Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 13 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 March 2013, Liverpool 3 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.15     3.85    49.85    98.47    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.42     3.84    38.26     1.52    90.86    98.39    99.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     29   54  +15      69.30     3.95    19.52     0.00     3.02    33.53    68.90    98.41     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.42     4.10    33.25     0.00     5.56    52.57    79.91    99.10     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.22     4.11    30.18     0.00     0.54    13.37    40.29    93.50     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     29   45  +20      61.51     3.98    26.35     0.00     0.02     1.59     8.01    69.78     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.06     4.09     9.32     0.00     0.00     0.54     3.05    33.49     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     29   43   +2      54.44     3.91     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     5.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       29   40   +4      50.40     3.81     0.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.59     4.15    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.48R    0.01  
Stoke         29   33   -8      44.03     3.87    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.95R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.50     3.90   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.62R    0.04  
Newcastle     29   33  -10      44.35     4.00   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.97R    0.02  
Norwich       29   33  -18      43.15     3.76   -22.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.31R    0.05  
Sunderland    29   30   -9      40.78     3.82   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.76R    0.18  
Southampton   29   28  -12      38.32     3.94   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.96R    1.46  
Aston_Villa   29   27  -26      36.61     3.74   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.74R    5.59  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.23     3.96   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.17R   16.20  
Reading       29   23  -21      31.01     3.56   -29.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.75R   45.35  
QPR           29   23  -21      32.19     3.73   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.29R   31.10  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Barnsley 2 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          36   72  +20      88.54     4.29    24.24    78.19    93.62   100.00    95.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   68  +11      82.22     4.07    13.77    12.20    52.37    99.68    63.12P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   66  +25      79.84     4.11    27.25     6.88    32.48    99.07    48.92P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   65  +21      78.44     4.03    22.73     2.55    18.27    97.73    35.75P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   59  +26      73.53     4.06    29.21     0.16     2.89    80.83    28.71P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   57   +7      68.84     3.99     6.34     0.01     0.14    31.95     6.55P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   56  +13      69.02     4.04    14.07     0.01     0.15    38.21     9.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           37   54   +6      68.17     4.07     8.76     0.00     0.05    27.91     7.72P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   54   -2      66.49     4.06    -1.79     0.00     0.01    14.84     2.87P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   52   -4      64.79     4.05    -3.46     0.00     0.01     6.76     1.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          37   48   -1      60.03     4.00    -1.59     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.14P    0.83R    0.04  
Charlton         37   47   -4      59.00     4.01    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P    2.03R    0.19  
Blackpool        37   46   +2      59.67     4.05     4.04     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.19P    1.14R    0.08  
Birmingham       37   46  -10      58.83     4.07    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    2.94R    0.32  
Derby            37   45   -1      57.48     4.04    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    4.74R    0.59  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.53     4.31    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.13P    1.84R    0.16  
Millwall         35   44   -8      58.47     4.45    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.05P    4.32R    0.47  
Huddersfield     37   44  -25      53.69     3.88   -29.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.89R    6.98  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -9      55.45     4.23   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    14.64R    2.97  
Ipswich          37   43  -20      53.18     3.94   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.44R    6.66  
Barnsley         36   41  -12      51.86     4.11   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.03R   12.76  
Peterborough     37   39  -10      49.40     4.00   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.98R   27.75  
Wolverhampton    37   39  -10      51.34     4.01    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.24R   13.64  
Bristol_City     37   39  -12      49.59     3.95   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.95R   27.39  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Brentford 2 1 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       37   68  +17      82.07     4.08    19.57    32.07    62.06    97.24    71.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   65  +21      82.79     4.23    26.97    45.79    71.74    98.12    81.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   64  +13      76.90     3.99    13.89     5.22    14.97    77.21    29.57P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         37   63  +32      78.13     3.99    36.08    11.16    28.53    89.14    49.83P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        38   63  +16      74.22     3.73    16.45     1.25     5.07    56.10    16.27P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          37   63  +14      76.41     4.10    15.56     3.76    13.04    74.09    23.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     38   61  +10      74.04     3.81    13.09     0.64     3.56    52.97    14.63P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         38   59   +5      70.56     3.82     5.87     0.05     0.49    18.22     3.71P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        38   57  +14      69.94     3.84    16.88     0.05     0.38    18.66     5.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   38   57   +1      67.95     3.77     1.00     0.00     0.03     5.40     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    38   54  +12      65.24     3.75    12.47     0.00     0.01     2.15     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    36   52   -2      64.20     4.23    -4.36     0.00     0.01     1.26     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         36   51   +8      67.63     4.27    12.30     0.00     0.10     8.70     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           35   50   -4      62.27     4.39    -8.30     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         36   46   +2      60.26     4.26     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.12R    0.00  
