2.53   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.49R   27.98  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2013, Alfreton_Town 4 0 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          43   89  +39      93.73     2.30    39.94    85.90   100.00    89.75P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   87  +37      90.21     1.76    37.78    14.09   100.00    37.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   79  +31      84.11     2.21    32.55     0.00   100.00    35.68P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   78  +23      83.68     2.60    23.32     0.01   100.00    14.21P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            43   76  +28      80.74     2.27    28.92     0.00   100.00    22.45P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           43   66   +7      70.86     2.29     8.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       43   65  +17      70.24     2.27    18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       43   60   -2      64.17     2.28    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   59   +4      65.92     2.61     6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           42   59   +3      64.69     2.63     3.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   59   -7      62.58     2.26    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     42   58  -11      62.13     2.49   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   56   -1      59.16     1.79    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        44   55   -6      57.79     1.87    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      43   54   -7      57.62     2.22    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           44   51  -11      53.50     1.81   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   51  -11      56.04     2.64   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Southport          44   51  -13      53.00     1.76   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.04R    0.00  
Gateshead          43   50   -5      54.48     2.23    -4.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   50  -12      52.91     1.86   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.00  
Stockport          43   49  -14      52.23     2.15   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.72R    0.00  
Barrow             44   46  -36      48.10     1.75   -37.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.23R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   38  -28      42.64     2.53   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R    1.09  
AFC_Telford        44   32  -25      34.15     1.78   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.91