Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 6 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, Norwich 2 2 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       30   77  +39      93.34     3.51    47.83    99.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      30   62  +29      78.45     3.35    38.24     0.25    92.44    98.43    99.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     31   57  +15      68.57     3.45    17.97     0.00     1.88    24.27    52.83    97.63     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       31   56  +27      69.54     3.36    33.59     0.00     2.99    40.71    74.05    99.02     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       30   55  +27      68.98     3.64    31.52     0.00     2.67    34.34    64.33    97.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton       30   51  +12      62.29     3.61    12.37     0.00     0.03     1.89     6.73    59.37     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     31   48  +19      60.70     3.44    23.81     0.00     0.00     0.36     2.32    45.98     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.51     3.06    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.50     2.97    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        30   39   -3      49.14     3.72    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00R    0.00  
Southampton   32   37   -7      44.77     3.16    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
West_Ham      30   36   -9      44.67     3.46   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.00  
Norwich       32   35  -19      41.61     2.92   -22.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.26R    0.01  
Stoke         32   34  -11      40.85     3.04   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.23R    0.01  
Newcastle     31   33  -15      42.13     3.54   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.88R    0.02  
Aston_Villa   32   33  -24      39.17     2.99   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.87R    0.07  
Sunderland    31   31  -10      39.20     3.33   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.53R    0.05  
Wigan         30   30  -20      37.52     3.38   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.54R    0.94  
QPR           31   23  -23      30.33     3.24   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.41R   36.21  
Reading       32   23  -27      28.82     3.00   -31.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.15R   62.69  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          40   79  +24      89.38     3.21    27.19    95.36    99.59   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   74  +11      81.63     2.93    12.18     3.91    70.74   100.00    77.84P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   71  +25      78.69     2.98    26.27     0.72    28.67    99.98    47.91P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   66  +13      73.00     2.95    13.28     0.00     0.92    93.00    19.82P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   63   +8      69.60     2.89     7.68     0.00     0.04    60.03    13.17P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   62  +16      69.42     2.98    16.85     0.00     0.03    65.12    16.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   60  +22      67.77     3.00    23.35     0.00     0.00    45.62    14.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           41   60   +7      67.24     2.95     7.56     0.00     0.00    30.59     8.77P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   55   -5      61.79     2.95    -5.15     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.33P    0.05R    0.00  
Derby            41   54   +3      60.77     2.93     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.09P    0.28R    0.00  
Burnley          41   54   +1      60.61     2.94     0.61     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.11P    0.24R    0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -4      60.58     2.90    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.48R    0.00  
Birmingham       41   53   -6      60.48     2.97    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.07P    0.71R    0.00  
Ipswich          41   53  -15      59.00     2.88   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     2.34R    0.00  
Millwall         39   52   -5      61.98     3.53    -4.41     0.00     0.00     2.67     0.51P    0.70R    0.00  
Leeds_United     41   52  -10      58.33     2.91   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    4.05R    0.01  
Blackpool        41   51   +2      58.58     2.96     3.05     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    2.19R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        40   50   -9      57.18     3.19   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   12.15R    0.15  
Wolverhampton    41   48   -9      55.03     2.94    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.45R    0.75  
Barnsley         40   48  -10      54.91     3.13   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.18R    1.09  
Huddersfield     41   48  -26      53.62     2.85   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.31R    3.86  
Blackburn        40   47   -7      55.54     3.25    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.10R    0.62  
Peterborough     41   47   -8      53.25     2.96    -9.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.62R    2.43  
Bristol_City     41   40  -18      45.80     2.86   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.16R   91.09  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, Bournemouth 3 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       42   78  +19      84.54     2.62    20.59    67.42    87.91   100.00    90.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   76  +18      80.74     2.27    18.96    10.79    40.97   100.00    54.58P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          42   71  +14      77.20     2.66    15.09     0.88     6.07    92.57    20.17P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   71  +13      78.36     2.91    13.77     4.21    14.28    95.66    32.33P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   70  +18      80.49     3.20    21.28    15.85    44.49    98.77    61.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   68  +33      76.31     2.87    35.13     0.85     6.28    89.96    35.08P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   66  +12      70.57     2.24    12.66     0.00     0.00     7.19     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         43   66   +9      70.92     2.27    10.21     0.00     0.00     8.31     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        43   64  +10      68.61     2.28    10.73     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   64   +4      67.83     2.20     3.60     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         41   61  +14      69.17     2.91    15.98     0.00     0.00     5.75     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   58   +9      62.32     2.24     9.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    41   58   -3      64.17     2.86    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           40   58   -4      64.19     3.08    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       43   54  -10      57.50     2.19   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   51   +3      57.80     2.90     2.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        42   51  -19      55.60     2.53   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      42   48   -5      53.49     2.64    -4.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Colchester      42   47  -19      51.67     2.56   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.00  
