Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 5 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Fulham 3 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       30   77  +39      93.26     3.51    47.75    99.74   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      30   62  +29      78.44     3.33    38.23     0.26    93.47    98.78    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     31   57  +15      68.54     3.44    17.92     0.00     1.81    27.97    57.66    97.66     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       30   55  +27      69.03     3.63    31.60     0.00     2.79    39.75    68.51    97.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       30   53  +26      68.26     3.64    33.08     0.00     1.90    30.79    63.06    97.47     0.00     0.00  
Everton       30   51  +12      62.26     3.60    12.34     0.00     0.03     2.23     7.88    59.59     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     31   48  +19      60.70     3.47    23.79     0.00     0.00     0.48     3.10    46.73     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     31   44   +0      52.64     3.38    -1.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       31   40   +1      47.82     3.25    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        30   39   -3      49.10     3.73    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham      30   36   -9      44.65     3.47   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.57R    0.00  
Southampton   31   34   -9      42.97     3.48   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69R    0.01  
Stoke         31   34   -9      42.73     3.36   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Norwich       31   34  -19      42.00     3.22   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.17R    0.03  
Newcastle     31   33  -15      42.19     3.55   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.56R    0.03  
Sunderland    31   31  -10      39.20     3.31   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.69R    0.14  
Wigan         30   30  -20      37.55     3.37   -26.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.91R    1.65  
Aston_Villa   31   30  -26      37.05     3.23   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.29R    1.58  
QPR           31   23  -23      30.29     3.24   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.58R   48.29  
Reading       31   23  -25      30.41     3.35   -28.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.37R   48.27  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2013, Bolton 1 0 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          39   78  +24      89.76     3.50    27.22    95.56    99.40   100.00    99.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   71  +10      80.25     3.24    11.52     2.41    53.64    99.99    64.93P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   70  +25      79.09     3.30    26.30     2.01    42.73    99.96    58.33P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   65  +13      73.93     3.25    14.09     0.02     3.61    94.22    22.80P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   62   +8      70.16     3.21     7.92     0.00     0.27    64.71    14.49P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   61  +16      69.84     3.28    16.91     0.00     0.26    65.89    17.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   59  +22      68.07     3.26    23.28     0.00     0.09    46.64    15.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           40   57   +5      65.87     3.25     5.94     0.00     0.00    17.21     5.02P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   55   -4      62.92     3.24    -4.46     0.00     0.00     3.79     0.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Derby            40   54   +4      62.56     3.25     4.46     0.00     0.00     2.74     0.54P    0.10R    0.00  
Birmingham       40   52   -6      61.22     3.28    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.24P    0.70R    0.02  
Leeds_United     40   52   -9      59.54     3.20   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    2.27R    0.02  
Burnley          40   51   -1      59.42     3.23    -0.76     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    2.09R    0.05  
Charlton         40   51   -5      59.06     3.22    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    3.17R    0.08  
Millwall         38   51   -5      61.95     3.80    -5.00     0.00     0.00     3.14     0.63P    1.02R    0.01  
Blackpool        40   50   +2      58.84     3.25     2.90     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    2.84R    0.04  
Ipswich          40   50  -16      56.94     3.20   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   13.39R    0.36  
Wolverhampton    40   48   -7      56.11     3.22    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.05R    0.76  
Blackburn        39   47   -6      57.00     3.53    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   12.33R    0.65  
Barnsley         39   47  -10      54.77     3.39   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.08R    2.99  
Sheff_Wed        39   47  -10      55.43     3.47   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.26R    2.08  
Huddersfield     40   47  -26      54.01     3.17   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.48R    6.39  
Peterborough     40   46   -8      53.61     3.26    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.28R    4.50  
Bristol_City     40   40  -16      46.85     3.14   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.93R   82.04  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Bournemouth 1 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       41   75  +18      83.09     2.96    19.85    51.39    78.38    99.83    83.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   73  +16      79.22     2.63    17.13     7.60    27.16    97.13    42.65P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   70  +13      78.61     3.18    13.61     8.45    22.07    92.36    37.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   69  +18      81.06     3.48    21.60    29.66    58.10    97.80    70.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   68  +33      76.28     2.87    35.10     1.89     8.89    85.32    36.01P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          41   68  +13      75.85     2.99    14.48     1.01     5.25    74.91    17.07P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        42   66  +13      71.76     2.57    13.43     0.00     0.11    19.41     4.25P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         42   65   +9      71.07     2.62     9.89     0.00     0.01    12.20     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   64   +5      69.20     2.57     4.62     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        42   63  +10      69.12     2.64    10.94     0.00     0.00     4.04     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   60  +14      70.20     3.22    16.93     0.00     0.04    13.56     4.10P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    42   58  +11      63.60     2.59    11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           40   58   -4      64.16     3.09    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    40   57   -3      63.96     3.11    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   53  -10      57.72     2.52   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   48   +0      56.45     3.22     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      41   48   -4      54.59     2.94    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Carlisle        41   48  -20      53.86     2.87   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.71R    0.00  
