Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 29 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.33     3.78    47.78    99.50    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.63     3.56    35.54     0.49    84.86    97.31    99.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.14     3.91    33.75     0.00    11.69    63.79    86.32    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.04     3.72    17.16     0.00     1.41    15.22    44.64    96.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.63     3.82    31.88     0.00     2.02    22.10    60.50    97.17     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.20     3.83    12.08     0.00     0.03     1.30     6.65    58.81     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.45     3.73    23.33     0.00     0.00     0.27     2.36    44.46     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.10     3.66     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     3.70     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.12     3.54    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.04     3.93    -4.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.07R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.57     3.59    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.22     3.50   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.68R    0.03  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.80     3.71   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.64R    0.04  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.93     3.77   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.28R    0.05  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.94     3.54   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.01R    0.18  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.67     3.72   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.16R    0.17  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.00     3.48   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.23R    1.59  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.10     3.68   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.76R    6.68  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.86     3.50   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.62R   46.55  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.04     3.45   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.17R   44.70  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.10     4.04    26.10    94.32    99.37   100.00    99.52P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.46     3.80    12.20     4.41    61.36    99.68    70.07P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   67  +24      77.26     3.57    24.98     1.12    27.59    98.29    46.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   65  +14      75.05     3.52    14.70     0.13     8.59    92.86    25.82P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.81     3.75     7.82     0.02     1.11    57.30    13.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   59  +24      69.88     3.57    25.92     0.00     0.71    54.58    18.90P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.82     3.79    17.29     0.00     1.22    61.99    16.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.50     3.81     7.30     0.00     0.04    17.92     5.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.87     3.80    -3.15     0.00     0.02     8.33     1.82P    0.02R    0.00  
Birmingham       39   52   -5      62.90     3.55    -3.08     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.57P    0.14R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.67     3.77    -5.60     0.00     0.00     2.50     0.46P    0.18R    0.00  
Derby            39   51   +3      60.70     3.55     3.10     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.13P    0.52R    0.00  
Burnley          39   50   -1      60.00     3.53    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P    0.97R    0.04  
Millwall         37   50   -5      62.72     4.07    -4.47     0.00     0.00     3.37     0.70P    0.40R    0.01  
Blackpool        39   47   +1      57.49     3.55     2.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.31R    0.20  
Blackburn        38   47   -3      58.24     3.78    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.05P    3.88R    0.21  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.27     3.74    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    7.62R    0.72  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.96     3.66   -27.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.16R    2.23  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.20     3.69   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.02R    2.37  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.88     3.86   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.18R    5.63  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.20     4.01   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.10R    6.23  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.70     3.79   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.88R   12.23  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.54     3.76    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.02R    7.89  
Bristol_City     39   39  -16      47.31     3.44   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.61R   62.24  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 March 2013, Brentford 2 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       40   72  +17      81.37     3.25    18.74    27.03    55.61    98.48    66.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     41   70  +15      78.15     2.95    16.96     4.63    17.34    91.51    33.71P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   70  +15      79.92     3.46    15.52    16.22    35.78    95.13    49.11P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         40   68  +34      77.79     3.18    36.33     7.54    20.88    92.35    46.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   68  +18      82.27     3.75    22.90    44.08    67.33    98.55    77.34P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        41   66  +14      73.18     2.92    14.52     0.13     0.96    40.47     9.24P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          40   65  +12      74.00     3.28    13.16     0.37     2.01    50.77    10.09P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        41   63  +14      70.75     2.97    15.30     0.00     0.06    16.79     4.50P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         41   62   +5      69.15     2.96     5.47     0.00     0.01     4.94     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   41   61   +3      67.87     2.90     3.04     0.00     0.00     1.86     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    41   58  +12      65.18     2.94    12.51     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         39   57  +12      68.68     3.52    15.07     0.00     0.03     7.89     2.34P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    39   57   +0      65.35     3.42    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           39   55   -5      62.34     3.36    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   50  -11      56.45     2.88   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Preston         39   48   +1      57.91     3.51     1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Carlisle        40   47  -20      53.53     3.09   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.59R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      40   45   -7      52.92     3.24    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.72R    0.00  
