Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 7 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 March 2013, Aston_Villa 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.12     3.89    49.76    98.40    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.40     3.83    38.23     1.59    88.65    97.91    99.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     28   54  +16      70.35     4.22    20.04     0.01     5.40    40.97    75.46    99.03     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.46     4.10    33.30     0.00     5.36    48.58    79.68    99.25     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.21     4.09    30.17     0.00     0.59    11.33    37.48    94.72     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.06     4.07     9.36     0.00     0.01     0.37     2.55    40.02     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     28   42  +19      60.12     4.26    25.67     0.00     0.00     0.84     5.06    60.04     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       28   40   +5      51.56     4.06     1.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.32     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     28   40   +1      53.00     4.19    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.39     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.70     4.18    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.36R    0.01  
Stoke         28   33   -7      45.12     4.07    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.43R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.41     3.90   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.59R    0.02  
Norwich       28   32  -18      43.69     4.06   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.09R    0.04  
Sunderland    28   30   -7      42.46     4.10    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.46R    0.06  
Newcastle     28   30  -11      43.00     4.22   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.28R    0.07  
Southampton   28   27  -12      38.53     4.17   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.99R    1.15  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.30     3.94   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.66R   13.35  
Aston_Villa   28   24  -27      34.57     3.99   -32.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.86R   14.33  
Reading       28   23  -20      32.75     3.86   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.93R   22.71  
QPR           28   20  -23      30.31     3.94   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.35R   48.26  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          35   71  +20      89.21     4.55    24.67    77.88    92.60    99.99    94.59P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   66  +26      81.64     4.36    28.90    11.51    46.35    99.11    59.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   65  +10      80.43     4.29    12.55     5.65    28.90    97.87    44.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   64  +21      79.24     4.27    23.36     3.47    21.19    97.13    38.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   58  +27      76.02     4.51    31.39     1.38     9.58    87.85    35.85P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         35   56  +15      71.90     4.51    16.24     0.10     1.25    57.82    14.36P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    36   54   +5      67.25     4.21     4.39     0.00     0.02    15.27     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    36   54   +0      68.18     4.32     0.69     0.00     0.06    20.24     3.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           36   51   +5      66.72     4.31     8.00     0.00     0.03    14.11     3.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     35   50   -4      65.56     4.51    -3.40     0.00     0.01     8.31     1.52P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          36   48   +0      61.53     4.24    -0.36     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.21P    0.29R    0.01  
Derby            36   45   +1      58.66     4.25     0.89     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    2.27R    0.23  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.47     4.28    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.08P    1.38R    0.08  
Charlton         36   44   -5      57.26     4.27    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    5.16R    0.58  
Millwall         35   44   -8      58.45     4.48    -8.95     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    3.73R    0.35  
Huddersfield     36   44  -24      55.22     4.16   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.95R    2.43  
Blackpool        36   43   +1      57.68     4.30     2.41     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    3.48R    0.35  
Birmingham       36   43  -12      57.34     4.28   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    5.57R    0.69  
Ipswich          36   42  -20      53.35     4.22   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.79R    5.36  
Sheff_Wed        35   40  -10      53.00     4.42   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.21R    7.28  
Wolverhampton    36   39   -8      52.59     4.26    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   27.06R    6.14  
Barnsley         35   38  -13      49.85     4.31   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.68R   20.73  
Peterborough     35   37  -10      50.08     4.50   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.70R   18.32  
Bristol_City     36   36  -14      47.74     4.19   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.68R   37.45  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 March 2013, Notts_County 1 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       36   65  +16      80.27     4.29    18.34    14.90    36.96    91.25    50.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       35   64  +21      83.54     4.45    27.59    46.86    70.60    98.07    80.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         35   62  +33      80.58     4.45    38.10    23.48    46.79    94.06    63.14P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          35   61  +14      77.77     4.58    16.49     6.77    19.20    79.40    29.91P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   61  +14      76.94     4.46    15.35     5.25    14.93    73.69    29.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        36   60  +17      74.55     4.24    18.27     1.62     5.99    56.73    17.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     36   58  +10      73.85     4.32    13.19     0.85     3.84    48.00    13.60P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         36   55   +3      68.56     4.27     2.77     0.03     0.19     9.48     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        36   53  +13      69.68     4.32    17.35     0.04     0.44    17.98     5.44P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    36   53  +13      67.53     4.30    14.26     0.02     0.17     8.68     2.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   36   51   -2      64.52     4.27    -2.21     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.21P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         34   50   +9      69.71     4.69    13.78     0.18     0.86    18.98     6.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    34   50   -2      64.35     4.69    -5.31     0.00     0.02     2.06     0.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           34   47   -5      60.37     4.60    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.28R    0.00  
