Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 24 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 February 2013, Man_City 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       27   68  +33      91.56     4.02    47.88    98.15    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      27   56  +26      78.56     4.04    38.51     1.83    87.67    97.42    99.55   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       27   49  +25      69.76     4.30    33.84     0.01     6.60    50.07    79.48    99.03     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.39     4.69    18.43     0.00     3.04    24.42    52.55    95.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       27   47  +22      67.52     4.39    31.03     0.00     2.68    26.68    60.76    97.44     0.00     0.00  
Everton       27   42   +7      58.26     4.29     8.62     0.00     0.02     0.57     3.10    42.69     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     27   40   +2      53.48     4.35    -1.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.25     8.51     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.62     4.49    21.89     0.00     0.01     0.79     4.27    53.01     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      50.01     4.31     0.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.24     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke         27   33   -6      46.93     4.34    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.34R    0.00  
Fulham        27   32   -5      45.86     4.40    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.79R    0.01  
Norwich       27   32  -14      44.09     4.15   -20.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.73R    0.03  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.42     4.38   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     5.80R    0.10  
Newcastle     27   30  -10      44.26     4.47   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     2.19R    0.05  
Sunderland    27   29   -7      42.92     4.31    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.42R    0.08  
Southampton   27   27  -11      40.63     4.45   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.56R    0.56  
Wigan         27   24  -18      35.60     4.19   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.56R    6.41  
Aston_Villa   27   24  -26      35.25     4.15   -32.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.70R    8.85  
Reading       27   23  -18      33.52     4.06   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.92R   14.32  
QPR           27   17  -24      28.01     4.14   -30.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.96R   69.59  


Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 February 2013, Wolverhampton 1 2 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          33   70  +21      91.81     4.94    26.96    87.51    96.97   100.00    97.82P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   62  +25      80.97     4.84    28.82     6.31    42.94    98.46    57.68P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   62   +9      80.09     4.71    11.47     3.51    30.58    97.25    45.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   58  +18      75.76     4.71    20.04     0.56     8.87    87.51    26.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   54  +25      77.38     5.17    31.21     2.03    18.74    91.50    42.88P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         33   52  +12      71.25     4.99    14.12     0.07     1.57    55.99    13.99P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    34   51   +0      68.07     4.76     0.89     0.00     0.23    25.41     5.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    34   48   +3      64.24     4.66     2.74     0.00     0.02     8.29     1.74P    0.08R    0.00  
Leeds_United     33   46   -5      63.89     4.92    -5.10     0.00     0.02     7.40     1.32P    0.25R    0.01  
Blackburn        33   45   +2      64.18     4.99     4.02     0.00     0.03     9.06     2.56P    0.18R    0.01  
Derby            34   44   +2      59.90     4.71     1.08     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.27P    1.54R    0.11  
Burnley          33   44   +0      62.80     4.96     1.36     0.00     0.01     5.19     1.18P    0.53R    0.04  
Millwall         33   44   -5      61.55     4.94    -5.41     0.00     0.00     2.90     0.60P    0.90R    0.06  
Charlton         34   43   -4      59.28     4.76    -4.28     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.21P    2.49R    0.21  
Bolton           33   42   +2      62.90     5.03     6.73     0.00     0.01     6.52     1.94P    0.48R    0.03  
Birmingham       34   42   -9      59.26     4.77    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.21P    2.52R    0.25  
Blackpool        34   41   +1      58.99     4.79     3.31     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.31P    2.48R    0.25  
Sheff_Wed        33   40   -8      55.23     4.91   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P   13.85R    2.52  
Ipswich          34   39  -20      52.09     4.61   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.03R    7.92  
Huddersfield     33   38  -23      51.96     4.74   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.61R   10.61  
Barnsley         33   37  -12      50.88     4.75   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.44R   12.28  
Wolverhampton    34   35  -10      50.87     4.72   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.47R   11.06  
Bristol_City     34   34  -14      47.68     4.64   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.55R   32.02  
Peterborough     32   33  -10      49.05     5.09   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.59R   22.62  


League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2013, Bournemouth 0 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       33   60  +19      83.43     4.89    27.28    40.39    63.48    96.54    74.67P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         33   59  +33      81.36     4.89    39.63    27.00    49.41    93.02    64.37P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        34   59  +18      76.53     4.74    19.61     4.67    13.19    68.31    25.73P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       33   59  +15      79.01     5.01    18.28    10.91    26.08    81.02    39.93P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          33   58  +15      77.88     5.04    18.04     7.54    19.63    75.82    29.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     34   58  +14      77.11     4.77    17.97     4.75    14.71    71.91    27.89P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       32   55  +13      75.80     5.16    15.40     4.19    11.20    59.97    22.58P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        34   50  +12      69.38     4.77    16.33     0.14     0.67    16.92     5.19P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         34   49   -2      64.84     4.70    -2.95     0.00     0.01     2.12     0.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    33   48  +12      67.41     4.97    14.43     0.06     0.32     9.91     2.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           32   47   -1      63.83     5.15    -4.59     0.01     0.05     2.15     0.33P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    31   46   -3      63.96     5.37    -7.07     0.01     0.06     2.77     0.45P    0.06R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   33   46   -4      62.08     4.87    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.10P    0.15R    0.00  
MK_Dons         31   45   +6      69.38     5.37    11.61     0.33     1.18    17.80     5.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       32   43   -6      61.97     5.14    -6.21     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.19P    0.25R    0.00  
Carlisle        33   41  -15      56.57     4.89   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     3.28R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      34   40   -3      55.57     4.71    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.27R    0.01  
Preston         33   39   -1      56.52     4.91    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.51R    0.01  
Oldham          33   36  -11      51.73     4.80   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.61R    0.21  
Scunthorpe      34   35  -20      47.86     4.56   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.35R    1.40  
Colchester      33   32  -23      47.16     4.84   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.51R    2.89  
Bury            33   27  -20      42.19     4.84   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.08R   17.15  
Hartlepool      33   27  -24      41.19     4.71   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.15R   22.33  
Portsmouth      34   23  -24      37.29     4.66   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.73R   55.99  