Colchester      40   43  -20      50.21     3.19   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.29R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   41  -22      47.21     3.06   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.00R    0.30  
Oldham          38   40  -12      50.47     3.76   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.95R    0.04  
Portsmouth      41   35  -20      41.15     2.89   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.71R   13.13  
Bury            40   34  -25      41.08     3.20   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.73R   22.24  
Hartlepool      41   33  -30      38.37     2.78   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   64.28  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 March 2013, Barnet 0 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           40   75  +27      85.38     3.21    30.22    82.83    99.47   100.00    99.63P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   70  +29      80.09     3.23    31.77    14.20    86.46    99.99    90.93P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          40   68  +11      76.15     3.19    10.80     1.03    39.07    98.41    51.57P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.06     3.50     9.09     1.12    27.35    95.13    39.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           41   65   +6      71.90     2.94     6.11     0.01     5.49    80.45    23.67P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   64   +8      73.89     3.53     8.37     0.52    18.70    90.04    36.79P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.09     3.57    14.19     0.30    23.24    91.85    44.99P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   58   +5      65.55     3.21     4.07     0.00     0.08    11.47     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   56   +8      65.98     3.24    10.57     0.00     0.02    15.03     4.93P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   56   -6      62.90     2.96    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             39   55   +6      64.55     3.51     6.03     0.00     0.09     9.70     2.39P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   53   +7      63.73     3.54     8.66     0.00     0.03     6.47     2.05P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   52   -3      58.76     2.94    -3.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.59     3.46    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              39   49  -10      58.44     3.53   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.33R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red            41   48   -3      55.01     2.91    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.24R    0.22  
Rochdale             40   48   -6      55.74     3.25    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.17R    0.17  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   48  -21      53.39     2.80   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.54R    1.31  
Torquay              41   46   -7      53.04     2.89    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.40R    1.16  
Accrington_Stanley   41   46  -17      52.53     2.96   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.19R    3.87  
Barnet               41   45   -9      50.66     2.85   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.66R    6.53  
Plymouth             39   43   -8      51.40     3.43    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.34R    7.57  
Aldershot            40   41  -15      47.86     3.09   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.49R   37.22  
York                 40   41  -16      47.71     3.11   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.63R   41.92  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 28 March 2013, Braintree_Town 2 1 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      41   78  +32      86.50     2.85    34.62    14.28    99.97    37.71P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   77  +29      90.04     3.79    32.18    55.86    99.99    67.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.86     3.70    38.85    27.73    99.86    54.79P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     38   70  +21      82.37     3.79    23.17     2.00    95.75    16.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            38   65  +24      78.60     3.75    28.04     0.14    82.98    19.58P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.33     3.52    21.05     0.00    16.81     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       38   58   +3      68.90     3.75     2.80     0.00     2.44     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           39   56   +2      66.56     3.54     3.40     0.00     0.36     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   55   +6      68.43     3.77     9.76     0.00     1.77     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             40   55   -6      61.76     3.21    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   53   +0      60.89     3.18    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           38   52   -1      62.61     3.79    -1.67     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     37   52  -10      62.25     3.90   -13.83     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Hyde_United        40   48   -8      56.30     3.28    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.70R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   48   -8      56.00     3.44   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      39   48  -10      57.37     3.55   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.57R    0.00  
Gateshead          39   46   -3      56.00     3.49    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       40   46   -8      53.28     3.17    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.78R    0.00  
Southport          40   46  -13      52.58     3.15   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.64R    0.00  
Stockport          40   45  -14      51.44     3.11   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.78R    0.00  
Nuneaton           40   44  -15      51.04     3.21   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.37R    0.04  
Barrow             39   43  -28      50.62     3.39   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.14R    0.04  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      46.69     3.99   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.54R    3.61  
AFC_Telford        41   31  -20      36.80     2.84   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.31