Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 11 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 March 2013, Liverpool 3 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.16     3.88    49.89    98.44    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.40     3.84    38.22     1.55    90.61    98.40    99.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     29   54  +15      69.32     3.95    19.57     0.00     3.09    33.57    69.19    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.42     4.10    33.26     0.01     5.66    52.79    80.16    99.03     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.20     4.09    30.23     0.00     0.64    13.26    40.09    93.70     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     29   45  +20      61.47     3.98    26.31     0.00     0.01     1.48     7.80    68.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.08     4.09     9.36     0.00     0.00     0.49     2.96    33.67     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     29   43   +2      54.46     3.91     0.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     5.28     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       29   40   +4      50.36     3.80     0.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.61     4.16    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.43R    0.01  
Stoke         29   33   -8      44.05     3.84    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.97R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.43     3.91   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.68R    0.04  
Newcastle     29   33  -10      44.39     3.96   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.86R    0.01  
Norwich       29   33  -18      43.16     3.77   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.33R    0.05  
Sunderland    29   30   -9      40.77     3.80   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.76R    0.18  
Southampton   29   28  -12      38.37     3.94   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.74R    1.52  
Aston_Villa   29   27  -26      36.61     3.75   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.95R    5.66  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.22     3.95   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.28R   16.29  
Reading       29   23  -21      30.98     3.56   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.12R   45.55  
QPR           29   23  -21      32.25     3.70   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.87R   30.68  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 March 2013, Burnley 0 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          35   71  +20      89.11     4.49    24.53    80.27    93.97   100.00    95.48P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   68  +11      82.24     4.06    13.80    11.18    51.69    99.67    62.61P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   66  +25      79.82     4.13    27.22     5.95    31.89    98.70    48.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   65  +21      78.48     4.02    22.77     2.28    17.83    97.34    35.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   58  +26      73.75     4.28    29.03     0.30     3.80    78.41    28.50P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   57   +7      68.81     3.96     6.30     0.00     0.14    27.99     5.72P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   56  +14      70.69     4.29    15.46     0.02     0.63    50.32    12.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           37   54   +6      68.15     4.07     8.73     0.00     0.04    24.01     6.80P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   54   -2      66.44     4.04    -1.83     0.00     0.01    12.20     2.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     36   51   -4      65.62     4.31    -2.71     0.00     0.01     9.05     1.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          37   48   -1      59.95     4.01    -1.69     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.09P    0.85R    0.04  
Charlton         37   47   -4      59.03     4.01    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    1.71R    0.10  
Blackpool        37   46   +2      59.68     4.06     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.11P    0.97R    0.06  
Birmingham       37   46  -10      58.89     4.07    -9.25     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    2.42R    0.20  
Derby            37   45   -1      57.45     4.03    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.11R    0.50  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.52     4.31    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.09P    1.62R    0.09  
Millwall         35   44   -8      58.46     4.46    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    3.97R    0.45  
Huddersfield     37   44  -25      53.83     3.87   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.43R    5.29  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -9      55.51     4.25   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   13.18R    2.45  
Ipswich          37   43  -20      53.18     3.94   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.98R    5.76  
Wolverhampton    37   39  -10      51.35     4.01    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.68R   11.21  
Bristol_City     37   39  -12      49.57     3.96   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.55R   23.43  
Peterborough     36   38  -10      49.35     4.22   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.94R   25.62  
Barnsley         35   38  -13      49.84     4.34   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.58R   24.79  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, Bournemouth 1 2 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       37   68  +17      82.06     4.06    19.60    28.57    56.80    97.19    67.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   65  +21      82.87     4.22    27.11    42.10    68.19    98.17    78.57P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         36   63  +33      79.71     4.23    37.40    18.79    40.00    93.27    58.66P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        37   63  +18      75.77     3.98    18.72     2.88     9.55    70.66    23.14P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          36   62  +14      77.12     4.35    16.10     5.05    15.51    77.68    26.49P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   61  +12      74.99     4.20    12.51     2.16     6.98    59.08    18.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     37   58   +9      72.38     4.08    12.05     0.21     1.38    35.92     8.77P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        37   56  +14      70.98     4.06    17.87     0.12     0.78    27.34     8.27P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         37   56   +3      68.68     4.05     3.50     0.01     0.13     9.76     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    37   54  +13      66.98     4.03    14.00     0.01     0.07     6.46     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   37   54   +0      66.35     4.00     0.07     0.00     0.00     2.90     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         35   51   +9      69.67     4.48    14.21     0.08     0.59    19.21     6.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    35   51   -2      64.15     4.46    -4.96     0.00     0.02     1.60     0.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           35   50   -4      62.27     4.40    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       36   46  -10      58.78     4.20   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.25R    0.00  
