Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 14 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 March 2013, Liverpool 3 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.14     3.87    49.85    98.49    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.37     3.84    38.16     1.50    90.72    98.30    99.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     29   54  +15      69.26     3.97    19.48     0.00     3.00    33.14    68.63    98.39     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.45     4.08    33.32     0.01     5.63    53.22    80.31    99.06     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.23     4.09    30.21     0.00     0.63    13.26    40.45    93.59     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     29   45  +20      61.48     3.97    26.35     0.00     0.02     1.53     7.83    69.27     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.10     4.07     9.37     0.00     0.00     0.54     2.93    33.80     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     29   43   +2      54.43     3.92     0.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     5.08     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       29   40   +4      50.35     3.81     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.60     4.15    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.48R    0.01  
Stoke         29   33   -8      44.01     3.86    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.95R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.46     3.91   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.86R    0.03  
Newcastle     29   33  -10      44.34     3.96   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.91R    0.00  
Norwich       29   33  -18      43.17     3.74   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.31R    0.06  
Sunderland    29   30   -9      40.82     3.81   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.67R    0.16  
Southampton   29   28  -12      38.35     3.96   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.00R    1.58  
Aston_Villa   29   27  -26      36.57     3.76   -30.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.47R    5.90  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.28     3.94   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.88R   16.15  
Reading       29   23  -21      31.02     3.57   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.93R   45.43  
QPR           29   23  -21      32.27     3.73   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.55R   30.68  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Barnsley 2 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          36   72  +20      88.54     4.27    24.20    78.20    93.51   100.00    95.21P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   68  +11      82.26     4.04    13.80    12.37    52.74    99.73    63.34P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   66  +25      79.81     4.11    27.21     6.65    32.43    99.07    48.77P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   65  +21      78.44     4.04    22.70     2.63    18.06    97.79    35.64P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   59  +26      73.60     4.06    29.32     0.14     2.91    81.11    29.06P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   57   +7      68.82     4.00     6.31     0.01     0.14    32.08     6.63P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   56  +13      69.02     4.04    14.06     0.00     0.16    37.95     8.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           37   54   +6      68.18     4.07     8.80     0.00     0.04    27.99     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   54   -2      66.51     4.04    -1.73     0.00     0.01    14.77     2.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     37   52   -4      64.79     4.03    -3.48     0.00     0.00     6.59     1.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          37   48   -1      59.94     3.99    -1.70     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.11P    0.98R    0.06  
Charlton         37   47   -4      58.99     4.01    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    2.05R    0.15  
Blackpool        37   46   +2      59.70     4.07     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.19P    1.18R    0.09  
Birmingham       37   46  -10      58.84     4.05    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    2.81R    0.29  
Derby            37   45   -1      57.44     4.03    -0.90     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    4.72R    0.54  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.52     4.30    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.14P    1.87R    0.14  
Millwall         35   44   -8      58.48     4.47    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.09P    4.39R    0.52  
Huddersfield     37   44  -25      53.73     3.88   -29.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.78R    6.91  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -9      55.50     4.25   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.57R    3.02  
Ipswich          37   43  -20      53.22     3.93   -23.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.17R    6.53  
Barnsley         36   41  -12      51.81     4.09   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.37R   12.94  
Peterborough     37   39  -10      49.39     4.02   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.98R   28.01  
Wolverhampton    37   39  -10      51.34     4.01   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.38R   13.37  
Bristol_City     37   39  -12      49.59     3.95   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.76R   27.43  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Brentford 2 1 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       37   68  +17      82.18     4.02    19.73    32.45    62.91    97.61    71.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   65  +21      82.86     4.22    27.08    45.79    72.15    98.21    81.42P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   64  +13      76.86     3.99    13.83     4.88    14.68    77.15    29.13P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         37   63  +32      78.09     3.99    36.03    11.17    28.12    88.91    49.50P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        38   63  +16      74.22     3.73    16.44     1.30     4.96    56.22    16.01P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          37   63  +14      76.36     4.13    15.51     3.72    12.92    73.66    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     38   61  +10      74.01     3.80    13.02     0.57     3.32    52.65    14.07P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         38   59   +5      70.58     3.84     5.86     0.07     0.48    18.51     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        38   57  +14      69.95     3.82    16.88     0.03     0.32    18.65     5.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   38   57   +1      67.95     3.75     1.02     0.00     0.02     5.21     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    38   54  +12      65.24     3.74    12.49     0.00     0.01     2.21     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    36   52   -2      64.12     4.22    -4.43     0.00     0.01     1.24     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         36   51   +8      67.66     4.26    12.34     0.01     0.10     8.94     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           35   50   -4      62.24     4.37    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         36   46   +2      60.27     4.27     2.82     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.11R    0.00  
