Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 26 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 February 2013, West_Ham 2 3 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       27   68  +33      91.53     4.04    47.84    98.05    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      27   56  +26      78.62     4.06    38.65     1.95    86.68    96.99    99.46   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     27   51  +15      68.86     4.47    19.18     0.00     4.62    31.95    62.31    98.12     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       27   49  +25      69.79     4.26    33.98     0.01     6.28    45.54    76.71    99.06     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       27   47  +22      67.58     4.36    31.12     0.00     2.42    24.49    55.74    97.55     0.00     0.00  
Everton       27   42   +7      58.16     4.29     8.47     0.00     0.02     0.42     2.32    41.14     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     27   40   +2      53.42     4.34    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     8.12     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.62     4.51    21.84     0.00     0.01     0.58     3.29    52.77     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      49.99     4.31     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.19     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke         27   33   -6      46.95     4.35    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.34R    0.00  
Fulham        27   32   -5      45.81     4.42    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.73R    0.01  
Norwich       27   32  -14      44.12     4.15   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.63R    0.03  
Newcastle     27   30  -10      44.22     4.46   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     2.22R    0.04  
West_Ham      27   30  -10      41.40     4.14   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.73R    0.18  
Sunderland    27   29   -7      42.92     4.32    -8.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.29R    0.05  
Southampton   27   27  -11      40.48     4.44   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    11.06R    0.56  
Wigan         27   24  -18      35.56     4.20   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.39R    6.66  
Aston_Villa   27   24  -26      35.27     4.18   -32.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.27R    9.03  
Reading       27   23  -18      33.54     4.09   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.59R   14.29  
QPR           27   17  -24      28.07     4.14   -30.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.75R   69.15  


Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, Bolton 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          33   70  +21      91.82     4.97    26.99    86.47    96.38   100.00    97.36P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   62  +25      81.01     4.84    28.94     6.35    40.39    98.71    55.84P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   62   +9      80.07     4.71    11.47     3.45    27.81    97.27    43.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   58  +18      75.74     4.74    19.98     0.53     7.91    87.84    25.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   57  +28      78.94     4.92    34.17     3.14    25.96    95.98    50.44P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         33   52  +12      71.24     4.95    14.09     0.05     1.31    56.86    13.94P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    34   51   +0      68.02     4.77     0.86     0.00     0.18    25.60     5.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    34   48   +3      64.29     4.69     2.81     0.00     0.01     8.43     1.72P    0.07R    0.00  
Leeds_United     33   46   -5      63.89     4.96    -5.14     0.00     0.03     7.55     1.48P    0.29R    0.01  
Bolton           34   45   +3      63.73     4.80     6.38     0.00     0.01     7.81     2.11P    0.25R    0.00  
Blackburn        34   45   -1      62.78     4.78     0.93     0.00     0.01     4.56     1.19P    0.40R    0.02  
Derby            34   44   +2      59.94     4.72     1.12     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.27P    1.59R    0.13  
Burnley          34   44   -1      60.65     4.73    -0.86     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.34P    1.27R    0.06  
Millwall         33   44   -5      61.47     4.95    -5.59     0.00     0.01     2.92     0.58P    1.13R    0.05  
Charlton         34   43   -4      59.21     4.77    -4.39     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.20P    2.90R    0.27  
Birmingham       34   42   -9      59.31     4.76    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.25P    2.74R    0.26  
Blackpool        34   41   +1      58.96     4.77     3.30     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.27P    2.56R    0.24  
Huddersfield     34   41  -22      54.42     4.61   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   19.97R    3.77  
Sheff_Wed        33   40   -8      55.30     4.88   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   14.58R    2.69  
Ipswich          34   39  -20      52.10     4.61   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.85R    8.57  
Barnsley         33   37  -12      50.91     4.75   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.83R   12.45  
Wolverhampton    34   35  -10      50.89     4.71   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   40.31R   11.18  
Bristol_City     34   34  -14      47.67     4.63   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.30R   32.73  
Peterborough     33   33  -11      48.29     4.92   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.96R   27.55  


League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, Bournemouth 0 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       34   62  +16      80.61     4.75    19.22    21.89    43.31    90.00    55.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       34   61  +19      82.34     4.68    26.22    39.02    61.92    95.85    73.16P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        35   60  +18      76.08     4.49    19.53     4.93    13.50    67.72    25.26P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         34   59  +32      78.92     4.71    37.05    16.94    34.99    86.50    52.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   58  +14      77.34     4.93    16.31     8.75    20.30    73.45    32.75P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          34   58  +13      76.01     4.81    15.31     4.54    13.04    64.63    22.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     35   58  +12      75.45     4.54    15.51     3.17     9.79    61.40    21.08P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        35   53  +14      71.16     4.57    18.54     0.42     1.78    28.53     9.45P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         35   52   +1      66.89     4.46     0.71     0.02     0.12     5.22     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    34   49  +12      67.14     4.75    14.56     0.05     0.31     8.93     2.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           33   47   -4      61.88     4.84    -8.48     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.13P    0.22R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   34   47   -4      62.44     4.67    -5.37     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.14P    0.17R    0.00  
MK_Dons         32   46   +6      68.56     5.14    10.95     0.24     0.90    14.44     4.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    32   46   -4      62.88     5.16    -7.65     0.00     0.03     1.52     0.24P    0.19R    0.00  
Stevenage       33   43   -7      60.29     4.92    -7.63     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.07P    0.70R    0.00  
Carlisle        34   41  -18      54.85     4.62   -22.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.75R    0.03  
Shrewsbury      35   40   -4      54.45     4.52    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.81R    0.04  
Preston         33   39   -1      56.54     4.94    -1.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    4.12R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      35   38  -19      49.64     4.29   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.15R    0.75  
Oldham          33   36  -11      51.68     4.83   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.47R    0.42  
Colchester      34   35  -21      49.37     4.68   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.31R    1.43  
Bury            34   30  -19      44.72     4.69   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.16R   10.42  
Hartlepool      34   30  -21      43.14     4.53   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.81R   15.66  
Portsmouth      35   24  -24      37.22     4.44   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.12R   71.24  