Carlisle        37   45  -17      55.64     3.93   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.24R    0.00  
Preston         35   43   +1      58.27     4.50     1.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.57R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      37   40   -8      51.23     4.00    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.76R    0.11  
Colchester      37   39  -20      49.59     3.92   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.58R    0.73  
Scunthorpe      37   38  -21      47.56     3.86   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.70R    2.19  
Oldham          35   36  -14      49.71     4.43   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.27R    1.19  
Hartlepool      37   32  -24      41.72     3.82   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.29R   29.76  
Portsmouth      37   30  -21      40.50     3.96   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.61R   37.28  
Bury            36   30  -23      41.88     4.20   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.72R   28.73  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 3 2 York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           36   69  +26      86.06     4.25    31.02    82.25    98.60    99.99    99.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   64  +28      79.31     4.07    32.40    13.11    79.82    98.89    86.08P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        37   62   +9      73.54     4.03     7.70     1.02    20.93    79.52    31.22P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          37   61   +9      73.40     4.03     8.95     0.66    20.90    78.90    32.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   61   +4      71.75     3.75     3.69     0.21    10.28    63.29    22.31P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   60  +10      74.74     4.28    11.53     1.86    33.98    85.77    47.13P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               37   59   +9      73.00     4.08    11.47     0.64    20.11    77.06    36.43P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             36   54  +12      71.67     4.21    17.81     0.25    13.40    68.82    32.73P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       36   52   +4      65.08     4.24     3.21     0.00     0.60    12.16     3.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   52   -5      64.75     4.06    -4.34     0.00     0.19     7.99     1.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             35   50   +8      64.92     4.48     7.93     0.00     0.93    14.81     4.11P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   50   +7      63.48     4.06     8.69     0.00     0.18     6.88     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   49   -1      61.19     4.04    -1.24     0.00     0.02     1.95     0.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              36   48   -8      61.97     4.35    -7.66     0.00     0.06     3.13     0.85P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            37   45   -2      57.54     4.03    -1.66     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.65R    0.09  
Rochdale             36   45   -5      58.57     4.34    -5.34     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.16P    0.58R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       37   45  -11      56.91     4.00   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    1.34R    0.29  
Barnet               36   40   -9      51.89     4.17   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.62R    5.88  
York                 37   40  -13      50.02     3.90   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.73R   12.95  
Aldershot            37   40  -13      51.02     3.92   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.94R    7.89  
AFC_Wimbledon        36   39  -21      49.06     4.01   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.91R   21.83  
Torquay              36   38   -8      51.43     4.17    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   15.31R    6.32  
Accrington_Stanley   36   37  -19      49.68     4.22   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.48R   17.54  
Plymouth             36   36  -11      47.80     4.14   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.40R   27.08  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, AFC_Telford 0 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            36   68  +32      86.71     4.18    39.53    34.87    98.72    58.29P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   68  +26      83.54     3.93    30.98     9.45    95.22    30.40P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   68  +25      85.78     4.50    29.18    23.97    96.92    41.74P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   66  +21      84.12     4.82    23.52    13.42    92.91    25.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            34   64  +28      84.68     4.70    34.43    18.27    95.51    39.32P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       37   58  +17      73.14     4.08    21.11     0.01    10.06     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       35   54   +3      70.65     4.54     5.29     0.01     4.07     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   50   +6      70.71     4.67    12.59     0.00     4.83     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           35   50   +2      68.16     4.57     6.70     0.00     1.12     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           34   49   +1      65.53     4.81     0.93     0.00     0.48     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   49   +0      61.33     3.96    -0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Woking             35   48   -9      59.80     4.39   -14.63     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Southport          35   46   -4      59.29     4.51    -7.17     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.14R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   44   -6      55.06     4.13   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68R    0.03  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.37     5.19   -11.94     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.18R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      36   42  -13      55.20     4.33   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.05  
Gateshead          33   40   +0      58.25     4.96     0.57     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.84R    0.03  
Lincoln_City       36   40  -10      52.57     4.21   -11.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.68R    0.45  
Stockport          36   39  -14      50.18     4.17   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.58R    1.27  
Barrow             35   37  -27      48.66     4.32   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.27R    4.35  
Hyde_United        36   36  -14      47.78     4.24   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.15R    5.73  
Nuneaton           35   36  -16      48.16     4.41   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.23R    6.18  
Ebbsfleet_United   34   32  -23      46.02     4.66   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.80R   15.74  
AFC_Telford        37   30  -15      40.15     3.88   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.55R   66.16