Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 22 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.34     3.77    47.82    99.54   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.62     3.58    35.52     0.45    84.57    97.16    99.51    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.12     3.89    33.74     0.01    11.76    63.45    86.39    99.54     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.04     3.72    17.11     0.00     1.55    15.38    44.50    96.11     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.60     3.85    31.80     0.00     2.08    22.43    60.31    97.22     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.23     3.83    12.16     0.00     0.04     1.31     6.85    59.13     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.47     3.72    23.35     0.00     0.00     0.28     2.40    44.11     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.12     3.66     0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.54     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.17     3.54    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      47.98     3.95    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.07R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.56     3.58    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.43R    0.00  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.18     3.52   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.77R    0.04  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.80     3.72   -13.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.72R    0.03  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.91     3.74   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.12R    0.06  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.94     3.54   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.12R    0.14  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.64     3.72   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.29R    0.24  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.03     3.49   -30.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.06R    1.73  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.12     3.69   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.71R    6.59  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.89     3.49   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.58R   46.34  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.07     3.46   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.13R   44.82  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.09     4.04    26.11    93.10    98.91   100.00    99.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.48     3.81    12.25     4.18    51.43    99.56    62.44P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      77.97     3.85    25.48     2.00    28.85    98.13    46.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   65  +18      77.01     3.80    19.57     0.70    17.07    96.45    34.59P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.80     3.76     7.77     0.01     0.69    51.75    11.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.90     3.79    27.86     0.01     2.25    70.44    25.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.86     3.80    17.33     0.00     0.77    57.71    14.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.46     3.78     7.23     0.00     0.02    14.42     4.10P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.88     3.78    -3.14     0.00     0.01     7.02     1.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.79     3.77    -5.39     0.00     0.00     2.11     0.48P    0.14R    0.00  
Burnley          38   49   -1      59.95     3.77    -1.12     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    1.37R    0.09  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.77     3.81    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.14P    1.26R    0.10  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.31     3.78     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P    2.43R    0.19  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.21     3.74    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    8.00R    1.04  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.49     4.24    -6.35     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.19P    2.14R    0.15  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      56.01     3.67   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.19R    2.79  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.60     3.82     1.89     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    5.21R    0.50  
Blackburn        37   46   -3      58.80     4.04    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    3.74R    0.34  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.19     3.70   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.40R    3.12  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.82     3.87   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.26R    7.38  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.18     4.02   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.76R    8.30  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.68     3.79   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.27R   16.10  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.55     3.77    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.34R   10.17  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.54     3.73   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.49R   49.71  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2013, Bury 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       38   69  +17      81.27     3.79    18.97    31.73    56.97    96.83    67.31P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.37     3.74    14.65    10.72    25.88    87.37    40.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         38   66  +34      79.61     3.74    37.85    22.93    44.95    95.37    62.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.75     4.00    22.02    30.31    54.63    95.50    68.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     39   64  +11      75.54     3.54    13.91     1.69     7.11    68.26    20.59P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        39   63  +13      72.94     3.49    13.56     0.59     2.47    39.88    10.22P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          38   63  +12      75.00     3.85    13.50     1.91     7.02    61.90    16.48P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        39   60  +15      70.90     3.57    16.94     0.09     0.62    23.51     7.05P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         39   60   +5      69.97     3.55     5.53     0.02     0.20    12.54     2.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   39   60   +4      69.51     3.50     3.91     0.01     0.10     8.88     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57  +13      66.41     3.50    12.81     0.00     0.02     3.15     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         38   54  +10      67.41     3.77    13.60     0.00     0.03     5.35     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           37   54   -3      64.03     3.94    -6.53     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    37   53   -2      64.09     3.96    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   49   -9      58.08     3.46    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Preston         37   46   +1      59.10     4.03     2.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.19R    0.00  
