Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 8 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 March 2013, Aston_Villa 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.09     3.86    49.72    98.37    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.42     3.82    38.27     1.62    89.11    98.00    99.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     28   54  +16      70.35     4.18    20.06     0.00     5.29    40.93    75.31    99.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.38     4.10    33.21     0.00     5.03    47.81    79.22    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.24     4.11    30.22     0.00     0.56    11.86    38.10    94.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.15     4.07     9.47     0.00     0.01     0.48     2.66    40.75     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     28   42  +19      60.12     4.22    25.66     0.00     0.01     0.91     4.90    59.64     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       28   40   +5      51.52     4.05     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     2.24     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     28   40   +1      53.00     4.18    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     4.32     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.65     4.15    -6.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.33R    0.00  
Stoke         28   33   -7      45.11     4.07    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.43R    0.00  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.43     3.90   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.57R    0.02  
Norwich       28   32  -18      43.74     4.03   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.06R    0.04  
Sunderland    28   30   -7      42.42     4.09    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.60R    0.07  
Newcastle     28   30  -11      43.02     4.25   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.32R    0.07  
Southampton   28   27  -12      38.49     4.19   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.41R    1.17  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.28     3.95   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.68R   13.66  
Aston_Villa   28   24  -27      34.64     3.98   -32.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.01R   13.81  
Reading       28   23  -20      32.73     3.86   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.76R   22.80  
QPR           28   20  -23      30.29     3.93   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.83R   48.35  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          35   71  +20      89.16     4.50    24.60    77.55    92.57   100.00    94.63P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   66  +26      81.66     4.39    28.94    11.91    46.51    99.25    59.70P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   65  +10      80.37     4.27    12.48     5.70    28.59    97.87    44.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   64  +21      79.25     4.27    23.36     3.52    21.42    97.20    38.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   58  +27      75.94     4.49    31.25     1.22     9.44    87.70    35.28P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         35   56  +15      71.90     4.52    16.23     0.09     1.28    57.79    14.49P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    36   54   +5      67.21     4.22     4.34     0.00     0.05    15.38     3.20P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    36   54   +0      68.17     4.31     0.68     0.00     0.09    20.16     4.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           36   51   +5      66.70     4.34     7.99     0.00     0.02    14.31     3.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     35   50   -4      65.50     4.51    -3.49     0.00     0.02     8.06     1.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          36   48   +0      61.51     4.26    -0.41     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.28P    0.33R    0.01  
Derby            36   45   +1      58.68     4.26     0.90     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    2.42R    0.22  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.52     4.30    -1.87     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.08P    1.54R    0.10  
Charlton         36   44   -5      57.31     4.27    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    5.11R    0.63  
Millwall         35   44   -8      58.45     4.47    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    3.68R    0.35  
Huddersfield     36   44  -24      55.21     4.15   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.24R    2.47  
Blackpool        36   43   +1      57.63     4.29     2.36     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    3.61R    0.35  
Birmingham       36   43  -12      57.38     4.30   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    5.67R    0.79  
Ipswich          36   42  -20      53.36     4.18   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.99R    5.35  
Sheff_Wed        35   40  -10      53.06     4.42   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   28.00R    7.36  
Wolverhampton    36   39   -8      52.70     4.28    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.36R    5.81  
Barnsley         35   38  -13      49.92     4.31   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.29R   20.65  
Peterborough     35   37  -10      50.08     4.47   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.79R   18.14  
Bristol_City     36   36  -14      47.72     4.17   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.94R   37.78  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 March 2013, Notts_County 1 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       36   65  +16      80.31     4.30    18.42    15.18    37.31    91.54    50.93P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       35   64  +21      83.55     4.44    27.59    46.37    70.60    98.18    80.15P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         35   62  +33      80.59     4.48    38.11    23.66    46.76    93.77    62.90P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          35   61  +14      77.78     4.58    16.52     6.69    19.11    79.45    29.89P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   61  +14      76.95     4.48    15.35     5.34    14.94    73.50    28.83P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        36   60  +17      74.55     4.24    18.31     1.71     6.05    56.88    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     36   58  +10      73.78     4.28    13.08     0.77     3.62    47.51    13.38P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         36   55   +3      68.49     4.28     2.66     0.02     0.19     9.41     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        36   53  +13      69.76     4.31    17.45     0.06     0.46    18.41     5.74P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    36   53  +13      67.56     4.27    14.27     0.03     0.16     8.63     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   36   51   -2      64.56     4.25    -2.16     0.00     0.00     1.33     0.20P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         34   50   +9      69.67     4.71    13.73     0.15     0.78    18.84     6.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    34   50   -2      64.26     4.72    -5.39     0.01     0.03     2.07     0.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           34   47   -5      60.44     4.63    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    0.26R    0.00  
