Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 12 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 March 2013, Liverpool 3 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.14     3.86    49.81    98.45    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.40     3.83    38.24     1.55    90.72    98.41    99.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     29   54  +15      69.24     3.97    19.43     0.00     3.05    32.78    68.74    98.41     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.47     4.09    33.35     0.01     5.63    53.52    80.52    99.05     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.15     4.11    30.08     0.00     0.58    13.04    39.82    93.39     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     29   45  +20      61.50     3.98    26.37     0.00     0.02     1.66     7.99    69.27     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.10     4.10     9.40     0.00     0.02     0.58     3.05    33.77     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     29   43   +2      54.40     3.93     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     5.30     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       29   40   +4      50.38     3.81     0.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.63     4.16    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.39R    0.01  
Stoke         29   33   -8      44.04     3.85    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.94R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.47     3.92   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.75R    0.03  
Newcastle     29   33  -10      44.33     3.97   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.93R    0.02  
Norwich       29   33  -18      43.16     3.75   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.30R    0.06  
Sunderland    29   30   -9      40.81     3.82   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.83R    0.18  
Southampton   29   28  -12      38.32     3.93   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.92R    1.52  
Aston_Villa   29   27  -26      36.60     3.74   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.86R    5.82  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.26     3.94   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.85R   16.29  
Reading       29   23  -21      31.01     3.56   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.05R   45.27  
QPR           29   23  -21      32.23     3.71   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.19R   30.81  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Barnsley 2 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          36   72  +20      88.55     4.28    24.22    78.41    93.61   100.00    95.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   68  +11      82.23     4.04    13.79    12.24    52.66    99.73    63.25P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   66  +25      79.84     4.11    27.25     6.67    32.33    99.11    48.99P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   65  +21      78.44     4.04    22.72     2.50    18.12    97.86    35.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   59  +26      73.52     4.05    29.23     0.16     2.92    80.50    28.46P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   57   +7      68.83     3.97     6.31     0.01     0.12    31.57     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   56  +13      69.10     4.04    14.14     0.01     0.16    38.78     8.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           37   54   +6      68.23     4.08     8.85     0.00     0.07    28.44     7.93P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   54   -2      66.45     4.03    -1.83     0.00     0.01    14.20     2.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   52   -4      64.80     4.07    -3.45     0.00     0.00     6.88     1.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          37   48   -1      59.95     4.00    -1.72     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P    1.05R    0.06  
Charlton         37   47   -4      59.03     4.01    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.09P    2.10R    0.18  
Blackpool        37   46   +2      59.68     4.06     4.03     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.20P    1.13R    0.06  
Birmingham       37   46  -10      58.91     4.05    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    2.66R    0.32  
Derby            37   45   -1      57.40     4.02    -0.99     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    4.57R    0.66  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.52     4.31    -1.81     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.12P    1.89R    0.17  
Millwall         35   44   -8      58.40     4.46    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.09P    4.55R    0.59  
Huddersfield     37   44  -25      53.74     3.87   -29.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.36R    6.69  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -9      55.47     4.27   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   14.92R    3.04  
Ipswich          37   43  -20      53.25     3.96   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.04R    6.59  
Barnsley         36   41  -12      51.78     4.09   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.51R   12.99  
Peterborough     37   39  -10      49.45     4.00   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.36R   27.44  
Wolverhampton    37   39  -10      51.29     4.02   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.74R   13.87  
Bristol_City     37   39  -12      49.57     3.93   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.09R   27.33  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Brentford 2 1 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       37   68  +17      82.09     4.06    19.61    31.69    62.20    97.43    71.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   65  +21      82.88     4.21    27.13    46.59    72.24    98.37    81.29P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   64  +13      76.86     4.00    13.83     4.79    14.70    77.01    29.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         37   63  +32      78.10     4.01    36.02    11.21    28.55    88.80    49.87P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        38   63  +16      74.24     3.73    16.48     1.26     5.11    56.39    16.27P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          37   63  +14      76.39     4.10    15.54     3.75    12.92    74.28    24.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     38   61  +10      73.96     3.80    12.95     0.58     3.26    52.02    14.06P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         38   59   +5      70.55     3.81     5.81     0.07     0.45    18.12     3.85P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        38   57  +14      70.01     3.84    16.98     0.05     0.40    19.12     5.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   38   57   +1      67.97     3.76     1.03     0.00     0.04     5.32     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    38   54  +12      65.27     3.75    12.51     0.00     0.02     2.29     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    36   52   -2      64.11     4.20    -4.43     0.00     0.01     1.14     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         36   51   +8      67.60     4.28    12.25     0.01     0.11     8.89     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           35   50   -4      62.30     4.41    -8.23     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         36   46   +2      60.23     4.26     2.77     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.12R    0.00  
