Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 29 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 29 74 +38 92.33 3.78 47.78 99.50 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 29 59 +25 77.63 3.56 35.54 0.49 84.86 97.31 99.49 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 55 +28 71.14 3.91 33.75 0.00 11.69 63.79 86.32 99.45 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 54 +14 67.04 3.72 17.16 0.00 1.41 15.22 44.64 96.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 50 +23 67.63 3.82 31.88 0.00 2.02 22.10 60.50 97.17 0.00 0.00 Everton 29 48 +11 61.20 3.83 12.08 0.00 0.03 1.30 6.65 58.81 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 45 +18 59.45 3.73 23.33 0.00 0.00 0.27 2.36 44.46 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 30 44 +2 54.10 3.66 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 3.70 0.00 0.00 Swansea 30 40 +2 49.12 3.54 -1.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.00 Fulham 29 36 -4 48.04 3.93 -4.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.07R 0.00 Stoke 30 34 -8 43.57 3.59 -9.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.38R 0.00 Norwich 30 34 -18 43.22 3.50 -21.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.68R 0.03 Newcastle 30 33 -11 42.80 3.71 -13.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.64R 0.04 West_Ham 29 33 -11 42.93 3.77 -15.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.28R 0.05 Sunderland 30 31 -9 39.94 3.54 -12.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.01R 0.18 Southampton 30 31 -10 40.67 3.72 -12.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.16R 0.17 Aston_Villa 30 30 -25 38.00 3.48 -30.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.23R 1.59 Wigan 29 27 -21 36.10 3.68 -27.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.76R 6.68 Reading 30 23 -22 30.86 3.50 -27.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.62R 46.55 QPR 30 23 -22 31.04 3.45 -26.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.17R 44.70Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Cardiff 37 75 +22 90.10 4.04 26.10 94.32 99.37 100.00 99.52P 0.00 0.00 Hull 38 68 +10 80.46 3.80 12.20 4.41 61.36 99.68 70.07P 0.00 0.00 Watford 39 67 +24 77.26 3.57 24.98 1.12 27.59 98.29 46.18P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 39 65 +14 75.05 3.52 14.70 0.13 8.59 92.86 25.82P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 60 +8 70.81 3.75 7.82 0.02 1.11 57.30 13.59P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 39 59 +24 69.88 3.57 25.92 0.00 0.71 54.58 18.90P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 38 59 +16 70.82 3.79 17.29 0.00 1.22 61.99 16.71P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 38 54 +5 66.50 3.81 7.30 0.00 0.04 17.92 5.39P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 38 54 -3 64.87 3.80 -3.15 0.00 0.02 8.33 1.82P 0.02R 0.00 Birmingham 39 52 -5 62.90 3.55 -3.08 0.00 0.00 2.10 0.57P 0.14R 0.00 Leeds_United 38 52 -5 62.67 3.77 -5.60 0.00 0.00 2.50 0.46P 0.18R 0.00 Derby 39 51 +3 60.70 3.55 3.10 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.13P 0.52R 0.00 Burnley 39 50 -1 60.00 3.53 -0.44 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.07P 0.97R 0.04 Millwall 37 50 -5 62.72 4.07 -4.47 0.00 0.00 3.37 0.70P 0.40R 0.01 Blackpool 39 47 +1 57.49 3.55 2.28 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 4.31R 0.20 Blackburn 38 47 -3 58.24 3.78 -2.65 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.05P 3.88R 0.21 Charlton 38 47 -6 57.27 3.74 -7.01 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02P 7.62R 0.72 Huddersfield 38 47 -24 55.96 3.66 -27.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.16R 2.23 Ipswich 38 46 -19 55.20 3.69 -21.62 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 21.02R 2.37 Barnsley 37 44 -11 53.88 3.86 -14.77 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 32.18R 5.63 Sheff_Wed 37 43 -11 54.20 4.01 -12.78 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 30.10R 6.23 Peterborough 38 42 -9 51.70 3.79 -11.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.88R 12.23 Wolverhampton 38 42 -9 52.54 3.76 -9.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.02R 7.89 Bristol_City 39 39 -16 47.31 3.44 -18.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.61R 62.24League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 March 2013, Brentford 2 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Doncaster 40 72 +17 81.37 3.25 18.74 27.03 55.61 98.48 66.29P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 41 70 +15 78.15 2.95 16.96 4.63 17.34 91.51 33.71P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 70 +15 79.92 3.46 15.52 16.22 35.78 95.13 49.11P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 40 68 +34 77.79 3.18 36.33 7.54 20.88 92.35 46.07P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 38 68 +18 82.27 3.75 22.90 44.08 67.33 98.55 77.34P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 41 66 +14 73.18 2.92 14.52 0.13 0.96 40.47 9.24P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 40 65 +12 74.00 3.28 13.16 0.37 2.01 50.77 10.09P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 41 63 +14 70.75 2.97 15.30 0.00 0.06 16.79 4.50P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 41 62 +5 69.15 2.96 5.47 0.00 0.01 4.94 0.81P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 41 61 +3 67.87 2.90 3.04 0.00 0.00 1.86 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 41 58 +12 65.18 2.94 12.51 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.09P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 39 57 +12 68.68 3.52 15.07 0.00 0.03 7.89 2.34P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 39 57 +0 65.35 3.42 -1.93 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 39 55 -5 62.34 3.36 -8.42 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 41 50 -11 56.45 2.88 -11.