Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 2 March 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Chelsea 1 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       28   71  +37      92.08     3.89    49.64    98.60    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      27   56  +26      78.57     4.06    38.54     1.39    85.62    96.50    99.34   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       28   52  +26      70.45     4.09    33.31     0.01     7.39    49.69    79.49    99.25     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     27   51  +15      68.90     4.44    19.27     0.00     4.56    29.86    60.46    97.43     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       27   47  +22      67.58     4.35    31.19     0.00     2.41    22.59    53.07    96.49     0.00     0.00  
Everton       28   45   +9      59.08     4.06     9.34     0.00     0.02     0.45     2.60    40.23     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     28   42  +19      60.11     4.22    25.69     0.00     0.03     0.90     4.96    59.93     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       28   40   +5      51.53     4.05     1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.19     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     28   40   +1      53.04     4.17    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     4.28     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        28   33   -5      45.65     4.15    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.38R    0.01  
Stoke         28   33   -7      45.06     4.07    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.52R    0.00  
West_Ham      28   33   -9      43.45     3.91   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.58R    0.02  
Norwich       28   32  -18      43.73     4.05   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.20R    0.05  
Sunderland    28   30   -7      42.39     4.07    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79R    0.07  
Newcastle     28   30  -11      42.95     4.19   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.53R    0.07  
Southampton   28   27  -12      38.51     4.21   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.22R    1.44  
Wigan         28   24  -22      34.29     3.94   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.16R   14.03  
Aston_Villa   27   24  -26      35.30     4.18   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.07R   11.79  
Reading       28   23  -20      32.67     3.86   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.52R   23.97  
QPR           28   20  -23      30.35     3.96   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.04R   48.56  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Barnsley 2 3 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          34   70  +20      90.23     4.75    25.65    81.01    94.18    99.99    95.79P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   65  +12      81.79     4.52    14.59     8.63    42.05    98.36    55.18P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   63  +25      80.54     4.60    28.76     6.96    35.19    97.87    51.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   61  +19      77.51     4.50    21.21     1.46    12.91    91.69    29.90P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   57  +27      76.99     4.71    32.26     1.80    13.21    89.45    38.85P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         34   55  +15      72.52     4.78    16.59     0.12     2.05    60.10    15.37P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   54   +1      69.78     4.56     2.00     0.01     0.33    30.71     6.22P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    35   51   +4      66.00     4.46     3.95     0.00     0.03    10.13     2.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     34   49   -4      65.36     4.70    -4.30     0.00     0.04     7.92     1.51P    0.05R    0.00  
Bolton           35   48   +4      65.40     4.56     7.46     0.00     0.02     9.03     2.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          35   47   +0      62.48     4.51     0.48     0.00     0.00     2.17     0.45P    0.27R    0.02  
Blackburn        35   45   -2      60.66     4.56    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.23P    0.91R    0.04  
Derby            35   44   +1      58.45     4.46    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    2.74R    0.29  
Millwall         34   44   -6      60.30     4.70    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.18P    1.66R    0.11  
Charlton         35   43   -5      57.55     4.53    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    5.24R    0.69  
Blackpool        35   42   +1      57.85     4.53     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    3.47R    0.34  
Birmingham       35   42  -12      57.93     4.54   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    4.72R    0.56  
Ipswich          35   42  -19      54.31     4.40   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    18.97R    3.14  
Huddersfield     35   41  -25      53.29     4.37   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   27.34R    6.70  
Sheff_Wed        34   40   -9      53.71     4.62   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.68R    5.28  
Barnsley         34   37  -13      49.72     4.52   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.56R   20.90  
Peterborough     34   36  -10      50.66     4.73   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.75R   14.82  
Wolverhampton    35   36  -10      50.55     4.47   -10.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.80R   13.68  
Bristol_City     35   35  -14      48.00     4.44   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.81R   33.42  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Brentford 1 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       35   65  +19      81.94     4.53    21.81    23.62    48.08    94.93    60.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       35   64  +21      83.58     4.46    27.64    40.57    65.69    98.02    76.83P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         35   62  +33      80.61     4.46    38.17    19.85    41.13    93.79    59.55P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   61  +15      78.53     4.70    16.66     8.47    20.79    81.85    35.06P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          35   61  +14      77.79     4.59    16.52     5.49    15.87    78.69    26.97P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        36   60  +17      74.60     4.23    18.33     1.24     4.68    55.69    15.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     36   58  +10      73.70     4.32    12.99     0.59     2.68    44.93    11.70P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         36   55   +3      68.51     4.28     2.69     0.03     0.15     8.81     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        36   53  +13      69.67     4.31    17.34     0.04     0.30    16.63     4.98P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    35   52  +13      68.30     4.53    14.83     0.04     0.29    11.79     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   35   50   -2      64.52     4.47    -2.74     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    33   49   -2      64.86     4.91    -5.10     0.00     0.03     2.87     0.41P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         33   47   +6      67.77     4.95    10.35     0.05     0.30    10.15     3.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           34   47   -5      60.38     4.63    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.26R    0.00  
