Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 2 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Fulham 3 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       30   77  +39      93.29     3.51    47.73    99.79   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      30   62  +29      78.41     3.33    38.17     0.21    93.19    98.75    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     31   57  +15      68.59     3.44    18.02     0.00     1.96    28.67    58.63    97.62     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       30   55  +27      69.01     3.65    31.55     0.00     3.03    39.52    67.80    97.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       30   53  +26      68.22     3.64    33.04     0.00     1.80    30.33    62.84    97.41     0.00     0.00  
Everton       30   51  +12      62.23     3.59    12.28     0.00     0.01     2.21     7.75    58.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     31   48  +19      60.72     3.47    23.83     0.00     0.00     0.52     3.19    47.34     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     31   44   +0      52.65     3.36    -1.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       31   40   +1      47.84     3.26    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        30   39   -3      49.16     3.75    -4.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham      30   36   -9      44.63     3.46   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.00  
Southampton   31   34   -9      42.94     3.47   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78R    0.00  
Stoke         31   34   -9      42.73     3.35   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.00  
Norwich       31   34  -19      42.00     3.22   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.02R    0.01  
Newcastle     31   33  -15      42.13     3.58   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.71R    0.04  
Sunderland    31   31  -10      39.21     3.34   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.99R    0.14  
Wigan         30   30  -20      37.57     3.39   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.91R    1.61  
Aston_Villa   31   30  -26      37.11     3.24   -30.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.62R    1.57  
QPR           31   23  -23      30.28     3.25   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.72R   48.06  
Reading       31   23  -25      30.37     3.34   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.56R   48.54  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2013, Bolton 1 0 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          39   78  +24      89.71     3.50    27.15    95.46    99.36   100.00    99.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   71  +10      80.26     3.24    11.53     2.35    53.29   100.00    64.59P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   70  +25      79.11     3.30    26.33     2.17    43.30    99.95    58.62P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   65  +13      73.91     3.26    14.04     0.01     3.48    94.26    22.85P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   62   +8      70.14     3.22     7.89     0.00     0.26    64.09    14.08P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   61  +16      69.80     3.28    16.86     0.00     0.24    65.64    17.14P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   59  +22      68.08     3.27    23.31     0.00     0.07    46.95    15.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           40   57   +5      65.92     3.26     6.01     0.00     0.00    17.82     5.13P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   55   -4      62.89     3.21    -4.50     0.00     0.00     3.61     0.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Derby            40   54   +4      62.57     3.25     4.46     0.00     0.00     2.85     0.59P    0.09R    0.00  
Birmingham       40   52   -6      61.17     3.27    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.22P    0.70R    0.01  
Leeds_United     40   52   -9      59.59     3.21   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    2.20R    0.01  
Burnley          40   51   -1      59.43     3.26    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    2.01R    0.03  
Charlton         40   51   -5      59.04     3.23    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    3.13R    0.09  
Millwall         38   51   -5      62.00     3.79    -4.93     0.00     0.00     3.13     0.66P    0.91R    0.02  
Blackpool        40   50   +2      58.84     3.26     2.90     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.08P    2.90R    0.03  
Ipswich          40   50  -16      56.99     3.16   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   12.90R    0.34  
Wolverhampton    40   48   -7      56.15     3.23    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   16.11R    0.77  
Blackburn        39   47   -6      57.01     3.54    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.57R    0.65  
Barnsley         39   47  -10      54.78     3.39   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.01R    3.03  
Sheff_Wed        39   47  -10      55.40     3.47   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.61R    2.09  
Huddersfield     40   47  -26      54.00     3.17   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.00R    6.20  
Peterborough     40   46   -8      53.63     3.27    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.01R    4.48  
Bristol_City     40   40  -16      46.82     3.14   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.82R   82.25  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Bournemouth 1 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       41   75  +18      83.15     2.95    19.93    51.54    78.54    99.87    83.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   73  +16      79.23     2.64    17.13     7.52    26.92    97.10    42.88P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   70  +13      78.58     3.19    13.56     8.30    21.78    92.38    37.43P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   69  +18      81.16     3.50    21.71    29.82    58.90    97.89    71.45P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   68  +33      76.28     2.87    35.10     1.83     8.56    85.32    35.51P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          41   68  +13      75.87     3.00    14.51     1.00     5.14    75.32    16.96P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        42   66  +13      71.73     2.57    13.40     0.00     0.10    19.45     4.16P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         42   65   +9      71.05     2.62     9.86     0.00     0.02    11.92     2.13P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   64   +5      69.18     2.56     4.59     0.00     0.00     2.99     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        42   63  +10      69.14     2.65    10.97     0.00     0.00     4.12     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   60  +14      70.19     3.22    16.95     0.00     0.04    13.29     4.07P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    42   58  +11      63.57     2.60    11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           40   58   -4      64.14     3.09    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    40   57   -3      63.96     3.11    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   53  -10      57.71     2.54   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   48   +0      56.42     3.21     0.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      41   48   -4      54.59     2.92    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Carlisle        41   48  -20      53.87     2.87   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.71R    0.00  