Colchester      41   44  -20      49.93     2.89   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.07R    0.00  
Oldham          39   41  -12      50.00     3.49   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.31R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      41   41  -23      46.32     2.79   -25.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.90R    0.17  
Portsmouth      42   38  -19      42.90     2.56   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.53R    1.61  
Bury            41   34  -27      39.97     2.89   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.78R   25.74  
Hartlepool      42   33  -31      37.43     2.48   -32.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   72.47  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 5 April 2013, Port_Vale 7 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           42   79  +28      86.16     2.57    30.50    89.24   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   74  +35      81.00     2.62    37.27    10.69    98.36   100.00    98.92P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          41   68  +10      74.84     2.88     9.84     0.04    42.57    98.01    54.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   68   +7      73.33     2.60     6.81     0.00    18.45    94.24    37.55P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   67   +3      72.28     2.63     2.66     0.00     9.14    88.13    22.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   64   +7      72.95     3.28     8.03     0.02    22.43    88.05    39.91P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   63  +10      70.66     2.96    11.20     0.00     8.01    74.27    29.38P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   60   +5      65.38     2.61     4.88     0.00     0.03     9.23     2.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   58   +8      66.51     3.23     8.49     0.00     0.98    24.35     6.89P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   57   +8      65.18     2.95     9.94     0.00     0.02    11.17     3.80P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   57   +8      64.95     2.96     9.56     0.00     0.02    11.40     3.86P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   56   -7      61.54     2.63    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   55   -6      61.71     2.89    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   52   -4      57.19     2.60    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              40   52   -9      60.31     3.28    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             41   51   -5      57.81     2.97    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   48   -5      53.35     2.57    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.71R    1.85  
Barnet               42   48   -8      52.47     2.53    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.03R    2.60  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   48  -22      51.88     2.44   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.18R    7.67  
Accrington_Stanley   42   47  -17      52.18     2.62   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.09R    8.17  
Torquay              42   46   -9      51.40     2.55    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.92R    7.13  
Plymouth             41   46   -9      51.78     2.85   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.74R    7.54  
York                 42   45  -14      49.51     2.51   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.01R   30.35  
Aldershot            41   44  -14      49.45     2.79   -16.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.21R   34.68  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 5 April 2013, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      43   84  +34      89.10     2.17    35.56    26.73   100.00    46.07P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   83  +33      91.46     2.99    35.47    67.06   100.00    75.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   76  +32      85.17     2.85    35.50     5.94    99.90    40.77P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   75  +22      82.59     2.92    23.18     0.24    98.43    14.28P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   72  +27      80.40     2.94    29.40     0.02    94.72    21.51P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       41   65  +19      73.60     2.96    21.56     0.00     6.90     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           41   60   +5      67.25     2.99     5.56     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       41   60   +1      66.74     2.96     0.75     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   56   +5      66.39     3.25     8.32     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           40   56   +2      64.19     3.23     1.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   56   +0      59.85     2.15    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             42   56   -9      60.32     2.56   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     40   55  -11      61.16     3.11   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        42   52   -6      58.13     2.69    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      41   51  -10      57.72     2.94   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       42   50   -6      54.67     2.52    -7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Southport          43   50  -13      52.68     2.09   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   48  -12      54.12     2.93   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.96R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   47   -7      54.32     2.94    -6.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.90R    0.00  
Nuneaton           42   47  -13      51.78     2.59   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.39R    0.00  
Stockport          42   46  -15      50.54     2.55   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.55R    0.00  
Barrow             42   46  -28      50.09     2.51   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.18R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   37  -27      44.20     3.17   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.10R    2.77  
AFC_Telford        43   32  -23      35.47     2.23   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.23