League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2013, Accrington_Stanley 2 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           33   65  +26      87.82     4.86    33.42    57.62    98.47    99.99    98.94P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            33   63  +32      85.76     4.95    39.35    39.95    96.26    99.92    97.44P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   56   +9      71.77     4.73     7.84     0.23    11.66    67.48    21.68P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          34   55   +9      72.03     4.71     9.67     0.16    13.04    70.03    24.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   55   +7      75.60     5.18     9.06     1.43    36.79    86.52    48.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           34   54   +4      70.78     4.73     4.50     0.09     8.87    57.54    20.13P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               33   52   +6      71.28     5.04     8.12     0.22    12.11    62.97    26.49P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             33   50  +13      72.41     4.88    19.71     0.28    17.84    75.56    38.68P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       33   50   +5      67.26     4.99     4.21     0.01     2.98    31.78     9.30P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   46   +0      62.45     4.77     0.00     0.00     0.22     7.58     1.93P    0.05R    0.01  
Bradford             31   44   +6      64.22     5.33     5.55     0.00     1.24    17.50     4.87P    0.03R    0.01  
Chesterfield         33   43   +5      62.89     4.99     8.04     0.00     0.32    10.72     3.50P    0.06R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           33   43   -5      60.21     4.93    -5.87     0.00     0.05     3.12     0.71P    0.34R    0.05  
Rochdale             33   42   -2      60.70     5.06    -0.79     0.00     0.11     4.61     1.39P    0.33R    0.06  
Wycombe              33   42   -7      60.10     5.04    -6.65     0.00     0.05     3.32     0.91P    0.43R    0.08  
Dag_&_Red            34   41   -2      56.94     4.71    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.18P    1.41R    0.32  
York                 34   39  -10      52.59     4.61   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   11.24R    3.97  
Bristol_Rovers       33   39  -13      55.09     4.86   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    4.98R    1.56  
Torquay              33   37   -5      55.55     4.88    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.08P    3.44R    1.01  
Aldershot            34   37  -13      50.88     4.51   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   18.64R    7.15  
AFC_Wimbledon        33   35  -21      48.84     4.73   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.91R   20.86  
Barnet               33   34  -13      48.61     4.80   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.77R   19.41  
Accrington_Stanley   33   33  -20      48.58     4.82   -23.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.45R   20.89  
Plymouth             33   32  -11      47.48     4.79   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.92R   24.62  


Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2013, Cambridge_Utd 1 3 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            32   61  +29      88.61     4.94    42.10    56.36    98.33    71.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   59  +24      81.39     4.85    31.13     7.23    79.59    26.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     31   59  +19      81.56     5.47    21.97     7.80    74.94    18.41P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   58  +27      83.97     5.34    35.36    17.74    88.23    38.03P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       33   56  +20      78.32     4.98    26.77     1.92    56.03    13.96P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   56  +19      81.29     5.38    26.46     8.62    74.87    24.73P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.89     5.03     3.04     0.00     2.37     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   45   +7      73.03     5.56    16.47     0.32    18.62     5.50P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           31   45   +2      69.52     5.45     8.02     0.01     6.04     1.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.87     5.46    -1.35     0.00     0.67     0.11P    0.12R    0.01  
Woking             31   44   -9      60.00     5.33   -17.09     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.80R    0.01  
Tamworth           33   43   -3      58.81     4.90    -6.18     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.91R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd      33   42   -1      60.13     4.95    -0.60     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.49R    0.02  
Southport          32   42   -4      59.53     5.23    -7.08     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.82R    0.02  
Stockport          32   38   -9      53.82     5.04   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.55R    0.82  
Braintree_Town     30   38  -13      57.83     5.59   -17.11     0.00     0.03     0.00P    3.73R    0.26  
Alfreton_Town      33   37  -17      52.54     4.92   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.05R    1.79  
Hyde_United        33   36   -6      52.28     5.04    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.79R    2.08  
Lincoln_City       32   36   -9      53.65     5.14   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.64R    1.28  
Gateshead          30   34   -4      56.37     5.64    -3.40     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.08R    0.54  
Nuneaton           32   34  -15      48.66     5.03   -22.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.70R    9.68  
Barrow             32   33  -28      47.04     4.89   -36.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.56R   16.08  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   31  -17      47.93     5.37   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.73R   14.41  
AFC_Telford        35   30  -12      42.11     4.33   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.03R   52.97