Carlisle        38   45  -20      54.26     3.68   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.25     3.53    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.22R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.42     3.47   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.35R    0.02  
Oldham          37   39  -12      50.16     3.96   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.02R    0.13  
Scunthorpe      38   38  -22      46.59     3.63   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.91R    1.48  
Bury            38   33  -22      42.37     3.68   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.64R   15.31  
Hartlepool      39   32  -28      39.47     3.32   -30.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.95R   44.61  
Portsmouth      39   31  -22      39.33     3.47   -23.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   38.46  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 4 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           39   72  +26      84.48     3.45    30.33    81.78    98.88   100.00    99.26P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.79     3.55    31.26    13.48    80.01    99.73    86.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.06     3.50     9.13     1.95    33.69    94.89    45.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   64   +7      73.38     3.48     6.70     0.73    19.17    86.95    35.40P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.07     3.57    14.18     0.77    29.10    91.67    48.47P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   62   +9      73.18     3.76     9.22     0.65    20.14    84.89    33.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.92     3.77     8.43     0.65    18.19    83.18    34.93P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   55   +8      66.46     3.53    10.68     0.00     0.32    21.80     7.46P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       39   55   +4      64.07     3.50     3.28     0.00     0.05     7.27     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   55   -5      64.68     3.52    -4.83     0.00     0.05     7.31     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   54   +6      64.85     3.77     5.96     0.00     0.34    13.32     3.42P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   53   +7      63.71     3.53     8.61     0.00     0.06     6.77     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51   -1      60.51     3.53    -1.13     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.56     3.46    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.12P    0.02R    0.01  
Wycombe              38   49   -9      60.32     3.84    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.19P    0.10R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            39   47   -2      56.51     3.49    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.89R    0.17  
Rochdale             39   47   -6      56.52     3.53    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.13R    0.21  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   45  -22      52.41     3.36   -25.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.98R    4.96  
Torquay              39   43   -7      53.07     3.46    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.15R    2.79  
Plymouth             39   43   -8      51.39     3.41    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.79R    6.86  
Barnet               39   43   -9      51.33     3.45   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.94R    6.86  
Accrington_Stanley   39   43  -17      51.17     3.43   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.03R   11.06  
York                 39   41  -15      48.68     3.36   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.63R   29.28  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.83     3.34   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.34R   37.79  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 21 March 2013, Braintree_Town 2 2 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      39   74  +30      86.30     3.42    34.31    17.20    99.79    39.26P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   74  +28      89.17     3.99    32.38    47.84    99.88    61.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.88     3.70    38.90    29.42    99.77    55.92P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     35   66  +20      82.69     4.57    22.46     5.00    92.70    18.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            37   64  +24      79.23     4.01    28.45     0.54    82.32    20.18P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.30     3.52    21.00     0.00    14.87     3.02P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       37   58   +4      70.74     4.02     4.53     0.00     6.08     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   54   +6      69.50     4.00    10.81     0.00     3.37     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           37   53   +2      67.49     4.07     5.20     0.00     1.04     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   53   +1      62.46     3.47     0.78     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             38   53   -6      61.65     3.69    -9.91     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           36   49   -3      61.68     4.30    -4.80     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     35   49   -8      62.80     4.48   -10.59     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   48   -9      58.60     3.81    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   47   -8      55.70     3.63   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.28R    0.00  
Southport          38   46   -9      54.98     3.70   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.11R    0.00  
Gateshead          36   44   +0      58.21     4.28     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Nuneaton           38   43  -14      52.13     3.75   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.14R    0.08  
Hyde_United        38   42  -10      52.22     3.81   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.53R    0.11  
Stockport          39   42  -15      49.59     3.39   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.35R    0.26  
Lincoln_City       38   40  -12      50.08     3.72   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.83R    0.51  
Barrow             38   40  -29      48.49     3.61   -33.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.15R    1.13  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      46.73     3.98   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.93R    6.00  
AFC_Telford        40   31  -19      37.86     3.14   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   91.90