Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 16 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2013, Aston_Villa 3 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       29   74  +38      92.36     3.74    47.82    99.57    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      29   59  +25      77.61     3.57    35.52     0.42    83.87    96.32    99.28    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     29   54  +15      69.28     3.94    19.50     0.00     4.93    31.05    63.47    98.48     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.45     4.09    33.31     0.01     9.17    50.82    77.52    98.96     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       29   50  +23      67.63     3.85    31.88     0.00     2.00    20.45    52.50    97.02     0.00     0.00  
Everton       29   48  +11      61.16     3.83    12.04     0.00     0.04     1.17     5.41    58.06     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     30   45  +18      59.45     3.72    23.31     0.00     0.00     0.19     1.79    43.70     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     30   44   +2      54.13     3.68     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.54     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       30   40   +2      49.17     3.55    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         30   34   -8      43.55     3.57    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.59     4.17    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.61R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.43     3.89   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.10R    0.03  
Newcastle     29   33  -10      44.40     4.00   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.02  
Norwich       29   33  -18      43.16     3.76   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.82R    0.02  
Southampton   30   31  -10      40.61     3.71   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.68R    0.18  
Sunderland    29   30   -9      40.73     3.80   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.04R    0.13  
Aston_Villa   30   30  -25      38.03     3.49   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.16R    1.29  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.28     3.95   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.01R   15.16  
Reading       30   23  -22      30.89     3.48   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.51R   42.37  
QPR           30   23  -22      31.12     3.47   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.69R   40.78  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2013, Barnsley 1 0 Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          37   75  +22      90.14     4.01    26.17    92.45    98.55   100.00    98.92P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   68  +10      80.45     3.81    12.17     3.89    45.75    99.62    57.67P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   66  +24      77.95     3.84    25.44     1.76    25.91    98.43    43.72P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   65  +21      78.42     4.06    22.67     1.88    26.83    98.18    43.46P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60   +8      70.81     3.76     7.79     0.01     0.59    56.27    12.06P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   59  +25      71.92     3.81    27.88     0.01     1.95    73.51    26.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   56  +13      69.12     4.06    14.18     0.00     0.40    42.86    10.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           38   54   +5      66.46     3.81     7.25     0.00     0.02    16.68     4.65P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   54   -3      64.86     3.80    -3.15     0.00     0.00     8.00     1.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     38   52   -5      62.80     3.79    -5.38     0.00     0.00     2.56     0.54P    0.15R    0.00  
Birmingham       38   49   -9      60.66     3.81    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.15P    1.33R    0.10  
Derby            38   48   +0      59.31     3.80     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    2.45R    0.19  
Burnley          37   48   -1      59.96     4.01    -1.63     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.16P    1.92R    0.18  
Charlton         38   47   -6      57.25     3.73    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    7.81R    1.00  
Millwall         36   47   -6      60.51     4.26    -6.32     0.00     0.00     1.38     0.29P    2.26R    0.21  
Huddersfield     38   47  -24      55.92     3.66   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.03R    2.94  
Blackpool        38   46   +1      57.58     3.82     1.87     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    5.16R    0.44  
Ipswich          38   46  -19      55.24     3.70   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.30R    3.23  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.49     4.30    -1.91     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.19P    3.45R    0.35  
Barnsley         37   44  -11      53.80     3.87   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.66R    7.76  
Sheff_Wed        37   43  -11      54.19     4.04   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.41R    8.26  
Peterborough     38   42   -9      51.66     3.79   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.83R   16.47  
Wolverhampton    38   42   -9      52.68     3.75    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.97R    9.74  
Bristol_City     38   39  -13      48.61     3.71   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.26R   49.13  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2013, Brentford 1 0 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       38   69  +17      81.33     3.79    19.06    33.44    58.63    96.60    68.27P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   67  +14      78.35     3.75    14.61    11.37    26.31    86.17    40.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   65  +17      80.79     3.99    22.11    32.04    56.08    95.03    69.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     39   64  +11      75.54     3.54    13.92     2.00     7.72    66.57    20.32P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         37   63  +32      78.09     4.01    36.02    14.83    32.20    87.45    51.31P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          37   63  +14      76.35     4.12    15.49     5.57    15.28    71.61    25.52P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        39   63  +13      72.90     3.47    13.50     0.54     2.36    37.30     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        39   60  +15      70.89     3.58    16.90     0.10     0.72    21.75     6.70P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         39   60   +5      69.97     3.56     5.52     0.04     0.22    12.00     2.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   39   60   +4      69.57     3.49     3.99     0.02     0.09     8.58     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57  +13      66.39     3.48    12.80     0.00     0.02     2.72     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         37   54  +11      69.26     4.03    15.30     0.05     0.37    13.22     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    37   53   -2      63.99     3.99    -4.07     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           36   51   -4      61.88     4.15    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       38   49   -7      59.77     3.75    -7.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         37   46   +1      59.17     4.07     2.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Carlisle        38   45  -20      54.26     3.69   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.45R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      39   44   -7      53.26     3.53    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.43R    0.00  
