Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 4 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Fulham 3 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       30   77  +39      93.27     3.52    47.72    99.76   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      30   62  +29      78.45     3.34    38.20     0.24    93.26    98.76    99.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     31   57  +15      68.55     3.44    17.95     0.00     1.92    28.05    58.01    97.66     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       30   55  +27      69.06     3.65    31.63     0.00     2.96    40.02    68.64    97.84     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       30   53  +26      68.23     3.66    33.05     0.00     1.84    30.46    62.39    97.42     0.00     0.00  
Everton       30   51  +12      62.25     3.59    12.30     0.00     0.02     2.15     8.01    59.35     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     31   48  +19      60.71     3.46    23.81     0.00     0.00     0.57     3.15    46.92     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     31   44   +0      52.65     3.36    -1.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       31   40   +1      47.86     3.27    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        30   39   -3      49.13     3.72    -4.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham      30   36   -9      44.67     3.47   -13.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Southampton   31   34   -9      42.94     3.46   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66R    0.00  
Stoke         31   34   -9      42.72     3.36   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Norwich       31   34  -19      42.00     3.24   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.18R    0.02  
Newcastle     31   33  -15      42.14     3.56   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.55R    0.03  
Sunderland    31   31  -10      39.21     3.32   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.65R    0.13  
Wigan         30   30  -20      37.52     3.39   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.24R    1.83  
Aston_Villa   31   30  -26      37.04     3.24   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.24R    1.66  
QPR           31   23  -23      30.35     3.25   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.32R   47.52  
Reading       31   23  -25      30.36     3.34   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.42R   48.81  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2013, Bolton 1 0 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          39   78  +24      89.77     3.50    27.24    95.66    99.40   100.00    99.59P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   71  +10      80.21     3.25    11.47     2.27    52.82   100.00    64.34P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   70  +25      79.13     3.31    26.34     2.07    43.78    99.98    58.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   65  +13      73.94     3.27    14.10     0.01     3.50    94.24    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   62   +8      70.12     3.21     7.85     0.00     0.20    64.31    14.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   61  +16      69.81     3.27    16.87     0.00     0.21    65.45    16.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   59  +22      68.06     3.28    23.27     0.00     0.08    46.83    15.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           40   57   +5      65.94     3.25     6.02     0.00     0.00    18.04     5.33P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   55   -4      62.88     3.21    -4.52     0.00     0.00     3.69     0.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby            40   54   +4      62.53     3.25     4.40     0.00     0.00     2.68     0.52P    0.09R    0.00  
Birmingham       40   52   -6      61.13     3.26    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.24P    0.75R    0.01  
Leeds_United     40   52   -9      59.55     3.22   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P    2.38R    0.01  
Burnley          40   51   -1      59.42     3.25    -0.76     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    2.03R    0.06  
Charlton         40   51   -5      59.08     3.21    -5.22     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    3.06R    0.07  
Millwall         38   51   -5      61.98     3.77    -4.97     0.00     0.00     3.07     0.63P    0.89R    0.01  
Blackpool        40   50   +2      58.85     3.25     2.92     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.09P    2.73R    0.04  
Ipswich          40   50  -16      56.98     3.16   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.93R    0.30  
Wolverhampton    40   48   -7      56.14     3.22    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.96R    0.68  
Blackburn        39   47   -6      56.99     3.53    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   12.68R    0.67  
Barnsley         39   47  -10      54.77     3.38   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.04R    3.02  
Sheff_Wed        39   47  -10      55.45     3.50   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   27.58R    1.93  
Huddersfield     40   47  -26      54.00     3.16   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.72R    6.40  
Peterborough     40   46   -8      53.63     3.28    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.25R    4.62  
Bristol_City     40   40  -16      46.85     3.15   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.90R   82.20  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Bournemouth 1 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       41   75  +18      83.15     2.94    19.93    51.64    79.15    99.87    84.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   73  +16      79.21     2.65    17.10     7.41    26.39    97.05    42.21P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   70  +13      78.60     3.21    13.58     8.47    22.12    92.15    37.75P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   69  +18      81.13     3.49    21.68    29.72    58.45    97.86    71.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   68  +33      76.27     2.88    35.09     1.74     8.74    85.20    35.50P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          41   68  +13      75.85     2.99    14.48     1.01     5.01    75.08    16.97P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        42   66  +13      71.71     2.59    13.38     0.00     0.07    19.23     4.17P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         42   65   +9      71.07     2.62     9.89     0.00     0.01    12.34     2.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   64   +5      69.18     2.58     4.59     0.00     0.00     3.17     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        42   63  +10      69.12     2.64    10.94     0.00     0.00     4.04     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   60  +14      70.22     3.22    16.96     0.00     0.05    13.69     4.17P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    42   58  +11      63.59     2.58    11.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           40   58   -4      64.14     3.07    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    40   57   -3      64.00     3.12    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   53  -10      57.71     2.56   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   48   +0      56.42     3.22     0.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      41   48   -4      54.62     2.94    -4.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Carlisle        41   48  -20      53.83     2.89   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78R    0.00  
