Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 4 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 March 2013, Aston_Villa 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.08     3.88    49.71    98.33    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      28   59  +27      79.39     3.84    38.26     1.66    88.87    97.94    99.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     28   54  +16      70.38     4.19    20.09     0.01     5.31    41.12    75.59    98.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.44     4.09    33.27     0.00     5.25    47.96    79.33    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.23     4.11    30.24     0.00     0.56    11.60    37.67    94.67     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.07     4.08     9.34     0.00     0.01     0.48     2.73    40.09     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     28   42  +19      60.11     4.22    25.69     0.00     0.01     0.89     4.88    60.21     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       28   40   +5      51.54     4.06     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.27     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     28   40   +1      52.94     4.16    -0.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     4.30     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.65     4.17    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.36R    0.01  
Stoke         28   33   -7      45.13     4.09    -9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.40R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.50     3.90   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.52R    0.01  
Norwich       28   32  -18      43.76     4.03   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.17R    0.05  
Sunderland    28   30   -7      42.46     4.08    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.49R    0.07  
Newcastle     28   30  -11      43.00     4.21   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.27R    0.06  
Southampton   28   27  -12      38.47     4.16   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.35R    1.32  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.27     3.96   -28.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.68R   13.59  
Aston_Villa   28   24  -27      34.60     3.96   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.25R   13.93  
Reading       28   23  -20      32.71     3.87   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.11R   22.99  
QPR           28   20  -23      30.31     3.92   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.42R   47.97  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Barnsley 2 3 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          34   70  +20      90.18     4.74    25.57    80.89    94.11    99.99    95.70P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   65  +12      81.86     4.49    14.66     8.83    42.12    98.60    55.26P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   63  +25      80.55     4.59    28.80     6.83    35.06    97.92    50.98P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   61  +19      77.49     4.50    21.18     1.45    12.90    91.69    30.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   57  +27      77.05     4.70    32.37     1.84    13.46    89.82    39.46P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         34   55  +15      72.49     4.77    16.54     0.15     1.96    60.04    15.36P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   54   +1      69.77     4.53     2.02     0.01     0.31    30.23     6.24P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    35   51   +4      66.04     4.45     3.99     0.00     0.04    10.15     2.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     34   49   -4      65.26     4.72    -4.46     0.00     0.03     7.82     1.47P    0.05R    0.00  
Bolton           35   48   +4      65.37     4.56     7.41     0.00     0.01     8.82     2.53P    0.05R    0.00  
Burnley          35   47   +0      62.55     4.51     0.60     0.00     0.00     2.22     0.42P    0.24R    0.01  
Blackburn        35   45   -2      60.65     4.55    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.23P    0.90R    0.04  
Derby            35   44   +1      58.48     4.46     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    2.61R    0.22  
Millwall         34   44   -6      60.25     4.70    -6.31     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.16P    1.63R    0.11  
Charlton         35   43   -5      57.55     4.53    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    5.14R    0.77  
Blackpool        35   42   +1      57.87     4.54     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    3.49R    0.33  
Birmingham       35   42  -12      57.99     4.56   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    4.67R    0.57  
Ipswich          35   42  -19      54.30     4.42   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.16R    3.34  
Huddersfield     35   41  -25      53.29     4.37   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   27.02R    6.41  
Sheff_Wed        34   40   -9      53.76     4.62   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   22.34R    5.02  
Barnsley         34   37  -13      49.64     4.49   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.20R   21.40  
Peterborough     34   36  -10      50.67     4.75   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.65R   14.70  
Wolverhampton    35   36  -10      50.52     4.43   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.98R   13.63  
Bristol_City     35   35  -14      47.97     4.43   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.88R   33.44  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Brentford 1 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       35   65  +19      81.94     4.52    21.80    23.47    48.30    94.85    60.60P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       35   64  +21      83.53     4.44    27.57    40.14    65.19    98.06    76.30P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         35   62  +33      80.61     4.46    38.13    20.29    41.30    93.82    59.65P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   61  +15      78.57     4.71    16.73     8.75    21.13    82.19    35.56P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          35   61  +14      77.77     4.60    16.50     5.39    15.71    78.52    26.85P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        36   60  +17      74.58     4.25    18.33     1.27     4.76    55.78    15.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     36   58  +10      73.72     4.31    13.00     0.53     2.62    45.17    11.89P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         36   55   +3      68.54     4.26     2.73     0.02     0.16     8.84     1.71P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        36   53  +13      69.64     4.32    17.29     0.04     0.28    16.55     4.94P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    35   52  +13      68.23     4.49    14.76     0.05     0.25    11.35     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   35   50   -2      64.56     4.46    -2.70     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    33   49   -2      64.87     4.94    -5.03     0.00     0.04     2.91     0.44P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         33   47   +6      67.76     4.92    10.33     0.05     0.27    10.09     3.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           34   47   -5      60.27     4.63    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.29R    0.00  
