Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 15 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 March 2013, Liverpool 3 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.16     3.86    49.85    98.41    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.42     3.82    38.26     1.58    90.92    98.42    99.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     29   54  +15      69.29     3.97    19.50     0.00     3.09    33.33    68.93    98.42     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.42     4.06    33.29     0.01     5.39    53.14    80.47    99.09     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.18     4.09    30.11     0.00     0.58    13.05    39.80    93.61     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     29   45  +20      61.51     3.96    26.35     0.00     0.02     1.51     8.03    69.51     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.06     4.09     9.32     0.00     0.01     0.54     2.88    33.68     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     29   43   +2      54.40     3.92     0.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     4.97     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       29   40   +4      50.28     3.81     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.57     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.68     4.17    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.42R    0.00  
Stoke         29   33   -8      43.99     3.82    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.96R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.45     3.91   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.78R    0.04  
Newcastle     29   33  -10      44.33     3.99   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.05R    0.01  
Norwich       29   33  -18      43.19     3.78   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40R    0.06  
Sunderland    29   30   -9      40.78     3.82   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.03R    0.19  
Southampton   29   28  -12      38.40     3.96   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.79R    1.57  
Aston_Villa   29   27  -26      36.58     3.76   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.31R    6.01  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.31     3.95   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.45R   15.87  
Reading       29   23  -21      31.02     3.57   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.12R   45.37  
QPR           29   23  -21      32.26     3.73   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.68R   30.88  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Barnsley 2 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          36   72  +20      88.60     4.27    24.29    78.62    93.84   100.00    95.52P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   68  +11      82.25     4.05    13.80    12.35    52.94    99.74    63.44P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   66  +25      79.77     4.11    27.14     6.27    31.70    99.02    48.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   65  +21      78.49     4.03    22.75     2.60    18.34    97.88    36.13P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   59  +26      73.58     4.03    29.32     0.15     2.83    81.16    29.14P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   57   +7      68.83     3.96     6.35     0.01     0.12    31.93     6.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   56  +13      69.00     4.07    14.02     0.00     0.15    37.84     8.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           37   54   +6      68.19     4.07     8.78     0.00     0.05    28.24     7.82P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   54   -2      66.47     4.04    -1.81     0.00     0.02    14.43     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   52   -4      64.79     4.05    -3.45     0.00     0.00     6.81     1.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          37   48   -1      59.99     4.02    -1.64     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.09P    0.98R    0.06  
Charlton         37   47   -4      58.99     4.02    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    2.07R    0.18  
Blackpool        37   46   +2      59.71     4.06     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.17P    1.18R    0.09  
Birmingham       37   46  -10      58.90     4.07    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    2.80R    0.30  
Derby            37   45   -1      57.43     4.04    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    4.64R    0.59  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.48     4.30    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.15P    1.86R    0.15  
Millwall         35   44   -8      58.45     4.49    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P    4.45R    0.55  
Huddersfield     37   44  -25      53.76     3.88   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.28R    6.76  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -9      55.42     4.26   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.87R    3.14  
Ipswich          37   43  -20      53.24     3.94   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.21R    6.40  
Barnsley         36   41  -12      51.78     4.12   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   42.71R   13.27  
Peterborough     37   39  -10      49.44     3.99   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.55R   27.40  
Wolverhampton    37   39  -10      51.31     4.03   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.69R   13.72  
Bristol_City     37   39  -12      49.57     3.95   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.67R   27.39  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Brentford 2 1 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       37   68  +17      82.08     4.05    19.60    31.78    62.23    97.39    71.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   65  +21      82.83     4.22    27.05    46.19    71.85    98.20    81.29P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   64  +13      76.86     4.01    13.85     5.13    14.73    77.09    29.23P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         37   63  +32      78.14     4.00    36.09    11.40    29.30    89.07    50.35P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        38   63  +16      74.19     3.73    16.41     1.20     4.95    55.97    16.03P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          37   63  +14      76.31     4.10    15.46     3.56    12.48    73.67    23.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     38   61  +10      74.02     3.82    13.06     0.61     3.38    52.85    14.35P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         38   59   +5      70.58     3.83     5.84     0.08     0.52    18.34     3.75P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        38   57  +14      69.96     3.84    16.90     0.03     0.35    18.93     5.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   38   57   +1      67.95     3.77     1.02     0.00     0.03     5.28     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    38   54  +12      65.30     3.75    12.57     0.00     0.01     2.24     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    36   52   -2      64.16     4.22    -4.38     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.19P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         36   51   +8      67.69     4.28    12.38     0.02     0.15     9.07     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           35   50   -4      62.19     4.39    -8.42     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         36   46   +2      60.31     4.27     2.90     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.10R    0.00  
