Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 31 March 2013 at 22:30:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 March 2013, Aston_Villa 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       30   77  +39      93.28     3.51    47.74    99.79   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      30   62  +29      78.43     3.34    38.21     0.21    93.21    98.66    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     31   57  +15      68.55     3.45    17.97     0.00     1.91    28.01    57.64    97.57     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       30   55  +27      69.04     3.66    31.60     0.00     2.91    39.72    68.37    97.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       30   53  +26      68.29     3.67    33.12     0.00     1.96    30.98    63.28    97.46     0.00     0.00  
Everton       30   51  +12      62.24     3.58    12.27     0.00     0.01     2.17     7.78    59.29     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     31   48  +19      60.71     3.47    23.81     0.00     0.00     0.46     3.13    47.18     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     31   44   +0      52.65     3.36    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       31   40   +1      47.84     3.26    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.09     3.95    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.07R    0.00  
West_Ham      30   36   -9      44.65     3.47   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Southampton   31   34   -9      42.93     3.47   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74R    0.01  
Stoke         31   34   -9      42.74     3.35   -10.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.25R    0.01  
Norwich       31   34  -19      41.98     3.21   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.28R    0.04  
Newcastle     31   33  -15      42.15     3.55   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.83R    0.05  
Sunderland    31   31  -10      39.17     3.34   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.77R    0.24  
Wigan         30   30  -20      37.56     3.39   -26.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.90R    2.09  
Aston_Villa   31   30  -26      37.10     3.23   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.16R    1.95  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.06     3.44   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.71R   42.42  
Reading       31   23  -25      30.36     3.35   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.65R   53.19  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2013, Charlton 3 2 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          38   75  +21      88.34     3.76    24.53    87.30    98.33   100.00    98.80P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   71  +11      81.93     3.53    12.96    10.71    73.49    99.98    79.76P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   67  +24      77.25     3.57    24.96     1.79    20.92    98.83    41.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   65  +14      75.02     3.50    14.65     0.19     6.05    94.48    24.42P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    39   61   +8      70.35     3.50     7.65     0.01     0.36    57.46    12.73P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   60  +16      70.60     3.55    17.47     0.00     0.47    65.32    16.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   59  +24      69.93     3.54    26.00     0.00     0.38    59.77    20.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           39   54   +4      64.96     3.52     6.07     0.00     0.00     9.77     2.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   54   -4      63.62     3.53    -3.95     0.00     0.00     4.83     0.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Birmingham       39   52   -5      62.89     3.54    -3.09     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.73P    0.18R    0.00  
Leeds_United     39   52   -8      61.13     3.50    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.14P    0.63R    0.01  
Derby            39   51   +3      60.67     3.52     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.14P    0.93R    0.01  
Burnley          39   50   -1      60.03     3.53    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P    1.58R    0.05  
Charlton         39   50   -5      59.08     3.46    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    3.07R    0.14  
Millwall         37   50   -5      62.76     4.06    -4.41     0.00     0.00     4.21     0.90P    0.64R    0.01  
Ipswich          39   49  -16      56.97     3.45   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   11.60R    0.59  
Blackpool        39   47   +1      57.46     3.56     2.23     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    6.54R    0.37  
Blackburn        38   47   -3      58.20     3.77    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    5.97R    0.29  
Huddersfield     39   47  -25      54.79     3.40   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.37R    4.86  
Sheff_Wed        38   46  -10      55.64     3.76   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.62R    3.23  
Peterborough     39   45   -8      53.70     3.55    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.61R    5.18  
Wolverhampton    39   45   -8      54.03     3.50    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.64R    4.19  
Barnsley         38   44  -12      52.71     3.63   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.93R   10.71  
Bristol_City     39   39  -16      47.32     3.45   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.67R   70.36  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 March 2013, Brentford 2 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       40   72  +17      81.34     3.24    18.69    26.73    55.17    98.38    65.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     41   70  +15      78.09     2.96    16.87     4.66    17.11    91.12    33.40P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   70  +15      79.89     3.49    15.49    16.38    35.78    95.12    49.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         40   68  +34      77.86     3.19    36.41     7.96    21.64    92.48    46.83P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   68  +18      82.24     3.74    22.84    43.78    67.18    98.54    77.38P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        41   66  +14      73.19     2.92    14.53     0.12     1.05    40.78     9.35P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          40   65  +12      74.01     3.27    13.16     0.37     1.98    50.98    10.14P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        41   63  +14      70.73     2.98    15.28     0.00     0.04    16.86     4.38P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         41   62   +5      69.15     2.94     5.45     0.00     0.01     4.79     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   41   61   +3      67.86     2.91     3.03     0.00     0.00     1.86     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    41   58  +12      65.21     2.94    12.55     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         39   57  +12      68.62     3.52    15.00     0.00     0.03     7.91     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    39   57   +0      65.32     3.41    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           39   55   -5      62.34     3.38    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   50  -11      56.45     2.86   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Preston         39   48   +1      57.93     3.51     1.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Carlisle        40   47  -20      53.51     3.10   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.74R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      40   45   -7      52.93     3.23    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.75R    0.00  
