Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 5 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 March 2013, Aston_Villa 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.03     3.90    49.59    98.21    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.41     3.83    38.24     1.79    89.06    98.02    99.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     28   54  +16      70.36     4.18    20.05     0.00     5.21    40.39    75.38    99.04     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.49     4.09    33.39     0.00     5.18    48.82    79.86    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.21     4.11    30.18     0.00     0.54    11.45    37.36    94.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.01     4.09     9.27     0.00     0.01     0.45     2.65    39.74     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     28   42  +19      60.12     4.23    25.68     0.00     0.00     0.87     4.94    60.26     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       28   40   +5      51.53     4.04     1.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.25     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     28   40   +1      53.05     4.17    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.42     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.63     4.16    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.34R    0.00  
Stoke         28   33   -7      45.11     4.10    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.46R    0.00  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.43     3.90   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.57R    0.03  
Norwich       28   32  -18      43.72     4.06   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.15R    0.03  
Sunderland    28   30   -7      42.47     4.09    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.57R    0.07  
Newcastle     28   30  -11      43.00     4.21   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.32R    0.08  
Southampton   28   27  -12      38.52     4.18   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.15R    1.30  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.25     3.94   -28.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.16R   13.78  
Aston_Villa   28   24  -27      34.61     3.97   -32.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.54R   13.79  
Reading       28   23  -20      32.78     3.87   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.34R   22.46  
QPR           28   20  -23      30.31     3.94   -28.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.41R   48.45  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          35   71  +20      89.24     4.51    24.68    77.97    92.75    99.99    94.82P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   66  +26      81.57     4.36    28.82    11.15    45.16    99.23    58.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   65  +10      80.46     4.28    12.60     5.89    29.62    97.93    44.70P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   64  +21      79.28     4.29    23.44     3.63    21.74    97.34    38.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   58  +27      76.00     4.49    31.33     1.25     9.38    87.95    35.68P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         35   56  +15      71.83     4.51    16.14     0.09     1.18    57.11    14.41P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    36   54   +5      67.22     4.22     4.36     0.00     0.05    15.29     3.17P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    36   54   +0      68.13     4.32     0.60     0.00     0.08    19.83     4.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           36   51   +5      66.76     4.32     8.08     0.00     0.01    14.46     3.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     35   50   -4      65.58     4.52    -3.34     0.00     0.03     8.48     1.64P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          36   48   +0      61.52     4.27    -0.40     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.25P    0.33R    0.01  
Derby            36   45   +1      58.73     4.28     0.99     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    2.24R    0.19  
Blackburn        36   45   -3      59.54     4.28    -1.82     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.09P    1.32R    0.08  
Charlton         36   44   -5      57.32     4.24    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    4.80R    0.53  
Millwall         35   44   -8      58.48     4.48    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    3.62R    0.31  
Huddersfield     36   44  -24      55.20     4.17   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.36R    2.61  
Blackpool        36   43   +1      57.63     4.31     2.30     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    3.74R    0.36  
Birmingham       36   43  -12      57.36     4.32   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    5.53R    0.74  
Ipswich          36   42  -20      53.31     4.20   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.95R    5.36  
Sheff_Wed        35   40  -10      53.02     4.42   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.30R    7.05  
Wolverhampton    36   39   -8      52.66     4.24    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   26.18R    5.71  
Barnsley         35   38  -13      49.79     4.33   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.15R   21.02  
Peterborough     35   37  -10      50.11     4.48   -13.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.31R   17.97  
Bristol_City     36   36  -14      47.69     4.19   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.13R   38.05  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2013, Crawley_Town 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       36   65  +16      80.31     4.31    18.42    15.46    37.12    91.25    50.80P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       35   64  +21      83.49     4.44    27.53    46.06    69.98    98.02    79.41P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         35   62  +33      80.61     4.45    38.13    23.43    47.10    93.84    63.13P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          35   61  +14      77.83     4.59    16.57     7.04    19.55    79.48    30.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   61  +14      76.90     4.46    15.29     5.15    14.62    72.98    28.58P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        36   60  +17      74.61     4.24    18.36     1.75     6.08    56.78    17.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     36   58  +10      73.73     4.31    13.01     0.77     3.67    46.17    13.07P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         36   55   +3      68.50     4.23     2.66     0.04     0.22     8.98     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        36   53  +13      69.74     4.32    17.47     0.05     0.43    18.03     5.61P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    35   52  +13      68.35     4.50    14.90     0.07     0.39    12.18     3.36P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         34   50   +9      69.65     4.70    13.70     0.17     0.81    18.39     5.94P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    34   50   -2      64.23     4.66    -5.48     0.00     0.02     1.94     0.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   35   50   -2      64.57     4.43    -2.69     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           34   47   -5      60.40     4.61    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.26R    0.00  
