Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 3 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 March 2013, Tottenham 2 1 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.12     3.88    49.78    98.63    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      27   56  +26      78.56     4.07    38.55     1.35    85.11    96.57    99.35   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     28   54  +16      70.41     4.19    20.11     0.01     6.97    41.65    75.84    98.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.44     4.08    33.31     0.01     7.08    48.83    80.02    99.23     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       28   47  +21      66.16     4.13    30.10     0.00     0.82    11.56    37.05    94.43     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.09     4.06     9.38     0.00     0.02     0.43     2.57    40.37     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     28   42  +19      60.11     4.24    25.70     0.00     0.02     0.94     5.08    60.03     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       28   40   +5      51.52     4.06     1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.39     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     28   40   +1      52.99     4.18    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     4.34     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.67     4.14    -6.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.39R    0.00  
Stoke         28   33   -7      45.14     4.10    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.54R    0.01  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.40     3.87   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.61R    0.02  
Norwich       28   32  -18      43.79     4.08   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.24R    0.04  
Sunderland    28   30   -7      42.39     4.07    -9.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.87R    0.07  
Newcastle     28   30  -11      43.00     4.23   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.49R    0.10  
Southampton   28   27  -12      38.50     4.19   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.42R    1.46  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.30     3.95   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.94R   14.04  
Aston_Villa   27   24  -26      35.20     4.15   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.85R   12.20  
Reading       28   23  -20      32.79     3.86   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.68R   22.96  
QPR           28   20  -23      30.33     3.94   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.96R   49.10  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Barnsley 2 3 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          34   70  +20      90.15     4.74    25.51    80.77    93.93   100.00    95.59P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   65  +12      81.79     4.52    14.53     8.61    41.60    98.44    54.57P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   63  +25      80.63     4.59    28.92     7.10    35.65    97.94    51.71P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   61  +19      77.54     4.51    21.25     1.56    13.19    91.90    30.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   57  +27      77.06     4.69    32.39     1.82    13.30    89.72    39.22P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         34   55  +15      72.50     4.75    16.56     0.13     1.91    59.89    15.22P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   54   +1      69.86     4.53     2.14     0.01     0.34    31.04     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    35   51   +4      66.03     4.45     3.98     0.00     0.04    10.01     1.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     34   49   -4      65.27     4.71    -4.44     0.00     0.04     7.76     1.50P    0.06R    0.00  
Bolton           35   48   +4      65.32     4.56     7.35     0.00     0.01     8.65     2.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          35   47   +0      62.44     4.47     0.44     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.47P    0.26R    0.01  
Blackburn        35   45   -2      60.66     4.53    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.23P    0.86R    0.07  
Derby            35   44   +1      58.42     4.46    -0.11     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    2.89R    0.28  
Millwall         34   44   -6      60.23     4.73    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.17P    1.75R    0.15  
Charlton         35   43   -5      57.58     4.50    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    5.26R    0.68  
Blackpool        35   42   +1      57.92     4.55     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.07P    3.58R    0.37  
Birmingham       35   42  -12      57.86     4.55   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    5.00R    0.58  
Ipswich          35   42  -19      54.34     4.39   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.61R    3.12  
Huddersfield     35   41  -25      53.27     4.40   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.67R    6.70  
Sheff_Wed        34   40   -9      53.73     4.62   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   22.47R    5.33  
Barnsley         34   37  -13      49.71     4.53   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.60R   21.07  
Peterborough     34   36  -10      50.67     4.75   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.78R   14.69  
Wolverhampton    35   36  -10      50.63     4.51   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.14R   13.49  
Bristol_City     35   35  -14      47.99     4.42   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.02R   33.46  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Brentford 1 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       35   65  +19      81.98     4.54    21.87    23.69    48.13    95.03    60.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       35   64  +21      83.53     4.46    27.58    40.23    65.07    98.02    76.40P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         35   62  +33      80.57     4.45    38.07    19.76    40.99    93.65    59.43P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   61  +15      78.61     4.75    16.79     9.08    21.68    81.98    35.99P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          35   61  +14      77.82     4.55    16.58     5.25    15.66    78.94    26.91P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        36   60  +17      74.58     4.25    18.30     1.28     4.84    55.67    15.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     36   58  +10      73.65     4.29    12.94     0.54     2.60    44.84    11.58P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         36   55   +3      68.54     4.29     2.74     0.02     0.14     9.06     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        36   53  +13      69.61     4.33    17.27     0.04     0.31    16.58     4.99P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    35   52  +13      68.27     4.50    14.82     0.02     0.23    11.54     3.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   35   50   -2      64.58     4.46    -2.66     0.00     0.01     1.38     0.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    33   49   -2      64.83     4.93    -5.14     0.00     0.03     2.85     0.44P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         33   47   +6      67.76     4.95    10.36     0.06     0.31    10.16     3.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           34   47   -5      60.32     4.62    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.25R    0.00  
