Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 10 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 March 2013, Liverpool 3 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.13     3.86    49.78    98.45    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.41     3.82    38.25     1.55    90.65    98.44    99.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     29   54  +15      69.32     3.98    19.53     0.00     3.04    33.50    68.95    98.44     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.48     4.08    33.37     0.00     5.66    52.88    80.27    99.12     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.20     4.12    30.20     0.00     0.63    13.09    40.12    93.59     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     29   45  +20      61.53     3.99    26.38     0.00     0.01     1.52     7.87    69.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.02     4.07     9.25     0.00     0.02     0.57     2.99    33.10     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     29   43   +2      54.42     3.91     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     5.14     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       29   40   +4      50.34     3.80     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.55     4.16    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.50R    0.01  
Stoke         29   33   -8      44.02     3.82    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.85R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.48     3.91   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.69R    0.03  
Newcastle     29   33  -10      44.37     3.98   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.94R    0.01  
Norwich       29   33  -18      43.13     3.75   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.37R    0.03  
Sunderland    29   30   -9      40.83     3.82   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.60R    0.18  
Southampton   29   28  -12      38.38     3.93   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.73R    1.49  
Aston_Villa   29   27  -26      36.63     3.75   -30.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.10R    5.64  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.25     3.96   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.04R   16.22  
Reading       29   23  -21      31.02     3.57   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.02R   45.05  
QPR           29   23  -21      32.19     3.71   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.15R   31.33  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, Birmingham 3 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          35   71  +20      89.18     4.53    24.62    83.48    95.01   100.00    96.37P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   66  +25      79.81     4.11    27.21     6.37    37.61    98.73    52.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   65  +21      78.47     4.05    22.76     2.74    22.19    97.27    38.98P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   65  +10      80.43     4.30    12.56     7.02    38.85    98.31    52.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   58  +26      73.73     4.29    28.98     0.36     5.18    78.26    29.17P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   57   +7      68.82     3.97     6.32     0.01     0.20    28.04     6.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   56  +14      70.67     4.28    15.46     0.03     0.83    50.66    12.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           37   54   +6      68.16     4.07     8.78     0.00     0.07    24.22     6.97P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   54   -2      66.45     4.04    -1.85     0.00     0.03    12.24     2.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     36   51   -4      65.60     4.28    -2.76     0.00     0.02     8.94     1.63P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          36   48   +0      61.51     4.27    -0.41     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.33P    0.38R    0.01  
Charlton         37   47   -4      59.00     4.02    -4.50     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    1.83R    0.15  
Blackpool        37   46   +2      59.63     4.05     3.98     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.16P    1.01R    0.07  
Birmingham       37   46  -10      58.91     4.07    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    2.25R    0.20  
Derby            37   45   -1      57.50     4.03    -0.83     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.10R    0.45  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.51     4.30    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.10P    1.60R    0.13  
Millwall         35   44   -8      58.45     4.48    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    4.02R    0.42  
Huddersfield     37   44  -25      53.74     3.86   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.21R    5.72  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -9      55.52     4.25   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   13.28R    2.51  
Ipswich          37   43  -20      53.22     3.95   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.78R    5.61  
Wolverhampton    37   39  -10      51.31     4.02   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.87R   11.49  
Bristol_City     37   39  -12      49.55     3.94   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.82R   23.21  
Peterborough     36   38  -10      49.42     4.25   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.29R   25.65  
Barnsley         35   38  -13      49.87     4.32   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.51R   24.37  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, Bournemouth 1 2 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       37   68  +17      82.05     4.09    19.55    28.49    56.67    97.15    66.74P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   65  +21      82.87     4.21    27.10    42.02    68.14    98.16    78.57P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         36   63  +33      79.69     4.23    37.39    18.66    39.92    93.31    58.44P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        37   63  +18      75.78     4.02    18.73     3.12     9.70    70.22    23.02P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          36   62  +14      77.12     4.33    16.07     5.12    15.57    77.60    26.55P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   61  +12      74.92     4.25    12.44     2.10     6.98    58.65    18.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     37   58   +9      72.40     4.09    12.06     0.24     1.46    36.18     9.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        37   56  +14      71.00     4.04    17.88     0.13     0.74    27.44     8.38P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         37   56   +3      68.69     4.04     3.49     0.02     0.16     9.95     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    37   54  +13      67.01     4.03    14.07     0.00     0.05     6.62     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   37   54   +0      66.37     4.02     0.08     0.00     0.02     3.06     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         35   51   +9      69.65     4.47    14.18     0.09     0.57    19.29     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    35   51   -2      64.12     4.42    -4.98     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           35   50   -4      62.34     4.41    -8.23     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       36   46  -10      58.75     4.19   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.23R    0.00  
