Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 7 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 April 2013, Chelsea 2 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       30   77  +39      93.26     3.53    47.70    99.68   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      30   62  +29      78.52     3.33    38.30     0.32    92.69    98.57    99.77   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       31   58  +28      69.84     3.43    31.31     0.00     3.55    42.99    74.77    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.81     3.16    17.41     0.00     0.86    16.07    43.05    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       31   56  +27      69.59     3.35    33.62     0.00     2.89    41.19    76.56    99.44     0.00     0.00  
Everton       31   52  +12      62.25     3.34    12.88     0.00     0.02     1.12     5.16    68.28     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     32   49  +19      59.42     3.22    22.31     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.70    34.28     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.45     3.08    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.47     2.97    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        31   39   -4      47.89     3.44    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton   32   37   -7      44.77     3.17    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
West_Ham      31   37   -9      45.11     3.27   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Newcastle     32   36  -14      43.61     3.24   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14R    0.00  
Norwich       32   35  -19      41.58     2.92   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.03R    0.00  
Stoke         32   34  -11      40.85     3.07   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.21R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   32   33  -24      39.21     2.99   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.37R    0.03  
Sunderland    32   31  -11      38.66     3.16   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.27R    0.04  
Wigan         31   31  -20      37.37     3.11   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.82R    0.30  
QPR           32   24  -23      29.75     2.93   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.47R   40.28  
Reading       32   23  -27      28.81     3.00   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.14R   59.35  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          40   79  +24      89.38     3.21    27.19    95.37    99.68   100.00    99.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   74  +11      81.58     2.93    12.11     3.92    70.40   100.00    77.72P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   71  +25      78.66     2.99    26.23     0.72    28.91    99.99    48.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   66  +13      73.01     2.96    13.29     0.00     0.97    92.69    20.19P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   63   +8      69.60     2.89     7.66     0.00     0.03    60.01    12.92P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   62  +16      69.46     2.96    16.88     0.00     0.01    65.54    16.63P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   60  +22      67.77     2.96    23.36     0.00     0.00    45.46    14.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           41   60   +7      67.25     2.96     7.60     0.00     0.00    30.57     8.80P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   55   -5      61.76     2.94    -5.19     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.31P    0.06R    0.00  
Derby            41   54   +3      60.73     2.95     2.79     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.13P    0.34R    0.00  
Burnley          41   54   +1      60.64     2.96     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.08P    0.29R    0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -4      60.54     2.90    -4.47     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.07P    0.47R    0.00  
Birmingham       41   53   -6      60.47     2.95    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.08P    0.66R    0.00  
Ipswich          41   53  -15      59.01     2.90   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    2.34R    0.00  
Millwall         39   52   -5      62.06     3.54    -4.30     0.00     0.00     2.72     0.57P    0.66R    0.00  
Leeds_United     41   52  -10      58.29     2.91   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    4.30R    0.01  
Blackpool        41   51   +2      58.58     2.95     3.06     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    2.24R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   50   -9      57.18     3.21   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.19R    0.15  
Wolverhampton    41   48   -9      55.01     2.93    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.44R    0.73  
Barnsley         40   48  -10      54.92     3.12   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.79R    1.13  
Huddersfield     41   48  -26      53.62     2.85   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.53R    3.85  
Blackburn        40   47   -7      55.58     3.23    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.13R    0.70  
Peterborough     41   47   -8      53.26     2.97    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.41R    2.23  
Bristol_City     41   40  -18      45.82     2.85   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.15R   91.20  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, Bournemouth 3 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       42   78  +19      84.55     2.62    20.60    67.46    87.73   100.00    90.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   76  +18      80.73     2.26    18.94    10.67    40.75    99.99    54.16P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          42   71  +14      77.23     2.67    15.14     0.91     6.21    92.60    20.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   71  +13      78.38     2.91    13.80     4.29    14.31    95.63    32.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   70  +18      80.49     3.21    21.30    15.78    44.57    98.66    62.24P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   68  +33      76.30     2.88    35.13     0.89     6.43    89.79    35.01P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   66  +12      70.54     2.22    12.62     0.00     0.00     6.77     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         43   66   +9      70.96     2.28    10.23     0.00     0.00     8.63     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        43   64  +10      68.62     2.28    10.73     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   64   +4      67.80     2.20     3.56     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         41   61  +14      69.21     2.92    16.02     0.00     0.00     6.10     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   58   +9      62.33     2.25     9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    41   58   -3      64.15     2.87    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           40   58   -4      64.12     3.08    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       43   54  -10      57.48     2.17   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   51   +3      57.89     2.91     3.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        42   51  -19      55.60     2.54   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      42   48   -5      53.49     2.63    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Colchester      42   47  -19      51.65     2.56   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15R    0.00  
