Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 30 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2013, Arsenal 4 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       30   77  +39      93.25     3.53    47.73    99.71   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      30   62  +29      78.44     3.34    38.22     0.29    93.32    98.72    99.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     31   57  +15      68.56     3.44    17.99     0.00     1.89    28.23    58.61    98.38     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       30   55  +27      69.08     3.66    31.65     0.00     3.01    40.48    68.96    98.44     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       30   53  +26      68.21     3.65    32.99     0.00     1.74    30.17    62.80    98.10     0.00     0.00  
Everton       30   51  +12      62.22     3.58    12.27     0.00     0.03     2.09     7.88    66.64     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.43     3.70    23.28     0.00     0.00     0.31     1.95    37.37     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     31   44   +0      52.66     3.36    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       31   40   +1      47.82     3.27    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.12     3.97    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.07R    0.00  
West_Ham      30   36   -9      44.69     3.47   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.78R    0.00  
Southampton   31   34   -9      42.95     3.49   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.01  
Stoke         31   34   -9      42.70     3.36   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.60R    0.01  
Norwich       31   34  -19      41.98     3.23   -22.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.95R    0.06  
Newcastle     31   33  -15      42.15     3.57   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.59R    0.04  
Sunderland    31   31  -10      39.22     3.33   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.03R    0.22  
Wigan         30   30  -20      37.53     3.39   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.32R    2.15  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.03     3.48   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.41R    1.46  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.14     3.45   -26.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.16R   41.99  
Reading       31   23  -25      30.37     3.35   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.05R   54.05  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2013, Charlton 3 2 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          38   75  +21      88.33     3.78    24.51    87.46    98.45   100.00    98.90P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   71  +11      81.92     3.54    12.98    10.54    73.25    99.99    79.63P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   67  +24      77.21     3.57    24.89     1.73    20.91    98.84    41.38P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   65  +14      75.05     3.54    14.71     0.25     6.23    94.21    24.48P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    39   61   +8      70.35     3.49     7.63     0.01     0.37    57.45    12.63P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   60  +16      70.61     3.53    17.48     0.01     0.44    65.51    16.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   59  +24      69.93     3.56    25.99     0.00     0.34    59.68    19.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           39   54   +4      65.01     3.54     6.12     0.00     0.00    10.12     2.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   54   -4      63.64     3.53    -3.96     0.00     0.00     4.80     1.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Birmingham       39   52   -5      62.88     3.57    -3.09     0.00     0.00     2.74     0.80P    0.21R    0.00  
Leeds_United     39   52   -8      61.12     3.50    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.17P    0.66R    0.01  
Derby            39   51   +3      60.72     3.50     3.12     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.15P    0.86R    0.02  
Burnley          39   50   -1      60.03     3.54    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.12P    1.48R    0.04  
Charlton         39   50   -5      59.10     3.47    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    3.20R    0.18  
Millwall         37   50   -5      62.77     4.06    -4.39     0.00     0.00     4.20     0.85P    0.56R    0.01  
Ipswich          39   49  -16      56.98     3.44   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   11.43R    0.54  
Blackpool        39   47   +1      57.44     3.55     2.22     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    6.51R    0.37  
Blackburn        38   47   -3      58.22     3.75    -2.68     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    5.70R    0.31  
Huddersfield     39   47  -25      54.75     3.41   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.81R    4.99  
Sheff_Wed        38   46  -10      55.62     3.76   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   22.75R    3.29  
Peterborough     39   45   -8      53.65     3.52    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.07R    5.47  
Wolverhampton    39   45   -8      54.04     3.47    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.03R    3.89  
Barnsley         38   44  -12      52.67     3.62   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.17R   10.82  
Bristol_City     39   39  -16      47.34     3.44   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.52R   70.07  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 March 2013, Brentford 2 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       40   72  +17      81.37     3.26    18.75    27.16    55.71    98.48    66.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     41   70  +15      78.14     2.96    16.93     4.67    17.11    91.41    33.15P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   70  +15      79.86     3.46    15.44    15.87    35.06    95.01    48.51P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         40   68  +34      77.81     3.19    36.35     7.56    21.19    92.41    46.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   68  +18      82.28     3.73    22.89    44.25    67.87    98.59    77.85P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        41   66  +14      73.16     2.91    14.48     0.15     1.00    40.08     9.07P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          40   65  +12      74.01     3.28    13.16     0.34     1.97    51.04    10.24P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        41   63  +14      70.74     2.98    15.31     0.00     0.06    16.84     4.62P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         41   62   +5      69.19     2.97     5.50     0.00     0.01     5.21     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   41   61   +3      67.90     2.91     3.08     0.00     0.00     1.95     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    41   58  +12      65.18     2.95    12.50     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         39   57  +12      68.67     3.50    15.06     0.00     0.02     7.77     2.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    39   57   +0      65.28     3.42    -2.02     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           39   55   -5      62.33     3.38    -8.44     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   50  -11      56.45     2.88   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Preston         39   48   +1      57.95     3.52     1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Carlisle        40   47  -20      53.50     3.11   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.64R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      40   45   -7      52.94     3.24    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.76R    0.00  
