Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 24 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.36     3.76    47.84    99.55   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.61     3.57    35.51     0.44    84.63    97.23    99.51   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.09     3.90    33.65     0.01    11.55    62.86    85.81    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.10     3.71    17.24     0.00     1.62    15.59    45.00    96.27     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.65     3.82    31.89     0.00     2.19    22.72    60.58    97.26     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.22     3.83    12.14     0.00     0.02     1.28     6.70    58.95     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.46     3.73    23.34     0.00     0.00     0.32     2.37    44.10     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.09     3.66     0.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.53     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.19     3.54    -1.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      47.99     3.97    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.07R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.49     3.57    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.40R    0.00  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.20     3.53   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.70R    0.02  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.82     3.72   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.56R    0.03  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.91     3.78   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.31R    0.06  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.96     3.54   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.71R    0.19  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.63     3.73   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.45R    0.22  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.05     3.48   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.67R    1.60  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.07     3.69   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.51R    6.85  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.88     3.48   -27.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.60R   46.27  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.05     3.46   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.02R   44.76  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.14     4.02    26.18    93.23    98.85   100.00    99.16P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.45     3.80    12.19     4.16    50.84    99.56    61.89P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      77.99     3.84    25.54     1.87    29.34    98.11    46.79P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   65  +18      77.00     3.79    19.59     0.69    17.24    96.49    34.52P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.83     3.76     7.82     0.02     0.71    52.29    11.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.89     3.79    27.82     0.02     2.17    70.41    24.91P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.80     3.79    17.26     0.00     0.82    57.16    14.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.47     3.81     7.26     0.00     0.03    14.50     4.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.84     3.77    -3.18     0.00     0.01     6.71     1.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.81     3.79    -5.37     0.00     0.00     2.16     0.42P    0.16R    0.00  
Burnley          38   49   -1      59.89     3.77    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    1.49R    0.09  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.74     3.81    -7.90     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.12P    1.32R    0.08  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.32     3.80     0.48     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    2.36R    0.19  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.26     3.73    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    7.73R    0.98  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.50     4.26    -6.30     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.20P    2.30R    0.17  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.98     3.66   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   17.37R    2.81  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.61     3.80     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    5.08R    0.43  
Blackburn        37   46   -3      58.78     4.06    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    3.96R    0.35  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.20     3.70   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.32R    3.31  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.85     3.85   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   32.88R    7.36  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.12     3.99   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.77R    8.31  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.62     3.79   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.26R   16.52  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.63     3.76    -9.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.65R   10.27  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.57     3.72   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.33R   49.14  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 March 2013, Tranmere 3 1 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       39   72  +18      82.63     3.53    19.58    43.96    69.94    98.96    77.36P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         39   67  +34      78.88     3.45    37.32    14.60    34.77    94.37    56.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     40   67  +14      76.66     3.27    16.16     2.58    10.53    79.81    25.97P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.31     3.73    14.57     9.55    23.39    86.98    38.39P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        40   66  +15      74.44     3.21    15.35     0.94     4.16    56.49    14.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.73     3.99    22.02    27.55    53.13    95.32    67.44P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          39   64  +12      74.52     3.58    13.35     0.81     3.96    56.11    12.75P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         40   61   +5      69.41     3.28     5.26     0.00     0.04     8.09     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   61   +4      69.36     3.23     4.21     0.00     0.02     6.49     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        40   60  +13      69.14     3.29    14.36     0.00     0.04     8.94     2.42P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    40   58  +13      66.46     3.25    13.41     0.00     0.00     2.24     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         38   54  +10      67.38     3.75    13.54     0.00     0.02     4.71     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           37   54   -3      64.11     3.95    -6.38     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    37   53   -2      64.19     3.94    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       40   49  -11      56.79     3.18   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Preston         38   47   +1      58.48     3.79     1.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Carlisle        39   46  -20      54.01     3.41   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.58R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.16     3.52    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.24R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.44     3.44   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.30R    0.00  
Oldham          37   39  -12      50.19     3.95   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.56R    0.13  
Scunthorpe      39   38  -23      45.47     3.35   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.22R    3.36  
Portsmouth      40   34  -20      41.37     3.17   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.98R   17.77  
Bury            39   33  -25      41.42     3.46   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.73R   25.52  
Hartlepool      40   33  -28      39.39     3.06   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.21R   53.21  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           40   75  +27      85.43     3.20    30.31    87.67    99.66   100.00    99.75P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.85     3.53    31.35     9.51    79.62    99.75    86.32P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.06     3.50     9.10     1.31    32.10    94.54    43.70P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          39   65  +10      74.59     3.49     9.89     0.54    28.70    92.94    41.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65   +7      72.88     3.19     6.51     0.19    13.74    84.49    30.73P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.07     3.56    14.20     0.39    28.00    91.27    47.92P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.92     3.79     8.40     0.40    17.46    82.12    34.01P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   58   +5      65.51     3.21     4.03     0.00     0.10    11.54     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   55   +8      66.43     3.52    10.69     0.00     0.25    20.63     6.81P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   55   -6      63.52     3.28    -5.53     0.00     0.00     2.29     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   54   +6      64.86     3.79     5.97     0.00     0.34    12.82     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   53   +7      63.67     3.55     8.59     0.00     0.04     6.40     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   51   -3      58.95     3.23    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.55     3.47    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              38   49   -9      60.33     3.83    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.16P    0.13R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   48  -20      54.19     3.06   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.93R    0.70  
Dag_&_Red            40   47   -3      55.29     3.22    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.64R    0.34  
Rochdale             39   47   -6      56.45     3.51    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    1.10R    0.17  
Torquay              40   46   -6      54.32     3.19    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.66R    0.45  
Barnet               40   44   -9      51.09     3.18   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.94R    5.50  
Plymouth             39   43   -8      51.38     3.44    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.69R    6.36  
Accrington_Stanley   40   43  -18      50.48     3.21   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.89R   13.58  
York                 40   41  -16      47.74     3.12   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.54R   37.40  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.84     3.35   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.46R   35.49  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2013, Dartford 3 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      40   77  +32      87.62     3.12    35.85    25.22    99.97    45.83P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   74  +28      89.20     4.02    32.46    44.84    99.93    59.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.87     3.72    38.87    27.79    99.81    54.55P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     36   66  +19      81.09     4.31    21.12     1.68    89.37    14.48P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            37   64  +24      79.23     3.99    28.45     0.47    83.79    20.26P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.33     3.51    21.05     0.00    17.61     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       37   58   +4      70.76     4.04     4.53     0.00     6.97     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   55   +6      68.41     3.80     9.75     0.00     1.93     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   53   +1      62.46     3.46     0.77     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           38   53   +1      65.40     3.86     3.12     0.00     0.27     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   53   -6      61.64     3.71    -9.95     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           37   52   +0      63.59     4.04    -1.29     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     35   49   -8      62.72     4.46   -10.73     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.10R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   48   -8      56.06     3.45   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   48   -9      58.53     3.81   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Southport          39   46  -11      53.93     3.44   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.25R    0.00  
Hyde_United        39   45   -9      54.52     3.58    -9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.22R    0.00  
Stockport          40   45  -14      51.44     3.12   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.87R    0.01  
Gateshead          37   44   -3      56.53     4.00    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       39   43  -11      51.35     3.46   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.67R    0.02  
Nuneaton           38   43  -14      52.12     3.71   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.72R    0.03  
Barrow             38   40  -29      48.53     3.62   -33.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.11R    0.49  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      46.71     3.97   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.18R    3.40  
AFC_Telford        41   31  -20      36.79     2.86   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   96.05