Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.33     3.78    47.80    99.53   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.62     3.58    35.50     0.46    84.68    97.28    99.53   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.08     3.91    33.67     0.01    11.70    63.18    85.91    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.03     3.72    17.15     0.00     1.56    15.49    44.69    96.02     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.60     3.82    31.83     0.00     2.03    22.38    60.43    97.15     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.22     3.84    12.15     0.00     0.03     1.35     6.79    59.15     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.45     3.73    23.31     0.00     0.00     0.33     2.61    44.08     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.14     3.67     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.71     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.15     3.53    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.05     3.96    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.07R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.57     3.60    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.53R    0.01  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.18     3.53   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.82R    0.03  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.79     3.71   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.68R    0.04  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.87     3.73   -15.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.04  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.98     3.54   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.75R    0.19  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.66     3.72   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.18R    0.17  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.02     3.48   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.05R    1.61  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.10     3.70   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.04R    6.92  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.92     3.48   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.54R   45.83  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.03     3.45   -26.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.14R   45.15  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.11     4.02    26.13    93.24    98.93   100.00    99.22P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.45     3.80    12.19     4.12    50.95    99.52    62.07P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      77.98     3.85    25.50     1.93    29.31    98.11    46.65P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   65  +18      76.97     3.79    19.50     0.68    17.01    96.36    34.41P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.81     3.75     7.80     0.01     0.72    52.25    11.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.88     3.79    27.84     0.02     2.21    70.43    25.19P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.80     3.81    17.24     0.01     0.83    57.25    14.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.45     3.81     7.24     0.00     0.03    14.36     4.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.94     3.79    -3.05     0.00     0.01     7.05     1.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.78     3.79    -5.44     0.00     0.00     2.12     0.44P    0.15R    0.00  
Burnley          38   49   -1      59.98     3.77    -1.09     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P    1.36R    0.08  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.77     3.80    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.15P    1.13R    0.08  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.32     3.80     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    2.52R    0.19  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.20     3.74    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    8.08R    1.01  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.49     4.23    -6.33     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.22P    2.22R    0.16  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.99     3.68   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   17.36R    2.81  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.60     3.80     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    5.05R    0.41  
Blackburn        37   46   -3      58.78     4.04    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P    3.90R    0.33  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.29     3.68   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.51R    2.96  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.80     3.85   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   33.66R    7.38  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.19     4.00   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.45R    8.07  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.64     3.78   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.75R   16.15  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.57     3.76    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.32R   10.20  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.54     3.72   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.54R   50.16  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 March 2013, Crawley_Town 2 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       39   72  +18      82.64     3.52    19.62    44.07    69.72    99.02    77.23P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         39   67  +34      78.86     3.43    37.31    14.25    34.41    94.31    55.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     40   67  +14      76.67     3.28    16.17     2.65    10.57    80.02    26.25P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.29     3.76    14.54     9.34    23.74    86.66    38.38P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        40   66  +15      74.41     3.21    15.31     0.94     3.96    56.27    14.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.75     4.00    22.03    27.91    53.35    95.29    67.58P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          39   64  +12      74.56     3.58    13.42     0.84     4.13    56.81    13.07P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         40   61   +5      69.43     3.26     5.27     0.00     0.05     7.99     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   61   +4      69.34     3.21     4.20     0.00     0.01     6.10     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        40   60  +13      69.14     3.27    14.34     0.00     0.04     9.04     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    40   58  +13      66.49     3.25    13.44     0.00     0.00     2.17     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    38   56   +0      65.77     3.69    -1.85     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         38   54  +10      67.37     3.80    13.55     0.00     0.02     4.87     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           38   54   -5      62.75     3.67    -8.40     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       40   49  -11      56.79     3.18   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Preston         38   47   +1      58.53     3.78     1.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Carlisle        39   46  -20      53.98     3.39   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.61R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.23     3.53    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.25R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.43     3.44   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.44R    0.00  
Oldham          37   39  -12      50.15     3.94   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.76R    0.11  
Scunthorpe      39   38  -23      45.48     3.37   -26.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.87R    3.19  
Portsmouth      40   34  -20      41.36     3.20   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.96R   17.79  
Bury            39   33  -25      41.44     3.47   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.60R   25.32  
Hartlepool      40   33  -28      39.36     3.04   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.31R   53.59  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           40   75  +27      85.42     3.20    30.27    87.88    99.63   100.00    99.74P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.80     3.52    31.28     9.32    79.19    99.72    86.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.10     3.50     9.16     1.24    32.55    94.78    44.04P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          39   65  +10      74.63     3.48     9.93     0.58    28.98    93.16    42.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65   +7      72.95     3.20     6.65     0.21    14.08    85.05    31.56P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.00     3.57    14.09     0.37    27.35    91.07    47.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.95     3.77     8.47     0.39    17.52    82.41    34.20P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   58   +5      65.48     3.20     3.99     0.00     0.10    11.04     2.49P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   55   +8      66.45     3.53    10.67     0.00     0.27    20.42     6.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   55   -6      63.53     3.26    -5.51     0.00     0.00     2.36     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   54   +6      64.85     3.76     5.96     0.00     0.29    12.51     3.13P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   53   +7      63.72     3.53     8.63     0.00     0.04     6.21     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   51   -3      58.92     3.25    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.59     3.46    -8.03     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              38   49   -9      60.31     3.84    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.19P    0.12R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   48  -20      54.19     3.06   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.75R    0.62  
Dag_&_Red            40   47   -3      55.31     3.20    -2.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59R    0.37  
Rochdale             39   47   -6      56.49     3.52    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.12R    0.23  
Torquay              40   46   -6      54.26     3.19    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.73R    0.54  
Barnet               40   44   -9      51.07     3.16   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.85R    5.52  
Plymouth             39   43   -8      51.35     3.43    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.68R    6.40  
Accrington_Stanley   40   43  -18      50.47     3.23   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.04R   13.45  
York                 40   41  -16      47.73     3.11   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.17R   37.33  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.81     3.35   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.89R   35.51  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 March 2013, Barrow 1 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      41   78  +32      86.48     2.83    34.61    13.69    99.97    36.73P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   77  +29      90.07     3.82    32.20    55.74    99.99    67.47P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.89     3.73    38.97    27.48    99.86    54.69P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     37   69  +21      82.71     4.03    23.13     2.93    95.49    17.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            38   65  +24      78.65     3.76    28.09     0.16    83.22    19.88P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.34     3.52    21.04     0.00    16.74     3.26P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       38   58   +3      68.84     3.79     2.76     0.00     2.47     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           39   56   +2      66.59     3.56     3.44     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   55   +6      68.43     3.80     9.78     0.00     1.86     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             39   54   -6      62.09     3.50    -8.51     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   53   +0      60.91     3.17    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           38   52   -1      62.69     3.84    -1.53     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     36   49  -11      60.78     4.15   -14.68     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.31R    0.00  
Hyde_United        40   48   -8      56.28     3.28    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   48   -8      56.00     3.44   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   48   -9      58.59     3.80    -9.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       40   46   -8      53.31     3.19    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.96R    0.00  
Southport          40   46  -13      52.56     3.15   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.87R    0.00  
Gateshead          38   45   -3      56.40     3.76    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.75R    0.00  
Stockport          40   45  -14      51.44     3.11   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.28R    0.00  
Nuneaton           39   43  -15      51.43     3.50   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.10R    0.05  
Barrow             39   43  -28      50.58     3.37   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.12R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      46.69     3.97   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.77R    3.61  
AFC_Telford        41   31  -20      36.81     2.85   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.28