Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 1 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Fulham 3 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       30   77  +39      93.30     3.53    47.77    99.76   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      30   62  +29      78.43     3.33    38.22     0.24    93.23    98.71    99.81   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     31   57  +15      68.60     3.44    18.05     0.00     1.94    28.71    58.58    97.75     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       30   55  +27      69.02     3.63    31.56     0.00     2.96    39.53    68.14    97.78     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       30   53  +26      68.21     3.65    33.00     0.00     1.84    30.24    62.45    97.31     0.00     0.00  
Everton       30   51  +12      62.23     3.61    12.26     0.00     0.04     2.31     7.98    59.06     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     31   48  +19      60.72     3.45    23.86     0.00     0.00     0.51     3.05    47.31     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     31   44   +0      52.66     3.38    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       31   40   +1      47.83     3.26    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        30   39   -3      49.20     3.73    -4.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham      30   36   -9      44.66     3.44   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.00  
Southampton   31   34   -9      42.89     3.45   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.83R    0.01  
Stoke         31   34   -9      42.70     3.37   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.11R    0.00  
Norwich       31   34  -19      42.01     3.24   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.02R    0.01  
Newcastle     31   33  -15      42.14     3.54   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.66R    0.04  
Sunderland    31   31  -10      39.24     3.32   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.57R    0.14  
Wigan         30   30  -20      37.54     3.38   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.17R    1.60  
Aston_Villa   31   30  -26      37.09     3.24   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.89R    1.40  
QPR           31   23  -23      30.30     3.25   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.50R   47.58  
Reading       31   23  -25      30.31     3.32   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.66R   49.22  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Barnsley 2 0 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          39   78  +24      89.79     3.49    27.26    93.46    99.57   100.00    99.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   71  +11      81.87     3.53    12.89     5.66    75.05   100.00    81.15P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   67  +24      77.23     3.57    24.97     0.86    21.64    99.28    42.42P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   65  +13      73.91     3.25    14.07     0.01     2.96    93.70    22.08P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   62   +8      70.15     3.19     7.89     0.00     0.16    63.53    13.97P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   60  +16      70.61     3.55    17.48     0.00     0.56    71.69    19.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   59  +22      68.10     3.26    23.32     0.00     0.05    45.54    14.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            40   54   +4      62.55     3.24     4.46     0.00     0.00     2.54     0.50P    0.15R    0.00  
Bolton           39   54   +4      64.97     3.50     6.06     0.00     0.00    12.73     3.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   54   -4      63.61     3.53    -4.00     0.00     0.00     6.24     1.32P    0.10R    0.00  
Birmingham       40   52   -6      61.13     3.27    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.22P    0.81R    0.01  
Leeds_United     40   52   -9      59.55     3.21   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    2.52R    0.02  
Burnley          40   51   -1      59.42     3.25    -0.75     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    2.21R    0.04  
Millwall         38   51   -5      62.07     3.79    -4.88     0.00     0.00     3.02     0.61P    0.98R    0.01  
Blackpool        40   50   +2      58.82     3.24     2.86     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.08P    2.97R    0.04  
Charlton         39   50   -5      59.06     3.47    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.08P    4.40R    0.18  
Ipswich          40   50  -16      56.99     3.17   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.78R    0.39  
Wolverhampton    40   48   -7      56.11     3.21    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.54R    0.74  
Blackburn        39   47   -6      57.01     3.53    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    13.00R    0.66  
Barnsley         39   47  -10      54.76     3.36   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.13R    2.97  
Sheff_Wed        39   47  -10      55.45     3.45   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   27.81R    2.07  
Huddersfield     39   47  -25      54.75     3.39   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.76R    4.79  
Peterborough     39   45   -8      53.65     3.54    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   43.93R    5.68  
Bristol_City     40   40  -16      46.80     3.16   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.88R   82.39  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Bournemouth 1 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       41   75  +18      83.14     2.95    19.92    51.93    78.83    99.89    83.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   73  +16      79.24     2.63    17.15     7.43    26.63    97.28    42.47P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   70  +13      78.61     3.20    13.62     8.44    22.05    92.30    38.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   69  +18      81.08     3.49    21.63    29.27    57.94    97.78    70.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   68  +33      76.30     2.90    35.12     1.92     9.19    85.00    36.01P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          41   68  +13      75.88     2.99    14.50     1.01     5.23    75.52    16.99P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        42   66  +13      71.73     2.58    13.38     0.00     0.08    19.28     4.10P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         42   65   +9      71.01     2.61     9.82     0.00     0.02    11.80     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   64   +5      69.22     2.59     4.64     0.00     0.00     3.18     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        42   63  +10      69.16     2.65    10.98     0.00     0.00     4.13     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   60  +14      70.19     3.22    16.92     0.00     0.04    13.53     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    42   58  +11      63.52     2.58    11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           40   58   -4      64.13     3.08    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    40   57   -3      63.97     3.12    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   53  -10      57.71     2.53   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   48   +0      56.45     3.23     0.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      41   48   -4      54.59     2.93    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Carlisle        41   48  -20      53.85     2.87   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.73R    0.00  
