Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 21 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.36     3.76    47.87    99.58   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.65     3.57    35.56     0.42    85.03    97.23    99.53   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.09     3.93    33.67     0.00    11.35    63.34    86.00    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.05     3.72    17.15     0.00     1.53    15.52    44.84    96.08     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.61     3.82    31.86     0.00     2.04    22.24    60.30    97.18     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.20     3.85    12.11     0.00     0.04     1.37     6.84    58.81     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.49     3.73    23.39     0.00     0.00     0.31     2.44    44.50     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.11     3.67     0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.65     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.13     3.55    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.00     3.97    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.08R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.55     3.56    -9.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.41R    0.00  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.20     3.53   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.89R    0.02  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.83     3.69   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.53R    0.02  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.89     3.73   -15.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.23R    0.05  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.98     3.56   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.71R    0.17  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.63     3.72   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.42R    0.22  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.01     3.48   -30.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.20R    1.52  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.11     3.70   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.82R    6.71  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.86     3.49   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.68R   46.60  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.05     3.46   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.04R   44.68  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.09     4.03    26.10    93.11    98.85   100.00    99.13P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.45     3.81    12.17     4.30    50.56    99.53    61.74P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      78.03     3.83    25.60     1.88    29.56    98.10    46.87P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   65  +18      76.98     3.80    19.53     0.69    17.19    96.39    34.69P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.80     3.75     7.79     0.01     0.74    52.20    11.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.90     3.81    27.85     0.01     2.22    70.52    24.97P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.82     3.81    17.26     0.01     0.83    57.35    14.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.48     3.80     7.24     0.00     0.03    14.47     4.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.86     3.78    -3.14     0.00     0.01     6.90     1.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.78     3.78    -5.40     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.38P    0.16R    0.00  
Burnley          38   49   -1      59.92     3.78    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P    1.48R    0.10  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.74     3.82    -7.90     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.14P    1.31R    0.10  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.27     3.79     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    2.49R    0.23  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.23     3.72    -7.05     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    7.80R    1.05  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.43     4.24    -6.40     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.22P    2.27R    0.22  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.95     3.67   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.74R    2.88  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.64     3.81     1.95     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    5.02R    0.46  
Blackburn        37   46   -3      58.82     4.03    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P    3.63R    0.35  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.22     3.68   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.34R    3.11  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.88     3.87   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.90R    7.27  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.12     4.01   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.32R    8.49  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.69     3.82   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.38R   16.51  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.59     3.73    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.88R   10.02  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.60     3.71   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.27R   49.20  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2013, Bury 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       38   69  +17      81.27     3.80    18.96    32.22    57.11    96.77    67.46P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.30     3.74    14.57    10.46    25.12    87.03    39.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         38   66  +34      79.58     3.73    37.81    22.71    45.24    95.23    62.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.77     3.98    22.05    30.43    54.96    95.45    68.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     39   64  +11      75.52     3.54    13.86     1.73     7.20    68.00    20.54P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        39   63  +13      72.93     3.50    13.55     0.53     2.43    39.87    10.27P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          38   63  +12      74.99     3.84    13.50     1.81     6.91    61.78    16.60P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        39   60  +15      70.99     3.59    16.99     0.08     0.65    24.37     7.38P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         39   60   +5      69.93     3.54     5.46     0.02     0.22    12.50     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   39   60   +4      69.51     3.48     3.90     0.01     0.09     8.88     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57  +13      66.45     3.47    12.89     0.00     0.02     3.14     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         38   54  +10      67.39     3.79    13.57     0.00     0.03     5.33     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           37   54   -3      64.12     3.94    -6.38     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    37   53   -2      64.06     3.98    -3.96     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   49   -9      58.09     3.46    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Preston         37   46   +1      59.12     4.06     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.19R    0.00  
