Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 6 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 March 2013, Aston_Villa 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.15     3.87    49.80    98.33    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.38     3.83    38.23     1.66    88.86    97.93    99.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     28   54  +16      70.38     4.19    20.08     0.01     5.32    41.06    75.58    98.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.42     4.11    33.26     0.00     5.24    48.07    79.33    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.22     4.09    30.23     0.00     0.58    11.50    37.64    94.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.11     4.09     9.37     0.00     0.00     0.47     2.72    40.38     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     28   42  +19      60.14     4.23    25.73     0.00     0.01     0.95     4.96    60.04     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       28   40   +5      51.48     4.07     1.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     2.20     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     28   40   +1      52.96     4.16    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.22     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.65     4.16    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.39R    0.01  
Stoke         28   33   -7      45.16     4.11    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.41R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.41     3.89   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.51R    0.02  
Norwich       28   32  -18      43.73     4.01   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.10R    0.03  
Sunderland    28   30   -7      42.40     4.09    -9.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.54R    0.07  
Newcastle     28   30  -11      43.00     4.24   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.32R    0.06  
Southampton   28   27  -12      38.56     4.22   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.15R    1.27  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.35     3.96   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.10R   13.29  
Aston_Villa   28   24  -27      34.60     3.98   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.64R   13.92  
Reading       28   23  -20      32.69     3.85   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.38R   23.08  
QPR           28   20  -23      30.31     3.95   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.45R   48.25  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          35   71  +20      89.16     4.53    24.59    77.32    92.50   100.00    94.62P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   66  +26      81.66     4.36    28.94    12.04    46.17    99.31    59.59P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   65  +10      80.45     4.28    12.57     5.85    29.30    98.02    44.39P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   64  +21      79.24     4.27    23.36     3.43    21.22    97.08    38.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   58  +27      75.98     4.50    31.30     1.26     9.44    87.88    35.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         35   56  +15      71.85     4.53    16.16     0.09     1.22    57.54    14.18P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    36   54   +5      67.26     4.21     4.40     0.00     0.05    15.37     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    36   54   +0      68.11     4.31     0.57     0.00     0.07    19.75     4.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           36   51   +5      66.78     4.34     8.07     0.00     0.02    14.69     4.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     35   50   -4      65.50     4.51    -3.53     0.00     0.01     8.07     1.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          36   48   +0      61.56     4.23    -0.34     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.25P    0.27R    0.00  
Derby            36   45   +1      58.71     4.27     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    2.25R    0.20  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.48     4.29    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    1.42R    0.09  
Charlton         36   44   -5      57.36     4.26    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P    4.82R    0.57  
Millwall         35   44   -8      58.41     4.47    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    3.62R    0.34  
Huddersfield     36   44  -24      55.24     4.15   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   14.98R    2.42  
Blackpool        36   43   +1      57.64     4.31     2.38     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    3.60R    0.31  
Birmingham       36   43  -12      57.40     4.31   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    5.51R    0.70  
Ipswich          36   42  -20      53.31     4.18   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.14R    5.36  
Sheff_Wed        35   40  -10      53.05     4.43   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.92R    7.09  
Wolverhampton    36   39   -8      52.69     4.25    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.22R    5.88  
Barnsley         35   38  -13      49.81     4.29   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.00R   20.79  
Peterborough     35   37  -10      50.09     4.49   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.73R   17.95  
Bristol_City     36   36  -14      47.66     4.20   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.47R   38.31  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 March 2013, Notts_County 1 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       36   65  +16      80.33     4.33    18.45    15.45    37.60    91.33    51.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       35   64  +21      83.52     4.48    27.58    46.11    70.13    97.97    79.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         35   62  +33      80.67     4.48    38.21    24.08    47.42    94.11    63.82P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          35   61  +14      77.80     4.56    16.54     6.79    19.21    79.76    29.94P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   61  +14      76.89     4.47    15.31     4.98    14.62    73.43    28.75P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        36   60  +17      74.56     4.23    18.32     1.57     5.87    57.14    17.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     36   58  +10      73.75     4.29    13.03     0.75     3.49    47.27    13.07P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         36   55   +3      68.52     4.24     2.70     0.03     0.23     9.29     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        36   53  +13      69.72     4.35    17.39     0.06     0.44    18.43     5.64P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    36   53  +13      67.59     4.29    14.34     0.02     0.16     8.90     2.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   36   51   -2      64.48     4.25    -2.26     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         34   50   +9      69.65     4.73    13.69     0.16     0.82    18.88     5.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    34   50   -2      64.27     4.67    -5.43     0.01     0.02     1.87     0.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           34   47   -5      60.36     4.63    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.27R    0.00  
