Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 February 2013, West_Ham 2 3 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       27   68  +33      91.55     4.05    47.85    98.00    99.96    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      27   56  +26      78.55     4.06    38.56     1.98    86.56    96.99    99.46   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     27   51  +15      68.80     4.47    19.10     0.00     4.56    31.83    62.28    98.16     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       27   49  +25      69.77     4.30    33.92     0.02     6.41    45.75    76.46    99.03     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       27   47  +22      67.51     4.38    31.04     0.00     2.49    24.39    55.77    97.39     0.00     0.00  
Everton       27   42   +7      58.20     4.31     8.52     0.00     0.01     0.45     2.43    41.39     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     27   40   +2      53.48     4.36    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19     8.38     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.59     4.48    21.84     0.00     0.01     0.58     3.40    52.47     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      49.95     4.31     0.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.07     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke         27   33   -6      46.97     4.36    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.31R    0.00  
Fulham        27   32   -5      45.90     4.39    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.71R    0.00  
Norwich       27   32  -14      44.15     4.14   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.55R    0.02  
Newcastle     27   30  -10      44.21     4.46   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     2.13R    0.03  
West_Ham      27   30  -10      41.38     4.15   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.76R    0.18  
Sunderland    27   29   -7      42.92     4.33    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.41R    0.06  
Southampton   27   27  -11      40.57     4.42   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    10.74R    0.51  
Wigan         27   24  -18      35.61     4.21   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.67R    6.51  
Aston_Villa   27   24  -26      35.21     4.15   -32.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.70R    9.01  
Reading       27   23  -18      33.54     4.06   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.07R   14.08  
QPR           27   17  -24      28.03     4.13   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.96R   69.59  


Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, Bolton 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          33   70  +21      91.87     4.98    27.04    86.70    96.48   100.00    97.40P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   62  +25      80.97     4.82    28.86     6.13    39.89    98.69    55.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   62   +9      80.10     4.70    11.51     3.44    27.95    97.35    43.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   58  +18      75.77     4.73    20.03     0.56     8.17    87.96    25.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   57  +28      78.97     4.94    34.21     3.12    26.00    95.99    50.48P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         33   52  +12      71.17     4.97    14.02     0.04     1.30    56.33    13.71P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    34   51   +0      67.99     4.77     0.79     0.00     0.15    25.43     5.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    34   48   +3      64.23     4.72     2.72     0.00     0.02     8.58     1.67P    0.10R    0.00  
Leeds_United     33   46   -5      63.72     4.99    -5.37     0.00     0.03     7.32     1.41P    0.34R    0.01  
Bolton           34   45   +3      63.77     4.80     6.44     0.00     0.01     8.20     2.35P    0.21R    0.02  
Blackburn        34   45   -1      62.72     4.80     0.87     0.00     0.00     4.64     1.21P    0.43R    0.03  
Derby            34   44   +2      59.92     4.70     1.07     0.00     0.00     1.36     0.27P    1.65R    0.13  
Burnley          34   44   -1      60.65     4.74    -0.84     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.43P    1.26R    0.08  
Millwall         33   44   -5      61.49     4.96    -5.54     0.00     0.00     2.91     0.53P    1.09R    0.05  
Charlton         34   43   -4      59.28     4.75    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.22P    2.70R    0.28  
Birmingham       34   42   -9      59.36     4.76    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.22P    2.82R    0.29  
Blackpool        34   41   +1      58.98     4.78     3.31     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.33P    2.65R    0.24  
Huddersfield     34   41  -22      54.43     4.59   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   20.06R    3.82  
Sheff_Wed        33   40   -8      55.29     4.89   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   14.50R    2.71  
Ipswich          34   39  -20      52.17     4.62   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.85R    8.51  
Barnsley         33   37  -12      50.83     4.75   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.09R   12.96  
Wolverhampton    34   35  -10      50.97     4.73   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   39.94R   11.10  
Bristol_City     34   34  -14      47.66     4.62   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.59R   32.73  
Peterborough     33   33  -11      48.35     4.90   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.71R   27.05  


League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, Bournemouth 0 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       34   62  +16      80.61     4.76    19.22    21.96    43.19    89.94    54.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       34   61  +19      82.42     4.65    26.36    39.56    62.15    96.05    73.56P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        35   60  +18      76.08     4.49    19.51     4.93    13.55    67.47    25.34P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         34   59  +32      78.91     4.69    37.05    16.59    34.84    86.34    52.15P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   58  +14      77.32     4.91    16.28     8.49    19.98    73.38    32.35P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          34   58  +13      76.01     4.80    15.30     4.60    12.88    64.61    21.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     35   58  +12      75.51     4.53    15.62     3.07    10.03    61.98    21.58P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        35   53  +14      71.22     4.55    18.63     0.45     1.90    28.42     9.36P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         35   52   +1      66.83     4.48     0.64     0.03     0.16     5.24     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    34   49  +12      67.16     4.76    14.59     0.05     0.30     9.07     2.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           33   47   -4      61.93     4.91    -8.42     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.15P    0.22R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   34   47   -4      62.47     4.68    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.11P    0.11R    0.00  
MK_Dons         32   46   +6      68.54     5.16    10.93     0.27     0.98    14.09     4.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    32   46   -4      62.80     5.15    -7.78     0.00     0.03     1.44     0.24P    0.22R    0.00  
Stevenage       33   43   -7      60.20     4.89    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.79R    0.00  
Carlisle        34   41  -18      54.76     4.64   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.94R    0.03  
Shrewsbury      35   40   -4      54.45     4.49    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    7.59R    0.03  
Preston         33   39   -1      56.65     4.94    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.86R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      35   38  -19      49.66     4.31   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.10R    0.70  
Oldham          33   36  -11      51.73     4.83   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.92R    0.42  
Colchester      34   35  -21      49.30     4.64   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.01R    1.42  
Bury            34   30  -19      44.70     4.69   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.35R   10.23  
Hartlepool      34   30  -21      43.20     4.51   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.75R   15.20  
Portsmouth      35   24  -24      37.14     4.44   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R   71.98  


