Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 28 February 2013 at 23:30:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 February 2013, West_Ham 2 3 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       27   68  +33      91.53     4.01    47.87    98.09    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      27   56  +26      78.56     4.07    38.52     1.90    86.58    96.82    99.34   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     27   51  +15      68.78     4.43    19.07     0.00     4.46    31.55    62.19    98.12     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       27   49  +25      69.79     4.31    33.97     0.01     6.42    46.56    76.80    99.09     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       27   47  +22      67.54     4.35    31.10     0.00     2.54    24.11    55.82    97.49     0.00     0.00  
Everton       27   42   +7      58.22     4.29     8.55     0.00     0.02     0.42     2.37    41.62     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     27   40   +2      53.46     4.35    -1.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     8.23     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.58     4.49    21.80     0.00     0.00     0.52     3.28    52.26     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      49.96     4.32     0.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.07     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke         27   33   -6      46.95     4.35    -7.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.33R    0.00  
Fulham        27   32   -5      45.87     4.38    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.70R    0.00  
Norwich       27   32  -14      44.11     4.13   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.62R    0.03  
Newcastle     27   30  -10      44.30     4.47   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.11R    0.03  
West_Ham      27   30  -10      41.34     4.14   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.94R    0.16  
Sunderland    27   29   -7      42.90     4.32    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.40R    0.06  
Southampton   27   27  -11      40.60     4.47   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.77R    0.54  
Wigan         27   24  -18      35.55     4.21   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.42R    6.56  
Aston_Villa   27   24  -26      35.26     4.16   -32.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.37R    8.92  
Reading       27   23  -18      33.57     4.07   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.43R   14.43  
QPR           27   17  -24      28.05     4.17   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.91R   69.26  

Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, Bolton 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          33   70  +21      91.77     4.96    26.87    86.24    96.38   100.00    97.38P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   62  +25      81.03     4.83    28.95     6.26    39.97    98.70    55.46P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   62   +9      80.08     4.73    11.47     3.49    27.75    97.33    43.59P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   58  +18      75.75     4.75    20.01     0.59     7.91    87.80    25.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   57  +28      79.04     4.95    34.27     3.37    26.46    96.21    50.92P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         33   52  +12      71.17     4.95    14.01     0.05     1.28    56.42    13.91P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    34   51   +0      67.98     4.77     0.80     0.00     0.19    25.34     5.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    34   48   +3      64.28     4.68     2.79     0.00     0.01     8.72     1.74P    0.08R    0.00  
Leeds_United     33   46   -5      63.72     4.92    -5.38     0.00     0.02     7.00     1.27P    0.29R    0.00  
Bolton           34   45   +3      63.85     4.80     6.53     0.00     0.01     8.27     2.36P    0.24R    0.01  
Blackburn        34   45   -1      62.82     4.76     1.01     0.00     0.00     4.70     1.20P    0.30R    0.01  
Derby            34   44   +2      59.90     4.72     1.03     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.25P    1.70R    0.15  
Burnley          34   44   -1      60.67     4.70    -0.79     0.00     0.00     1.82     0.40P    1.15R    0.08  
Millwall         33   44   -5      61.47     4.93    -5.57     0.00     0.00     2.96     0.53P    1.04R    0.06  
Charlton         34   43   -4      59.23     4.77    -4.34     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.20P    2.70R    0.24  
Birmingham       34   42   -9      59.37     4.76    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.23P    2.81R    0.26  
Blackpool        34   41   +1      58.90     4.77     3.22     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.27P    2.77R    0.27  
Huddersfield     34   41  -22      54.38     4.60   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   20.06R    3.83  
Sheff_Wed        33   40   -8      55.26     4.90   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   14.94R    2.72  
Ipswich          34   39  -20      52.13     4.58   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.23R    8.23  
Barnsley         33   37  -12      50.89     4.73   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.46R   12.47  
Wolverhampton    34   35  -10      50.92     4.73   -10.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.02R   11.40  
Bristol_City     34   34  -14      47.72     4.63   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.32R   32.50  
Peterborough     33   33  -11      48.31     4.94   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.89R   27.76  

League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, Bournemouth 0 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       34   62  +16      80.57     4.74    19.18    21.82    43.28    89.85    54.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       34   61  +19      82.30     4.67    26.16    38.65    61.67    95.85    73.10P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        35   60  +18      76.07     4.49    19.51     5.02    13.71    67.75    25.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         34   59  +32      78.92     4.71    37.09    17.14    35.15    86.73    52.84P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   58  +14      77.27     4.95    16.22     8.66    20.09    73.14    32.33P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          34   58  +13      76.03     4.79    15.33     4.77    13.04    64.97    22.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     35   58  +12      75.45     4.54    15.52     3.18     9.79    61.25    21.08P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        35   53  +14      71.18     4.57    18.60     0.45     1.86    28.37     9.52P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         35   52   +1      66.91     4.48     0.71     0.02     0.15     5.34     1.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    34   49  +12      67.11     4.78    14.52     0.06     0.31     8.94     2.40P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           33   47   -4      61.96     4.85    -8.38     0.00     0.02     0.86     0.13P    0.21R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   34   47   -4      62.46     4.67    -5.35     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.09P    0.17R    0.00  
MK_Dons         32   46   +6      68.60     5.13    11.01     0.23     0.90    14.40     4.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    32   46   -4      62.72     5.15    -7.89     0.00     0.02     1.41     0.22P    0.20R    0.00  
Stevenage       33   43   -7      60.28     4.93    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.83R    0.00  
Carlisle        34   41  -18      54.90     4.64   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    9.62R    0.03  
Shrewsbury      35   40   -4      54.39     4.51    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.15R    0.04  
Preston         33   39   -1      56.58     4.93    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     4.13R    0.03  
Scunthorpe      35   38  -19      49.76     4.31   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.39R    0.77  
Oldham          33   36  -11      51.74     4.79   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.85R    0.38  
Colchester      34   35  -21      49.35     4.67   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.87R    1.46  
Bury            34   30  -19      44.66     4.71   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.63R   10.80  
Hartlepool      34   30  -21      43.16     4.52   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.91R   15.75  
Portsmouth      35   24  -24      37.25     4.45   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.03R   70.73  