Carlisle        38   45  -20      54.24     3.69   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.20R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.30     3.52    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.45     3.47   -20.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.58R    0.00  
Oldham          37   39  -12      50.10     3.95   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.93R    0.11  
Scunthorpe      38   38  -22      46.58     3.61   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.09R    1.60  
Bury            38   33  -22      42.38     3.70   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.26R   15.18  
Hartlepool      39   32  -28      39.50     3.33   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.99R   44.14  
Portsmouth      39   31  -22      39.29     3.46   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.64R   38.97  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 4 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           39   72  +26      84.51     3.44    30.35    81.90    99.01   100.00    99.35P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.79     3.56    31.26    13.45    80.08    99.70    86.73P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.02     3.50     9.06     1.95    32.90    94.92    44.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   64   +7      73.44     3.49     6.79     0.67    19.58    87.18    36.06P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.07     3.57    14.20     0.71    29.72    91.57    48.72P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   62   +9      73.18     3.76     9.20     0.60    20.13    85.00    33.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.89     3.76     8.40     0.72    17.79    83.03    34.28P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   55   +8      66.38     3.51    10.58     0.00     0.32    21.26     7.35P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       39   55   +4      64.13     3.50     3.38     0.00     0.06     7.67     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   55   -5      64.65     3.54    -4.90     0.00     0.05     7.12     1.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   54   +6      64.86     3.75     5.96     0.00     0.32    13.46     3.46P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   53   +7      63.70     3.54     8.60     0.00     0.04     6.74     2.22P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51   -1      60.55     3.53    -1.07     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.61     3.46    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.14P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              38   49   -9      60.35     3.85    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.24P    0.14R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            39   47   -2      56.47     3.48    -2.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.94R    0.19  
Rochdale             39   47   -6      56.52     3.53    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.09R    0.24  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   45  -22      52.33     3.33   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.27R    5.21  
Torquay              39   43   -7      53.11     3.47    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.17R    2.72  
Plymouth             39   43   -8      51.41     3.43    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.83R    6.87  
Barnet               39   43   -9      51.31     3.45   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.04R    6.98  
Accrington_Stanley   39   43  -17      51.16     3.43   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.30R   11.10  
York                 39   41  -15      48.71     3.37   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.95R   28.80  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.82     3.36   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.24R   37.87  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 21 March 2013, Braintree_Town 2 2 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      39   74  +30      86.32     3.42    34.33    17.35    99.80    39.50P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   74  +28      89.17     4.02    32.41    47.87    99.90    61.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.88     3.68    38.87    29.33    99.80    55.98P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     35   66  +20      82.70     4.57    22.49     4.92    92.65    17.90P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            37   64  +24      79.19     4.01    28.37     0.54    82.20    19.95P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.31     3.51    21.02     0.00    15.11     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       37   58   +4      70.73     4.04     4.53     0.00     5.98     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   54   +6      69.53     4.02    10.86     0.00     3.37     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           37   53   +2      67.49     4.07     5.23     0.00     1.02     0.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   53   +1      62.48     3.47     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   53   -6      61.65     3.72    -9.90     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           36   49   -3      61.78     4.29    -4.63     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     35   49   -8      62.79     4.46   -10.56     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   48   -9      58.59     3.83    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   47   -8      55.74     3.63   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    0.00  
Southport          38   46   -9      54.96     3.72   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.20R    0.00  
Gateshead          36   44   +0      58.10     4.26     0.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.00  
Nuneaton           38   43  -14      52.18     3.75   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.90R    0.10  
Hyde_United        38   42  -10      52.19     3.79   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.53R    0.10  
Stockport          39   42  -15      49.58     3.40   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.36R    0.33  
Lincoln_City       38   40  -12      50.05     3.70   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.21R    0.69  
Barrow             38   40  -29      48.57     3.63   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.04R    1.09  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      46.66     3.96   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.69R    5.81  
AFC_Telford        40   31  -19      37.81     3.14   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.60R   91.88