Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 23 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.34     3.79    47.83    99.60   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.59     3.57    35.48     0.39    84.75    97.31    99.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.10     3.92    33.71     0.00    11.73    63.42    86.15    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.03     3.71    17.14     0.00     1.39    15.23    44.74    96.07     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.55     3.85    31.78     0.00     2.09    22.31    59.93    96.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.26     3.87    12.18     0.00     0.04     1.44     7.26    59.57     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.42     3.74    23.28     0.00     0.00     0.28     2.38    43.77     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.14     3.65     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.69     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.15     3.56    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.01     3.99    -4.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.56     3.59    -9.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.01  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.25     3.53   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.68R    0.03  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.85     3.74   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.49R    0.03  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.90     3.75   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.18R    0.05  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.95     3.53   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.79R    0.17  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.61     3.70   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.36R    0.20  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.01     3.48   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.32R    1.67  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.08     3.68   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.12R    6.88  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.90     3.49   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.68R   46.74  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.09     3.46   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.86R   44.22  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.12     4.03    26.15    93.26    98.84   100.00    99.13P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.48     3.78    12.23     4.20    51.27    99.59    62.45P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      77.99     3.86    25.53     1.79    29.05    98.06    46.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   65  +18      76.96     3.82    19.54     0.71    17.05    96.31    34.41P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.80     3.75     7.79     0.02     0.78    52.26    11.40P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.89     3.79    27.84     0.01     2.20    70.46    25.05P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.78     3.77    17.23     0.01     0.78    57.04    14.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.50     3.79     7.29     0.00     0.02    14.65     4.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.89     3.79    -3.10     0.00     0.01     6.91     1.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.83     3.81    -5.35     0.00     0.00     2.16     0.43P    0.16R    0.00  
Burnley          38   49   -1      59.93     3.77    -1.15     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    1.37R    0.08  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.74     3.79    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.12P    1.25R    0.08  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.29     3.79     0.41     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    2.32R    0.21  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.20     3.75    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    8.00R    1.05  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.49     4.23    -6.32     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.20P    2.20R    0.17  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.97     3.65   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.39R    2.85  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.56     3.79     1.83     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    5.12R    0.46  
Blackburn        37   46   -3      58.82     4.05    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.07P    3.93R    0.34  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.20     3.69   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.32R    3.12  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.88     3.86   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   32.75R    7.22  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.17     4.02   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.68R    8.36  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.68     3.78   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.61R   15.98  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.59     3.77    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.14R   10.31  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.54     3.70   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.75R   49.77  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2013, Bournemouth 4 1 Bury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       39   72  +18      82.68     3.55    19.65    44.56    70.33    99.16    77.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         39   67  +34      78.85     3.44    37.27    14.41    34.86    95.19    56.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     40   67  +14      76.69     3.26    16.20     2.64    11.11    82.56    27.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.38     3.75    14.66     9.98    24.51    88.81    39.60P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.67     3.99    21.95    27.07    52.81    95.91    67.31P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          39   64  +12      74.56     3.58    13.40     0.85     4.02    60.37    13.42P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        39   63  +13      72.93     3.48    13.55     0.48     2.22    41.48    10.36P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         40   61   +5      69.40     3.26     5.23     0.00     0.05     9.23     1.66P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   61   +4      69.41     3.23     4.28     0.00     0.02     7.56     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        40   60  +13      69.10     3.28    14.29     0.00     0.04    10.19     2.96P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    40   58  +13      66.45     3.23    13.39     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         38   54  +10      67.34     3.76    13.51     0.00     0.01     5.34     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           37   54   -3      64.08     3.94    -6.43     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    37   53   -2      64.16     3.96    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   49   -9      58.00     3.47    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Preston         38   47   +1      58.57     3.78     1.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Carlisle        39   46  -20      53.96     3.38   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.69R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.25     3.54    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.18R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.40     3.45   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.63R    0.01  
Oldham          37   39  -12      50.17     3.92   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.62R    0.10  
Scunthorpe      39   38  -23      45.50     3.36   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.85R    3.11  
Portsmouth      40   34  -20      41.34     3.18   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.93R   17.66  
Bury            39   33  -25      41.37     3.48   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.70R   25.78  
Hartlepool      40   33  -28      39.36     3.07   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.26R   53.33  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           40   75  +27      85.42     3.19    30.28    87.88    99.61   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.81     3.52    31.28     9.38    79.12    99.74    85.71P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.07     3.51     9.14     1.24    32.36    94.40    43.72P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          39   65  +10      74.65     3.49     9.99     0.60    29.35    93.16    42.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65   +7      72.91     3.21     6.57     0.19    13.97    85.00    31.07P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.02     3.56    14.14     0.35    27.46    91.01    47.58P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.94     3.78     8.45     0.35    17.47    82.21    34.10P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   58   +5      65.53     3.21     4.05     0.00     0.08    11.43     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   55   +8      66.43     3.53    10.68     0.00     0.30    20.73     7.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   55   -6      63.48     3.28    -5.56     0.00     0.00     2.35     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   54   +6      64.81     3.77     5.90     0.00     0.25    12.34     3.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   53   +7      63.71     3.54     8.62     0.00     0.03     6.32     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   51   -3      58.92     3.24    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.56     3.48    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              38   49   -9      60.35     3.82    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.17P    0.14R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   48  -20      54.23     3.06   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.74R    0.59  
Dag_&_Red            40   47   -3      55.29     3.21    -2.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.34  
Rochdale             39   47   -6      56.49     3.52    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.02R    0.20  
Torquay              40   46   -6      54.28     3.19    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.74R    0.48  
Barnet               40   44   -9      51.06     3.17   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.96R    5.65  
Plymouth             39   43   -8      51.41     3.44    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.61R    6.31  
Accrington_Stanley   40   43  -18      50.50     3.22   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.67R   13.23  
York                 40   41  -16      47.71     3.12   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.65R   37.45  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.81     3.35   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.81R   35.72  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2013, Dartford 3 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      40   77  +32      87.67     3.11    35.91    25.47    99.97    46.60P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   74  +28      89.22     4.03    32.52    45.30    99.93    59.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.86     3.70    38.83    27.18    99.83    54.49P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     36   66  +19      81.04     4.32    21.05     1.62    89.09    14.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            37   64  +24      79.23     4.01    28.44     0.42    84.03    19.66P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.32     3.52    21.03     0.00    17.63     3.41P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       37   58   +4      70.72     4.03     4.47     0.00     6.84     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   55   +6      68.43     3.81     9.77     0.00     2.01     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   53   +1      62.52     3.48     0.87     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford           38   53   +1      65.35     3.84     3.04     0.00     0.29     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   53   -6      61.62     3.67    -9.97     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           37   52   +0      63.64     4.06    -1.27     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     35   49   -8      62.68     4.46   -10.76     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.09R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   48   -8      56.08     3.46   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.28R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   48   -9      58.57     3.83    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.00  
Southport          39   46  -11      53.91     3.42   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.07R    0.00  
Hyde_United        39   45   -9      54.55     3.59    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.28R    0.00  
Stockport          40   45  -14      51.41     3.11   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.75R    0.00  
Gateshead          37   44   -3      56.63     4.00    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       39   43  -11      51.30     3.46   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.96R    0.02  
Nuneaton           38   43  -14      52.16     3.71   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.16R    0.05  
Barrow             38   40  -29      48.49     3.64   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.71R    0.43  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      46.69     3.99   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.12R    3.53  
AFC_Telford        41   31  -20      36.79     2.86   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   95.97