Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 8 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 April 2013, Man_Utd 1 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       31   77  +38      91.54     3.24    46.14    99.15   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      31   65  +30      80.54     3.04    39.98     0.85    97.66    99.70    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       31   58  +28      69.79     3.45    31.23     0.00     1.21    42.00    74.32    99.19     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.81     3.17    17.38     0.00     0.22    16.05    43.29    98.51     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       31   56  +27      69.59     3.36    33.63     0.00     0.91    41.02    76.52    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Everton       31   52  +12      62.29     3.33    12.92     0.00     0.00     1.18     5.18    68.23     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     32   49  +19      59.46     3.22    22.39     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.73    34.46     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.49     3.08    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.50     2.97    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        31   39   -4      47.88     3.45    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00R    0.00  
Southampton   32   37   -7      44.73     3.19    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
West_Ham      31   37   -9      45.06     3.28   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Newcastle     32   36  -14      43.64     3.24   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Norwich       32   35  -19      41.58     2.93   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.84R    0.00  
Stoke         32   34  -11      40.87     3.07   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.30R    0.01  
Aston_Villa   32   33  -24      39.19     3.00   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.47R    0.03  
Sunderland    32   31  -11      38.62     3.15   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.33R    0.05  
Wigan         31   31  -20      37.35     3.11   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.95R    0.33  
QPR           32   24  -23      29.74     2.93   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.40R   40.44  
Reading       32   23  -27      28.81     2.98   -31.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.17R   59.14  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          40   79  +24      89.37     3.22    27.18    95.29    99.55   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   74  +11      81.59     2.93    12.12     3.99    70.85   100.00    78.05P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   71  +25      78.68     2.98    26.24     0.71    28.53    99.99    48.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   66  +13      73.01     2.94    13.27     0.00     0.98    92.78    20.15P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   63   +8      69.60     2.89     7.65     0.00     0.05    60.18    12.84P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   62  +16      69.42     2.99    16.82     0.00     0.04    64.69    16.40P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   60  +22      67.78     2.98    23.39     0.00     0.00    45.98    14.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           41   60   +7      67.26     2.94     7.61     0.00     0.00    30.65     8.86P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   55   -5      61.77     2.94    -5.14     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.30P    0.08R    0.00  
Derby            41   54   +3      60.75     2.94     2.81     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.10P    0.34R    0.00  
Burnley          41   54   +1      60.64     2.94     0.62     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.09P    0.24R    0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -4      60.57     2.90    -4.44     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.45R    0.00  
Birmingham       41   53   -6      60.46     2.98    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.08P    0.68R    0.00  
Ipswich          41   53  -15      58.99     2.89   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.28R    0.00  
Millwall         39   52   -5      61.99     3.54    -4.38     0.00     0.00     2.60     0.57P    0.69R    0.00  
Leeds_United     41   52  -10      58.32     2.92   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    4.12R    0.01  
Blackpool        41   51   +2      58.59     2.95     3.07     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.23R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        40   50   -9      57.15     3.20   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   12.40R    0.18  
Wolverhampton    41   48   -9      55.03     2.93    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.54R    0.68  
Barnsley         40   48  -10      54.90     3.12   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.07R    1.24  
Huddersfield     41   48  -26      53.63     2.86   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.25R    3.86  
Blackburn        40   47   -7      55.58     3.23    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.05R    0.71  
Peterborough     41   47   -8      53.27     2.97    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.45R    2.30  
Bristol_City     41   40  -18      45.82     2.88   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.14R   91.02  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, Bournemouth 3 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       42   78  +19      84.56     2.63    20.62    67.64    87.84   100.00    90.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   76  +18      80.73     2.26    18.96    10.44    40.58    99.99    54.10P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          42   71  +14      77.22     2.65    15.10     0.82     5.86    92.72    19.96P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   71  +13      78.41     2.92    13.83     4.56    14.76    95.54    32.86P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   70  +18      80.49     3.20    21.29    15.70    44.62    98.70    62.15P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   68  +33      76.28     2.88    35.11     0.84     6.34    89.70    34.88P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   66  +12      70.56     2.23    12.65     0.00     0.00     7.09     1.45P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         43   66   +9      70.93     2.27    10.21     0.00     0.00     8.42     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        43   64  +10      68.59     2.28    10.71     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   64   +4      67.82     2.20     3.59     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         41   61  +14      69.19     2.92    16.00     0.00     0.00     5.95     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   58   +9      62.34     2.23     9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    41   58   -3      64.19     2.87    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           40   58   -4      64.16     3.08    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       43   54  -10      57.49     2.17   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   51   +3      57.84     2.93     2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        42   51  -19      55.56     2.52   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      42   48   -5      53.53     2.63    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Colchester      42   47  -19      51.65     2.55   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.90R    0.00  