Oldham          40   41  -13      48.40     3.19   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.59R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      42   41  -26      45.20     2.50   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.25R    0.64  
Portsmouth      43   39  -19      42.40     2.18   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.15R    2.47  
Hartlepool      43   36  -29      39.01     2.09   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   46.85  
Bury            42   34  -29      38.70     2.57   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.60R   50.04  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, Barnet 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           43   82  +29      87.32     2.21    30.82    95.36   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   74  +35      80.98     2.63    37.21     4.64    99.49   100.00    99.65P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          42   68   +9      73.63     2.56     9.11     0.00    42.92    97.81    54.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   68   +5      71.90     2.23     4.72     0.00    13.28    89.17    31.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   67   +3      72.24     2.63     2.60     0.00    17.59    89.57    30.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   64   +6      71.57     2.96     7.04     0.00    19.07    82.38    35.66P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               42   63   +9      68.79     2.63     9.45     0.00     3.82    53.48    19.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   61   +9      68.01     2.93     9.28     0.00     3.40    43.68    13.37P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   60  +10      66.42     2.62    11.34     0.00     0.33    25.87     9.04P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   60   +2      63.81     2.24     1.56     0.00     0.00     2.35     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   58   -5      62.88     2.57    -5.92     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   57   +8      65.10     2.94     9.82     0.00     0.10    13.18     4.55P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   56   -8      60.00     2.28    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   -3      58.83     2.24    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   55   -8      62.14     2.98    -7.62     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   54   -2      59.67     2.66    -1.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   51   -4      55.49     2.25    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.01  
Plymouth             42   49   -7      53.51     2.53    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.13R    0.52  
Barnet               43   48  -10      51.28     2.17   -11.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.45R    5.24  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -17      51.85     2.26   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.77R    5.13  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -23      50.97     2.09   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.70R   11.47  
Torquay              43   46  -10      50.54     2.26    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.39R   10.17  
York                 43   46  -14      49.04     2.13   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.93R   33.77  
Aldershot            41   44  -14      49.45     2.78   -16.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.47R   33.70  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 2 Dartford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      44   87  +37      90.21     1.75    37.77    25.95   100.00    46.33P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          42   86  +37      92.60     2.67    38.70    73.79   100.00    81.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   76  +30      83.04     2.56    32.36     0.20    99.95    35.67P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   75  +22      82.61     2.93    23.21     0.06    99.70    14.24P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            42   73  +27      79.32     2.65    28.25     0.00    97.65    22.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       42   65  +18      71.87     2.65    20.06     0.00     2.56     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           42   63   +6      69.00     2.64     6.75     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       42   60   +0      65.12     2.60    -0.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           41   59   +4      65.84     2.94     3.96     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   59   -7      62.62     2.26    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     41   58  -10      63.04     2.81   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   56   +1      64.74     2.95     3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   56   +0      59.96     2.14    -0.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        43   52   -7      56.52     2.30    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      42   51  -11      56.23     2.58   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   51  -11      56.03     2.62   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Southport          44   51  -13      52.98     1.75   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.14R    0.00  
Gateshead          42   50   -3      56.27     2.62    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       43   50   -9      53.82     2.22    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.00  
Stockport          43   49  -14      52.21     2.16   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.41R    0.00  
Nuneaton           43   48  -13      51.47     2.21   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.08R    0.00  
Barrow             43   46  -32      49.18     2.17   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.12R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   38  -27      43.73     2.85   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.59R    0.55  
AFC_Telford        44   32  -25      34.16     1.79   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.45