Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 2 March 2013 at 01:17:12 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 February 2013, West_Ham 2 3 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       27   68  +33      91.57     4.02    47.89    98.12    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      27   56  +26      78.58     4.06    38.54     1.87    86.56    97.00    99.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     27   51  +15      68.77     4.45    19.06     0.00     4.51    31.75    62.06    98.09     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       27   49  +25      69.81     4.29    33.96     0.01     6.44    46.16    76.96    99.04     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       27   47  +22      67.51     4.38    31.06     0.00     2.51    24.01    55.68    97.43     0.00     0.00  
Everton       27   42   +7      58.22     4.30     8.56     0.00     0.01     0.46     2.44    42.17     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     27   40   +2      53.49     4.33    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     8.32     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.53     4.50    21.75     0.00     0.01     0.61     3.27    51.68     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      50.08     4.30     0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.20     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke         27   33   -6      46.94     4.31    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.31R    0.00  
Fulham        27   32   -5      45.86     4.41    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.78R    0.01  
Norwich       27   32  -14      44.06     4.13   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.61R    0.04  
Newcastle     27   30  -10      44.26     4.46   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     2.07R    0.04  
West_Ham      27   30  -10      41.34     4.14   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.89R    0.18  
Sunderland    27   29   -7      42.97     4.34    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.25R    0.07  
Southampton   27   27  -11      40.61     4.45   -13.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    10.48R    0.56  
Wigan         27   24  -18      35.60     4.22   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.84R    6.50  
Aston_Villa   27   24  -26      35.21     4.17   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.40R    8.89  
Reading       27   23  -18      33.47     4.05   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.61R   14.30  
QPR           27   17  -24      28.04     4.15   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.73R   69.39  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 March 2013, Derby 0 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          33   70  +21      91.85     4.98    26.97    87.15    96.31   100.00    97.30P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   63  +25      80.55     4.57    28.76     4.89    35.34    98.70    51.72P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   62   +9      80.11     4.70    11.52     3.53    27.96    97.11    43.67P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   61  +19      77.48     4.51    21.14     0.99    12.92    93.91    31.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   57  +28      78.99     4.94    34.21     3.38    25.91    95.93    49.99P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         33   52  +12      71.14     4.98    13.96     0.05     1.32    55.25    13.34P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    34   51   +0      68.00     4.78     0.78     0.00     0.18    24.19     4.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    34   48   +3      64.31     4.67     2.84     0.00     0.01     8.24     1.78P    0.09R    0.00  
Leeds_United     33   46   -5      63.87     4.97    -5.16     0.00     0.02     7.07     1.25P    0.26R    0.01  
Bolton           34   45   +3      63.82     4.81     6.50     0.00     0.01     7.63     2.12P    0.22R    0.01  
Blackburn        34   45   -1      62.74     4.82     0.90     0.00     0.01     4.31     1.15P    0.34R    0.01  
Derby            35   44   +1      58.43     4.46    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P    2.51R    0.21  
Burnley          34   44   -1      60.65     4.70    -0.82     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.34P    1.14R    0.08  
Millwall         33   44   -5      61.45     4.95    -5.57     0.00     0.01     2.70     0.52P    1.00R    0.05  
Charlton         34   43   -4      59.16     4.77    -4.47     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.16P    2.79R    0.28  
Birmingham       34   42   -9      59.30     4.78    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.21P    2.75R    0.27  
Blackpool        34   41   +1      59.00     4.77     3.33     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.30P    2.43R    0.26  
Huddersfield     34   41  -22      54.44     4.59   -26.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   19.56R    3.66  
Sheff_Wed        33   40   -8      55.25     4.89   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   14.66R    2.65  
Ipswich          34   39  -20      52.15     4.59   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   34.72R    8.11  
Barnsley         33   37  -12      50.91     4.73   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.63R   12.30  
Wolverhampton    35   36  -10      50.57     4.50   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.21R   11.44  
Bristol_City     34   34  -14      47.68     4.66   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.90R   33.10  
Peterborough     33   33  -11      48.31     4.93   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.78R   27.56  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, Bournemouth 0 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       34   62  +16      80.58     4.75    19.19    21.57    43.24    89.96    54.78P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       34   61  +19      82.37     4.67    26.27    39.40    62.03    95.79    73.64P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        35   60  +18      76.03     4.50    19.44     4.89    13.52    67.29    25.22P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         34   59  +32      78.87     4.71    37.00    16.94    34.72    86.54    52.38P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   58  +14      77.25     4.93    16.17     8.47    19.92    72.83    32.26P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          34   58  +13      75.99     4.82    15.25     4.64    13.06    64.39    21.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     35   58  +12      75.50     4.56    15.60     3.36    10.24    61.79    21.52P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        35   53  +14      71.25     4.54    18.70     0.36     1.87    28.84     9.63P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         35   52   +1      66.79     4.48     0.56     0.03     0.11     5.28     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    34   49  +12      67.21     4.74    14.68     0.05     0.30     8.96     2.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           33   47   -4      61.91     4.89    -8.47     0.01     0.01     0.80     0.15P    0.24R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   34   47   -4      62.39     4.67    -5.45     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.12P    0.15R    0.00  
