Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 9 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, Norwich 0 0 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.18     3.87    49.89    98.33    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.45     3.83    38.32     1.67    89.05    98.04    99.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     28   54  +16      70.40     4.20    20.09     0.00     5.10    41.10    75.42    98.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.44     4.07    33.31     0.00     5.35    47.99    79.48    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.23     4.09    30.23     0.00     0.48    11.52    37.64    94.69     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.10     4.09     9.42     0.00     0.01     0.43     2.62    40.28     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     29   43   +2      54.44     3.91     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     6.69     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     28   42  +19      60.09     4.24    25.63     0.00     0.01     0.91     5.05    59.04     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       29   40   +4      50.31     3.82     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.66     4.15    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.41R    0.01  
Stoke         28   33   -7      45.10     4.07    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.56R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.41     3.91   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.79R    0.03  
Norwich       29   33  -18      43.17     3.75   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.18R    0.06  
Sunderland    29   30   -9      40.76     3.79   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.68R    0.14  
Newcastle     28   30  -11      43.01     4.23   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.81R    0.13  
Southampton   29   28  -12      38.38     3.94   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.52R    1.51  
Aston_Villa   29   27  -26      36.55     3.74   -30.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.19R    5.70  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.25     3.95   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.55R   15.96  
Reading       29   23  -21      31.00     3.57   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.64R   45.22  
QPR           29   23  -21      32.20     3.71   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.67R   31.23  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, Birmingham 3 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          35   71  +20      89.15     4.55    24.55    83.29    94.91    99.99    96.34P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   66  +25      79.79     4.12    27.19     6.47    37.44    98.60    52.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   65  +21      78.48     4.04    22.77     2.72    22.13    97.17    39.21P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   65  +10      80.48     4.29    12.59     7.00    38.94    98.31    52.07P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   58  +26      73.81     4.29    29.11     0.47     5.38    78.67    29.72P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   57   +7      68.81     3.96     6.29     0.01     0.19    28.15     5.95P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   56  +14      70.62     4.32    15.38     0.04     0.89    49.49    12.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           37   54   +6      68.19     4.08     8.78     0.00     0.08    24.50     6.91P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   54   -2      66.47     4.05    -1.82     0.00     0.04    12.30     2.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     36   51   -4      65.62     4.34    -2.76     0.00     0.02     9.38     1.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          36   48   +0      61.45     4.29    -0.48     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.38P    0.44R    0.02  
Charlton         37   47   -4      59.01     4.02    -4.46     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P    1.72R    0.12  
Blackpool        37   46   +2      59.68     4.03     4.05     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.14P    0.92R    0.05  
Birmingham       37   46  -10      58.86     4.06    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    2.45R    0.24  
Derby            37   45   -1      57.41     4.06    -0.97     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    4.23R    0.55  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.52     4.30    -1.87     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.11P    1.60R    0.12  
Millwall         35   44   -8      58.47     4.47    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P    3.95R    0.42  
Huddersfield     37   44  -25      53.72     3.88   -29.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.55R    6.00  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -9      55.51     4.26   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.44R    2.56  
Ipswich          37   43  -20      53.18     3.96   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.97R    5.62  
Wolverhampton    37   39  -10      51.33     4.03   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.73R   11.56  
Bristol_City     37   39  -12      49.57     3.93   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.54R   23.42  
Peterborough     36   38  -10      49.41     4.25   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.20R   25.39  
Barnsley         35   38  -13      49.92     4.29   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.24R   23.93  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, Bournemouth 1 2 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       37   68  +17      81.98     4.06    19.49    28.30    55.99    97.16    66.30P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   65  +21      82.81     4.21    27.03    41.78    67.75    98.15    78.25P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         36   63  +33      79.72     4.23    37.38    19.02    40.44    93.18    58.51P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        37   63  +18      75.78     4.02    18.72     3.08     9.84    69.95    23.41P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          36   62  +14      77.16     4.32    16.13     5.16    15.88    77.95    26.59P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   61  +12      74.98     4.21    12.52     2.10     6.88    59.07    18.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     37   58   +9      72.44     4.05    12.09     0.29     1.47    36.08     8.94P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        37   56  +14      71.05     4.07    17.96     0.15     0.87    27.88     8.66P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         37   56   +3      68.71     4.06     3.51     0.02     0.15     9.82     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    37   54  +13      66.96     4.01    13.99     0.01     0.06     6.33     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   37   54   +0      66.34     4.01     0.04     0.00     0.02     2.93     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         35   51   +9      69.67     4.48    14.22     0.09     0.63    19.18     6.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    35   51   -2      64.16     4.44    -4.96     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           35   50   -4      62.31     4.40    -8.23     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       36   46  -10      58.72     4.19   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.29R    0.00  
