Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 20 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.38     3.77    47.88    99.56    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.61     3.58    35.52     0.44    84.43    97.25    99.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.12     3.93    33.74     0.01    11.86    63.75    85.96    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.10     3.69    17.22     0.00     1.61    15.59    45.68    96.22     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.54     3.82    31.73     0.00     2.08    21.75    59.61    97.07     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.20     3.85    12.08     0.00     0.03     1.36     6.80    58.82     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.47     3.72    23.34     0.00     0.00     0.30     2.42    44.17     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.15     3.65     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.86     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.14     3.54    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.00     3.98    -4.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.52     3.60    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.53R    0.00  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.20     3.52   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88R    0.03  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.83     3.69   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.71R    0.04  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.88     3.74   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.24R    0.04  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.96     3.53   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.81R    0.19  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.60     3.68   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.38R    0.21  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.05     3.51   -30.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.94R    1.58  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.09     3.70   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.20R    6.89  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.93     3.51   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.14R   46.06  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.03     3.45   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.13R   44.96  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.16     4.04    26.16    93.19    98.93   100.00    99.23P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.44     3.79    12.17     4.18    50.78    99.58    61.76P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      78.02     3.85    25.57     1.87    29.73    98.19    47.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   65  +18      76.95     3.80    19.49     0.73    16.80    96.38    34.45P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.79     3.76     7.79     0.01     0.67    52.33    11.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.86     3.80    27.80     0.01     2.26    70.20    24.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.78     3.79    17.20     0.01     0.82    57.14    14.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.41     3.80     7.14     0.00     0.01    14.25     4.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.91     3.78    -3.05     0.00     0.00     7.07     1.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.79     3.78    -5.39     0.00     0.00     2.24     0.41P    0.17R    0.00  
Burnley          38   49   -1      59.87     3.75    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    1.48R    0.08  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.78     3.81    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.15P    1.30R    0.09  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.35     3.80     0.48     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    2.33R    0.20  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.19     3.74    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    8.14R    1.00  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.52     4.27    -6.30     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.20P    2.20R    0.20  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.96     3.65   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.35R    2.91  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.66     3.80     1.98     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.98R    0.44  
Blackburn        37   46   -3      58.78     4.06    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    3.98R    0.33  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.22     3.69   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.17R    3.22  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.85     3.88   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   33.18R    7.48  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.12     4.01   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   31.05R    8.55  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.68     3.78   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.49R   16.42  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.61     3.76    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.97R   10.05  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.60     3.69   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.20R   49.04  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2013, Bury 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       38   69  +17      81.26     3.78    18.96    31.73    56.68    96.80    67.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.37     3.76    14.66    10.79    25.93    87.21    40.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         38   66  +34      79.56     3.73    37.78    22.75    44.88    95.22    62.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.76     3.98    22.06    30.22    54.90    95.48    68.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     39   64  +11      75.49     3.52    13.84     1.75     7.03    67.69    20.37P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        39   63  +13      72.96     3.49    13.60     0.54     2.46    40.14    10.35P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          38   63  +12      75.05     3.86    13.59     2.08     7.17    62.42    16.88P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        39   60  +15      70.95     3.56    16.97     0.09     0.62    24.01     7.13P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         39   60   +5      69.98     3.53     5.53     0.03     0.20    12.55     2.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   39   60   +4      69.48     3.49     3.87     0.01     0.08     8.87     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57  +13      66.44     3.47    12.84     0.00     0.01     3.09     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         38   54  +10      67.36     3.75    13.52     0.00     0.02     4.94     1.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           37   54   -3      64.07     3.96    -6.51     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    37   53   -2      64.10     3.96    -3.92     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       39   49   -9      58.07     3.46    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Preston         37   46   +1      59.08     4.03     2.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.16R    0.00  