Stevenage       35   46   -8      60.22     4.42    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.23R    0.00  
Carlisle        36   42  -19      53.58     4.18   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.63R    0.02  
Preston         34   40   -1      56.57     4.74    -0.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    2.87R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      36   40   -6      52.95     4.27    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.62R    0.04  
Colchester      36   39  -19      51.17     4.17   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.34R    0.25  
Scunthorpe      36   38  -20      48.69     4.10   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.29R    1.16  
Oldham          34   36  -13      50.73     4.62   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.83R    0.64  
Hartlepool      36   31  -24      41.69     4.05   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.72R   27.22  
Bury            35   30  -21      43.18     4.44   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.42R   18.41  
Portsmouth      36   27  -23      39.05     4.19   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.77R   52.26  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 March 2013, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           35   66  +25      84.96     4.48    30.78    66.36    96.58    99.95    97.67P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   64  +29      81.06     4.29    33.95    25.66    86.94    99.51    91.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           37   61   +6      73.20     4.01     5.80     0.81    16.86    77.53    30.87P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   60  +11      76.62     4.51    13.29     5.04    48.24    93.11    60.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   59   +7      71.68     4.26     5.37     0.47    10.09    65.05    19.89P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               36   58   +9      73.49     4.36    11.64     1.15    21.75    80.49    39.14P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   58   +7      71.94     4.25     7.20     0.39    11.23    68.35    22.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             35   51  +11      69.64     4.46    16.21     0.10     5.62    52.67    21.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   51   +4      65.53     4.51     3.28     0.01     0.89    17.50     4.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             34   49   +8      65.54     4.70     8.25     0.01     1.33    20.49     5.88P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   49   +2      62.88     4.30     2.29     0.00     0.11     6.23     1.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           36   49   -7      62.71     4.28    -6.90     0.00     0.06     4.63     1.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              35   48   -5      63.64     4.60    -4.25     0.00     0.23     8.82     2.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         36   47   +5      62.20     4.27     7.22     0.00     0.06     4.88     1.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       36   45   -9      57.93     4.24   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P    0.82R    0.20  
Dag_&_Red            36   42   -3      55.28     4.23    -3.64     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    2.82R    0.72  
Rochdale             35   42   -8      56.78     4.58    -8.60     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.10P    2.11R    0.56  
York                 36   40  -12      51.38     4.18   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.92R    7.73  
Aldershot            36   39  -13      51.12     4.10   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.90R    7.38  
Torquay              35   38   -6      53.31     4.44    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.90R    2.72  
Barnet               35   37  -12      49.77     4.34   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.28R   14.49  
Accrington_Stanley   35   37  -17      50.85     4.41   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   24.32R   11.21  
Plymouth             35   36  -10      48.64     4.32   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   37.97R   18.82  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   36  -22      47.48     4.24   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.90R   36.17  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 March 2013, Macclesfield 2 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            35   68  +33      88.84     4.40    41.65    45.53    99.35    65.65P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   65  +24      81.45     4.14    28.28     3.05    85.57    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          34   65  +22      84.66     4.70    27.02    13.10    93.38    32.26P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     33   65  +21      84.96     5.05    24.28    13.61    93.29    26.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            33   64  +30      86.61     4.94    37.26    24.67    97.05    45.81P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       36   57  +17      74.42     4.29    22.51     0.03    19.27     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       34   51   +1      69.05     4.78     3.31     0.00     2.51     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              33   49   +6      71.29     4.89    12.92     0.01     7.42     2.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           34   49   +2      68.20     4.78     6.17     0.00     1.73     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             34   48   -8      60.87     4.64   -14.25     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Dartford           33   46   +0      62.97     5.01    -1.50     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      36   46   -1      60.13     4.23    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Southport          34   46   -3      60.64     4.74    -6.23     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.32     5.20   -12.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.19R    0.00  
Tamworth           35   43   -6      55.65     4.34    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.84R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town      35   41  -13      55.34     4.55   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.75R    0.18  
Stockport          35   39  -11      51.23     4.37   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.00R    1.16  
Gateshead          32   37   -3      56.68     5.16    -2.35     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.60R    0.22  
Lincoln_City       35   37  -11      51.02     4.46   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.34R    2.00  
Hyde_United        35   36  -11      49.11     4.48   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.00R    4.69  
Nuneaton           35   36  -16      48.13     4.41   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.06R    7.97  
Barrow             34   36  -27      48.27     4.46   -34.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.43R    7.75  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   31  -23      45.97     4.93   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.79R   20.85  
AFC_Telford        36   30  -13      41.53     4.17   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.72R   55.13