Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 17 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.35     3.78    47.84    99.54   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.65     3.57    35.56     0.45    85.00    97.26    99.52   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       29   55  +28      71.14     3.90    33.76     0.00    11.51    63.47    86.00    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     30   54  +14      67.10     3.70    17.24     0.00     1.50    15.53    45.38    96.18     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.60     3.84    31.86     0.00     1.96    22.11    60.10    97.21     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.19     3.83    12.07     0.00     0.04     1.35     6.65    58.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.43     3.75    23.31     0.00     0.00     0.28     2.30    44.35     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.07     3.65     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.50     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.12     3.54    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        29   36   -4      48.04     3.98    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04R    0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.57     3.58    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44R    0.00  
Norwich       30   34  -18      43.16     3.49   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.77R    0.03  
Newcastle     30   33  -11      42.80     3.71   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.69R    0.03  
West_Ham      29   33  -11      42.92     3.74   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.21R    0.05  
Sunderland    30   31   -9      39.93     3.55   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.08R    0.17  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.62     3.71   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.54R    0.24  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.01     3.49   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.35R    1.50  
Wigan         29   27  -21      36.14     3.69   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.23R    6.57  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.88     3.49   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.57R   46.73  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.06     3.45   -26.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.07R   44.67  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2013, Blackburn 1 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.15     4.04    26.16    93.21    98.80   100.00    99.13P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.44     3.76    12.16     4.11    50.62    99.55    61.81P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      78.01     3.84    25.55     2.00    29.54    98.20    47.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   65  +18      77.00     3.80    19.58     0.64    17.26    96.45    34.69P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.79     3.75     7.78     0.01     0.74    52.09    11.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.87     3.79    27.82     0.02     2.16    70.33    25.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   59  +16      70.85     3.80    17.32     0.01     0.86    57.63    14.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.45     3.80     7.24     0.00     0.02    14.30     4.02P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.89     3.78    -3.11     0.00     0.00     6.82     1.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.74     3.81    -5.46     0.00     0.00     2.01     0.34P    0.17R    0.00  
Burnley          38   49   -1      59.90     3.77    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.08P    1.47R    0.07  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.77     3.81    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.15P    1.23R    0.08  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.31     3.80     0.46     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    2.33R    0.22  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.22     3.73    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    7.89R    0.96  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.50     4.25    -6.32     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.22P    2.28R    0.16  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.95     3.67   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.70R    3.02  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.62     3.79     1.92     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    5.07R    0.40  
Blackburn        37   46   -3      58.78     4.07    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.08P    4.07R    0.36  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.25     3.69   -21.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.85R    3.10  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.84     3.87   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.37R    7.53  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.17     3.97   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.31R    7.97  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.68     3.79   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.49R   16.39  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.53     3.75    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.55R   10.35  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.57     3.69   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.21R   49.39  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2013, Brentford 1 0 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       38   69  +17      81.29     3.80    19.00    33.33    58.28    96.57    67.82P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.31     3.74    14.58    11.27    26.61    86.02    40.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.78     3.99    22.07    31.96    56.04    95.10    68.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     39   64  +11      75.50     3.52    13.85     1.91     7.66    65.91    20.67P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         37   63  +32      78.09     4.00    36.00    15.18    32.32    87.50    51.62P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          37   63  +14      76.31     4.08    15.45     5.55    15.17    71.96    25.17P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        39   63  +13      72.92     3.49    13.54     0.62     2.55    37.62     9.95P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        39   60  +15      70.92     3.57    16.92     0.09     0.65    22.31     6.78P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         39   60   +5      69.96     3.53     5.50     0.02     0.20    11.55     2.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   39   60   +4      69.58     3.49     4.01     0.02     0.12     8.74     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57  +13      66.47     3.48    12.92     0.00     0.03     2.81     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         37   54  +11      69.18     4.04    15.20     0.05     0.37    12.92     3.99P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    37   53   -2      64.02     3.97    -4.04     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           36   51   -4      61.95     4.15    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       38   49   -7      59.77     3.72    -7.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Preston         37   46   +1      59.15     4.04     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.12R    0.00  