Carlisle        38   45  -20      54.25     3.68   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.23R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.24     3.52    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.29R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.45     3.45   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.54R    0.01  
Oldham          37   39  -12      50.15     3.92   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.92R    0.13  
Scunthorpe      38   38  -22      46.64     3.63   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.46R    1.50  
Bury            38   33  -22      42.31     3.69   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.66R   15.68  
Hartlepool      39   32  -28      39.52     3.32   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.00R   44.16  
Portsmouth      39   31  -22      39.32     3.46   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.66R   38.51  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 4 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           39   72  +26      84.47     3.45    30.31    81.83    98.96   100.00    99.31P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.82     3.51    31.30    13.54    80.22    99.79    86.60P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.04     3.51     9.08     1.96    33.23    94.77    44.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   64   +7      73.41     3.47     6.77     0.63    19.42    87.51    36.19P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.08     3.57    14.21     0.76    29.55    91.63    49.12P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   62   +9      73.16     3.75     9.18     0.58    19.75    84.75    33.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.87     3.80     8.36     0.69    18.10    82.88    34.57P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   55   +8      66.41     3.52    10.63     0.00     0.32    21.75     7.50P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       39   55   +4      64.07     3.49     3.32     0.00     0.06     7.47     1.77P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   55   -5      64.66     3.52    -4.86     0.00     0.05     7.12     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   54   +6      64.86     3.76     5.95     0.00     0.30    13.41     3.33P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   53   +7      63.69     3.54     8.59     0.00     0.04     6.59     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51   -1      60.58     3.55    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.55     3.47    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              38   49   -9      60.29     3.85    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.21P    0.11R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            39   47   -2      56.47     3.48    -2.16     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.95R    0.23  
Rochdale             39   47   -6      56.45     3.54    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.15R    0.25  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   45  -22      52.39     3.36   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.32R    5.12  
Torquay              39   43   -7      53.08     3.48    -6.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.29R    2.78  
Plymouth             39   43   -8      51.45     3.47    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.13R    6.78  
Barnet               39   43   -9      51.35     3.44   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.54R    6.82  
Accrington_Stanley   39   43  -17      51.21     3.43   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.79R   10.84  
York                 39   41  -15      48.71     3.37   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.30R   29.10  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.84     3.36   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.38R   38.07  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2013, Braintree_Town 1 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      39   74  +30      86.34     3.40    34.35    17.39    99.80    39.52P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   74  +28      89.15     3.99    32.37    47.31    99.91    61.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.91     3.70    38.93    29.78    99.76    56.06P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     35   66  +20      82.70     4.56    22.48     5.02    92.59    17.87P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            37   64  +24      79.21     4.01    28.38     0.50    81.91    20.17P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.32     3.54    21.03     0.00    15.20     3.02P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       37   58   +4      70.70     4.04     4.44     0.00     5.89     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   54   +6      69.58     4.01    10.91     0.00     3.56     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           37   53   +2      67.54     4.07     5.32     0.00     1.04     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   53   +1      62.49     3.48     0.82     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   53   -6      61.68     3.70    -9.85     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           36   49   -3      61.68     4.30    -4.80     0.00     0.07     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     34   48   -8      63.55     4.71   -10.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.06R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   48   -9      58.58     3.81    -9.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   47   -8      55.74     3.65   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.43R    0.00  
Southport          38   46   -9      54.93     3.72   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.18R    0.00  
Gateshead          36   44   +0      58.12     4.26     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.00  
Hyde_United        38   42  -10      52.17     3.82   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.67R    0.10  
Nuneaton           37   42  -14      52.17     3.99   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.31R    0.14  
Stockport          39   42  -15      49.60     3.40   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.76R    0.24  
Lincoln_City       38   40  -12      50.01     3.72   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.20R    0.67  
Barrow             38   40  -29      48.55     3.60   -33.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.81R    1.14  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      46.67     3.95   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.96R    5.92  
AFC_Telford        40   31  -19      37.86     3.14   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.66R   91.79