Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 3 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Fulham 3 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       30   77  +39      93.33     3.52    47.81    99.78   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      30   62  +29      78.40     3.35    38.14     0.22    93.18    98.66    99.78   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     31   57  +15      68.56     3.42    17.96     0.00     1.86    28.18    58.06    97.70     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       30   55  +27      69.01     3.66    31.56     0.00     3.00    39.55    67.96    97.78     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       30   53  +26      68.26     3.66    33.07     0.00     1.95    30.83    63.03    97.40     0.00     0.00  
Everton       30   51  +12      62.24     3.61    12.29     0.00     0.02     2.28     8.00    59.07     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     31   48  +19      60.76     3.46    23.88     0.00     0.00     0.51     3.17    47.29     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     31   44   +0      52.62     3.36    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       31   40   +1      47.88     3.25    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        30   39   -3      49.14     3.74    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      30   36   -9      44.69     3.47   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Southampton   31   34   -9      42.94     3.47   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68R    0.00  
Stoke         31   34   -9      42.70     3.35   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.23R    0.01  
Norwich       31   34  -19      42.03     3.22   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.94R    0.02  
Newcastle     31   33  -15      42.13     3.56   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.48R    0.03  
Sunderland    31   31  -10      39.23     3.31   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.61R    0.17  
Wigan         30   30  -20      37.56     3.39   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.92R    1.60  
Aston_Villa   31   30  -26      37.02     3.22   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.49R    1.65  
QPR           31   23  -23      30.29     3.23   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.62R   47.75  
Reading       31   23  -25      30.34     3.36   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.46R   48.78  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2013, Bolton 1 0 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          39   78  +24      89.75     3.49    27.21    95.56    99.38   100.00    99.57P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   71  +10      80.26     3.23    11.54     2.30    53.46    99.99    64.87P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   70  +25      79.11     3.31    26.34     2.12    43.22    99.96    58.57P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   65  +13      73.89     3.26    14.02     0.02     3.41    94.12    22.65P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   62   +8      70.15     3.21     7.90     0.00     0.26    64.37    14.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   61  +16      69.82     3.27    16.88     0.00     0.20    65.62    17.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   59  +22      68.07     3.27    23.29     0.00     0.06    46.81    15.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           40   57   +5      65.93     3.27     6.03     0.00     0.00    17.97     5.09P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   55   -4      62.83     3.21    -4.57     0.00     0.00     3.46     0.69P    0.03R    0.00  
Derby            40   54   +4      62.51     3.27     4.39     0.00     0.00     2.80     0.64P    0.13R    0.00  
Birmingham       40   52   -6      61.19     3.28    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.24P    0.70R    0.01  
Leeds_United     40   52   -9      59.53     3.20   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    2.33R    0.02  
Burnley          40   51   -1      59.41     3.25    -0.77     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    2.02R    0.05  
Charlton         40   51   -5      59.11     3.21    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    3.10R    0.09  
Millwall         38   51   -5      61.99     3.79    -4.94     0.00     0.00     3.18     0.65P    0.90R    0.02  
Blackpool        40   50   +2      58.86     3.24     2.92     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.07P    2.59R    0.02  
Ipswich          40   50  -16      56.96     3.18   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    13.14R    0.35  
Wolverhampton    40   48   -7      56.13     3.20    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.14R    0.76  
Blackburn        39   47   -6      57.02     3.53    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   12.36R    0.59  
Barnsley         39   47  -10      54.78     3.36   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   33.04R    2.87  
Sheff_Wed        39   47  -10      55.47     3.48   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.22R    2.04  
Huddersfield     40   47  -26      53.99     3.17   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.16R    6.32  
Peterborough     40   46   -8      53.64     3.26    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.20R    4.33  
Bristol_City     40   40  -16      46.81     3.14   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.94R   82.52  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Bournemouth 1 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       41   75  +18      83.14     2.95    19.92    51.62    78.75    99.86    83.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   73  +16      79.24     2.65    17.16     7.44    26.73    97.15    42.54P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   70  +13      78.63     3.21    13.63     8.69    22.49    92.43    38.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   69  +18      81.10     3.49    21.65    29.47    57.99    97.66    70.97P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   68  +33      76.28     2.88    35.09     1.83     8.68    85.09    35.42P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          41   68  +13      75.90     2.99    14.54     0.95     5.23    75.65    17.05P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        42   66  +13      71.73     2.57    13.40     0.00     0.09    19.19     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         42   65   +9      71.06     2.64     9.86     0.00     0.02    12.24     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   64   +5      69.23     2.57     4.65     0.00     0.00     3.22     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        42   63  +10      69.10     2.64    10.90     0.00     0.00     3.97     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   60  +14      70.20     3.21    16.94     0.00     0.03    13.24     4.03P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    42   58  +11      63.57     2.60    11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           40   58   -4      64.14     3.06    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    40   57   -3      64.01     3.12    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   53  -10      57.71     2.54   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   48   +0      56.41     3.21     0.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      41   48   -4      54.58     2.93    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Carlisle        41   48  -20      53.87     2.87   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58R    0.00  
