Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 19 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.33     3.78    47.84    99.48    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.65     3.58    35.60     0.52    84.79    97.22    99.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.15     3.91    33.73     0.01    11.57    63.59    86.09    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.07     3.72    17.23     0.00     1.61    15.45    44.88    96.13     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.60     3.83    31.85     0.00     2.00    22.15    60.24    97.22     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.21     3.82    12.12     0.00     0.03     1.31     6.78    59.21     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.42     3.72    23.30     0.00     0.00     0.27     2.47    44.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.12     3.67     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.56     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.14     3.56    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.02     3.94    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.08R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.57     3.56    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.00  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.20     3.52   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.76R    0.01  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.80     3.68   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.52R    0.04  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.92     3.75   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.31R    0.06  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.93     3.54   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.94R    0.17  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.61     3.72   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.44R    0.20  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.04     3.50   -30.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.98R    1.61  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.04     3.68   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.40R    7.21  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.88     3.52   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.39R   46.39  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.09     3.46   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.83R   44.30  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.11     4.03    26.14    93.08    98.91   100.00    99.21P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.47     3.80    12.20     4.21    51.34    99.60    62.46P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      78.00     3.85    25.54     1.97    29.17    98.22    46.59P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   65  +18      76.94     3.81    19.48     0.70    16.76    96.33    34.02P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.77     3.78     7.74     0.01     0.76    52.09    11.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.92     3.80    27.87     0.01     2.20    70.76    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.76     3.81    17.19     0.00     0.81    56.90    14.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.46     3.79     7.27     0.00     0.02    14.40     4.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.90     3.77    -3.11     0.00     0.01     6.94     1.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.77     3.77    -5.43     0.00     0.00     2.00     0.37P    0.16R    0.00  
Burnley          38   49   -1      59.90     3.75    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.08P    1.42R    0.10  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.72     3.84    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.15P    1.27R    0.10  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.32     3.78     0.46     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    2.37R    0.21  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.23     3.73    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    7.70R    1.00  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.49     4.24    -6.32     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.24P    2.17R    0.17  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.96     3.66   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   17.57R    2.97  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.60     3.79     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P    5.18R    0.50  
Blackburn        37   46   -3      58.90     4.03    -2.24     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.08P    3.65R    0.29  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.19     3.68   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.49R    3.23  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.81     3.86   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.52R    7.62  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.17     4.02   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.98R    8.20  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.70     3.81   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.27R   16.05  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.65     3.75    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.49R    9.94  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.56     3.70   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.75R   49.63  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2013, Bury 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       38   69  +17      81.32     3.80    19.05    32.55    57.62    96.96    67.73P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.28     3.76    14.55    10.24    25.08    86.96    39.41P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         38   66  +34      79.57     3.74    37.80    22.55    44.87    95.29    62.66P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.81     3.99    22.12    30.46    54.90    95.64    68.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     39   64  +11      75.47     3.54    13.80     1.62     7.09    67.68    20.40P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        39   63  +13      72.92     3.49    13.54     0.56     2.35    39.73    10.12P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          38   63  +12      75.02     3.84    13.53     1.87     7.14    62.23    17.09P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        39   60  +15      70.93     3.56    16.95     0.10     0.59    23.75     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         39   60   +5      69.97     3.54     5.52     0.03     0.22    12.92     2.61P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   39   60   +4      69.48     3.48     3.88     0.01     0.10     8.91     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57  +13      66.46     3.48    12.88     0.00     0.02     3.19     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         38   54  +10      67.34     3.78    13.50     0.00     0.03     5.18     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           37   54   -3      64.03     3.93    -6.53     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    37   53   -2      64.10     3.97    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   49   -9      58.04     3.45    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Preston         37   46   +1      59.10     4.07     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.17R    0.00  
Carlisle        38   45  -20      54.25     3.67   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.09R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.24     3.54    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.26R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.46     3.45   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.40R    0.01  
Oldham          37   39  -12      50.18     3.95   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.64R    0.13  
Scunthorpe      38   38  -22      46.60     3.60   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.86R    1.55  
Bury            38   33  -22      42.35     3.67   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.81R   15.65  
Hartlepool      39   32  -28      39.55     3.34   -30.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R   43.95  
Portsmouth      39   31  -22      39.36     3.45   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.74R   38.70  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 4 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           39   72  +26      84.51     3.46    30.38    81.82    98.92   100.00    99.29P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.81     3.53    31.31    13.40    80.34    99.75    86.84P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.05     3.50     9.10     2.06    33.03    94.94    44.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   64   +7      73.39     3.49     6.70     0.72    19.37    86.73    35.28P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.10     3.57    14.26     0.78    29.56    91.77    48.91P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   62   +9      73.18     3.75     9.21     0.56    19.75    84.97    33.25P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.92     3.78     8.42     0.66    18.25    83.00    34.99P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   55   +8      66.42     3.53    10.66     0.00     0.30    21.64     7.33P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       39   55   +4      64.09     3.50     3.32     0.00     0.04     7.47     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   55   -5      64.68     3.53    -4.84     0.00     0.04     7.21     1.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   54   +6      64.87     3.79     5.98     0.00     0.35    13.43     3.48P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   53   +7      63.67     3.54     8.56     0.00     0.05     6.70     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51   -1      60.56     3.56    -1.04     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.58     3.46    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              38   49   -9      60.30     3.85    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.23P    0.11R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            39   47   -2      56.45     3.48    -2.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.95R    0.20  
Rochdale             39   47   -6      56.46     3.54    -6.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.22R    0.26  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   45  -22      52.32     3.35   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.53R    5.23  
Torquay              39   43   -7      53.05     3.47    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.21R    2.73  
Plymouth             39   43   -8      51.39     3.43    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.02R    6.93  
Barnet               39   43   -9      51.37     3.45   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.58R    6.77  
Accrington_Stanley   39   43  -17      51.19     3.44   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.89R   11.07  
York                 39   41  -15      48.69     3.36   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.11R   29.11  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.83     3.36   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.35R   37.68  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2013, Braintree_Town 1 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      39   74  +30      86.30     3.43    34.30    17.12    99.74    39.82P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   74  +28      89.19     4.01    32.42    47.98    99.92    61.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.88     3.70    38.86    29.34    99.78    55.40P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     35   66  +20      82.75     4.57    22.58     5.07    92.88    18.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            37   64  +24      79.21     4.00    28.38     0.50    82.40    19.91P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.31     3.52    21.00     0.00    14.79     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       37   58   +4      70.69     4.03     4.43     0.00     5.74     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   54   +6      69.49     4.02    10.80     0.00     3.39     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           37   53   +2      67.44     4.08     5.15     0.00     0.98     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   53   +1      62.53     3.48     0.88     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   53   -6      61.70     3.71    -9.84     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           36   49   -3      61.68     4.30    -4.78     0.00     0.08     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     34   48   -8      63.59     4.69    -9.95     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.05R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   48   -9      58.59     3.81    -9.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   47   -8      55.75     3.62   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.28R    0.00  
Southport          38   46   -9      54.95     3.73   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Gateshead          36   44   +0      58.11     4.29     0.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Hyde_United        38   42  -10      52.18     3.80   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.69R    0.10  
Nuneaton           37   42  -14      52.13     3.95   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.43R    0.15  
Stockport          39   42  -15      49.59     3.41   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.97R    0.31  
Lincoln_City       38   40  -12      50.06     3.72   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.93R    0.68  
Barrow             38   40  -29      48.51     3.61   -33.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.44R    1.16  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      46.72     3.96   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.39R    5.92  
AFC_Telford        40   31  -19      37.90     3.13   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.65R   91.67