Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 28 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.34     3.79    47.80    99.58   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.58     3.57    35.42     0.41    84.63    97.21    99.50   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.13     3.90    33.73     0.01    11.69    63.69    86.04    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.06     3.71    17.14     0.00     1.53    15.34    44.56    96.19     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.62     3.82    31.87     0.00     2.13    22.32    60.68    97.27     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.21     3.85    12.11     0.00     0.03     1.22     6.74    59.16     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.43     3.72    23.28     0.00     0.00     0.23     2.44    43.89     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.08     3.67     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.55     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.14     3.56    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.03     3.98    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.54     3.57    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.01  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.22     3.51   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.67R    0.03  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.83     3.70   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59R    0.02  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.96     3.76   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.11R    0.05  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.98     3.56   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.76R    0.18  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.62     3.70   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.46R    0.23  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.00     3.47   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.30R    1.61  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.08     3.68   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.10R    6.84  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.90     3.49   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.59R   46.29  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.06     3.46   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.91R   44.75  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.11     4.05    26.11    93.09    98.79   100.00    99.11P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.45     3.80    12.17     4.22    50.84    99.53    62.10P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      78.02     3.83    25.60     1.94    29.49    98.27    46.64P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   65  +18      76.93     3.81    19.45     0.73    16.89    96.36    34.52P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.81     3.75     7.79     0.02     0.77    52.47    11.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.84     3.81    27.77     0.01     2.36    69.98    25.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.81     3.79    17.24     0.00     0.84    57.45    14.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.47     3.80     7.27     0.00     0.01    14.54     4.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.87     3.77    -3.15     0.00     0.01     6.78     1.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.75     3.78    -5.48     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.38P    0.20R    0.00  
Burnley          38   49   -1      59.87     3.78    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.08P    1.55R    0.13  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.77     3.80    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.12P    1.20R    0.07  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.33     3.78     0.48     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    2.33R    0.21  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.26     3.74    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    7.78R    0.98  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.55     4.25    -6.25     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.28P    2.17R    0.16  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.91     3.66   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.99R    3.01  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.65     3.80     1.98     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    5.04R    0.45  
Blackburn        37   46   -3      58.81     4.06    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    3.87R    0.35  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.25     3.69   -21.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.05R    3.17  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.88     3.87   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.13R    7.41  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.12     4.00   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.98R    8.45  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.69     3.79   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.57R   16.23  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.59     3.73    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.22R   10.31  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.63     3.71   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.90R   49.06  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 March 2013, Crawley_Town 2 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       39   72  +18      82.63     3.53    19.61    43.66    69.69    98.97    77.24P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         39   67  +34      78.90     3.43    37.35    14.49    34.67    94.46    55.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     40   67  +14      76.67     3.28    16.18     2.58    10.54    79.76    25.72P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.34     3.74    14.60     9.56    23.91    86.90    38.48P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        40   66  +15      74.43     3.20    15.35     0.91     3.95    56.67    15.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.75     4.01    22.03    27.85    52.92    95.26    67.21P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          39   64  +12      74.54     3.59    13.37     0.95     4.18    56.52    12.98P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         40   61   +5      69.42     3.26     5.27     0.00     0.05     7.74     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   61   +4      69.40     3.23     4.28     0.00     0.03     6.45     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        40   60  +13      69.12     3.27    14.30     0.00     0.04     9.07     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    40   58  +13      66.49     3.23    13.45     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    38   56   +0      65.80     3.70    -1.82     0.00     0.02     1.23     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         38   54  +10      67.34     3.78    13.50     0.00     0.02     4.64     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           38   54   -5      62.75     3.66    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       40   49  -11      56.76     3.17   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Preston         38   47   +1      58.52     3.79     1.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Carlisle        39   46  -20      54.00     3.41   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.22     3.51    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.04R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.37     3.46   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.68R    0.00  
Oldham          37   39  -12      50.13     3.92   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.66R    0.13  
Scunthorpe      39   38  -23      45.50     3.37   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.60R    3.14  
Portsmouth      40   34  -20      41.32     3.18   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.12R   17.98  
Bury            39   33  -25      41.47     3.47   -26.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.59R   24.87  
Hartlepool      40   33  -28      39.34     3.03   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.31R   53.87  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           40   75  +27      85.39     3.22    30.25    87.55    99.65   100.00    99.80P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.86     3.50    31.37     9.54    79.70    99.72    86.19P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.08     3.49     9.15     1.26    32.00    94.55    43.50P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          39   65  +10      74.63     3.47     9.97     0.56    29.04    93.23    42.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65   +7      72.88     3.20     6.52     0.19    13.61    84.70    30.70P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.09     3.58    14.21     0.45    28.06    91.30    48.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.92     3.77     8.43     0.44    17.21    82.27    33.73P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   58   +5      65.54     3.20     4.05     0.00     0.10    11.28     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   55   +8      66.43     3.53    10.65     0.00     0.30    20.27     6.79P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   55   -6      63.47     3.28    -5.58     0.00     0.00     2.39     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   54   +6      64.88     3.77     6.00     0.00     0.30    12.70     3.33P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   53   +7      63.70     3.55     8.60     0.00     0.03     6.33     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   51   -3      58.95     3.26    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.56     3.46    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              38   49   -9      60.25     3.86    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.17P    0.14R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   48  -20      54.19     3.06   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.02R    0.69  
Dag_&_Red            40   47   -3      55.31     3.21    -2.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.28  
Rochdale             39   47   -6      56.45     3.52    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    1.10R    0.20  
Torquay              40   46   -6      54.30     3.20    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59R    0.52  
Barnet               40   44   -9      51.08     3.17   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.69R    5.53  
Plymouth             39   43   -8      51.41     3.43    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.37R    6.39  
Accrington_Stanley   40   43  -18      50.53     3.23   -19.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.58R   13.22  
York                 40   41  -16      47.68     3.11   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.43R   38.03  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.85     3.35   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.40R   35.13  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 28 March 2013, Braintree_Town 2 1 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      41   78  +32      86.50     2.83    34.66    14.13    99.97    37.55P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   77  +29      90.05     3.80    32.17    56.04    99.99    67.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.87     3.71    38.88    27.60    99.86    54.67P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     38   70  +21      82.33     3.78    23.14     2.06    95.73    16.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            38   65  +24      78.66     3.76    28.11     0.18    83.26    19.79P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.34     3.52    21.06     0.00    16.72     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       38   58   +3      68.85     3.72     2.77     0.00     2.28     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           39   56   +2      66.62     3.55     3.49     0.00     0.38     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   55   +6      68.42     3.78     9.77     0.00     1.74     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             40   55   -6      61.72     3.20    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   53   +0      60.93     3.17    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           38   52   -1      62.60     3.79    -1.69     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     37   52  -10      62.29     3.93   -13.81     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Hyde_United        40   48   -8      56.31     3.28    -7.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.72R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   48   -8      55.99     3.44   -10.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      39   48  -10      57.40     3.55   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.45R    0.00  
Gateshead          39   46   -3      56.04     3.47    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.58R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       40   46   -8      53.27     3.16    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.66R    0.00  
Southport          40   46  -13      52.54     3.14   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.72R    0.00  
Stockport          40   45  -14      51.45     3.11   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.58R    0.00  
Nuneaton           40   44  -15      51.02     3.21   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.22R    0.03  
Barrow             39   43  -28      50.55     3.39   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.78R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      46.71     3.98   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.36R    3.71  
AFC_Telford        41   31  -20      36.79     2.86   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   96.21