Stevenage       37   46  -11      57.41     3.92   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.51R    0.00  
Carlisle        37   45  -17      55.60     3.96   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      38   43   -7      53.59     3.80    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.80R    0.00  
Colchester      38   40  -20      49.81     3.73   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.50R    0.28  
Scunthorpe      37   38  -21      47.64     3.82   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.15R    1.47  
Oldham          35   36  -14      49.61     4.41   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.41R    0.85  
Hartlepool      37   32  -24      41.70     3.81   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.15R   25.17  
Portsmouth      38   30  -22      39.20     3.69   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.05R   47.48  
Bury            36   30  -23      41.83     4.19   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.70R   24.75  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 0 3 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           37   70  +26      85.64     3.99    30.91    87.53    98.96   100.00    99.26P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   65  +10      75.34     3.78     8.96     2.45    38.73    91.73    47.91P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   64  +26      77.50     3.79    29.75     7.19    69.38    98.03    78.61P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   62   +9      73.23     3.77     9.29     0.56    21.28    79.72    32.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   61  +10      74.36     4.03    11.53     1.66    33.27    85.59    46.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   61   +4      71.76     3.76     3.72     0.26    12.11    64.76    24.20P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               38   60   +9      72.60     3.83    11.42     0.31    18.76    75.89    35.97P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       37   55   +7      67.00     4.03     6.59     0.01     1.64    23.04     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   55   -4      66.08     3.81    -3.79     0.00     0.42    13.11     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   54  +10      69.18     4.01    14.14     0.03     4.61    45.63    18.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             36   51   +8      64.47     4.23     7.79     0.00     0.65    12.02     3.34P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   50   +7      63.46     4.06     8.67     0.00     0.18     6.85     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   50   -1      60.67     3.81    -1.44     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              37   49   -8      61.66     4.09    -7.59     0.00     0.02     2.05     0.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       38   48   -9      58.96     3.78    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    0.14R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            38   46   -2      57.00     3.76    -1.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.40R    0.07  
Rochdale             37   46   -5      58.11     4.07    -5.45     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.10P    0.32R    0.05  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   42  -19      51.75     3.89   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.71R    6.27  
York                 38   41  -13      49.85     3.64   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.95R   11.76  
Barnet               37   40  -10      50.72     3.97   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.99R    8.01  
Aldershot            38   40  -14      49.48     3.62   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.09R   11.96  
Torquay              37   39   -8      51.29     3.95    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.60R    5.15  
Plymouth             37   37  -11      47.39     3.87   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.23R   27.78  
Accrington_Stanley   37   37  -22      47.93     3.92   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.55R   28.93  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2013, Alfreton_Town 3 0 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            37   71  +33      87.81     3.96    39.73    41.06    99.52    62.64P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   71  +27      87.49     4.26    31.34    32.97    98.86    50.20P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   68  +26      83.56     3.94    31.00     7.57    95.03    29.75P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   66  +21      84.06     4.82    23.44    10.84    92.31    23.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            35   64  +26      83.14     4.47    32.14     7.56    92.50    29.70P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       38   61  +18      74.71     3.80    22.03     0.00    16.42     3.34P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       36   55   +3      69.67     4.28     4.32     0.00     2.12     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   50   +5      68.40     4.47    10.12     0.00     1.46     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           35   50   +2      68.05     4.55     6.50     0.00     1.10     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           34   49   +1      65.53     4.81     0.94     0.00     0.56     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   49   +0      61.39     3.97     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Woking             36   49   -9      60.11     4.21   -13.43     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Southport          36   46   -5      58.01     4.27    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      37   45  -10      56.76     4.05   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   44   -6      55.05     4.11   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.83R    0.01  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.28     5.16   -12.05     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.19R    0.00  
Stockport          37   42  -12      51.99     3.91   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.12R    0.17  
Gateshead          33   40   +0      58.28     4.96     0.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.02  
Lincoln_City       37   40  -11      51.65     4.02   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.45R    0.52  
Hyde_United        37   39  -13      50.37     4.06   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.77R    1.13  
Barrow             36   37  -29      47.12     4.05   -35.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.61R    7.11  
Nuneaton           35   36  -16      48.17     4.42   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.00R    5.47  
Ebbsfleet_United   35   32  -26      44.60     4.42   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.21R   21.85  
AFC_Telford        37   30  -15      40.15     3.88   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.93R   63.71