Stevenage       37   46  -11      57.45     3.97   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Carlisle        37   45  -17      55.54     3.92   -19.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      38   43   -7      53.55     3.81    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.86R    0.00  
Colchester      38   40  -20      49.83     3.72   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.20R    0.26  
Scunthorpe      37   38  -21      47.60     3.86   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.60R    1.62  
Oldham          35   36  -14      49.71     4.42   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.84R    0.82  
Hartlepool      37   32  -24      41.70     3.80   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.16R   24.95  
Portsmouth      38   30  -22      39.20     3.68   -24.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.18R   47.32  
Bury            36   30  -23      41.80     4.19   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.92R   25.02  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 0 3 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           37   70  +26      85.63     4.00    30.91    87.80    98.99    99.99    99.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   65  +10      75.36     3.76     9.02     2.23    38.61    91.83    48.22P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   64  +26      77.43     3.80    29.63     6.87    68.30    97.83    77.62P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   62   +9      73.27     3.77     9.35     0.54    21.67    79.68    33.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   61  +10      74.41     4.04    11.60     1.90    33.71    85.66    47.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   61   +4      71.78     3.76     3.74     0.32    12.03    64.56    23.76P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               38   60   +9      72.62     3.82    11.43     0.30    18.88    75.83    35.66P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       37   55   +7      67.05     4.02     6.67     0.02     1.73    23.41     6.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   55   -4      66.10     3.80    -3.73     0.00     0.45    12.67     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   54  +10      69.22     4.03    14.16     0.03     4.75    45.94    18.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             36   51   +8      64.52     4.22     7.85     0.00     0.66    11.99     3.31P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   50   +7      63.52     4.06     8.76     0.00     0.20     7.04     2.40P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   50   -1      60.70     3.79    -1.40     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              37   49   -8      61.67     4.08    -7.54     0.00     0.02     1.98     0.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       38   48   -9      58.96     3.77    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.13R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            38   46   -2      56.95     3.76    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.42R    0.07  
Rochdale             37   46   -5      58.07     4.07    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.11P    0.34R    0.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   42  -19      51.65     3.88   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.27R    6.33  
York                 38   41  -13      49.84     3.63   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.87R   11.81  
Barnet               37   40  -10      50.72     3.95   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.65R    7.81  
Aldershot            38   40  -14      49.50     3.63   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.53R   11.83  
Torquay              37   39   -8      51.24     3.96    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.62R    5.41  
Plymouth             37   37  -11      47.31     3.88   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.97R   28.04  
Accrington_Stanley   37   37  -22      47.93     3.92   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.18R   28.61  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 March 2013, AFC_Telford 0 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            37   71  +33      87.85     3.94    39.80    41.38    99.52    62.66P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   71  +27      87.47     4.25    31.29    32.55    98.78    49.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   68  +26      83.52     3.93    30.93     7.33    94.88    29.32P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   66  +21      84.09     4.84    23.50    11.05    92.38    23.63P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            35   64  +26      83.20     4.49    32.25     7.68    92.43    30.17P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       38   61  +18      74.72     3.78    22.04     0.01    16.75     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       36   55   +3      69.64     4.27     4.29     0.00     2.18     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   50   +5      68.33     4.47    10.04     0.00     1.40     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           35   50   +2      68.04     4.53     6.48     0.00     1.03     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           34   49   +1      65.46     4.80     0.81     0.00     0.51     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   49   +0      61.38     3.96     0.03     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Woking             36   49   -9      60.09     4.18   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Southport          36   46   -5      58.02     4.27    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      37   45  -10      56.70     4.04   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   44   -6      55.09     4.14   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.82R    0.01  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.34     5.17   -11.98     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.16R    0.00  
Stockport          37   42  -12      52.06     3.93   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.60R    0.14  
Gateshead          34   41   +0      57.76     4.74     0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       37   40  -11      51.65     4.01   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.34R    0.39  
Hyde_United        37   39  -13      50.36     4.04   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.47R    1.01  
Barrow             36   37  -29      47.07     4.04   -35.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.98R    6.59  
Nuneaton           35   36  -16      48.20     4.43   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.49R    5.19  
Ebbsfleet_United   35   32  -26      44.62     4.42   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.80R   20.53  
AFC_Telford        38   31  -15      39.90     3.61   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.45R   66.13