League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           34   65  +25      85.74     4.68    31.34    57.15    96.89    99.96    97.86P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            34   63  +30      83.65     4.74    36.26    38.29    92.91    99.78    95.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   59  +10      73.36     4.52     8.80     0.83    18.62    78.54    29.45P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          35   58  +10      73.18     4.52     9.98     0.60    18.76    77.59    30.87P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   56   +7      74.62     4.94     8.16     1.72    28.78    82.63    42.09P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               34   55   +8      73.67     4.83    11.29     1.05    24.34    79.22    40.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           35   55   +4      70.48     4.48     4.60     0.17     7.20    54.44    18.43P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       34   51   +5      66.77     4.76     4.09     0.02     2.01    26.34     7.28P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             34   50  +11      70.45     4.71    16.85     0.16     8.62    60.34    26.94P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            35   46   -1      61.11     4.56    -0.94     0.00     0.04     3.56     0.86P    0.14R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           34   46   -4      62.52     4.72    -3.81     0.00     0.15     6.24     1.63P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              34   45   -6      62.04     4.80    -5.21     0.00     0.16     5.54     1.54P    0.09R    0.02  
Bradford             31   44   +6      64.24     5.35     5.61     0.02     1.33    16.81     4.95P    0.05R    0.00  
Chesterfield         34   44   +5      62.07     4.76     7.41     0.00     0.16     6.93     2.26P    0.10R    0.02  
Rochdale             34   42   -5      58.34     4.81    -5.27     0.00     0.01     1.27     0.33P    1.17R    0.32  
Dag_&_Red            34   41   -2      56.91     4.73    -2.83     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.14P    1.95R    0.49  
York                 35   40  -10      52.84     4.41   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.83R    4.49  
Bristol_Rovers       34   39  -14      53.94     4.68   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    9.29R    3.29  
Aldershot            35   38  -13      51.02     4.35   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.08R    8.67  
Torquay              34   37   -6      53.78     4.69    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    7.99R    2.81  
Barnet               34   37  -11      50.97     4.63   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.94R   10.69  
Accrington_Stanley   34   36  -17      50.99     4.63   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.04R   10.94  
AFC_Wimbledon        34   36  -21      48.51     4.48   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.70R   26.43  
Plymouth             34   33  -11      47.12     4.55   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.57R   31.79  


Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2013, Alfreton_Town 5 1 Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            33   64  +30      89.46     4.76    41.86    58.25    99.18    73.31P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   62  +25      82.49     4.61    31.35     7.31    87.14    28.40P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   61  +29      84.90     5.14    36.22    18.15    92.94    39.48P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   59  +20      82.68     5.14    27.12     9.85    84.14    28.18P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     31   59  +19      81.47     5.49    21.82     5.99    75.72    16.85P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       34   56  +18      76.26     4.75    23.69     0.38    38.49     8.59P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           32   48   +3      71.15     5.24     9.09     0.04     9.49     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.79     5.01     2.85     0.00     2.26     0.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             32   47   -7      62.26     5.15   -13.97     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.07R    0.00  
Luton              31   45   +5      70.88     5.36    13.18     0.04     9.44     2.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      34   45   +0      62.02     4.72     0.84     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.90     5.52    -1.30     0.00     0.71     0.09P    0.09R    0.00  
Tamworth           34   43   -4      57.28     4.65    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.03  
Southport          32   42   -4      59.48     5.24    -7.14     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.61R    0.01  
Braintree_Town     31   41  -11      60.29     5.40   -13.70     0.00     0.08     0.00P    0.86R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town      34   40  -13      54.66     4.72   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.59R    0.33  
Stockport          33   38  -10      52.58     4.84   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.53R    1.05  
Hyde_United        34   36  -10      50.40     4.71   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.32R    3.29  
Lincoln_City       33   36  -10      52.36     4.94   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.77R    1.60  
Gateshead          30   34   -4      56.39     5.65    -3.39     0.00     0.01     0.00P    4.35R    0.51  
Nuneaton           33   34  -16      47.68     4.79   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.69R   11.16  
Barrow             33   33  -29      46.37     4.69   -36.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.33R   17.54  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   31  -19      47.26     5.18   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.03R   15.53  
AFC_Telford        35   30  -12      42.14     4.33   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.55R   48.91