Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 18 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.30     3.76    47.77    99.52   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.61     3.58    35.52     0.47    84.65    97.14    99.48    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.13     3.90    33.73     0.01    11.56    63.63    86.31    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.07     3.72    17.19     0.00     1.65    15.62    44.91    96.27     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.60     3.83    31.82     0.00     2.11    22.01    60.29    97.20     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.19     3.82    12.08     0.00     0.03     1.27     6.59    59.22     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.41     3.72    23.28     0.00     0.00     0.32     2.40    43.86     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.09     3.66     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.53     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.12     3.55    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.05     3.98    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.07R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.55     3.55    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.38R    0.01  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.21     3.51   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.75R    0.02  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.85     3.71   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.60R    0.03  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.92     3.75   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.28R    0.06  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.94     3.55   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.84R    0.20  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.60     3.69   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.53R    0.21  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.04     3.47   -30.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.77R    1.61  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.10     3.67   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.98R    6.69  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.94     3.50   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.42R   46.03  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.03     3.42   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.38R   45.14  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.09     4.05    26.09    93.00    98.90   100.00    99.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.47     3.80    12.22     4.19    50.77    99.52    61.97P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      78.02     3.86    25.60     2.04    29.47    98.17    47.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   65  +18      76.98     3.82    19.55     0.74    17.10    96.38    34.44P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.82     3.75     7.80     0.01     0.68    52.15    11.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.89     3.80    27.84     0.02     2.23    70.22    24.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.83     3.81    17.27     0.01     0.81    57.66    14.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.48     3.82     7.27     0.00     0.02    14.50     4.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.84     3.78    -3.17     0.00     0.01     6.72     1.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.77     3.79    -5.44     0.00     0.00     2.03     0.37P    0.15R    0.00  
Burnley          38   49   -1      59.95     3.78    -1.13     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.09P    1.48R    0.08  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.76     3.83    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.16P    1.25R    0.07  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.32     3.79     0.48     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    2.33R    0.21  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.24     3.74    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    7.84R    0.96  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.48     4.24    -6.37     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.23P    2.22R    0.16  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.91     3.66   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.98R    3.03  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.59     3.80     1.88     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    5.05R    0.44  
Blackburn        37   46   -3      58.80     4.05    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    3.90R    0.37  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.20     3.71   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.42R    3.30  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.88     3.86   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.74R    7.15  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.21     4.02   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.22R    8.11  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.68     3.78   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.59R   15.92  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.61     3.75    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.90R   10.02  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.50     3.70   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.90R   50.18  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2013, Brentford 1 0 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       38   69  +17      81.29     3.78    19.01    33.36    58.12    96.52    67.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.36     3.72    14.64    11.16    26.33    86.44    40.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.80     3.98    22.09    32.28    56.50    95.18    69.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     39   64  +11      75.49     3.54    13.86     1.97     7.69    65.94    20.56P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         37   63  +32      78.05     4.00    35.97    14.84    31.97    87.34    51.18P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          37   63  +14      76.35     4.09    15.49     5.59    15.45    71.89    25.53P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        39   63  +13      72.89     3.49    13.50     0.63     2.55    37.46     9.73P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        39   60  +15      70.97     3.58    17.02     0.10     0.73    22.36     6.80P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         39   60   +5      69.97     3.55     5.49     0.02     0.21    11.74     2.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   39   60   +4      69.53     3.48     3.93     0.01     0.09     8.39     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57  +13      66.42     3.48    12.82     0.00     0.03     2.83     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         37   54  +11      69.21     4.02    15.24     0.05     0.33    12.92     4.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    37   53   -2      63.99     3.96    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           36   51   -4      61.92     4.16    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       38   49   -7      59.78     3.74    -7.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston         37   46   +1      59.16     4.05     2.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.14R    0.00  