Colchester      41   44  -20      49.95     2.89   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.37R    0.00  
Oldham          39   41  -12      49.91     3.47   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.66R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      41   41  -23      46.29     2.79   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.48R    0.20  
Portsmouth      42   38  -19      42.88     2.55   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.51R    1.56  
Bury            41   34  -27      39.99     2.90   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.76R   25.74  
Hartlepool      42   33  -31      37.41     2.48   -32.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   72.50  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           42   79  +28      86.12     2.57    30.44    93.05   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   71  +29      79.75     2.96    31.82     6.79    93.18   100.00    95.42P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          41   68  +10      74.92     2.91    10.02     0.09    40.76    97.87    52.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   68   +7      73.31     2.58     6.80     0.00    16.48    93.54    35.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   67   +9      73.24     2.91     7.99     0.06    20.16    92.53    33.35P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   64   +7      72.98     3.29     8.09     0.01    20.95    87.46    38.57P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   63  +10      70.67     2.97    11.21     0.00     7.62    73.65    28.69P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   60   +5      65.40     2.64     4.89     0.00     0.02     8.97     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   58   +8      66.45     3.24     8.38     0.00     0.80    22.88     6.26P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   57   +8      65.17     2.97     9.92     0.00     0.02    10.74     3.64P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   57   +8      64.96     2.96     9.58     0.00     0.01    11.36     3.74P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   56   -7      61.59     2.65    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   55   -6      61.72     2.92    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   52   -4      57.21     2.60    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              40   52   -9      60.32     3.28    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             41   51   -5      57.86     2.98    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   48   -5      53.33     2.58    -5.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.76R    1.94  
Barnet               42   48   -8      52.46     2.52    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.02R    2.67  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   48  -22      51.88     2.44   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.16R    7.64  
Accrington_Stanley   42   47  -17      52.13     2.62   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.52R    8.61  
Torquay              42   46   -9      51.40     2.56    -9.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.79R    7.07  
Plymouth             41   46   -9      51.77     2.85   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.67R    7.64  
York                 42   45  -14      49.48     2.51   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.49R   30.81  
Aldershot            41   44  -14      49.49     2.79   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.50R   33.61  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 April 2013, Barrow 1 1 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      43   84  +34      89.13     2.17    35.60    20.39   100.00    41.68P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   83  +34      92.56     3.26    36.07    75.93   100.00    82.18P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     40   74  +22      82.89     3.23    23.05     0.48    98.12    14.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   73  +31      83.80     3.20    34.88     3.18    99.40    37.80P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   72  +27      80.43     2.94    29.41     0.02    95.13    22.39P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       41   65  +19      73.62     2.95    21.61     0.00     7.30     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           41   60   +5      67.31     2.96     5.66     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       41   60   +1      66.67     2.96     0.67     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   56   +5      66.44     3.25     8.40     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           40   56   +2      64.25     3.26     2.02     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             42   56   -9      60.34     2.57   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   55   +0      60.29     2.54    -0.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     40   55  -11      61.09     3.10   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        42   52   -6      58.13     2.70    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      41   51  -10      57.77     2.96   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       42   50   -6      54.66     2.52    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Southport          43   50  -13      52.66     2.08   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.15R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   48  -12      54.07     2.94   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.05R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   47   -7      54.30     2.95    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.06R    0.00  
Nuneaton           42   47  -13      51.80     2.60   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.34R    0.00  
Stockport          42   46  -15      50.50     2.54   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.22R    0.00  
Barrow             42   46  -28      50.12     2.51   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.30R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   37  -27      44.20     3.17   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.01R    2.68  
AFC_Telford        43   32  -23      35.44     2.23   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.32