Stevenage       34   43   -9      58.35     4.66   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.07R    0.00  
Carlisle        35   41  -19      53.81     4.41   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   10.95R    0.04  
Preston         34   40   -1      56.52     4.72    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.21R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      36   40   -6      53.04     4.26    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.26R    0.06  
Colchester      35   38  -19      51.60     4.45   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.21R    0.35  
Scunthorpe      36   38  -20      48.73     4.09   -24.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.54R    1.19  
Oldham          34   36  -13      50.68     4.62   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.06R    0.66  
Bury            35   30  -21      43.16     4.44   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.85R   18.68  
Hartlepool      35   30  -24      42.06     4.31   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.77R   25.77  
Portsmouth      36   27  -23      39.01     4.21   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.82R   53.24  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 0 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           35   66  +25      84.97     4.46    30.77    61.79    96.84    99.97    97.79P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   63  +29      81.97     4.53    34.77    31.75    90.00    99.59    93.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   59   +7      71.71     4.25     5.40     0.48    10.54    66.03    20.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   58  +11      75.33     4.58    14.33     2.93    39.44    88.94    54.24P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   58   +7      71.85     4.25     7.05     0.28    11.86    68.11    22.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           36   58   +5      71.57     4.28     4.79     0.44    11.25    63.77    23.43P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   57   +7      74.54     4.72     8.60     2.17    30.07    83.37    43.52P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             35   51  +11      69.64     4.44    16.22     0.12     5.96    53.06    22.52P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   51   +4      65.48     4.48     3.20     0.01     0.98    17.50     4.69P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   49   +2      62.92     4.30     2.33     0.00     0.13     6.86     1.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   49   -3      64.56     4.50    -2.25     0.01     0.50    11.81     3.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             33   48   +8      65.45     4.89     7.56     0.02     1.82    20.94     6.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              35   48   -5      63.66     4.59    -4.22     0.00     0.27     8.92     2.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         35   47   +6      63.57     4.53     8.22     0.00     0.34    10.51     3.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            36   42   -3      55.33     4.23    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    2.64R    0.69  
Rochdale             35   42   -8      56.80     4.60    -8.58     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.10P    1.99R    0.47  
Bristol_Rovers       35   42  -11      55.91     4.45   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    3.38R    0.97  
York                 36   40  -12      51.38     4.15   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.36R    7.41  
Aldershot            36   39  -13      51.10     4.13   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.77R    7.43  
Torquay              35   38   -6      53.30     4.42    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.56R    2.71  
Barnet               35   37  -12      49.66     4.38   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.58R   15.03  
Accrington_Stanley   35   37  -17      50.77     4.41   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.44R   11.44  
Plymouth             35   36  -10      48.65     4.31   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.47R   18.73  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   36  -22      47.54     4.26   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.76R   35.12  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Barrow 2 0 Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            34   65  +30      87.95     4.60    39.94    45.44    98.43    65.03P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   65  +26      83.34     4.40    31.09    10.22    90.17    30.53P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   62  +21      83.49     4.94    26.75    12.78    86.93    30.12P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     32   62  +20      83.04     5.28    22.77    10.66    83.79    22.26P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   61  +29      84.89     5.12    36.16    20.56    92.25    40.68P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       35   57  +18      75.78     4.52    23.49     0.26    29.86     6.80P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           33   49   +3      70.07     5.03     7.91     0.01     4.88     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              32   48   +6      72.33     5.10    13.96     0.07    11.25     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.75     5.01     2.83     0.00     1.74     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             33   48   -7      61.76     4.88   -14.09     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   46   +0      61.65     4.47     0.87     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Dartford           32   45   +0      63.81     5.25    -0.82     0.00     0.40     0.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.36     5.18   -11.91     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.16R    0.00  
Southport          33   43   -4      58.88     4.99    -7.53     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.62R    0.01  
Tamworth           35   43   -6      55.63     4.38    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town      35   41  -13      55.37     4.53   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.58R    0.16  
Stockport          34   38  -11      51.34     4.61   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.98R    1.56  
Lincoln_City       34   37  -10      52.04     4.65   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.50R    1.50  
Hyde_United        35   36  -11      49.12     4.49   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.78R    4.78  
Barrow             34   36  -27      48.23     4.50   -34.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.14R    8.03  
Nuneaton           34   35  -16      48.04     4.62   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.73R    9.13  
Gateshead          31   34   -5      54.39     5.36    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.35R    0.97  
Ebbsfleet_United   32   31  -20      46.58     5.04   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.06R   17.87  
AFC_Telford        36   30  -13      41.49     4.16   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.12R   55.94