Stevenage       37   46  -11      57.44     3.96   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Carlisle        37   45  -17      55.61     3.95   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.57R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      38   43   -7      53.58     3.78    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.53R    0.00  
Colchester      38   40  -20      49.77     3.73   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.83R    0.32  
Scunthorpe      37   38  -21      47.63     3.87   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.33R    1.55  
Oldham          35   36  -14      49.61     4.40   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.62R    0.85  
Hartlepool      37   32  -24      41.71     3.82   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.92R   25.07  
Portsmouth      38   30  -22      39.17     3.69   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.08R   47.59  
Bury            36   30  -23      41.88     4.22   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.47R   24.63  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 0 3 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           37   70  +26      85.63     4.00    30.91    87.49    98.93   100.00    99.25P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   65  +10      75.35     3.78     8.98     2.53    38.80    91.75    48.19P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   64  +26      77.47     3.79    29.69     7.03    69.49    97.96    78.74P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   62   +9      73.20     3.76     9.25     0.47    21.25    79.43    32.86P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   61  +10      74.37     4.04    11.53     1.85    33.37    85.42    46.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   61   +4      71.74     3.76     3.67     0.29    12.06    64.28    24.05P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               38   60   +9      72.58     3.82    11.38     0.31    18.61    75.71    35.46P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       37   55   +7      66.95     4.00     6.52     0.01     1.51    22.94     6.42P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   55   -4      66.15     3.82    -3.69     0.00     0.46    13.41     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   54  +10      69.22     4.00    14.14     0.02     4.61    46.07    18.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             36   51   +8      64.55     4.24     7.89     0.00     0.73    12.37     3.55P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   50   +7      63.53     4.05     8.76     0.00     0.17     7.16     2.40P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   50   -1      60.66     3.77    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              37   49   -8      61.64     4.11    -7.60     0.00     0.01     2.03     0.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       38   48   -9      58.95     3.76    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.15R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            38   46   -2      56.99     3.77    -1.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.43R    0.04  
Rochdale             37   46   -5      58.05     4.09    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.07P    0.33R    0.05  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   42  -19      51.73     3.87   -23.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.90R    6.17  
York                 38   41  -13      49.81     3.62   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.07R   11.66  
Barnet               37   40  -10      50.77     3.95   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.82R    7.92  
Aldershot            38   40  -14      49.50     3.64   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.83R   11.95  
Torquay              37   39   -8      51.27     3.94    -8.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   13.41R    5.27  
Plymouth             37   37  -11      47.41     3.89   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.07R   27.80  
Accrington_Stanley   37   37  -22      47.92     3.96   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.95R   29.10  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 15 March 2013, Forest_Green 1 2 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          37   74  +28      89.24     4.01    32.55    44.82    99.88    59.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   71  +33      87.75     3.97    39.66    34.51    99.71    58.47P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   68  +26      83.52     3.92    30.93     5.57    96.65    27.85P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   66  +21      84.16     4.82    23.57     8.98    94.49    22.04P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            35   64  +26      83.19     4.47    32.24     6.11    94.61    29.39P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   61  +17      73.23     3.54    20.88     0.00     8.71     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       36   55   +3      69.64     4.27     4.29     0.00     2.32     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   50   +5      68.53     4.42    10.34     0.00     1.76     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           35   50   +2      68.06     4.54     6.55     0.00     1.14     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           34   49   +1      65.51     4.81     0.90     0.00     0.57     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   49   +0      61.35     3.98     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Woking             36   49   -9      60.09     4.20   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport          36   46   -5      57.99     4.24    -8.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      37   45  -10      56.78     4.07   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.01  
Tamworth           36   44   -6      55.01     4.10   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.89R    0.01  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.26     5.19   -12.13     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.17R    0.00  
Stockport          37   42  -12      52.00     3.92   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.92R    0.13  
Gateshead          34   41   +0      57.72     4.75     0.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       37   40  -11      51.67     3.99   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.33R    0.48  
Hyde_United        37   39  -13      50.36     4.05   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.77R    1.03  
Barrow             36   37  -29      47.12     4.02   -35.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.50R    6.34  
Nuneaton           35   36  -16      48.17     4.42   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.58R    5.27  
Ebbsfleet_United   35   32  -26      44.61     4.41   -30.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.55R   20.78  
AFC_Telford        38   31  -15      39.90     3.64   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.43R   65.94