Carlisle        38   45  -20      54.25     3.69   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.43R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.26     3.51    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.18R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.52     3.46   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.90R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      38   38  -22      46.60     3.62   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.97R    1.50  
Oldham          36   36  -15      48.48     4.18   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.74R    0.91  
Hartlepool      38   32  -25      40.87     3.60   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.88R   27.23  
Portsmouth      39   31  -22      39.28     3.44   -23.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.19R   37.25  
Bury            37   30  -24      40.33     3.93   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.55R   33.10  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           38   71  +26      85.05     3.73    30.59    83.75    98.87   100.00    99.23P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.81     3.51    31.27    11.79    79.81    99.42    86.20P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.10     3.52     9.15     2.01    33.55    92.43    43.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   64   +7      73.50     3.47     6.85     0.65    19.31    82.98    34.39P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.04     3.57    14.16     0.63    28.24    87.99    46.61P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   62   +9      73.20     3.76     9.24     0.53    19.63    80.25    31.88P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.93     3.78     8.43     0.62    17.70    78.34    32.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             38   55  +10      68.44     3.78    13.58     0.00     2.01    37.77    13.88P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   55   +6      65.55     3.75     5.45     0.00     0.30    13.16     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   55   -5      64.71     3.53    -4.79     0.00     0.05     5.70     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   53   +8      65.19     3.82     9.79     0.00     0.33    12.29     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             37   51   +5      63.28     4.02     5.01     0.00     0.19     6.57     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51   -1      60.52     3.54    -1.11     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.63     3.48    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              37   49   -8      61.70     4.10    -7.52     0.00     0.02     1.98     0.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            39   47   -2      56.46     3.49    -2.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.39R    0.07  
Rochdale             38   46   -6      56.68     3.81    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.67R    0.13  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   45  -18      53.68     3.64   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.56R    1.64  
York                 39   41  -15      48.72     3.37   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.72R   20.17  
Torquay              38   40   -8      51.32     3.73    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.00R    5.25  
Plymouth             38   40  -10      49.10     3.63   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.25R   15.40  
Barnet               38   40  -11      49.42     3.71   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.56R   13.44  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.78     3.34   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.74R   26.88  
Accrington_Stanley   38   40  -21      49.54     3.68   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.08R   17.02  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2013, Alfreton_Town 3 2 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          37   74  +28      89.21     4.02    32.48    48.17    99.89    61.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.90     3.72    38.91    29.24    99.68    55.41P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   71  +29      84.68     3.70    33.29     9.97    98.70    32.76P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   66  +21      84.15     4.81    23.61    10.33    94.82    23.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            36   64  +25      81.15     4.24    30.25     2.28    89.45    23.65P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.34     3.52    21.06     0.00    10.55     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       36   55   +3      69.65     4.24     4.30     0.00     2.89     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           36   53   +3      68.87     4.34     6.27     0.00     1.79     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   52   +1      63.49     3.72     1.82     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             37   52   -6      61.77     3.98   -10.41     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   51   +5      68.55     4.24    10.88     0.00     1.62     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           35   49   -2      63.82     4.57    -2.62     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   48   -9      58.58     3.81    -9.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     33   47   -8      64.27     4.95    -9.41     0.00     0.33     0.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport          37   46   -8      56.31     3.98   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   44   -9      54.11     3.92   -12.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.33R    0.01  
Hyde_United        38   42  -10      52.25     3.82   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.02R    0.15  
Stockport          38   42  -14      50.29     3.60   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.77R    0.25  
Gateshead          35   41   -1      56.33     4.51    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65R    0.02  
Lincoln_City       38   40  -12      50.05     3.72   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.99R    0.81  
Nuneaton           36   39  -15      49.91     4.18   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.71R    1.38  
Barrow             37   37  -30      46.36     3.85   -35.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.89R    6.22  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   35  -23      46.53     4.19   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.38R    8.33  
AFC_Telford        39   31  -18      38.63     3.37   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.39R   82.82