Colchester      39   43  -19      51.43     3.47   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.19R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      38   38  -22      46.60     3.62   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.34R    1.56  
Oldham          36   36  -15      48.46     4.18   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.03R    0.91  
Hartlepool      38   32  -25      40.86     3.61   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.02R   27.34  
Portsmouth      39   31  -22      39.32     3.46   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.02R   36.90  
Bury            37   30  -24      40.34     3.94   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.36R   33.29  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           38   71  +26      85.03     3.74    30.58    83.85    98.86   100.00    99.23P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   67  +28      78.76     3.54    31.22    11.84    79.36    99.44    85.82P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   66  +10      75.11     3.50     9.20     1.80    32.97    92.53    43.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   64   +7      73.48     3.49     6.85     0.69    19.39    82.72    34.64P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   63  +12      74.10     3.56    14.26     0.69    28.81    88.28    46.99P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   62   +9      73.25     3.76     9.29     0.50    19.99    80.91    32.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +7      72.96     3.78     8.44     0.62    17.82    78.43    32.85P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             38   55  +10      68.43     3.77    13.55     0.01     1.92    37.40    13.82P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   55   +6      65.58     3.77     5.51     0.00     0.37    13.30     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   55   -5      64.72     3.57    -4.79     0.00     0.03     5.92     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   53   +8      65.16     3.79     9.74     0.00     0.31    11.84     3.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             37   51   +5      63.20     4.00     4.92     0.00     0.14     6.27     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51   -1      60.54     3.53    -1.09     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   51   -8      60.63     3.47    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              37   49   -8      61.71     4.07    -7.50     0.00     0.02     1.91     0.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            39   47   -2      56.47     3.49    -2.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.44R    0.07  
Rochdale             38   46   -6      56.66     3.80    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.72R    0.16  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   45  -18      53.67     3.65   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.61R    1.62  
York                 39   41  -15      48.70     3.35   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.83R   20.20  
Torquay              38   40   -8      51.38     3.73    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.74R    5.18  
Plymouth             38   40  -10      49.07     3.65   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.47R   15.37  
Barnet               38   40  -11      49.45     3.71   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.24R   13.16  
Aldershot            39   40  -15      47.78     3.38   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.72R   26.95  
Accrington_Stanley   38   40  -21      49.52     3.68   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.22R   17.29  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2013, Alfreton_Town 3 2 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          37   74  +28      89.21     4.01    32.50    48.24    99.88    61.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   72  +33      86.84     3.70    38.84    28.65    99.68    54.58P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   71  +29      84.73     3.71    33.38    10.44    98.72    33.34P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   66  +21      84.19     4.80    23.66    10.38    94.86    23.15P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            36   64  +25      81.22     4.23    30.37     2.29    89.96    24.23P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.32     3.52    21.00     0.00    10.22     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       36   55   +3      69.65     4.25     4.30     0.00     2.80     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           36   53   +3      69.00     4.34     6.44     0.00     1.78     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   52   +1      63.51     3.72     1.86     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             37   52   -6      61.70     3.99   -10.50     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   51   +5      68.51     4.25    10.81     0.00     1.58     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           35   49   -2      63.77     4.54    -2.70     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   48   -9      58.59     3.81    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     33   47   -8      64.22     4.93    -9.56     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Southport          37   46   -8      56.28     4.00   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   44   -9      54.12     3.90   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.32R    0.01  
Hyde_United        38   42  -10      52.25     3.82   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.15R    0.12  
Stockport          38   42  -14      50.32     3.61   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.54R    0.24  
Gateshead          35   41   -1      56.32     4.47    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       38   40  -12      50.09     3.72   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.44R    0.71  
Nuneaton           36   39  -15      49.88     4.16   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.83R    1.32  
Barrow             37   37  -30      46.39     3.88   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.73R    6.19  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   35  -23      46.49     4.19   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.91R    8.42  
AFC_Telford        39   31  -18      38.65     3.33   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.50R   82.98