Oldham          40   41  -13      48.40     3.20   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.51R    0.02  
Scunthorpe      42   41  -26      45.20     2.49   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.63R    0.61  
Portsmouth      43   39  -19      42.40     2.18   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.00R    2.29  
Hartlepool      43   36  -29      38.99     2.10   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   47.41  
Bury            42   34  -29      38.73     2.57   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.52R   49.67  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, Barnet 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           43   82  +29      87.31     2.21    30.84    95.46   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   74  +35      80.99     2.61    37.23     4.54    99.52   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          42   68   +9      73.63     2.56     9.08     0.00    43.08    97.82    54.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   68   +5      71.88     2.23     4.70     0.00    13.01    89.18    31.78P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   67   +3      72.23     2.63     2.59     0.00    17.39    89.41    29.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   64   +6      71.60     2.97     7.09     0.00    19.30    82.49    36.10P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               42   63   +9      68.77     2.64     9.44     0.00     3.94    53.28    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   61   +9      68.00     2.92     9.27     0.00     3.35    43.67    13.29P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   60  +10      66.44     2.62    11.36     0.00     0.29    26.09     8.89P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   60   +2      63.79     2.25     1.56     0.00     0.00     2.37     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   58   -5      62.88     2.57    -5.92     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   57   +8      65.11     2.95     9.82     0.00     0.12    13.19     4.72P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   56   -8      60.00     2.27    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   -3      58.82     2.23    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   55   -8      62.15     2.98    -7.60     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   54   -2      59.68     2.66    -1.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   51   -4      55.44     2.25    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.01  
Plymouth             42   49   -7      53.50     2.53    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.12R    0.52  
Barnet               43   48  -10      51.28     2.16   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.23R    5.13  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -17      51.88     2.25   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.39R    5.16  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -23      50.96     2.10   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.11R   11.54  
Torquay              43   46  -10      50.54     2.25    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.67R   10.08  
York                 43   46  -14      49.05     2.13   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.73R   34.01  
Aldershot            41   44  -14      49.45     2.78   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.62R   33.56  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 2 Dartford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      44   87  +37      90.19     1.75    37.75    25.86   100.00    46.20P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          42   86  +37      92.58     2.66    38.67    73.86   100.00    80.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   76  +30      83.07     2.56    32.41     0.24    99.94    35.69P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   75  +22      82.63     2.93    23.24     0.05    99.68    14.73P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            42   73  +27      79.30     2.66    28.22     0.00    97.61    21.85P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       42   65  +18      71.85     2.64    20.01     0.00     2.63     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           42   63   +6      69.04     2.65     6.80     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       42   60   +0      65.15     2.61    -0.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           41   59   +4      65.84     2.97     4.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   59   -7      62.58     2.26    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     41   58  -10      63.01     2.80   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   56   +1      64.73     2.94     3.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   56   +0      59.93     2.14    -0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        43   52   -7      56.53     2.31    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      42   51  -11      56.23     2.59   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   51  -11      56.04     2.64   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Southport          44   51  -13      52.99     1.76   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.21R    0.00  
Gateshead          42   50   -3      56.26     2.61    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       43   50   -9      53.84     2.23    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.00  
Stockport          43   49  -14      52.22     2.15   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.46R    0.00  
Nuneaton           43   48  -13      51.47     2.20   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.12R    0.00  
Barrow             43   46  -32      49.22     2.18   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.69R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   38  -27      43.71     2.84   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.75R    0.51  
AFC_Telford        44   32  -25      34.16     1.78   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.49