Colchester      40   43  -20      50.21     3.17   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.33R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      40   41  -22      47.26     3.10   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.55R    0.29  
Oldham          38   40  -12      50.51     3.78   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.96R    0.03  
Portsmouth      41   35  -20      41.17     2.90   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.78R   13.65  
Bury            40   34  -25      41.08     3.18   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.90R   22.21  
Hartlepool      41   33  -30      38.38     2.77   -31.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.87R   63.81  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2013, Bristol_Rovers 0 0 York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           41   76  +27      84.86     2.89    30.00    82.06    99.76   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   70  +29      80.06     3.25    31.75    15.66    89.78    99.98    93.11P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          40   68  +11      76.16     3.19    10.80     1.28    46.97    98.52    57.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   66   +9      73.64     3.22     8.04     0.38    18.41    91.86    31.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           41   65   +6      71.90     2.92     6.10     0.01     7.46    81.01    25.24P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   64   +8      73.92     3.51     8.42     0.57    23.04    90.43    40.15P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               40   63  +11      72.48     3.28    12.86     0.04    14.27    85.21    36.89P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   59   +5      65.34     2.92     4.26     0.00     0.04    10.10     2.30P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   56   +8      66.03     3.24    10.61     0.00     0.06    17.48     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   56   +8      65.37     3.26     9.63     0.00     0.07    13.57     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   56   -6      62.89     2.96    -5.89     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             39   55   +6      64.52     3.51     6.00     0.00     0.14    10.50     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   52   -3      58.76     2.94    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   52   -8      59.75     3.18    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              39   49  -10      58.44     3.55   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.41R    0.06  
Dag_&_Red            41   48   -3      54.97     2.91    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.61R    0.29  
Rochdale             40   48   -6      55.73     3.25    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.24R    0.18  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   48  -21      53.44     2.81   -23.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.32R    1.50  
Torquay              41   46   -7      53.06     2.89    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.93R    1.25  
Plymouth             40   46   -7      53.26     3.15    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.29R    2.03  
Accrington_Stanley   41   46  -17      52.59     2.95   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.18R    4.24  
Barnet               41   45   -9      50.68     2.86   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.15R    7.23  
York                 41   42  -16      47.73     2.83   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.33R   42.48  
Aldershot            40   41  -15      47.85     3.09   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.52R   40.73  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2013, AFC_Telford 0 3 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      42   81  +33      87.40     2.55    34.45    16.55    99.99    39.16P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          39   80  +30      91.36     3.53    32.69    71.84   100.00    79.22P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   72  +31      84.74     3.46    35.76    10.86    99.46    43.74P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     39   71  +21      81.51     3.51    22.44     0.72    93.77    14.67P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            39   66  +24      77.43     3.53    26.77     0.02    72.42    16.59P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       40   64  +19      74.70     3.22    22.64     0.00    31.65     6.08P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       39   59   +3      67.99     3.50     2.04     0.00     1.41     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           40   57   +2      66.04     3.24     3.19     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   56   +6      67.91     3.53     9.55     0.00     1.08     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             41   56   -6      61.54     2.88    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   54   +0      60.62     2.88    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           39   53   -1      62.71     3.56    -0.85     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     38   52  -11      61.58     3.72   -13.60     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Hyde_United        41   51   -6      58.52     3.03    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       41   49   -6      55.07     2.86    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Tamworth           40   48   -9      54.99     3.18   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.14R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      40   48  -12      55.74     3.24   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.53R    0.00  
Gateshead          40   47   -3      55.30     3.19    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.60R    0.00  
Nuneaton           41   47  -12      52.93     2.95   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.98R    0.00  
Southport          41   47  -13      52.56     2.86   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.20R    0.00  
Stockport          41   46  -14      51.60     2.86   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.07R    0.00  
Barrow             40   44  -28      50.99     3.20   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.63R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   36  -25      45.49     3.73   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.74R    2.08  
AFC_Telford        42   31  -23      35.19     2.49   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.92