Oldham          40   41  -13      48.39     3.20   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.66R    0.03  
Scunthorpe      42   41  -26      45.21     2.47   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.49R    0.58  
Portsmouth      43   39  -19      42.38     2.18   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.20R    2.51  
Hartlepool      43   36  -29      38.98     2.09   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   47.56  
Bury            42   34  -29      38.73     2.57   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.54R   49.32  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, Barnet 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           43   82  +29      87.30     2.22    30.81    95.39   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   74  +35      80.96     2.62    37.19     4.61    99.52   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          42   68   +9      73.61     2.56     9.08     0.00    42.59    97.66    54.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   68   +5      71.91     2.24     4.73     0.00    13.44    89.07    31.94P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   67   +3      72.25     2.62     2.59     0.00    17.76    89.88    30.23P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   64   +6      71.58     2.97     7.07     0.00    18.99    82.47    35.90P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               42   63   +9      68.73     2.63     9.39     0.00     3.68    52.61    19.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   61   +9      68.00     2.94     9.30     0.00     3.59    43.40    13.61P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   60  +10      66.49     2.61    11.41     0.00     0.29    26.75     9.33P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   60   +2      63.80     2.24     1.56     0.00     0.00     2.45     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   58   -5      62.88     2.56    -5.91     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   57   +8      65.12     2.95     9.84     0.00     0.12    13.23     4.66P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   56   -8      59.98     2.27    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   -3      58.82     2.22    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   55   -8      62.17     2.97    -7.57     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   54   -2      59.70     2.66    -1.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   51   -4      55.46     2.26    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.01  
Plymouth             42   49   -7      53.46     2.52    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.15R    0.54  
Barnet               43   48  -10      51.29     2.17   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.14R    5.13  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -17      51.87     2.26   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.70R    5.24  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -23      50.98     2.09   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.42R   11.17  
Torquay              43   46  -10      50.53     2.26    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.69R   10.25  
York                 43   46  -14      49.05     2.14   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.89R   33.78  
Aldershot            41   44  -14      49.45     2.80   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.84R   33.88  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 2 Dartford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      44   87  +37      90.21     1.76    37.77    25.80   100.00    46.42P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          42   86  +37      92.63     2.66    38.74    73.91   100.00    81.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   76  +30      83.04     2.55    32.35     0.22    99.95    35.53P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   75  +22      82.61     2.93    23.21     0.08    99.71    14.58P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            42   73  +27      79.31     2.65    28.24     0.00    97.57    21.88P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       42   65  +18      71.87     2.64    20.05     0.00     2.64     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           42   63   +6      68.98     2.64     6.73     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       42   60   +0      65.14     2.61    -0.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           41   59   +4      65.82     2.95     3.97     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   59   -7      62.60     2.26    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     41   58  -10      63.02     2.80   -13.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   56   +1      64.71     2.95     3.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   56   +0      59.92     2.14    -0.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        43   52   -7      56.52     2.30    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      42   51  -11      56.25     2.60   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   51  -11      56.03     2.62   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Southport          44   51  -13      52.99     1.75   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.05R    0.00  
Gateshead          42   50   -3      56.24     2.62    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       43   50   -9      53.84     2.22    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.36R    0.00  
Stockport          43   49  -14      52.23     2.15   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.46R    0.00  
Nuneaton           43   48  -13      51.49     2.20   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.08R    0.00  
Barrow             43   46  -32      49.20     2.19   -33.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.87R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   38  -27      43.71     2.85   -29.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.73R    0.50  
AFC_Telford        44   32  -25      34.17     1.78   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.50