Stevenage       37   46  -11      57.43     3.94   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Carlisle        37   45  -17      55.59     3.95   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.67R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      38   43   -7      53.54     3.81    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.75R    0.00  
Colchester      38   40  -20      49.82     3.74   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.15R    0.31  
Scunthorpe      37   38  -21      47.60     3.85   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.55R    1.63  
Oldham          35   36  -14      49.58     4.40   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.57R    0.82  
Hartlepool      37   32  -24      41.70     3.82   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.05R   25.61  
Portsmouth      38   30  -22      39.27     3.68   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.96R   46.47  
Bury            36   30  -23      41.82     4.20   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.68R   25.16  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 0 3 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           37   70  +26      85.66     3.99    30.94    87.72    99.07    99.99    99.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   65  +10      75.33     3.76     8.95     2.30    38.49    91.84    47.78P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   64  +26      77.46     3.81    29.66     6.90    68.83    97.84    78.12P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   62   +9      73.23     3.77     9.30     0.54    21.33    79.34    32.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   61  +10      74.42     4.04    11.58     1.79    34.11    85.92    47.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   61   +4      71.73     3.76     3.68     0.35    11.73    64.18    23.71P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               38   60   +9      72.62     3.83    11.45     0.34    18.94    76.07    35.91P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       37   55   +7      67.02     4.03     6.64     0.02     1.68    23.32     6.82P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   55   -4      66.07     3.80    -3.79     0.00     0.41    12.95     3.14P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   54  +10      69.13     4.02    14.04     0.04     4.51    45.68    17.95P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             36   51   +8      64.50     4.25     7.84     0.00     0.69    12.24     3.37P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   50   +7      63.49     4.05     8.71     0.00     0.19     7.09     2.47P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   50   -1      60.68     3.79    -1.43     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              37   49   -8      61.68     4.08    -7.55     0.00     0.03     1.93     0.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       38   48   -9      58.95     3.75    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.13R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            38   46   -2      56.97     3.77    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.42R    0.07  
Rochdale             37   46   -5      58.03     4.06    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.08P    0.34R    0.05  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   42  -19      51.67     3.87   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.39R    6.37  
York                 38   41  -13      49.85     3.64   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.82R   11.88  
Barnet               37   40  -10      50.69     3.94   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.13R    8.09  
Aldershot            38   40  -14      49.51     3.64   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.82R   11.85  
Torquay              37   39   -8      51.30     3.95    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.56R    5.25  
Plymouth             37   37  -11      47.41     3.89   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.95R   27.88  
Accrington_Stanley   37   37  -22      47.99     3.95   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.41R   28.55  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 March 2013, AFC_Telford 0 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            37   71  +33      87.85     3.96    39.80    41.51    99.50    62.62P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   71  +27      87.46     4.26    31.30    32.36    98.88    49.38P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   68  +26      83.58     3.95    30.99     7.36    95.03    29.34P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   66  +21      84.16     4.83    23.58    11.02    92.59    23.76P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            35   64  +26      83.24     4.48    32.33     7.74    92.58    30.32P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       38   61  +18      74.70     3.81    22.00     0.01    16.29     3.46P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       36   55   +3      69.62     4.29     4.24     0.00     2.11     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   50   +5      68.30     4.47    10.01     0.00     1.38     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           35   50   +2      68.06     4.55     6.53     0.00     1.06     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           34   49   +1      65.45     4.78     0.81     0.00     0.46     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   49   +0      61.37     3.96     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Woking             36   49   -9      60.08     4.19   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Southport          36   46   -5      58.10     4.28    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      37   45  -10      56.73     4.06   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   44   -6      55.05     4.10   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69R    0.01  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.30     5.18   -12.04     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.19R    0.00  
Stockport          37   42  -12      52.00     3.90   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.79R    0.15  
Gateshead          34   41   +0      57.78     4.74     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.80R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       37   40  -11      51.68     4.01   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.06R    0.52  
Hyde_United        37   39  -13      50.27     4.06   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.05R    1.00  
Barrow             36   37  -29      47.11     4.04   -35.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.49R    6.38  
Nuneaton           35   36  -16      48.13     4.40   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.08R    5.25  
Ebbsfleet_United   35   32  -26      44.65     4.44   -30.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.49R   20.89  
AFC_Telford        38   31  -15      39.90     3.65   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.31R   65.79