Colchester      41   44  -20      49.96     2.88   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.65R    0.00  
Oldham          39   41  -12      49.97     3.48   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.43R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      41   41  -23      46.34     2.81   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.14R    0.15  
Portsmouth      42   38  -19      42.87     2.55   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.55R    1.63  
Bury            41   34  -27      40.00     2.88   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.79R   25.69  
Hartlepool      42   33  -31      37.43     2.47   -32.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   72.53  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           42   79  +28      86.10     2.57    30.42    92.92   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   71  +29      79.78     2.95    31.87     6.92    93.25   100.00    95.51P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          41   68  +10      74.86     2.89     9.92     0.09    39.82    97.89    51.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   68   +7      73.38     2.59     6.88     0.00    17.30    93.75    36.36P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   67   +9      73.29     2.92     8.03     0.06    20.74    92.82    34.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   64   +7      72.93     3.27     8.00     0.01    20.44    87.30    37.97P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   63  +10      70.68     2.96    11.21     0.00     7.47    73.93    28.51P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   60   +5      65.40     2.63     4.89     0.00     0.03     8.89     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   58   +8      66.45     3.24     8.40     0.00     0.90    22.73     6.26P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   57   +8      65.17     2.96     9.91     0.00     0.03    10.72     3.64P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   57   +8      64.94     2.94     9.55     0.00     0.02    10.98     3.57P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   56   -7      61.57     2.66    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   55   -6      61.69     2.90    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   52   -4      57.22     2.60    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              40   52   -9      60.29     3.28    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             41   51   -5      57.84     2.97    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   48   -5      53.33     2.56    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.83R    1.96  
Barnet               42   48   -8      52.47     2.52    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.98R    2.58  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   48  -22      51.88     2.44   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.48R    7.73  
Accrington_Stanley   42   47  -17      52.15     2.61   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.26R    8.59  
Torquay              42   46   -9      51.42     2.55    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.92R    7.14  
Plymouth             41   46   -9      51.76     2.84   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.04R    7.68  
York                 42   45  -14      49.50     2.52   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.34R   31.09  
Aldershot            41   44  -14      49.53     2.78   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.08R   33.23  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 April 2013, Barrow 1 1 Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      43   84  +34      89.15     2.16    35.63    20.84   100.00    41.74P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   83  +34      92.53     3.26    36.00    75.57   100.00    82.02P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     40   74  +22      82.86     3.23    23.04     0.48    98.34    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   73  +31      83.76     3.19    34.84     3.09    99.48    38.57P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            40   69  +25      78.78     3.25    27.38     0.01    87.30    20.19P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       41   65  +19      73.63     2.96    21.59     0.00    13.93     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           41   60   +5      67.23     2.96     5.54     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       40   60   +3      68.14     3.24     2.83     0.00     0.63     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   56   +5      66.48     3.24     8.44     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           40   56   +2      64.27     3.25     2.03     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             42   56   -9      60.33     2.53   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   55   +0      60.28     2.54    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     39   55   -9      62.85     3.43   -12.15     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        42   52   -6      58.12     2.71    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      41   51  -10      57.79     2.94   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       42   50   -6      54.65     2.50    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   48  -12      54.10     2.93   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.55R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   47   -7      54.36     2.94    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.00  
Nuneaton           42   47  -13      51.76     2.60   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.94R    0.00  
Southport          42   47  -15      50.77     2.46   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.54R    0.00  
Stockport          42   46  -15      50.46     2.53   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.57R    0.00  
Barrow             41   45  -28      50.60     2.87   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.06R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   36  -27      44.43     3.44   -29.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.48R    2.76  
AFC_Telford        43   32  -23      35.44     2.22   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.24