MK_Dons         32   46   +6      68.62     5.16    11.06     0.26     0.95    14.87     4.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    32   46   -4      62.86     5.15    -7.72     0.01     0.03     1.53     0.22P    0.21R    0.00  
Stevenage       33   43   -7      60.32     4.90    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.09P    0.75R    0.00  
Carlisle        34   41  -18      54.81     4.63   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    9.86R    0.04  
Shrewsbury      35   40   -4      54.42     4.49    -4.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.96R    0.03  
Preston         33   39   -1      56.57     4.96    -1.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    4.14R    0.02  
Scunthorpe      35   38  -19      49.68     4.29   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.61R    0.69  
Oldham          33   36  -11      51.68     4.81   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.34R    0.45  
Colchester      34   35  -21      49.30     4.65   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.06R    1.57  
Bury            34   30  -19      44.75     4.68   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.18R   10.20  
Hartlepool      34   30  -21      43.23     4.52   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.47R   15.59  
Portsmouth      35   24  -24      37.25     4.45   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.02R   71.42  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 February 2013, Bradford 1 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           34   65  +25      85.73     4.69    31.33    57.27    96.64    99.97    97.70P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            34   63  +30      83.62     4.75    36.18    37.93    92.71    99.80    94.96P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   59  +10      73.40     4.52     8.83     0.94    18.99    78.86    29.93P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          35   58  +10      73.22     4.49    10.04     0.61    18.58    78.29    30.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   56   +7      74.60     4.97     8.13     1.80    28.68    82.52    41.96P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               34   55   +8      73.79     4.82    11.45     1.09    24.92    80.34    40.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           35   55   +4      70.48     4.51     4.62     0.19     7.52    54.89    18.74P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       34   51   +5      66.78     4.74     4.11     0.01     1.86    26.77     7.43P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             34   50  +11      70.42     4.71    16.80     0.15     8.74    60.41    27.04P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            35   46   -1      61.07     4.53    -1.00     0.00     0.06     3.41     0.87P    0.15R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd           34   46   -4      62.53     4.76    -3.81     0.00     0.17     6.51     1.65P    0.05R    0.01  
Bradford             32   45   +6      63.67     5.11     5.31     0.01     0.82    13.85     3.76P    0.03R    0.01  
Wycombe              34   45   -6      62.03     4.86    -5.22     0.00     0.15     5.85     1.71P    0.13R    0.02  
Chesterfield         34   44   +5      61.97     4.79     7.27     0.00     0.14     6.67     2.21P    0.08R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            35   42   -2      56.68     4.49    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.09P    1.76R    0.43  
Rochdale             34   42   -5      58.44     4.84    -5.14     0.00     0.01     1.32     0.37P    1.12R    0.27  
York                 35   40  -10      52.84     4.42   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.86R    4.32  
Bristol_Rovers       34   39  -14      53.94     4.67   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    9.21R    3.24  
Aldershot            35   38  -13      51.06     4.33   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.30R    8.31  
Torquay              34   37   -6      53.75     4.66    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    7.67R    2.73  
Barnet               34   37  -11      50.92     4.59   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.18R   10.67  
Accrington_Stanley   34   36  -17      51.06     4.69   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.34R   10.99  
AFC_Wimbledon        34   36  -21      48.42     4.46   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.41R   26.97  
Plymouth             34   33  -11      47.13     4.55   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.74R   31.96  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, Alfreton_Town 5 1 Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            33   64  +30      89.46     4.76    41.81    58.61    99.12    73.46P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   62  +25      82.53     4.62    31.41     7.45    87.21    28.43P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   61  +29      84.87     5.15    36.15    17.94    92.69    39.32P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   59  +20      82.62     5.13    27.05     9.61    84.23    27.87P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     31   59  +19      81.42     5.51    21.77     5.92    75.57    16.94P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       34   56  +18      76.19     4.75    23.63     0.39    38.13     8.60P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           32   48   +3      71.31     5.23     9.31     0.03    10.05     2.19P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.87     5.06     2.99     0.00     2.46     0.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             32   47   -7      62.25     5.13   -13.97     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.08R    0.00  
Luton              31   45   +5      70.81     5.36    13.11     0.03     9.40     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      34   45   +0      62.00     4.70     0.78     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.83     5.46    -1.42     0.00     0.65     0.09P    0.08R    0.00  
Tamworth           34   43   -4      57.24     4.62    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.03  
Southport          32   42   -4      59.54     5.22    -7.02     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.59R    0.02  
Braintree_Town     31   41  -11      60.31     5.38   -13.63     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.82R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town      34   40  -13      54.72     4.71   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.52R    0.36  
Stockport          33   38  -10      52.53     4.84   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.96R    1.11  
Hyde_United        34   36  -10      50.41     4.72   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.38R    3.18  
Lincoln_City       33   36  -10      52.38     4.92   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.81R    1.62  
Gateshead          30   34   -4      56.37     5.63    -3.41     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.26R    0.47  
Nuneaton           33   34  -16      47.75     4.85   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.43R   11.39  
Barrow             33   33  -29      46.44     4.69   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.69R   17.07  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   31  -19      47.26     5.22   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.32R   15.50  
AFC_Telford        35   30  -12      42.09     4.33   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.87R   49.21