Stevenage       34   43   -9      58.36     4.65   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.20R    0.00  
Carlisle        35   41  -19      53.80     4.43   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.19R    0.05  
Preston         34   40   -1      56.57     4.73    -0.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    3.03R    0.02  
Shrewsbury      36   40   -6      52.95     4.27    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.04R    0.05  
Colchester      35   38  -19      51.60     4.45   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.05R    0.39  
Scunthorpe      36   38  -20      48.71     4.08   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.69R    1.24  
Oldham          34   36  -13      50.73     4.65   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.37R    0.65  
Bury            35   30  -21      43.17     4.46   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.52R   18.65  
Hartlepool      35   30  -24      42.04     4.31   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.77R   25.32  
Portsmouth      36   27  -23      38.97     4.21   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.87R   53.63  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Accrington_Stanley 0 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           35   66  +25      84.93     4.47    30.70    61.36    96.64    99.98    97.78P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   63  +29      81.98     4.55    34.80    32.20    89.79    99.55    92.97P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   59   +7      71.75     4.26     5.46     0.47    10.96    65.98    20.44P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   58  +11      75.34     4.59    14.40     2.85    39.29    89.00    54.43P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   58   +7      71.91     4.26     7.16     0.39    11.91    68.51    23.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           36   58   +5      71.59     4.27     4.81     0.38    11.47    64.26    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   57   +7      74.51     4.73     8.55     2.19    29.99    82.87    43.29P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             35   51  +11      69.66     4.43    16.23     0.11     6.00    53.54    22.61P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   51   +4      65.52     4.51     3.28     0.01     1.01    17.35     4.65P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   49   +2      62.94     4.30     2.37     0.00     0.14     6.72     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   49   -3      64.52     4.51    -2.26     0.00     0.35    11.79     3.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             33   48   +8      65.44     4.90     7.51     0.03     1.86    20.84     6.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              35   48   -5      63.60     4.58    -4.30     0.00     0.24     8.77     2.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         35   47   +6      63.54     4.51     8.16     0.00     0.34    10.34     3.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            36   42   -3      55.41     4.25    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    2.59R    0.63  
Rochdale             35   42   -8      56.67     4.56    -8.75     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    2.10R    0.52  
Bristol_Rovers       35   42  -11      55.99     4.44   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    3.20R    0.90  
York                 36   40  -12      51.33     4.14   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.65R    7.62  
Aldershot            36   39  -13      51.08     4.11   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.43R    7.41  
Torquay              35   38   -6      53.27     4.42    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    7.80R    2.67  
Barnet               35   37  -12      49.69     4.36   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.01R   14.73  
Accrington_Stanley   35   37  -17      50.74     4.41   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.63R   11.26  
Plymouth             35   36  -10      48.68     4.33   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.20R   18.52  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   36  -22      47.50     4.25   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.37R   35.74  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2013, Barrow 2 0 Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            34   65  +30      88.02     4.61    40.06    45.85    98.44    65.05P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   65  +26      83.32     4.42    31.03    10.32    89.93    30.33P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   62  +21      83.46     4.93    26.74    12.52    87.11    30.51P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     32   62  +20      83.02     5.30    22.74    10.48    83.33    21.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   61  +29      84.84     5.13    36.08    20.54    92.06    40.63P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       35   57  +18      75.79     4.52    23.53     0.22    30.16     6.88P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           33   49   +3      70.06     5.02     7.91     0.01     4.83     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              32   48   +6      72.33     5.11    13.95     0.06    11.62     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.75     5.01     2.84     0.00     1.81     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             33   48   -7      61.88     4.87   -13.91     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   46   +0      61.58     4.48     0.74     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Dartford           32   45   +0      63.81     5.26    -0.81     0.00     0.44     0.05P    0.06R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     32   44  -10      62.35     5.21   -11.94     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.19R    0.00  
Southport          33   43   -4      58.91     5.00    -7.44     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.58R    0.03  
Tamworth           35   43   -6      55.60     4.37    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02R    0.06  
Alfreton_Town      35   41  -13      55.34     4.54   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.45R    0.14  
Stockport          34   38  -11      51.32     4.65   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.15R    1.58  
Lincoln_City       34   37  -10      52.10     4.69   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.53R    1.44  
Hyde_United        35   36  -11      49.10     4.46   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.79R    4.70  
Barrow             34   36  -27      48.28     4.46   -34.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.43R    7.74  
Nuneaton           34   35  -16      47.92     4.63   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.12R    9.75  
Gateshead          31   34   -5      54.40     5.39    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.35R    0.98  
Ebbsfleet_United   32   31  -20      46.65     5.06   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.33R   17.44  
AFC_Telford        36   30  -13      41.48     4.16   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.92R   56.15