Colchester      41   44  -20      49.95     2.88   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.58R    0.00  
Oldham          39   41  -12      49.96     3.49   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.38R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      41   41  -23      46.30     2.80   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.31R    0.14  
Portsmouth      42   38  -19      42.88     2.57   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.48R    1.68  
Bury            41   34  -27      40.01     2.89   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.78R   25.59  
Hartlepool      42   33  -31      37.43     2.48   -32.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   72.60  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           42   79  +28      86.10     2.56    30.42    93.16   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   71  +29      79.73     2.93    31.81     6.67    93.06   100.00    95.35P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          41   68  +10      74.93     2.90    10.03     0.09    40.55    97.92    52.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   68   +7      73.33     2.59     6.82     0.00    16.55    93.88    35.60P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   67   +9      73.33     2.91     8.10     0.05    20.98    93.04    34.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   64   +7      72.97     3.28     8.07     0.02    20.67    87.57    37.93P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   63  +10      70.67     2.96    11.21     0.00     7.34    73.75    28.24P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   60   +5      65.40     2.62     4.89     0.00     0.02     8.81     2.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   58   +8      66.44     3.24     8.37     0.00     0.80    22.59     6.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   57   +8      65.17     2.94     9.91     0.00     0.02    10.56     3.50P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   57   +8      64.94     2.93     9.54     0.00     0.01    10.97     3.66P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   56   -7      61.60     2.65    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   55   -6      61.70     2.89    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   52   -4      57.20     2.60    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              40   52   -9      60.27     3.27    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             41   51   -5      57.85     2.99    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            42   48   -5      53.30     2.57    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.00R    1.95  
Barnet               42   48   -8      52.46     2.53    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.25R    2.77  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   48  -22      51.86     2.43   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.52R    7.72  
Accrington_Stanley   42   47  -17      52.15     2.61   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.28R    8.49  
Torquay              42   46   -9      51.44     2.55    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.41R    7.18  
Plymouth             41   46   -9      51.75     2.85   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.24R    7.64  
York                 42   45  -14      49.51     2.53   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.12R   30.86  
Aldershot            41   44  -14      49.52     2.79   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.10R   33.38  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 4 April 2013, Wrexham 2 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      43   84  +34      89.10     2.16    35.56    26.15   100.00    45.52P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   83  +33      91.48     2.99    35.50    67.02   100.00    75.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   76  +32      85.23     2.85    35.59     6.20    99.91    40.77P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     40   74  +22      82.87     3.24    23.02     0.60    98.12    14.48P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   72  +27      80.47     2.95    29.46     0.02    95.13    22.18P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       41   65  +19      73.59     2.95    21.53     0.00     6.77     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           41   60   +5      67.27     2.96     5.60     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       41   60   +1      66.70     2.97     0.71     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   56   +5      66.43     3.23     8.39     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           40   56   +2      64.24     3.26     2.03     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             42   56   -9      60.30     2.54   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   55   +0      60.31     2.53    -0.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     40   55  -11      61.13     3.10   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        42   52   -6      58.14     2.69    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      41   51  -10      57.77     2.93   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       42   50   -6      54.68     2.53    -7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.00  
Southport          43   50  -13      52.65     2.08   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.07R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   48  -12      54.09     2.93   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.03R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   47   -7      54.30     2.92    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.79R    0.00  
Nuneaton           42   47  -13      51.77     2.59   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.67R    0.00  
Stockport          42   46  -15      50.48     2.54   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.12R    0.00  
Barrow             42   46  -28      50.08     2.51   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.69R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   37  -27      44.21     3.18   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.74R    2.73  
AFC_Telford        43   32  -23      35.45     2.23   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.27