Colchester      41   44  -20      49.96     2.88   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.66R    0.00  
Oldham          39   41  -12      49.93     3.48   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.43R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      41   41  -23      46.30     2.80   -25.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.21R    0.15  
Portsmouth      42   38  -19      42.88     2.56   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.54R    1.59  
Bury            41   34  -27      39.97     2.89   -28.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.76R   26.07  
Hartlepool      42   33  -31      37.43     2.49   -32.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   72.19  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           42   79  +28      86.10     2.56    30.44    93.14   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   71  +29      79.74     2.95    31.81     6.70    93.06   100.00    95.34P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          41   68  +10      74.91     2.88     9.99     0.09    40.63    97.98    52.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   68   +7      73.30     2.58     6.78     0.00    16.40    93.64    35.32P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   67   +9      73.26     2.90     8.00     0.05    20.80    92.61    34.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   64   +7      72.93     3.28     8.00     0.01    20.64    87.33    37.99P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   63  +10      70.68     2.96    11.23     0.00     7.52    73.75    28.72P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   60   +5      65.43     2.64     4.95     0.00     0.02     9.21     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   58   +8      66.48     3.25     8.43     0.00     0.88    23.13     6.29P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   57   +8      65.18     2.94     9.94     0.00     0.02    10.60     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   57   +8      64.90     2.96     9.50     0.00     0.03    10.85     3.46P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   56   -7      61.56     2.65    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   55   -6      61.70     2.88    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   52   -4      57.18     2.61    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              40   52   -9      60.29     3.28    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             41   51   -5      57.84     2.96    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   48   -5      53.33     2.56    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.81R    1.92  
Barnet               42   48   -8      52.47     2.52    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.01R    2.68  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   48  -22      51.85     2.44   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.04R    8.06  
Accrington_Stanley   42   47  -17      52.14     2.62   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.42R    8.78  
Torquay              42   46   -9      51.43     2.54    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.48R    7.16  
Plymouth             41   46   -9      51.82     2.87   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.64R    7.45  
York                 42   45  -14      49.52     2.52   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.21R   30.47  
Aldershot            41   44  -14      49.52     2.79   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.28R   33.49  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Barrow 1 1 Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      43   84  +34      89.14     2.17    35.60    21.00   100.00    41.77P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   83  +34      92.49     3.27    35.96    75.33   100.00    81.75P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     40   74  +22      82.82     3.24    22.96     0.50    98.28    14.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   73  +31      83.79     3.18    34.85     3.17    99.49    38.77P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            40   69  +25      78.79     3.23    27.40     0.00    87.50    20.14P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       41   65  +19      73.62     2.96    21.61     0.00    13.79     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           41   60   +5      67.25     2.96     5.57     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       40   60   +3      68.15     3.26     2.85     0.00     0.63     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   56   +5      66.46     3.24     8.42     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           40   56   +2      64.21     3.25     1.95     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             42   56   -9      60.33     2.56   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   55   +0      60.30     2.54    -0.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     39   55   -9      62.88     3.44   -12.10     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        42   52   -6      58.09     2.70    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      41   51  -10      57.77     2.93   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       42   50   -6      54.65     2.51    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   48  -12      54.07     2.92   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.52R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   47   -7      54.31     2.94    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.35R    0.00  
Nuneaton           42   47  -13      51.79     2.60   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.76R    0.00  
Southport          42   47  -15      50.81     2.48   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.79R    0.00  
Stockport          42   46  -15      50.50     2.54   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.49R    0.00  
Barrow             41   45  -28      50.63     2.87   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.88R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   36  -27      44.43     3.45   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.52R    2.79  
AFC_Telford        43   32  -23      35.47     2.22   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.21