Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 25 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 February 2013, West_Ham 2 3 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       27   68  +33      91.52     4.03    47.84    97.93    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      27   56  +26      78.59     4.06    38.56     2.06    86.69    97.06    99.44   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     27   51  +15      68.81     4.44    19.11     0.01     4.50    31.77    62.21    98.18     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       27   49  +25      69.77     4.33    33.92     0.00     6.47    46.05    76.48    99.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       27   47  +22      67.54     4.35    31.07     0.00     2.35    24.04    55.86    97.33     0.00     0.00  
Everton       27   42   +7      58.21     4.30     8.58     0.00     0.01     0.45     2.42    41.64     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     27   40   +2      53.52     4.36    -1.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     8.44     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.62     4.48    21.85     0.00     0.01     0.59     3.36    52.23     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      49.98     4.32     0.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.13     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke         27   33   -6      46.97     4.33    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.34R    0.00  
Fulham        27   32   -5      45.87     4.40    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.71R    0.01  
Norwich       27   32  -14      44.13     4.15   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.48R    0.03  
Newcastle     27   30  -10      44.23     4.47   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.19R    0.03  
West_Ham      27   30  -10      41.35     4.14   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.86R    0.18  
Sunderland    27   29   -7      42.92     4.31    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.20R    0.07  
Southampton   27   27  -11      40.54     4.45   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.79R    0.53  
Wigan         27   24  -18      35.59     4.20   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.66R    6.30  
Aston_Villa   27   24  -26      35.20     4.14   -32.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.90R    8.88  
Reading       27   23  -18      33.50     4.07   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.06R   14.67  
QPR           27   17  -24      28.04     4.15   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.78R   69.28  


Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 February 2013, Wolverhampton 1 2 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          33   70  +21      91.79     4.95    26.92    87.13    96.76   100.00    97.66P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   62  +25      81.01     4.83    28.93     6.59    43.31    98.64    57.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   62   +9      80.10     4.73    11.49     3.60    30.50    97.17    45.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   58  +18      75.76     4.72    20.01     0.55     8.75    87.32    26.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   54  +25      77.35     5.17    31.18     2.06    18.73    91.56    43.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         33   52  +12      71.24     4.97    14.10     0.05     1.61    56.23    13.97P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    34   51   +0      67.97     4.80     0.78     0.01     0.22    25.03     5.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    34   48   +3      64.31     4.68     2.84     0.00     0.03     8.49     1.76P    0.06R    0.00  
Leeds_United     33   46   -5      63.82     4.94    -5.21     0.00     0.04     7.22     1.43P    0.28R    0.01  
Blackburn        33   45   +2      64.17     4.97     4.00     0.00     0.03     8.99     2.59P    0.13R    0.00  
Derby            34   44   +2      59.94     4.67     1.14     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.30P    1.38R    0.08  
Burnley          33   44   +0      62.74     4.96     1.24     0.00     0.02     5.13     1.13P    0.51R    0.05  
Millwall         33   44   -5      61.53     4.93    -5.46     0.00     0.01     3.00     0.64P    0.93R    0.05  
Charlton         34   43   -4      59.21     4.78    -4.40     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.20P    2.64R    0.21  
Bolton           33   42   +2      62.83     5.05     6.64     0.00     0.01     6.50     1.86P    0.58R    0.06  
Birmingham       34   42   -9      59.32     4.77    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.24P    2.50R    0.26  
Blackpool        34   41   +1      58.89     4.77     3.17     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.24P    2.48R    0.25  
Sheff_Wed        33   40   -8      55.23     4.89   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   14.09R    2.61  
Ipswich          34   39  -20      52.14     4.62   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.93R    8.10  
Huddersfield     33   38  -23      52.02     4.75   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.43R   10.48  
Barnsley         33   37  -12      50.83     4.75   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.19R   12.36  
Wolverhampton    34   35  -10      50.97     4.73   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.44R   10.79  
Bristol_City     34   34  -14      47.72     4.64   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.48R   31.97  
Peterborough     32   33  -10      49.13     5.15   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.93R   22.73  


League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2013, Bournemouth 0 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       33   60  +19      83.39     4.88    27.22    40.20    63.87    96.44    74.86P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         33   59  +33      81.42     4.90    39.74    27.71    50.29    93.25    65.10P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        34   59  +18      76.55     4.74    19.64     4.72    13.24    68.61    25.30P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       33   59  +15      78.93     5.00    18.17    10.45    25.53    80.79    39.74P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          33   58  +15      77.81     5.04    17.94     7.43    19.17    75.57    29.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     34   58  +14      77.02     4.79    17.86     4.83    14.36    71.38    27.54P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       32   55  +13      75.84     5.16    15.48     4.14    11.23    60.60    22.77P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        34   50  +12      69.36     4.79    16.30     0.11     0.65    16.92     5.17P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         34   49   -2      64.90     4.66    -2.88     0.00     0.03     2.26     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    33   48  +12      67.46     4.96    14.52     0.08     0.39    10.13     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           32   47   -1      63.82     5.15    -4.62     0.02     0.05     2.05     0.36P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    31   46   -3      64.00     5.37    -7.02     0.02     0.06     2.79     0.45P    0.06R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   33   46   -4      62.14     4.84    -6.44     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.12P    0.13R    0.00  
MK_Dons         31   45   +6      69.25     5.40    11.42     0.30     1.12    17.45     5.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       32   43   -6      62.06     5.13    -6.08     0.01     0.01     0.98     0.22P    0.23R    0.00  
Carlisle        33   41  -15      56.53     4.90   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.15R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      34   40   -3      55.58     4.70    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.08R    0.00  
Preston         33   39   -1      56.41     4.91    -1.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    2.39R    0.00  
Oldham          33   36  -11      51.78     4.80   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.19R    0.23  
Scunthorpe      34   35  -20      47.86     4.54   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.34R    1.36  
Colchester      33   32  -23      47.13     4.88   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.66R    3.00  
Bury            33   27  -20      42.19     4.82   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.74R   17.31  
Hartlepool      33   27  -24      41.20     4.69   -29.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.19R   22.41  
Portsmouth      34   23  -24      37.33     4.65   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.79R   55.68  