Carlisle        37   45  -17      55.64     3.96   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.20R    0.00  
Preston         35   43   +1      58.26     4.48     1.28     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.54R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      37   40   -8      51.28     4.01    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.24R    0.15  
Colchester      37   39  -20      49.55     3.92   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.99R    0.76  
Scunthorpe      37   38  -21      47.59     3.85   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.44R    2.09  
Oldham          35   36  -14      49.74     4.42   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.11R    0.99  
Hartlepool      37   32  -24      41.66     3.80   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.79R   30.38  
Portsmouth      37   30  -21      40.52     3.96   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.51R   36.95  
Bury            36   30  -23      41.86     4.21   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.87R   28.68  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 3 2 York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           36   69  +26      86.07     4.24    31.04    82.44    98.71    99.99    99.12P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   64  +28      79.25     4.04    32.32    12.86    79.66    98.89    85.85P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        37   62   +9      73.47     4.01     7.62     0.90    20.45    79.33    30.71P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          37   61   +9      73.39     4.02     8.96     0.60    20.78    79.08    32.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   61   +4      71.74     3.79     3.69     0.26    10.75    63.07    22.30P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   60  +10      74.76     4.29    11.57     2.02    34.15    85.94    47.30P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               37   59   +9      73.03     4.10    11.52     0.67    20.38    77.01    36.90P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             36   54  +12      71.65     4.19    17.82     0.25    13.16    68.98    32.48P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       36   52   +4      65.01     4.24     3.11     0.00     0.57    12.04     3.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   52   -5      64.75     4.07    -4.36     0.00     0.20     8.40     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             35   50   +8      64.92     4.48     7.90     0.00     1.00    14.79     4.32P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   50   +7      63.51     4.03     8.73     0.00     0.13     6.55     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   49   -1      61.17     4.09    -1.27     0.00     0.01     1.96     0.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              36   48   -8      62.01     4.32    -7.61     0.00     0.05     3.10     0.86P    0.04R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            37   45   -2      57.53     4.05    -1.70     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.60R    0.12  
Rochdale             36   45   -5      58.64     4.31    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.18P    0.52R    0.10  
Bristol_Rovers       37   45  -11      56.86     3.99   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    1.44R    0.33  
Barnet               36   40   -9      51.87     4.18   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.51R    5.75  
York                 37   40  -13      50.03     3.90   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.81R   12.83  
Aldershot            37   40  -13      51.03     3.90   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.77R    7.77  
AFC_Wimbledon        36   39  -21      49.10     4.03   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.85R   22.06  
Torquay              36   38   -8      51.49     4.18    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   15.28R    6.27  
Accrington_Stanley   36   37  -19      49.66     4.19   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.42R   17.65  
Plymouth             36   36  -11      47.78     4.13   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.73R   27.12  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2013, AFC_Telford 0 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            36   68  +32      86.71     4.17    39.54    34.82    98.90    58.06P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   68  +26      83.59     3.94    31.05     9.17    95.34    30.57P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   68  +25      85.78     4.53    29.22    24.39    96.85    42.11P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   66  +21      84.11     4.79    23.54    13.38    92.83    25.77P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            34   64  +28      84.62     4.69    34.33    18.22    95.32    38.90P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       37   58  +17      73.18     4.08    21.18     0.01    10.34     2.22P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       35   54   +3      70.71     4.52     5.38     0.01     4.04     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   50   +6      70.65     4.67    12.49     0.01     4.70     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           35   50   +2      68.03     4.55     6.48     0.00     1.03     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           34   49   +1      65.51     4.84     0.88     0.00     0.50     0.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   49   +0      61.31     3.96    -0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Woking             35   48   -9      59.78     4.43   -14.67     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Southport          35   46   -4      59.32     4.50    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   44   -6      55.08     4.13   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65R    0.02  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.32     5.16   -12.01     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.19R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      36   42  -13      55.14     4.30   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.08  
Gateshead          33   40   +0      58.37     4.96     0.76     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.75R    0.02  
Lincoln_City       36   40  -10      52.67     4.20   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.25R    0.38  
Stockport          36   39  -14      50.16     4.17   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.90R    1.29  
Barrow             35   37  -27      48.78     4.34   -32.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.40R    4.30  
Hyde_United        36   36  -14      47.75     4.22   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.42R    5.42  
Nuneaton           35   36  -16      48.19     4.39   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.80R    5.92  
Ebbsfleet_United   34   32  -23      45.89     4.67   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.01R   16.56  
AFC_Telford        37   30  -15      40.14     3.89   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.56R   66.01