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Preston 39 48 +1 57.91 3.51 1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Carlisle 40 47 -20 53.53 3.09 -22.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.59R 0.00 Shrewsbury 40 45 -7 52.92 3.24 -7.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.72R 0.00 Colchester 40 43 -20 50.21 3.19 -21.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.29R 0.00 Scunthorpe 40 41 -22 47.21 3.06 -25.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.00R 0.30 Oldham 38 40 -12 50.47 3.76 -12.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.95R 0.04 Portsmouth 41 35 -20 41.15 2.89 -20.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.71R 13.13 Bury 40 34 -25 41.08 3.20 -26.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.73R 22.24 Hartlepool 41 33 -30 38.37 2.78 -32.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.85R 64.28League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 March 2013, Barnet 0 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Gillingham 40 75 +27 85.38 3.21 30.22 82.83 99.47 100.00 99.63P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 40 70 +29 80.09 3.23 31.77 14.20 86.46 99.99 90.93P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 40 68 +11 76.15 3.19 10.80 1.03 39.07 98.41 51.57P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 39 66 +10 75.06 3.50 9.09 1.12 27.35 95.13 39.98P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 41 65 +6 71.90 2.94 6.11 0.01 5.49 80.45 23.67P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 39 64 +8 73.89 3.53 8.37 0.52 18.70 90.04 36.79P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 39 63 +12 74.09 3.57 14.19 0.30 23.24 91.85 44.99P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 40 58 +5 65.55 3.21 4.07 0.00 0.08 11.47 2.73P 0.00 0.00 Southend 40 56 +8 65.98 3.24 10.57 0.00 0.02 15.03 4.93P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 56 -6 62.90 2.96 -5.88 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 39 55 +6 64.55 3.51 6.03 0.00 0.09 9.70 2.39P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 39 53 +7 63.73 3.54 8.66 0.00 0.03 6.47 2.05P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 41 52 -3 58.76 2.94 -3.14 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 39 51 -8 60.59 3.46 -8.04 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.11P 0.01R 0.00 Wycombe 39 49 -10 58.44 3.53 -10.29 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 0.33R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 41 48 -3 55.01 2.91 -2.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.24R 0.22 Rochdale 40 48 -6 55.74 3.25 -6.80 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 1.17R 0.17 AFC_Wimbledon 41 48 -21 53.39 2.80 -23.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.54R 1.31 Torquay 41 46 -7 53.04 2.89 -6.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.40R 1.16 Accrington_Stanley 41 46 -17 52.53 2.96 -17.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.19R 3.87 Barnet 41 45 -9 50.66 2.85 -10.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.66R 6.53 Plymouth 39 43 -8 51.40 3.43 -9.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.34R 7.57 Aldershot 40 41 -15 47.86 3.09 -16.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.49R 37.22 York 40 41 -16 47.71 3.11 -18.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.63R 41.92Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 28 March 2013, Braintree_Town 2 1 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Kidderminster 41 78 +32 86.50 2.85 34.62 14.28 99.97 37.71P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 38 77 +29 90.04 3.79 32.18 55.86 99.99 67.44P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 38 72 +33 86.86 3.70 38.85 27.73 99.86 54.79P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 38 70 +21 82.37 3.79 23.17 2.00 95.75 16.25P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 38 65 +24 78.60 3.75 28.04 0.14 82.98 19.58P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 39 61 +17 73.33 3.52 21.05 0.00 16.81 3.28P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 38 58 +3 68.90 3.75 2.80 0.00 2.44 0.45P 0.00 0.00 Hereford 39 56 +2 66.56 3.54 3.40 0.00 0.36 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Luton 38 55 +6 68.43 3.77 9.76 0.00 1.77 0.41P 0.00 0.00 Woking 40 55 -6 61.76 3.21 -8.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 40 53 +0 60.89 3.18 -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Dartford 38 52 -1 62.61 3.79 -1.67 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 37 52 -10 62.25 3.90 -13.83 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Hyde_United 40 48 -8 56.30 3.28 -7.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.70R 0.00 Tamworth 39 48 -8 56.00 3.44 -10.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 39 48 -10 57.37 3.55 -10.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.57R 0.00 Gateshead 39 46 -3 56.00 3.49 -2.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.54R 0.00 Lincoln_City 40 46 -8 53.28 3.17 -9.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.78R 0.00 Southport 40 46 -13 52.58 3.15 -15.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.64R 0.00 Stockport 40 45 -14 51.44 3.11 -16.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.78R 0.00 Nuneaton 40 44 -15 51.04 3.21 -16.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.37R 0.04 Barrow 39 43 -28 50.62 3.39 -31.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.14R 0.04 Ebbsfleet_United 37 36 -23 46.69 3.99 -26.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.54R 3.61 AFC_Telford 41 31 -20 36.80 2.84 -21.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.31