Stevenage       35   46   -8      60.15     4.43    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.22R    0.00  
Carlisle        36   42  -19      53.60     4.16   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.65R    0.02  
Preston         34   40   -1      56.55     4.75    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.96R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      36   40   -6      52.92     4.22    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.39R    0.04  
Colchester      36   39  -19      51.25     4.21   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.97R    0.24  
Scunthorpe      36   38  -20      48.70     4.07   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.07R    1.10  
Oldham          34   36  -13      50.69     4.64   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.31R    0.69  
Hartlepool      36   31  -24      41.73     4.08   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.35R   27.16  
Bury            35   30  -21      43.06     4.42   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.08R   19.02  
Portsmouth      36   27  -23      39.09     4.21   -25.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.70R   51.71  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 March 2013, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           35   66  +25      84.93     4.48    30.71    66.43    96.46    99.96    97.58P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   64  +29      80.96     4.29    33.83    25.25    86.24    99.50    90.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           37   61   +6      73.31     4.04     5.98     0.95    17.76    78.29    32.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   60  +11      76.62     4.55    13.29     5.13    48.10    92.91    59.78P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   59   +7      71.79     4.28     5.50     0.57    10.48    65.64    20.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               36   58   +9      73.48     4.36    11.64     1.21    21.68    80.40    38.91P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   58   +7      71.92     4.24     7.17     0.33    11.09    68.55    22.18P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             35   51  +11      69.59     4.45    16.14     0.11     5.48    52.27    21.63P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   51   +4      65.44     4.51     3.17     0.01     0.90    16.80     4.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             34   49   +8      65.47     4.70     8.18     0.02     1.36    20.31     5.83P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   49   +2      62.87     4.30     2.30     0.00     0.11     6.52     1.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           36   49   -7      62.72     4.28    -6.89     0.00     0.04     4.48     1.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              35   48   -5      63.63     4.59    -4.23     0.00     0.24     8.76     2.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         36   47   +5      62.14     4.29     7.13     0.00     0.05     4.85     1.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       36   45   -9      57.99     4.22   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.72R    0.12  
Dag_&_Red            36   42   -3      55.44     4.24    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    2.62R    0.68  
Rochdale             35   42   -8      56.81     4.60    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.08P    2.04R    0.46  
York                 36   40  -12      51.40     4.14   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.16R    7.18  
Aldershot            36   39  -13      51.10     4.13   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.00R    7.60  
Torquay              35   38   -6      53.31     4.46    -5.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    8.04R    2.76  
Barnet               35   37  -12      49.77     4.38   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.04R   14.39  
Accrington_Stanley   35   37  -17      50.76     4.44   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.82R   11.34  
Plymouth             35   36  -10      48.61     4.32   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.22R   19.10  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   36  -22      47.45     4.26   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.28R   36.37  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 March 2013, Macclesfield 2 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            35   68  +33      88.80     4.40    41.62    45.15    99.35    65.46P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   65  +24      81.45     4.19    28.29     3.13    85.22    22.81P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          34   65  +22      84.61     4.73    26.93    13.22    93.19    32.36P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     33   65  +21      85.01     5.06    24.37    13.88    93.32    26.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            33   64  +30      86.57     4.93    37.20    24.59    97.09    45.55P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       36   57  +17      74.39     4.30    22.43     0.01    19.46     4.38P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       34   51   +1      69.02     4.76     3.28     0.00     2.47     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              33   49   +6      71.30     4.93    12.87     0.02     7.80     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           34   49   +2      68.15     4.77     6.11     0.00     1.66     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             34   48   -8      60.91     4.69   -14.18     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Dartford           33   46   +0      62.97     4.98    -1.55     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.06R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      36   46   -1      60.11     4.21    -0.37     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Southport          34   46   -3      60.61     4.75    -6.29     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.13R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.31     5.18   -12.01     0.00     0.20     0.02P    0.16R    0.00  
Tamworth           35   43   -6      55.72     4.39    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.05  
Alfreton_Town      35   41  -13      55.29     4.57   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.78R    0.15  
Stockport          35   39  -11      51.23     4.34   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.99R    1.18  
Gateshead          32   37   -3      56.67     5.18    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.66R    0.25  
Lincoln_City       35   37  -11      51.01     4.47   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.74R    2.04  
Hyde_United        35   36  -11      49.15     4.49   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.63R    4.60  
Nuneaton           35   36  -16      48.21     4.46   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.73R    8.07  
Barrow             34   36  -27      48.32     4.49   -34.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.11R    7.54  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   31  -23      45.98     4.90   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.13R   20.52  
AFC_Telford        36   30  -13      41.48     4.18   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.90R   55.58