Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 23 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2013, Arsenal 2 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       27   68  +33      91.59     4.03    47.90    98.70    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.20     4.32    36.88     1.24    75.91    93.41    98.57    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.93     4.51    35.61     0.06    16.30    58.96    84.37    99.40     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.41     4.70    18.42     0.00     4.07    22.47    51.42    96.15     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       27   47  +22      67.56     4.36    31.12     0.00     3.72    24.06    59.11    97.62     0.00     0.00  
Everton       27   42   +7      58.17     4.27     8.48     0.00     0.01     0.44     2.57    42.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     27   40   +2      53.42     4.34    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21     8.48     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.61     4.48    21.82     0.00     0.01     0.62     3.71    53.10     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      49.95     4.27     0.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     2.11     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke         27   33   -6      46.95     4.32    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.27R    0.00  
Fulham        27   32   -5      45.89     4.40    -6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.81R    0.02  
Norwich       27   32  -14      44.12     4.15   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.57R    0.03  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.45     4.39   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.73R    0.10  
Sunderland    27   29   -7      42.93     4.31    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.40R    0.06  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.71     4.70   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     7.92R    0.37  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.83     4.67   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.12R    0.17  
Wigan         27   24  -18      35.56     4.20   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.66R    6.58  
Aston_Villa   27   24  -26      35.26     4.16   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.65R    8.92  
Reading       27   23  -18      33.50     4.08   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.70R   14.41  
QPR           27   17  -24      28.04     4.12   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.15R   69.34  


Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2013, Blackburn 0 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          32   67  +20      90.17     5.20    25.91    80.69    93.78    99.98    95.51P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   62  +25      80.99     4.80    28.90     9.56    44.08    98.56    58.54P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   62   +9      80.08     4.74    11.47     5.53    31.15    97.15    46.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   58  +18      75.74     4.72    20.00     0.94     9.34    87.17    26.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   54  +25      77.37     5.16    31.22     3.18    19.75    91.71    43.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         33   52  +12      71.21     4.92    14.04     0.08     1.54    55.97    13.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    34   51   +0      68.06     4.78     0.90     0.02     0.24    25.47     5.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    34   48   +3      64.35     4.67     2.88     0.00     0.03     8.71     1.84P    0.09R    0.00  
Leeds_United     33   46   -5      63.86     4.93    -5.15     0.00     0.03     7.44     1.48P    0.28R    0.01  
Blackburn        33   45   +2      64.17     5.00     4.03     0.00     0.03     9.05     2.49P    0.20R    0.02  
Derby            34   44   +2      60.00     4.67     1.22     0.00     0.00     1.37     0.26P    1.54R    0.13  
Burnley          33   44   +0      62.71     4.95     1.20     0.00     0.01     5.08     1.09P    0.56R    0.04  
Millwall         33   44   -5      61.42     4.91    -5.64     0.00     0.01     2.82     0.51P    1.07R    0.07  
Charlton         34   43   -4      59.20     4.78    -4.38     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.19P    2.72R    0.26  
Bolton           33   42   +2      62.83     5.04     6.62     0.00     0.01     6.39     1.80P    0.63R    0.05  
Birmingham       34   42   -9      59.30     4.75    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.22P    2.74R    0.27  
Blackpool        34   41   +1      58.94     4.75     3.24     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.26P    2.64R    0.25  
Sheff_Wed        33   40   -8      55.29     4.87   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   14.24R    2.55  
Ipswich          34   39  -20      52.13     4.63   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.38R    8.31  
Huddersfield     33   38  -23      52.03     4.79   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   38.00R   10.95  
Barnsley         33   37  -12      50.90     4.75   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.84R   12.55  
Wolverhampton    33   35   -9      52.27     4.94    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   30.12R    7.53  
Bristol_City     34   34  -14      47.62     4.64   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.46R   33.69  
Peterborough     32   33  -10      49.11     5.11   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.48R   23.32  


League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2013, Bournemouth 0 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       33   60  +19      83.26     4.89    27.06    39.48    62.55    96.26    73.76P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         33   59  +33      81.34     4.91    39.61    27.36    49.59    92.97    64.35P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        34   59  +18      76.55     4.72    19.64     4.73    13.50    68.46    25.94P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       33   59  +15      79.00     4.96    18.26    10.91    25.96    81.26    39.63P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          33   58  +15      77.91     5.05    18.06     7.81    20.18    75.86    30.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     34   58  +14      77.08     4.77    17.92     4.97    14.77    71.68    27.89P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       32   55  +13      75.77     5.15    15.38     4.23    11.14    59.85    22.59P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        34   50  +12      69.39     4.80    16.37     0.11     0.61    16.94     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         34   49   -2      64.90     4.72    -2.84     0.00     0.03     2.39     0.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    33   48  +12      67.44     4.95    14.47     0.06     0.34     9.93     2.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           32   47   -1      63.87     5.13    -4.54     0.01     0.05     2.24     0.38P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    31   46   -3      64.08     5.38    -6.89     0.02     0.09     2.92     0.50P    0.06R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   33   46   -4      62.16     4.85    -6.42     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.10P    0.12R    0.00  
MK_Dons         31   45   +6      69.31     5.36    11.52     0.31     1.18    17.49     5.70P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       32   43   -6      62.05     5.13    -6.14     0.00     0.01     0.99     0.21P    0.26R    0.00  
Carlisle        33   41  -15      56.53     4.91   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.36R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      34   40   -3      55.55     4.73    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.28R    0.01  
Preston         33   39   -1      56.52     4.94    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     2.45R    0.00  
Oldham          33   36  -11      51.74     4.82   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.44R    0.23  
Scunthorpe      34   35  -20      47.89     4.52   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.95R    1.33  
Colchester      33   32  -23      47.13     4.86   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.79R    2.95  
Bury            33   27  -20      42.14     4.84   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.40R   17.31  
Hartlepool      33   27  -24      41.15     4.75   -29.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.00R   22.53  
Portsmouth      34   23  -24      37.30     4.66   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.82R   55.64  