Stevenage       35   46   -8      60.24     4.43    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.23R    0.00  
Carlisle        36   42  -19      53.54     4.17   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.85R    0.03  
Preston         34   40   -1      56.64     4.72    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.73R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      36   40   -6      52.95     4.30    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.70R    0.05  
Colchester      36   39  -19      51.19     4.21   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.38R    0.26  
Scunthorpe      36   38  -20      48.69     4.08   -24.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.20R    1.17  
Oldham          34   36  -13      50.73     4.63   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.56R    0.65  
Hartlepool      36   31  -24      41.70     4.05   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.67R   26.85  
Bury            35   30  -21      43.06     4.45   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.68R   19.04  
Portsmouth      36   27  -23      39.02     4.20   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.73R   51.94  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2013, Cheltenham 1 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           35   66  +25      84.94     4.45    30.75    65.15    95.95    99.95    97.20P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   64  +29      81.06     4.31    33.96    25.15    84.74    99.45    89.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           37   61   +6      73.18     4.02     5.76     0.81    15.06    76.35    29.27P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   60  +11      76.65     4.51    13.33     4.85    44.89    92.89    57.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   59   +7      71.72     4.27     5.43     0.48     8.84    64.65    18.64P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   58  +11      75.28     4.59    14.24     3.05    33.73    88.12    50.06P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   58   +7      71.93     4.25     7.21     0.38     9.83    67.11    21.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             35   51  +11      69.63     4.46    16.21     0.11     4.77    51.36    20.87P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   51   +4      65.53     4.52     3.28     0.01     0.69    16.63     4.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             34   49   +8      65.58     4.72     8.30     0.01     1.13    20.10     5.73P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   49   +2      62.88     4.29     2.29     0.00     0.09     6.06     1.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           36   49   -7      62.69     4.29    -6.96     0.00     0.04     4.19     0.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              35   48   -5      63.58     4.61    -4.32     0.00     0.21     8.00     2.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         36   47   +5      62.18     4.29     7.19     0.00     0.03     4.64     1.40P    0.02R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            36   42   -3      55.37     4.24    -3.52     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    2.60R    0.64  
Rochdale             35   42   -8      56.78     4.58    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    2.11R    0.51  
Bristol_Rovers       35   42  -11      55.90     4.45   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    3.27R    1.01  
York                 36   40  -12      51.39     4.15   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.20R    7.35  
Aldershot            36   39  -13      51.09     4.12   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.52R    7.41  
Torquay              35   38   -6      53.34     4.45    -5.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.74R    2.70  
Barnet               35   37  -12      49.84     4.38   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.21R   14.28  
Accrington_Stanley   35   37  -17      50.81     4.43   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.30R   11.26  
Plymouth             35   36  -10      48.53     4.30   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.49R   19.18  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   36  -22      47.48     4.26   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.49R   35.65  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2013, Dartford 1 1 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            35   68  +33      88.80     4.42    41.64    46.80    99.47    66.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   65  +24      81.44     4.18    28.26     3.25    86.00    23.64P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     33   65  +21      85.00     5.05    24.31    14.54    93.58    27.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            33   64  +30      86.57     4.93    37.22    25.41    97.23    45.92P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   62  +21      83.39     4.94    26.60     9.96    89.57    28.89P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       36   57  +17      74.39     4.30    22.46     0.02    21.13     4.61P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              33   49   +6      71.32     4.89    12.98     0.01     8.21     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           34   49   +2      68.24     4.78     6.24     0.00     2.12     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.78     5.02     2.87     0.00     2.08     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             33   48   -7      61.86     4.89   -13.95     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Dartford           33   46   +0      62.94     5.03    -1.57     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      36   46   -1      60.17     4.22    -0.29     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Southport          34   46   -3      60.69     4.76    -6.16     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.10R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.36     5.19   -11.89     0.00     0.20     0.02P    0.19R    0.00  
Tamworth           35   43   -6      55.70     4.38    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town      35   41  -13      55.23     4.56   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.79R    0.17  
Stockport          35   39  -11      51.25     4.37   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.39R    1.26  
Gateshead          32   37   -3      56.71     5.19    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.71R    0.20  
Lincoln_City       34   37  -10      52.05     4.68   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.63R    1.42  
Hyde_United        35   36  -11      49.05     4.46   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.75R    4.82  
Nuneaton           35   36  -16      48.16     4.43   -20.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.45R    7.88  
Barrow             34   36  -27      48.31     4.51   -34.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.74R    7.75  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   31  -23      45.95     4.89   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.60R   20.87  
AFC_Telford        36   30  -13      41.48     4.14   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.54R   55.59