Stevenage       34   43   -9      58.38     4.69   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    1.27R    0.00  
Carlisle        35   41  -19      53.77     4.44   -22.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.48R    0.05  
Preston         34   40   -1      56.58     4.72    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.10R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      36   40   -6      52.97     4.27    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.60R    0.08  
Colchester      35   38  -19      51.61     4.46   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.30R    0.40  
Scunthorpe      36   38  -20      48.74     4.09   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.43R    1.20  
Oldham          34   36  -13      50.71     4.60   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.41R    0.72  
Bury            35   30  -21      43.17     4.41   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.67R   18.73  
Hartlepool      35   30  -24      42.07     4.29   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.55R   25.58  
Portsmouth      36   27  -23      39.04     4.20   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.88R   53.24  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 0 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           35   66  +25      84.94     4.45    30.73    62.39    96.79    99.97    97.83P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   63  +29      81.92     4.52    34.72    31.28    89.76    99.57    92.91P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   59   +7      71.76     4.25     5.48     0.44    10.89    66.35    20.51P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   58  +11      75.40     4.60    14.43     2.85    39.81    89.35    54.78P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   58   +7      71.91     4.26     7.13     0.33    11.73    68.31    23.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           36   58   +5      71.61     4.27     4.84     0.41    11.42    64.32    23.76P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   57   +7      74.47     4.74     8.48     2.15    29.57    82.47    42.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             35   51  +11      69.66     4.44    16.24     0.11     5.99    53.50    22.65P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   51   +4      65.51     4.51     3.29     0.00     1.06    17.47     4.66P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   49   +2      62.91     4.29     2.30     0.00     0.15     6.47     1.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   49   -3      64.54     4.55    -2.26     0.00     0.43    11.87     3.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             33   48   +8      65.40     4.89     7.45     0.03     1.73    20.51     6.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              35   48   -5      63.69     4.57    -4.15     0.00     0.32     8.94     2.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         35   47   +6      63.56     4.53     8.22     0.00     0.33    10.29     3.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            36   42   -3      55.33     4.22    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    2.58R    0.67  
Rochdale             35   42   -8      56.71     4.60    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.10P    2.14R    0.53  
Bristol_Rovers       35   42  -11      55.96     4.42   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    3.12R    0.92  
York                 36   40  -12      51.37     4.15   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.26R    7.28  
Aldershot            36   39  -13      51.05     4.11   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.73R    7.41  
Torquay              35   38   -6      53.31     4.43    -5.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.91R    2.71  
Barnet               35   37  -12      49.71     4.39   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.41R   15.12  
Accrington_Stanley   35   37  -17      50.71     4.42   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.08R   11.65  
Plymouth             35   36  -10      48.67     4.32   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.86R   18.47  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   36  -22      47.52     4.27   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.90R   35.23  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Barrow 2 0 Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            34   65  +30      88.05     4.58    40.07    46.30    98.51    65.38P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   65  +26      83.30     4.41    31.02    10.14    90.01    30.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   62  +21      83.56     4.95    26.89    12.99    87.39    30.89P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     32   62  +20      83.00     5.27    22.74    10.29    83.35    21.55P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   61  +29      84.84     5.14    36.07    20.00    91.80    40.39P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       35   57  +18      75.81     4.52    23.56     0.23    30.17     6.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           33   49   +3      70.02     5.02     7.87     0.00     4.92     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              32   48   +6      72.29     5.11    13.90     0.05    11.41     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.82     5.01     2.90     0.00     1.75     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             33   48   -7      61.82     4.88   -13.97     0.00     0.10     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   46   +0      61.62     4.48     0.80     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Dartford           32   45   +0      63.78     5.28    -0.84     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.06R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.34     5.18   -11.94     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.17R    0.00  
Southport          33   43   -4      58.87     4.98    -7.51     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.62R    0.00  
Tamworth           35   43   -6      55.60     4.38    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.90R    0.06  
Alfreton_Town      35   41  -13      55.31     4.57   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.68R    0.16  
Stockport          34   38  -11      51.32     4.62   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.17R    1.56  
Lincoln_City       34   37  -10      52.06     4.68   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.48R    1.44  
Hyde_United        35   36  -11      49.07     4.45   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.30R    4.80  
Barrow             34   36  -27      48.24     4.49   -34.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.02R    7.75  
Nuneaton           34   35  -16      48.08     4.64   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.49R    9.28  
Gateshead          31   34   -5      54.38     5.41    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00P    7.37R    0.99  
Ebbsfleet_United   32   31  -20      46.64     5.05   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.45R   17.89  
AFC_Telford        36   30  -13      41.49     4.16   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.20R   56.07