League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 February 2013, Bradford 1 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           34   65  +25      85.71     4.70    31.30    56.95    96.76    99.98    97.75P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            34   63  +30      83.64     4.77    36.20    38.24    92.91    99.82    95.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   59  +10      73.29     4.51     8.74     0.86    18.12    78.42    29.14P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          35   58  +10      73.16     4.49     9.93     0.63    18.38    77.93    30.64P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   56   +7      74.61     4.96     8.13     1.80    28.93    82.65    41.81P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               34   55   +8      73.75     4.88    11.40     1.09    25.19    79.92    41.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           35   55   +4      70.52     4.49     4.68     0.22     7.53    55.47    19.05P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       34   51   +5      66.71     4.75     4.01     0.03     1.93    26.52     7.36P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             34   50  +11      70.44     4.71    16.85     0.16     8.80    60.84    27.21P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            35   46   -1      61.13     4.53    -0.90     0.00     0.06     3.72     0.93P    0.11R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           34   46   -4      62.49     4.76    -3.84     0.00     0.18     6.53     1.58P    0.07R    0.02  
Bradford             32   45   +6      63.58     5.11     5.16     0.01     0.85    13.28     3.70P    0.04R    0.01  
Wycombe              34   45   -6      62.12     4.84    -5.11     0.00     0.16     6.22     1.83P    0.12R    0.02  
Chesterfield         34   44   +5      61.99     4.77     7.29     0.00     0.19     6.86     2.30P    0.10R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            35   42   -2      56.73     4.49    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.09P    1.69R    0.46  
Rochdale             34   42   -5      58.38     4.81    -5.25     0.00     0.01     1.27     0.39P    1.13R    0.29  
York                 35   40  -10      52.85     4.43   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.95R    4.42  
Bristol_Rovers       34   39  -14      54.01     4.72   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    9.21R    3.28  
Aldershot            35   38  -13      51.08     4.35   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   20.61R    8.52  
Torquay              34   37   -6      53.84     4.68    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    7.62R    2.72  
Barnet               34   37  -11      50.82     4.57   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.98R   11.16  
Accrington_Stanley   34   36  -17      51.06     4.66   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.04R   10.83  
AFC_Wimbledon        34   36  -21      48.48     4.49   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.29R   26.83  
Plymouth             34   33  -11      47.22     4.56   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.02R   31.42  


Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, Alfreton_Town 5 1 Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            33   64  +30      89.49     4.75    41.84    58.42    99.16    73.33P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   62  +25      82.50     4.62    31.35     7.39    87.16    28.14P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   61  +29      84.87     5.15    36.12    17.93    92.54    39.56P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   59  +20      82.58     5.18    26.98     9.70    83.42    27.52P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     31   59  +19      81.45     5.47    21.80     6.11    75.88    16.99P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       34   56  +18      76.29     4.75    23.77     0.39    38.82     8.87P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           32   48   +3      71.19     5.24     9.12     0.01     9.71     2.23P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.86     4.99     2.95     0.00     2.35     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             32   47   -7      62.29     5.15   -13.94     0.00     0.25     0.02P    0.08R    0.00  
Luton              31   45   +5      70.96     5.36    13.36     0.05     9.79     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      34   45   +0      61.98     4.72     0.82     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.95     5.47    -1.25     0.00     0.70     0.09P    0.09R    0.00  
Tamworth           34   43   -4      57.30     4.62    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.03  
Southport          32   42   -4      59.52     5.23    -7.05     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.61R    0.02  
Braintree_Town     31   41  -11      60.27     5.38   -13.70     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.91R    0.03  
Alfreton_Town      34   40  -13      54.70     4.68   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.28R    0.32  
Stockport          33   38  -10      52.50     4.84   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.77R    1.12  
Hyde_United        34   36  -10      50.39     4.74   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.20R    3.34  
Lincoln_City       33   36  -10      52.31     4.92   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.93R    1.53  
Gateshead          30   34   -4      56.37     5.64    -3.42     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.40R    0.45  
Nuneaton           33   34  -16      47.74     4.82   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.14R   11.08  
Barrow             33   33  -29      46.34     4.67   -36.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.49R   17.15  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   31  -19      47.24     5.18   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.00R   15.50  
AFC_Telford        35   30  -12      42.07     4.30   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.88R   49.43