Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 25 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.37     3.77    47.88    99.55    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.65     3.60    35.57     0.44    84.88    97.29    99.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.10     3.89    33.66     0.01    11.42    63.34    86.02    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.07     3.71    17.20     0.00     1.58    15.56    44.90    96.14     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.62     3.81    31.86     0.00     2.11    22.26    60.40    97.21     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.23     3.83    12.13     0.00     0.03     1.27     6.78    59.30     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.45     3.72    23.32     0.00     0.00     0.29     2.36    43.92     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.15     3.68     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.58     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.14     3.55    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.00     3.97    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.57     3.57    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.40R    0.01  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.16     3.52   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.78R    0.02  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.81     3.69   -13.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.03  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.87     3.76   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.36R    0.06  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.96     3.55   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.68R    0.22  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.69     3.72   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.12R    0.18  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.00     3.48   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.39R    1.54  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.11     3.67   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.68R    6.70  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.88     3.49   -27.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.59R   46.74  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.02     3.43   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.39R   44.51  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.10     4.05    26.10    92.83    98.82   100.00    99.16P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.46     3.83    12.21     4.39    50.96    99.53    62.39P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      78.02     3.84    25.57     1.99    29.42    98.15    46.96P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   65  +18      76.96     3.79    19.52     0.77    17.00    96.49    34.01P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.79     3.76     7.80     0.01     0.71    52.28    11.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.86     3.80    27.80     0.02     2.24    70.10    25.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.77     3.81    17.21     0.00     0.82    56.70    14.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.49     3.81     7.30     0.00     0.01    14.94     4.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.93     3.78    -3.07     0.00     0.01     7.11     1.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.81     3.81    -5.39     0.00     0.00     2.08     0.41P    0.18R    0.00  
Burnley          38   49   -1      59.94     3.77    -1.15     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.10P    1.47R    0.11  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.76     3.79    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.13P    1.20R    0.07  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.29     3.77     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    2.33R    0.19  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.18     3.73    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.93R    0.98  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.52     4.25    -6.30     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.21P    2.24R    0.19  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.97     3.67   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.66R    2.95  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.63     3.80     1.92     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    5.00R    0.40  
Blackburn        37   46   -3      58.83     4.05    -2.31     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    3.77R    0.32  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.21     3.69   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.08R    3.10  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.84     3.85   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.01R    7.37  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.15     4.03   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.87R    8.41  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.66     3.80   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.71R   16.27  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.61     3.75    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.86R    9.97  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.54     3.73   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.69R   49.66  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 March 2013, Tranmere 3 1 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       39   72  +18      82.63     3.54    19.59    43.89    69.89    98.93    77.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         39   67  +34      78.87     3.45    37.31    14.38    34.90    94.50    56.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     40   67  +14      76.68     3.26    16.19     2.59    10.48    79.82    26.12P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.33     3.77    14.59     9.84    24.08    86.88    38.80P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        40   66  +15      74.42     3.21    15.32     0.98     4.04    56.62    14.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.68     3.99    21.98    27.39    52.50    95.20    67.11P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          39   64  +12      74.52     3.57    13.37     0.93     3.98    56.34    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         40   61   +5      69.39     3.25     5.23     0.00     0.04     7.74     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   61   +4      69.38     3.22     4.25     0.00     0.02     6.33     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        40   60  +13      69.16     3.27    14.38     0.00     0.05     8.99     2.40P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    40   58  +13      66.47     3.24    13.43     0.00     0.00     2.18     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         38   54  +10      67.39     3.79    13.56     0.00     0.01     4.96     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           37   54   -3      64.08     3.94    -6.46     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    37   53   -2      64.10     3.96    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       40   49  -11      56.81     3.18   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Preston         38   47   +1      58.50     3.79     1.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Carlisle        39   46  -20      53.99     3.39   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.64R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.25     3.54    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.06R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.38     3.45   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.82R    0.02  
Oldham          37   39  -12      50.18     3.93   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.42R    0.13  
Scunthorpe      39   38  -23      45.50     3.36   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.91R    3.19  
Portsmouth      40   34  -20      41.37     3.18   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.01R   18.23  
Bury            39   33  -25      41.44     3.47   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.69R   25.29  
Hartlepool      40   33  -28      39.41     3.05   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.28R   53.14  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           40   75  +27      85.40     3.20    30.27    87.40    99.66   100.00    99.79P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.87     3.52    31.36     9.75    79.83    99.75    86.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.08     3.50     9.14     1.27    32.28    94.60    43.87P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          39   65  +10      74.60     3.47     9.93     0.58    28.56    93.13    41.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65   +7      72.88     3.17     6.52     0.20    13.34    84.85    30.43P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.10     3.57    14.22     0.40    28.37    91.25    48.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.94     3.77     8.46     0.41    17.26    82.34    33.76P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   58   +5      65.51     3.19     4.01     0.00     0.08    11.19     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   55   +8      66.44     3.52    10.69     0.00     0.29    20.56     6.92P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   55   -6      63.50     3.27    -5.56     0.00     0.00     2.33     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   54   +6      64.85     3.77     5.96     0.00     0.29    12.57     3.23P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   53   +7      63.70     3.53     8.58     0.00     0.02     6.15     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   51   -3      58.92     3.24    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.53     3.46    -8.13     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              38   49   -9      60.34     3.85    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.18P    0.12R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   48  -20      54.20     3.06   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.95R    0.68  
Dag_&_Red            40   47   -3      55.33     3.21    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.39  
Rochdale             39   47   -6      56.46     3.54    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.14R    0.21  
Torquay              40   46   -6      54.30     3.19    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.56R    0.52  
Barnet               40   44   -9      51.05     3.17   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.09R    5.32  
Plymouth             39   43   -8      51.40     3.44    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.69R    6.63  
Accrington_Stanley   40   43  -18      50.49     3.21   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.61R   13.32  
York                 40   41  -16      47.74     3.11   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.39R   37.21  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.81     3.35   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.79R   35.72  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2013, Dartford 3 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      40   77  +32      87.67     3.11    35.93    25.49    99.97    46.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   74  +28      89.24     4.02    32.54    45.35    99.93    59.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.83     3.70    38.84    27.05    99.79    54.32P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     36   66  +19      81.06     4.33    21.06     1.65    89.03    14.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            37   64  +24      79.20     4.03    28.38     0.45    83.56    19.93P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.34     3.52    21.05     0.00    18.07     3.62P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       37   58   +4      70.77     4.05     4.59     0.00     7.13     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   55   +6      68.39     3.79     9.75     0.00     1.93     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   53   +1      62.51     3.48     0.83     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           38   53   +1      65.38     3.83     3.08     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   53   -6      61.62     3.71    -9.99     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           37   52   +0      63.61     4.05    -1.27     0.00     0.22     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     35   49   -8      62.63     4.46   -10.90     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   48   -8      56.02     3.45   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   48   -9      58.63     3.81    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Southport          39   46  -11      53.90     3.45   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.26R    0.00  
Hyde_United        39   45   -9      54.51     3.57    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.27R    0.00  
Stockport          40   45  -14      51.43     3.10   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.44R    0.00  
Gateshead          37   44   -3      56.63     4.04    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.11R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       39   43  -11      51.37     3.46   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.61R    0.01  
Nuneaton           38   43  -14      52.09     3.70   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.56R    0.03  
Barrow             38   40  -29      48.53     3.62   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.32R    0.50  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      46.69     3.95   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.45R    3.40  
AFC_Telford        41   31  -20      36.79     2.86   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.05