League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2013, Accrington_Stanley 2 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           33   65  +26      87.81     4.89    33.38    58.14    98.38    99.98    98.86P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            33   63  +32      85.68     4.97    39.21    39.30    95.94    99.90    97.32P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   56   +9      71.73     4.75     7.78     0.21    11.57    66.77    21.78P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          34   55   +9      71.98     4.70     9.62     0.16    12.95    69.87    24.68P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   55   +7      75.70     5.18     9.17     1.58    37.41    86.88    49.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           34   54   +4      70.76     4.70     4.49     0.09     8.49    57.58    19.87P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               33   52   +6      71.45     5.08     8.35     0.25    12.90    64.33    27.44P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             33   50  +13      72.39     4.86    19.74     0.25    17.51    75.66    38.14P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       33   50   +5      67.12     4.97     4.07     0.01     2.75    30.58     8.65P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   46   +0      62.42     4.74    -0.02     0.00     0.21     7.23     1.84P    0.03R    0.01  
Bradford             31   44   +6      64.30     5.34     5.67     0.00     1.29    17.92     4.99P    0.05R    0.00  
Chesterfield         33   43   +5      62.87     5.00     8.02     0.00     0.37    10.92     3.70P    0.06R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           33   43   -5      60.17     4.95    -5.94     0.00     0.07     2.97     0.68P    0.35R    0.06  
Rochdale             33   42   -2      60.74     5.08    -0.77     0.00     0.10     4.79     1.34P    0.31R    0.07  
Wycombe              33   42   -7      60.07     5.05    -6.70     0.00     0.05     3.31     0.90P    0.45R    0.10  
Dag_&_Red            34   41   -2      56.97     4.70    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.17P    1.41R    0.29  
York                 34   39  -10      52.54     4.62   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.67R    4.25  
Bristol_Rovers       33   39  -13      55.07     4.86   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    5.07R    1.60  
Torquay              33   37   -5      55.53     4.86    -3.89     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.08P    3.32R    0.98  
Aldershot            34   37  -13      50.92     4.51   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.26R    6.82  
AFC_Wimbledon        33   35  -21      48.83     4.71   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.97R   21.09  
Barnet               33   34  -13      48.66     4.81   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.38R   19.19  
Accrington_Stanley   33   33  -20      48.60     4.80   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.36R   20.74  
Plymouth             33   32  -11      47.49     4.80   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.30R   24.78  


Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2013, Cambridge_Utd 1 3 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            32   61  +29      88.70     4.97    42.26    56.98    98.26    71.93P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   59  +24      81.31     4.86    31.01     6.83    78.90    25.35P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     31   59  +19      81.54     5.55    21.98     7.96    74.54    18.57P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   58  +27      84.02     5.33    35.41    17.46    88.79    37.83P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       33   56  +20      78.33     4.99    26.77     2.01    56.34    14.27P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   56  +19      81.27     5.36    26.51     8.44    75.31    24.51P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.90     5.02     3.03     0.01     2.43     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   45   +7      72.89     5.59    16.24     0.30    18.34     5.46P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           31   45   +2      69.60     5.46     8.14     0.01     6.15     1.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.87     5.49    -1.34     0.00     0.63     0.11P    0.10R    0.01  
Woking             31   44   -9      59.91     5.32   -17.27     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.69R    0.01  
Tamworth           33   43   -3      58.86     4.90    -6.09     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.92R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd      33   42   -1      60.20     4.91    -0.45     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.42R    0.01  
Southport          32   42   -4      59.57     5.23    -7.01     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.85R    0.02  
Stockport          32   38   -9      53.82     5.09   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.85R    0.88  
Braintree_Town     30   38  -13      57.85     5.56   -17.07     0.00     0.04     0.00P    3.49R    0.26  
Alfreton_Town      33   37  -17      52.50     4.87   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.26R    1.71  
Hyde_United        33   36   -6      52.27     5.00    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.68R    2.03  
Lincoln_City       32   36   -9      53.64     5.13   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.43R    1.23  
Gateshead          30   34   -4      56.34     5.62    -3.48     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.09R    0.54  
Nuneaton           32   34  -15      48.66     5.05   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.56R    9.85  
Barrow             32   33  -28      47.01     4.89   -36.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.73R   16.23  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   31  -17      47.95     5.36   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.79R   14.32  
AFC_Telford        35   30  -12      42.13     4.34   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.13R   52.88