League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 February 2013, Bradford 1 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           34   65  +25      85.71     4.71    31.28    57.04    96.65    99.95    97.68P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            34   63  +30      83.62     4.75    36.16    38.13    92.76    99.81    95.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   59  +10      73.42     4.50     8.90     0.89    18.81    79.10    29.82P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          35   58  +10      73.23     4.48    10.05     0.59    18.84    78.40    31.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   56   +7      74.68     4.96     8.24     1.84    28.95    82.76    41.92P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               34   55   +8      73.75     4.85    11.41     1.15    24.35    79.93    40.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           35   55   +4      70.51     4.52     4.65     0.17     7.60    54.69    18.77P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       34   51   +5      66.79     4.76     4.11     0.03     1.98    26.82     7.42P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             34   50  +11      70.43     4.67    16.85     0.16     8.63    60.83    27.16P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            35   46   -1      61.12     4.54    -0.92     0.00     0.05     3.55     0.87P    0.11R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           34   46   -4      62.51     4.76    -3.84     0.00     0.19     6.35     1.73P    0.06R    0.01  
Bradford             32   45   +6      63.61     5.15     5.20     0.00     0.88    13.55     3.84P    0.05R    0.01  
Wycombe              34   45   -6      62.05     4.86    -5.21     0.00     0.14     5.72     1.56P    0.13R    0.03  
Chesterfield         34   44   +5      61.96     4.79     7.28     0.00     0.16     6.72     2.20P    0.08R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            35   42   -2      56.72     4.51    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    1.63R    0.40  
Rochdale             34   42   -5      58.44     4.83    -5.19     0.00     0.01     1.26     0.34P    1.10R    0.26  
York                 35   40  -10      52.78     4.36   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.24R    4.42  
Bristol_Rovers       34   39  -14      54.01     4.69   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P    8.99R    3.34  
Aldershot            35   38  -13      50.98     4.35   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   21.08R    8.75  
Torquay              34   37   -6      53.79     4.65    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    7.72R    2.61  
Barnet               34   37  -11      50.93     4.62   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   22.98R   10.72  
Accrington_Stanley   34   36  -17      51.03     4.66   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.31R   10.91  
AFC_Wimbledon        34   36  -21      48.45     4.46   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.16R   26.74  
Plymouth             34   33  -11      47.13     4.56   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.34R   31.79  

Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, Alfreton_Town 5 1 Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            33   64  +30      89.51     4.80    41.93    58.99    99.11    73.79P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   62  +25      82.37     4.61    31.17     7.06    86.60    27.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   61  +29      84.82     5.16    36.11    17.75    92.36    39.28P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   59  +20      82.61     5.14    27.02     9.62    83.88    27.86P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     31   59  +19      81.50     5.51    21.89     6.11    75.96    17.13P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       34   56  +18      76.35     4.75    23.83     0.40    39.41     9.08P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           32   48   +3      71.25     5.19     9.21     0.03     9.84     2.22P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.81     5.03     2.89     0.00     2.25     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             32   47   -7      62.33     5.17   -13.83     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Luton              31   45   +5      70.82     5.35    13.16     0.04     9.35     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      34   45   +0      61.94     4.70     0.71     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.86     5.50    -1.37     0.00     0.71     0.10P    0.10R    0.00  
Tamworth           34   43   -4      57.31     4.63    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.02  
Southport          32   42   -4      59.59     5.23    -6.98     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.65R    0.02  
Braintree_Town     31   41  -11      60.35     5.39   -13.56     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.89R    0.03  
Alfreton_Town      34   40  -13      54.65     4.66   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.57R    0.31  
Stockport          33   38  -10      52.60     4.84   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.34R    1.09  
Hyde_United        34   36  -10      50.43     4.74   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.13R    3.23  
Lincoln_City       33   36  -10      52.34     4.91   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.67R    1.49  
Gateshead          30   34   -4      56.34     5.65    -3.49     0.00     0.01     0.00P    4.41R    0.45  
Nuneaton           33   34  -16      47.66     4.84   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.48R   11.32  
Barrow             33   33  -29      46.36     4.69   -36.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.19R   17.36  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   31  -19      47.26     5.22   -26.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.09R   15.51  
AFC_Telford        35   30  -12      42.06     4.33   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.20R   49.17