Carlisle        38   45  -20      54.28     3.68   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.29R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.28     3.53    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.27R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.40     3.47   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.33R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      38   38  -22      46.62     3.62   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.34R    1.49  
Oldham          36   36  -15      48.47     4.18   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.97R    0.91  
Hartlepool      38   32  -25      40.85     3.60   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.06R   27.25  
Portsmouth      39   31  -22      39.33     3.46   -23.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.03R   37.06  
Bury            37   30  -24      40.33     3.93   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.55R   33.28  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           38   71  +26      85.04     3.73    30.58    83.80    98.91    99.99    99.24P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.76     3.52    31.21    11.75    79.59    99.44    86.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.13     3.50     9.23     1.90    33.25    92.69    43.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   64   +7      73.46     3.47     6.79     0.68    19.07    82.81    33.92P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.11     3.59    14.24     0.71    28.97    88.10    47.20P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   62   +9      73.23     3.77     9.31     0.53    19.93    80.70    32.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.87     3.79     8.34     0.63    17.40    77.75    32.56P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             38   55  +10      68.45     3.76    13.58     0.00     1.92    37.91    13.67P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   55   +6      65.62     3.77     5.57     0.00     0.39    13.35     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   55   -5      64.66     3.55    -4.86     0.00     0.06     5.68     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   53   +8      65.15     3.80     9.75     0.00     0.34    11.96     4.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             37   51   +5      63.31     4.02     5.07     0.00     0.15     6.67     1.73P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51   -1      60.55     3.53    -1.06     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.55     3.46    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              37   49   -8      61.67     4.09    -7.58     0.00     0.02     1.88     0.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            39   47   -2      56.47     3.49    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.43R    0.08  
Rochdale             38   46   -6      56.64     3.79    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.75R    0.15  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   45  -18      53.72     3.65   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.56R    1.58  
York                 39   41  -15      48.71     3.37   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.90R   20.32  
Torquay              38   40   -8      51.38     3.73    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.95R    5.36  
Plymouth             38   40  -10      49.06     3.64   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.58R   15.50  
Barnet               38   40  -11      49.47     3.70   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.93R   12.98  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.82     3.35   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.29R   26.49  
Accrington_Stanley   38   40  -21      49.51     3.69   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.58R   17.56  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2013, Alfreton_Town 3 2 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          37   74  +28      89.18     4.01    32.43    48.05    99.88    61.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.85     3.72    38.86    28.97    99.68    54.76P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   71  +29      84.70     3.71    33.30    10.29    98.69    33.14P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   66  +21      84.17     4.81    23.62    10.33    94.84    23.10P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            36   64  +25      81.18     4.26    30.31     2.36    89.16    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.33     3.53    21.03     0.00    10.56     2.13P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       36   55   +3      69.71     4.27     4.40     0.00     3.01     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           36   53   +3      69.05     4.32     6.50     0.00     1.97     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   52   +1      63.54     3.74     1.89     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             37   52   -6      61.79     3.97   -10.38     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   51   +5      68.47     4.24    10.80     0.00     1.60     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           35   49   -2      63.71     4.53    -2.82     0.00     0.22     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   48   -9      58.55     3.81   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     33   47   -8      64.27     4.94    -9.43     0.00     0.35     0.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport          37   46   -8      56.36     3.99   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   44   -9      54.09     3.91   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.35R    0.02  
Hyde_United        38   42  -10      52.17     3.79   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.23R    0.13  
Stockport          38   42  -14      50.32     3.62   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.86R    0.27  
Gateshead          35   41   -1      56.36     4.52    -0.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68R    0.02  
Lincoln_City       38   40  -12      50.07     3.75   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.06R    0.76  
Nuneaton           36   39  -15      49.92     4.18   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.58R    1.24  
Barrow             37   37  -30      46.37     3.86   -35.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.62R    6.26  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   35  -23      46.49     4.17   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.38R    8.42  
AFC_Telford        39   31  -18      38.64     3.38   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.36R   82.88