Stevenage       35   46   -8      60.21     4.45    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P    0.25R    0.00  
Carlisle        36   42  -19      53.52     4.18   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.80R    0.03  
Preston         34   40   -1      56.56     4.73    -0.87     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     2.90R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      36   40   -6      52.93     4.25    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.48R    0.06  
Colchester      36   39  -19      51.16     4.21   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.44R    0.26  
Scunthorpe      36   38  -20      48.70     4.09   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.14R    1.14  
Oldham          34   36  -13      50.74     4.60   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.70R    0.66  
Hartlepool      36   31  -24      41.71     4.05   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.55R   26.93  
Bury            35   30  -21      43.10     4.43   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.65R   18.71  
Portsmouth      36   27  -23      39.04     4.20   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.81R   52.21  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 March 2013, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           35   66  +25      84.98     4.47    30.78    66.74    96.68    99.96    97.72P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   64  +29      80.98     4.30    33.86    24.97    86.35    99.50    90.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           37   61   +6      73.27     4.04     5.89     0.86    17.43    77.67    31.40P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   60  +11      76.72     4.52    13.46     5.32    49.08    93.42    60.63P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   59   +7      71.69     4.26     5.38     0.51    10.14    65.24    19.79P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               36   58   +9      73.46     4.33    11.62     1.07    21.61    80.63    38.84P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   58   +7      71.85     4.24     7.08     0.36    10.83    67.51    21.87P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             35   51  +11      69.69     4.43    16.31     0.13     5.40    53.40    22.21P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   51   +4      65.45     4.49     3.19     0.01     0.75    16.80     4.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             34   49   +8      65.54     4.70     8.26     0.02     1.27    20.32     5.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            36   49   +2      62.90     4.28     2.29     0.00     0.13     6.38     1.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           36   49   -7      62.76     4.26    -6.84     0.00     0.04     4.63     1.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              35   48   -5      63.64     4.61    -4.24     0.00     0.26     8.75     2.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         36   47   +5      62.24     4.31     7.25     0.00     0.05     5.06     1.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       36   45   -9      57.95     4.21   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.73R    0.19  
Dag_&_Red            36   42   -3      55.39     4.25    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.57R    0.61  
Rochdale             35   42   -8      56.76     4.56    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.11P    2.10R    0.51  
York                 36   40  -12      51.35     4.14   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.80R    7.63  
Aldershot            36   39  -13      51.11     4.13   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.74R    7.54  
Torquay              35   38   -6      53.30     4.43    -5.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     7.82R    2.69  
Barnet               35   37  -12      49.70     4.38   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.47R   14.73  
Accrington_Stanley   35   37  -17      50.79     4.45   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.63R   11.34  
Plymouth             35   36  -10      48.63     4.32   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.88R   18.59  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   36  -22      47.42     4.22   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.20R   36.16  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 March 2013, Macclesfield 2 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            35   68  +33      88.85     4.41    41.72    45.69    99.37    65.92P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   65  +24      81.44     4.15    28.28     3.05    85.42    22.63P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          34   65  +22      84.62     4.72    26.94    13.20    93.34    32.25P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     33   65  +21      85.04     5.06    24.44    13.81    93.29    26.73P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            33   64  +30      86.60     4.89    37.24    24.21    97.14    45.33P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       36   57  +17      74.36     4.28    22.42     0.02    19.05     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       34   51   +1      69.12     4.77     3.41     0.00     2.52     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              33   49   +6      71.34     4.92    13.01     0.02     7.70     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           34   49   +2      68.21     4.76     6.19     0.00     1.79     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             34   48   -8      60.78     4.62   -14.37     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Dartford           33   46   +0      63.05     4.97    -1.40     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      36   46   -1      60.06     4.24    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Southport          34   46   -3      60.63     4.75    -6.27     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.11R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.38     5.19   -11.88     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.20R    0.00  
Tamworth           35   43   -6      55.69     4.38    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.90R    0.06  
Alfreton_Town      35   41  -13      55.28     4.58   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.70R    0.18  
Stockport          35   39  -11      51.22     4.37   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.14R    1.33  
Gateshead          32   37   -3      56.61     5.20    -2.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.75R    0.20  
Lincoln_City       35   37  -11      51.08     4.48   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.21R    1.96  
Hyde_United        35   36  -11      49.08     4.46   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.94R    4.68  
Nuneaton           35   36  -16      48.19     4.43   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.63R    7.70  
Barrow             34   36  -27      48.36     4.48   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.58R    7.26  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   31  -23      45.93     4.89   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.47R   20.74  
AFC_Telford        36   30  -13      41.45     4.16   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.21R   55.88