Colchester      40   43  -20      50.21     3.19   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.23R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      40   41  -22      47.23     3.07   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.81R    0.30  
Oldham          38   40  -12      50.47     3.75   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.98R    0.03  
Portsmouth      41   35  -20      41.19     2.89   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.79R   13.19  
Bury            40   34  -25      41.06     3.17   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.74R   22.15  
Hartlepool      41   33  -30      38.37     2.78   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   64.32  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2013, Bristol_Rovers 0 0 York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           41   76  +27      84.88     2.90    30.05    82.28    99.73   100.00    99.82P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   70  +29      80.08     3.24    31.77    15.62    89.93    99.99    93.28P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          40   68  +11      76.15     3.20    10.79     1.16    46.66    98.57    57.55P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   66   +9      73.67     3.21     8.09     0.34    18.93    91.92    32.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           41   65   +6      71.87     2.93     6.06     0.02     7.15    80.73    24.45P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   64   +8      73.95     3.52     8.47     0.54    23.33    90.74    40.73P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               40   63  +11      72.46     3.26    12.85     0.04    13.94    85.31    36.54P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   59   +5      65.34     2.91     4.26     0.00     0.03     9.90     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   56   +8      66.02     3.24    10.59     0.00     0.06    17.48     5.79P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   56   +8      65.35     3.25     9.62     0.00     0.07    13.32     4.29P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   56   -6      62.92     2.96    -5.84     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             39   55   +6      64.55     3.49     6.03     0.00     0.17    10.58     2.58P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   52   -3      58.77     2.94    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   52   -8      59.76     3.18    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              39   49  -10      58.42     3.54   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.37R    0.06  
Dag_&_Red            41   48   -3      54.97     2.91    -2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54R    0.29  
Rochdale             40   48   -6      55.76     3.25    -6.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.11R    0.17  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   48  -21      53.46     2.82   -23.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.35R    1.51  
Torquay              41   46   -7      53.06     2.88    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.96R    1.26  
Plymouth             40   46   -7      53.23     3.16    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.61R    1.97  
Accrington_Stanley   41   46  -17      52.55     2.95   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.51R    4.34  
Barnet               41   45   -9      50.67     2.84   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.88R    6.96  
York                 41   42  -16      47.73     2.84   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.96R   42.54  
Aldershot            40   41  -15      47.82     3.09   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.67R   40.88  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2013, AFC_Telford 0 3 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      42   81  +33      87.37     2.55    34.41    16.83   100.00    39.33P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          39   80  +30      91.32     3.55    32.65    71.42   100.00    78.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   72  +31      84.77     3.46    35.78    11.03    99.49    44.21P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     39   71  +21      81.47     3.52    22.39     0.71    93.43    14.31P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            39   66  +24      77.37     3.52    26.69     0.02    71.80    16.26P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       40   64  +19      74.74     3.22    22.70     0.00    32.76     6.57P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       39   59   +3      68.06     3.50     2.16     0.00     1.28     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           40   57   +2      66.02     3.26     3.16     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   56   +6      67.92     3.51     9.57     0.00     1.03     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             41   56   -6      61.52     2.88    -8.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   54   +0      60.64     2.87    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           39   53   -1      62.70     3.55    -0.85     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     38   52  -11      61.59     3.72   -13.59     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Hyde_United        41   51   -6      58.49     3.03    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       41   49   -6      55.08     2.86    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.00  
Tamworth           40   48   -9      55.03     3.17   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.09R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      40   48  -12      55.77     3.25   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.53R    0.00  
Gateshead          40   47   -3      55.29     3.19    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.56R    0.00  
Nuneaton           41   47  -12      52.94     2.93   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.68R    0.00  
Southport          41   47  -13      52.54     2.86   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.38R    0.00  
Stockport          41   46  -14      51.59     2.85   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.12R    0.00  
Barrow             40   44  -28      51.00     3.21   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.52R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   36  -25      45.49     3.72   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.95R    2.10  
AFC_Telford        42   31  -23      35.19     2.50   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.90