League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2013, Accrington_Stanley 2 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           33   65  +26      87.83     4.88    33.43    58.40    98.41    99.99    98.88P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            33   63  +32      85.66     4.96    39.23    39.15    96.25    99.93    97.52P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   56   +9      71.80     4.72     7.88     0.21    11.58    67.57    21.84P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          34   55   +9      71.99     4.72     9.64     0.17    13.26    69.70    24.91P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   55   +7      75.57     5.16     9.02     1.47    36.37    86.40    48.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           34   54   +4      70.84     4.71     4.55     0.10     8.93    58.03    20.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               33   52   +6      71.30     5.07     8.18     0.20    12.30    63.20    26.68P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             33   50  +13      72.41     4.89    19.73     0.26    17.90    75.51    38.44P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       33   50   +5      67.23     4.99     4.22     0.02     2.93    31.26     9.08P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   46   +0      62.43     4.76    -0.01     0.00     0.20     7.56     1.93P    0.03R    0.01  
Bradford             31   44   +6      64.25     5.31     5.60     0.01     1.28    17.47     4.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         33   43   +5      62.89     5.02     8.05     0.00     0.37    11.03     3.60P    0.05R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           33   43   -5      60.15     4.90    -5.94     0.00     0.07     2.87     0.71P    0.30R    0.05  
Rochdale             33   42   -2      60.85     5.04    -0.59     0.00     0.08     4.83     1.40P    0.27R    0.05  
Wycombe              33   42   -7      60.15     5.02    -6.62     0.00     0.06     3.30     0.91P    0.39R    0.08  
Dag_&_Red            34   41   -2      56.93     4.70    -2.78     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.18P    1.39R    0.35  
York                 34   39  -10      52.53     4.60   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.42R    4.06  
Bristol_Rovers       33   39  -13      55.14     4.88   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P    4.94R    1.61  
Torquay              33   37   -5      55.54     4.90    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P    3.51R    0.97  
Aldershot            34   37  -13      50.80     4.50   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   18.89R    7.26  
AFC_Wimbledon        33   35  -21      48.82     4.69   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.01R   20.66  
Barnet               33   34  -13      48.65     4.78   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.62R   19.09  
Accrington_Stanley   33   33  -20      48.57     4.85   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   39.52R   21.14  
Plymouth             33   32  -11      47.49     4.78   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.62R   24.67  


Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2013, Cambridge_Utd 1 3 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            32   61  +29      88.71     4.96    42.27    56.98    98.29    71.83P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   59  +24      81.33     4.85    31.03     6.75    78.88    25.56P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     31   59  +19      81.66     5.44    22.15     7.87    75.11    18.57P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   58  +27      83.98     5.35    35.40    17.60    88.39    37.88P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       33   56  +20      78.40     4.98    26.87     1.93    56.47    14.47P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   56  +19      81.26     5.38    26.47     8.54    74.77    24.24P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.86     5.02     2.98     0.00     2.35     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   45   +7      72.98     5.57    16.36     0.31    18.44     5.38P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           31   45   +2      69.58     5.47     8.10     0.02     6.37     1.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.81     5.48    -1.44     0.00     0.63     0.09P    0.10R    0.00  
Woking             31   44   -9      59.93     5.34   -17.19     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.83R    0.02  
Tamworth           33   43   -3      58.76     4.89    -6.26     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.89R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd      33   42   -1      60.22     4.92    -0.44     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.48R    0.02  
Southport          32   42   -4      59.57     5.21    -7.04     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.81R    0.02  
Stockport          32   38   -9      53.81     5.06   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.70R    0.80  
Braintree_Town     30   38  -13      57.94     5.58   -16.95     0.00     0.04     0.00P    3.57R    0.28  
Alfreton_Town      33   37  -17      52.49     4.90   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.26R    1.88  
Hyde_United        33   36   -6      52.23     5.03    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.82R    2.06  
Lincoln_City       32   36   -9      53.66     5.19   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.74R    1.32  
Gateshead          30   34   -4      56.26     5.62    -3.53     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.24R    0.62  
Nuneaton           32   34  -15      48.62     5.02   -22.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.89R    9.92  
Barrow             32   33  -28      47.02     4.88   -36.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.47R   16.27  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   31  -17      47.91     5.36   -26.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.67R   14.64  
AFC_Telford        35   30  -12      42.17     4.36   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.51R   52.13