Carlisle        37   45  -17      55.64     3.93   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.19R    0.00  
Preston         35   43   +1      58.32     4.52     1.35     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.57R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      37   40   -8      51.29     3.98    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.29R    0.13  
Colchester      37   39  -20      49.55     3.96   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.09R    0.72  
Scunthorpe      37   38  -21      47.61     3.87   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.30R    2.05  
Oldham          35   36  -14      49.69     4.40   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.25R    1.09  
Hartlepool      37   32  -24      41.66     3.82   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.57R   29.90  
Portsmouth      37   30  -21      40.54     3.96   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.59R   36.61  
Bury            36   30  -23      41.81     4.20   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.90R   29.50  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 3 2 York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           36   69  +26      86.05     4.26    31.01    82.10    98.62    99.99    99.07P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   64  +28      79.36     4.05    32.50    13.15    80.22    98.91    86.20P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        37   62   +9      73.51     4.02     7.66     0.96    20.31    79.60    30.63P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          37   61   +9      73.42     4.01     8.99     0.57    20.69    78.93    32.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   61   +4      71.73     3.77     3.65     0.24    10.27    62.99    22.40P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   60  +10      74.82     4.30    11.63     1.99    34.56    86.16    47.49P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               37   59   +9      73.00     4.11    11.43     0.68    20.09    76.89    36.37P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             36   54  +12      71.63     4.23    17.73     0.30    13.20    68.74    32.46P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       36   52   +4      65.06     4.27     3.16     0.00     0.60    12.24     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   52   -5      64.77     4.04    -4.30     0.00     0.23     8.19     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             35   50   +8      64.90     4.50     7.88     0.01     0.98    14.87     4.31P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   50   +7      63.51     4.06     8.75     0.00     0.15     6.60     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   49   -1      61.20     4.06    -1.21     0.00     0.02     1.96     0.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              36   48   -8      62.00     4.35    -7.61     0.00     0.07     3.12     0.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            37   45   -2      57.51     4.04    -1.72     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P    0.56R    0.09  
Rochdale             36   45   -5      58.66     4.34    -5.23     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.20P    0.50R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       37   45  -11      56.86     3.98   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    1.25R    0.28  
Barnet               36   40   -9      51.79     4.18   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.12R    6.26  
York                 37   40  -13      50.05     3.90   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.35R   12.71  
Aldershot            37   40  -13      50.98     3.89   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.96R    7.53  
AFC_Wimbledon        36   39  -21      49.09     4.04   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.91R   22.02  
Torquay              36   38   -8      51.54     4.19    -8.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.57R    5.93  
Accrington_Stanley   36   37  -19      49.61     4.19   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.85R   17.84  
Plymouth             36   36  -11      47.74     4.12   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.89R   27.20  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, AFC_Telford 0 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            36   68  +32      86.69     4.19    39.51    34.77    98.81    58.24P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   68  +26      83.54     3.93    30.94     9.31    95.36    30.26P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   68  +25      85.79     4.51    29.19    24.16    96.83    41.85P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   66  +21      84.15     4.82    23.59    13.66    92.97    26.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            34   64  +28      84.59     4.72    34.29    18.10    95.12    38.87P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       37   58  +17      73.19     4.05    21.17     0.00    10.16     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       35   54   +3      70.74     4.52     5.42     0.01     4.24     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   50   +6      70.64     4.67    12.51     0.00     4.75     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           35   50   +2      68.10     4.57     6.58     0.00     1.10     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           34   49   +1      65.46     4.82     0.84     0.00     0.48     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   49   +0      61.29     3.97    -0.08     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Woking             35   48   -9      59.82     4.41   -14.63     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Southport          35   46   -4      59.34     4.47    -7.05     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   44   -6      55.04     4.09   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68R    0.01  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.35     5.18   -11.96     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.15R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      36   42  -13      55.18     4.33   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.89R    0.08  
Gateshead          33   40   +0      58.28     5.00     0.64     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.81R    0.02  
Lincoln_City       36   40  -10      52.61     4.19   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.37R    0.38  
Stockport          36   39  -14      50.23     4.16   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.55R    1.25  
Barrow             35   37  -27      48.73     4.32   -32.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.93R    4.30  
Hyde_United        36   36  -14      47.75     4.23   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.38R    5.41  
Nuneaton           35   36  -16      48.21     4.40   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.96R    5.93  
Ebbsfleet_United   34   32  -23      45.94     4.66   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.43R   16.08  
AFC_Telford        37   30  -15      40.12     3.88   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.62R   66.53